14th Edition. Global Macrocell Radio Transceiver (TRx) Unit Market Analysis and Forecast, April 2018

Transcription

1 Market Analysis Earl J. Lum th Edition Global Macrocell Radio Transceiver (TRx) Unit Market Analysis and Forecast, April 2018 Entire contents. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is strictly forbidden and will be prosecuted to the full extent of US and International laws. The transfer of this publication in either paper or electronic form to unlicensed third parties is strictly forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources EJL Wireless Research LLC deems reliable. EJL Wireless Research disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or adequacy of such information. EJL Wireless Research LLC shall bear no liability for errors, omissions, or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for the interpretation thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve their intended results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice.

2 TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Review: Preparing for 4.5G and NB-IoT... 6 TRx Forecast Demand Drivers for Our Forecast... 9 Summary RESEARCH METHODOLOGY CHAPTER 1: OVERALL MARKET PERFORMANCE : Another Record Year. TRXs keep growing OEM Analysis Huawei on Top, again The Chinese Factor continues to dominating the industry TRx Forecast Demand Drivers for Our Forecast Historical Perspective from EJL Wireless Research CHAPTER 2: 5G NR TRXS G NR TRx Forecast CHAPTER 3: 4.9G TRX IN MASSIVE MIMO ANTENNA SYSTEMS CHAPTER 4: 4G/4.5G TRXS LTE/LTE-Advanced/LTE-Advanced Pro TRx Vendor Market Share Mid-Band FDD LTE remains the focus for the industry The Chinese Factor Dominates CHAPTER 5: 2G/3G TRX CHAPTER 6: GEOGRAPHICAL MARKET SHARE China, India, & Europe Drive Demand in CHAPTER 7: NORTH AMERICA United States Canada CHAPTER 8: LATIN AMERICA/CARIBBEAN Mexico Brazil CHAPTER 9: EUROPE CHAPTER 10: AFRICA CHAPTER 11: THE MIDDLE EAST CHAPTER 12: ASIA PACIFIC Japan South Korea China India CHAPTER 13: TRX OEM COMPANY PROFILES Ericsson Huawei Technologies Nokia Networks Samsung Networks ZTE

3 TABLES Table 1: Global TRx Market Share by OEM, (Units)... 7 Table 2: Global Non-Massive MIMO TRx Market Share by Air Interface/Frequency Cluster, (Units) Table 3: Global TRx Market Share by OEM, (Units) Table 4: Global TRx Market Share, Chinese vs. ROW, (Units) Table 5: Global TRx Forecast by Air Interface, (Units) Table 6: Global TRx Forecast by Air Interface, (% Market Share) Table 7: Global TRx Forecast by Air Interface, (% YoY Growth) Table 8: Global 5G MM TRx Shipments Vendor Market Share, (Units) Table 9: Global 5G MM TRx Shipments by Frequency Cluster, (Units) Table 10: Global 5G NR TRx Forecast by Frequency Cluster, (Units) Table 11: Global 5G NR TRx Forecast by Frequency Cluster, (% Market Share) Table 12: Global 5G NR TRx Forecast by Frequency Cluster, (% Growth YoY) Table 13: Global 4.9G MM TRx Shipments by Frequency Cluster, (Units) Table 14: Global 4.9G MM TRx Shipments Vendor Market Share, (Units) Table 15: Global 4.9G MM TRx Market Share, Chinese vs. ROW, (Units) Table 16: Global 4.9G MM TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 17: Global 4.9G MM TRx Forecast, (% Market Share) Table 18: Global 4.9G MM TRx Forecast, (% Growth YoY) Table 19: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Shipments by Duplex Mode, (Units) Table 20: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Vendor Market Share, (Units) Table 21: Global 4G/4.5G FDD TRx Vendor Market Share, (Units) Table 22: Global 4G/4.5G TDD TRx Vendor Market Share, (Units) Table 23: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Shipments by Frequency Cluster, (Units) Table 24: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Market Share, Chinese vs. ROW, (Units) Table 25: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Forecast by Frequency Cluster, (Units) Table 26: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Forecast by Frequency Cluster, (% Market Share) Table 27: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Forecast by Frequency Cluster, (% Growth YoY) Table 28: Global 2G/3G TRx Shipments, (Units) Table 29: Global TRx Shipments by Region, (Units) Table 30: Global TRx Shipments by Region, Actual vs. Forecast, 2017 (Units) Table 31: Global TRx Shipment Forecast by Region, (Units) Table 32: Global TRx Shipment Forecast by Region, (% Market Share) Table 33: Global TRx Shipment Forecast by Region, (% YoY Growth) Table 34: North America TRx Forecast by Type, (Units) Table 35: North America Non-Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 36: North America <6GHz Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 37: North America >6GHz Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 38: Latin America TRx Forecast by Type, (Units) Table 39: Latin America Non-Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 40: Latin America <6GHz Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 41: Latin America >6GHz Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 42: Europe TRx Forecast by Type, (Units) Table 43: Europe Non-Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 44: Europe <6GHz Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 45: Europe >6GHz Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 46: Africa TRx Forecast by Type, (Units) Table 47: Africa Non-Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 48: Africa <6GHz Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 49: Africa >6GHz Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 50: The Middle East TRx Forecast by Type, (Units) Table 51: The Middle East Non-Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 52: The Middle East <6GHz Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 53: The Middle East >6GHz Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 54: Asia Pacific TRx Forecast by Type, (Units) Table 55: Asia Pacific Non-Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 56: Asia Pacific <6GHz Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 57: Asia Pacific >6GHz Massive MIMO TRx Forecast, (Units) Table 58: Ericsson Non-Massive MIMO TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, (Units) Table 59: Ericsson Massive MIMO TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, (Units)

4 Table 60: Huawei Non-Massive MIMO TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, (Units) Table 61: Huawei Massive MIMO TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, (Units).. 98 Table 62: Nokia Networks Non-Massive MIMO TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, (Units) Table 63: Nokia Networks Massive MIMO TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, (Units) Table 64: Samsung Networks Non-Massive MIMO TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, (Units) Table 65: Samsung Networks Massive MIMO TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, (Units) Table 66: ZTE Non-Massive MIMO TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, (Units) Table 67: ZTE Massive MIMO TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, (Units)

5 EXHIBITS Exhibit 1: Global TRx Market Share by OEM, 2017 (% Market Share)... 7 Exhibit 2: Global TRx Forecast , (% YoY Growth)... 8 Exhibit 3: Global TRx Shipments, (Units) Exhibit 4: Global TRx Shipments, Actual vs. Forecast, 2017 (Units) Exhibit 5: Global TRx Market Share by Technology Generation, 2017 (% Market Share) Exhibit 6: Global TRx Market Share by Technology Generation, (Units) Exhibit 7: Global TRx Market Share by OEM, 2017 (% Market Share) Exhibit 8: Global TRx Market Share, Chinese vs. ROW, (Units) Exhibit 9: Global TRx Forecast , (% YoY Growth) Exhibit 10: Global TRx Forecast, Current vs. Prior, , (Units) Exhibit 11: Global TRx Forecast by Air Interface, (Units) Exhibit 12: Global TRx Forecast by Air Interface, (% Market Share) Exhibit 13: Global Historical TRx Shipments, , (Units) Exhibit 14: Timing of 5G NR SA/NSA Specifications and 3GPP Timeline Exhibit 15: 4G/4.5G/4.9G/5G Performance Comparison Exhibit 16: Global 5G MM TRx Shipments, Actual vs. Forecast, 2017 (Units) Exhibit 17: Global 5G MM TRx Shipments, (Units) Exhibit 18: Global 5G MM TRx Shipments Vendor Market Share, 2017 (Units) Exhibit 19: Global 5G MM TRx Shipments by Frequency Cluster, (Units) Exhibit 20: Global 5G NR TRx Forecast by Frequency Cluster, (Units) Exhibit 21: Global 5G NR TRx Forecast by Frequency Cluster, (Units) Exhibit 22: Global 4.9G MM TRx Shipments, Actual vs. Forecast, 2017 (Units) Exhibit 23: Global 4.9G MM TRx Shipments, (Units) Exhibit 24: Global 4.9G MM TRx Shipments Vendor Market Share, 2017 (Units) Exhibit 25: Global 4.9G MM TRx Market Share, Chinese vs. ROW, (Units) Exhibit 26: Global 4.9G MM TRx Forecast, (Units) Exhibit 27: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Shipments, Actual vs. Forecast, 2017 (Units) Exhibit 28: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Shipments, (Units) Exhibit 29: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Shipments by Duplex Mode, (Units) Exhibit 30: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Forecast, (Units) Exhibit 31: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Vendor Market Share by OEM, 2017 (% Market Share) Exhibit 32: Global 4G/4.5G FDD TRx Vendor Market Share by OEM, 2017 (% Market Share) Exhibit 33: Global 4G/4.5G TDD TRx Vendor Market Share by OEM, 2017 (% Market Share) Exhibit 34: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Shipments by Frequency Cluster, 2017 (Units) Exhibit 35: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Market Share, Chinese vs. ROW, (Units) Exhibit 36: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Forecast by Frequency Cluster, (Units) Exhibit 37: Global 4G/4.5G TRx Forecast by Duplex Mode, (Units) Exhibit 38: Global 2G/3G TRx Shipments, (Units) Exhibit 39: Global 2G/3G TRx Forecast, (Units) Exhibit 40: Global TRx Market Share by Region, 2017 (% Market Share) Exhibit 41: North America TRx Forecast by Type, (Units) Exhibit 42: Latin America TRx Forecast by Type, (Units) Exhibit 43: Europe TRx Forecast by Type, (Units) Exhibit 44: Africa TRx Forecast by Type, (Units) Exhibit 45: The Middle East TRx Forecast by Type, (Units) Exhibit 46: Asia Pacific TRx Forecast, (Units) Exhibit 47: Japanese Mobile Operator CAPEX, FY15-9MFY Exhibit 48: Korean Mobile Operator CAPEX, FY14-FY Exhibit 49: China Mobile CAPEX Exhibit 50: China Mobile 5G Deployment Timeline Exhibit 51: China TRx Shipment Forecast, (Units) Exhibit 52: India TRx Shipment Forecast, (Units) Exhibit 53: Ericsson TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, 2017 (% Market Share) Exhibit 54: Huawei TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, 2017 (% Market Share) Exhibit 55: Nokia Networks TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, 2017 (% Market Share) 100 Exhibit 56: Samsung Networks TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, 2017 (% Market Share) Exhibit 57: ZTE TRx Shipments by Frequency Bands/Air Interface, 2017 (% Market Share)