September Real Sector Statistics Division. Methodology

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1 September 2014 Methodology The Consumer Survey has been conducted monthly since October Moreover, since January 2007 the Survey has involved 4,600 households as respondents (stratified random sampling) in 18 cities, namely Jakarta, Bandung, Semarang, Surabaya, Medan, Makassar, Bandar Lampung, Palembang, Banjarmasin, Padang, Pontianak, Samarinda, Manado, Denpasar, Mataram, Pangkal Pinang, Ambon and Banten. The index of each city is calculated using the balanced score method (net balance + 100), which indicates that a score of 100 is considered optimistic and an index of below 100 is pessimistic. Commencing in March 2011, calculating both components, namely the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) and the Inflation Expectation Index, nationally was changed from an aggregate of the 18 cities surveyed to a weighted average for each of the 18 cities involved. Data generated prior to the changeover is the result of backcasting, while series data generated from the aggregate indices is only available for publications up to February Real Sector Statistics Division 1

2 Real Sector Statistics Division 2

3 Real Sector Statistics Division 3

4 Real Sector Statistics Division 4

5 Real Sector Statistics Division 5

6 C hanges A. Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) - Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) - Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Current Economic Condition Index - Current Incomes - Employment Conditions - Buying Durable Goods Conditions Consumer Expectation Index - Current Incomes Expectation - Employment Conditions Expectation - Business Activities Expectation B. Price Expectations Index - Price expectations index for 3 months ahead by group: - Foodstuff - Food, beverage, cigarettes, and tobacco - Housing, electricity, gas, and fuel - Clothing - Health - Transportation, communication, and financial servic - Education, recreation, and sports Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Gender Household Expenses Ages Educational Level Real Sector Statistics Division 6

7 Descriptions Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 1. DKI Jakarta - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Bandung - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Semarang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Surabaya - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Medan - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Palembang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Banjarmasin - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Bandar Lampung - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Makassar - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Real Sector Statistics Division 7

8 Descriptions Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 10. Samarinda - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Denpasar - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Padang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Pontianak - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Manado - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Mataram - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Pangkal Pinang - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Ambon - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Banten - Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) Current Economic Condition Index (CECI) Consumer Expectation Index (CEI) Price expectations index for 3 months ahead Price expectations index for 6 months ahead Price expectations index for 12 months ahead Real Sector Statistics Division 8

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