Session 9. Introduction

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1 ITU-T/ITU T/ITU-D D Seminar on Standardization and Development of NGN for the Arab region Session 9 Planning of Broadband Wireless Access for Rural and Remote Areas Ignat Stanev ITC, Bulgaria ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-1 Introduction Rural and remote areas telecom case : usually not interesting from business point of view telecom development should be supported by government Percentage of the population living in rural areas 27% Latin America 71% Sub- Saharan Africa 71% East Asia & Pacific 75% South Asia Source: The World Bank(1992) Findings of the United Nations : all growth in population will concentrate in urban areas, no growth in rural areas most of the growth will concentrate in urban areas of less developed regions ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-2 1

2 Rural population and teledensity Population of large cities as % Large city teledensity [%] Rural areas teledensity [%] Overall teledensity [%] 1 : 4,3 1 : 3,4 1 : 1,5 1 : 1,05 Low Income 6,0 9,26 2,15 2,54 Lower Middle 5,8 24,84 7,30 8,77 Upper Middle 16,1 30,77 21,10 22,94 High Income 10,8 57,49 54,83 55,21 Africa 12 6,42 1,39 1,99 Americas 13,6 34,8 21,72 11,39 Asia 4,8 25,97 6,94 7,84 Europe 10,9 48,24 30,19 31,98 Oceania 17,8 45,97 36,77 38,38 WORLD 7,7 17,4 25,25 9,20 ITU WTID 2002 ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-3 Largest cities vs. rural areas in some countries Country Urban population (%) % of main lines in urban areas Total teledensity [%] Egypt Mauritania Sudan Tunisia Djibouti Kuwait Qatar Syria China Bulgaria Sudan Djibouti Mauritania Syria Egypt China Tunisia Kuwait Qatar Bulgaria Urban population (%) % of main lines in urban areas ITU WTID 2006 ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-4 2

3 Broadband connection statistics Internet access of households by type of connection, 2005 (Yearbook ) ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-5 IT density as bases for BB services Internet hosts per inhabitants Internet users per inhabitants PCs per 100 inhabitants Low Income ,6 Lower Middle Income 4,3 264,9 2,5 Upper Middle Income 78,7 992,7 8,2 High Income Africa 3,4 84,9 1,1 Americas ,6 Asia 28, ,2 Europe 191, ,5 18 Oceania 885,3 % of homes with Internet 2 771,6 % of homes with a Personal 39,9 Computer WORLD 232,7 820,8 7,7 ITU WTID 2002 Low/High Income: 1 / > 60 Source : ITU Database Austria Belgium Denmark Finland Franc e Germany Greec e Iceland Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands Norway Portugal Spain Sweden Switzerland United Czec h Estonia Hungary Latv ia Lithuania Poland Slovak Bulgaria Romania ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar Kingdom R epublic 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Republic Session 9_4-6 3

4 EU Project - Broadband for All To develop the network technologies and architectures allowing a generalised and affordable availability of broadband access to European users, including those in less developed regions, peripheral and rural areas. Optimised access technologies, as a function of the operating environment, at affordable price allowing for a generalized introduction of broadband services in Europe including less developed regions ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-7 Planning of broadband wireless access Network planning Critical Demand Forecast CapEx sensitive Plan New Build OpEx Re-Optimization intensive Critical Purchase / Build Operate & Maintain PLAN BUILD RUN CAPEX Sensitive OPEX Intensive Costs Optimum Traffic Demand Traffic Demand Generation Generation / / Distribution Distribution Total Service Service Definition Definition / Market Capture / Market Capture 15% Access Technology Access Technology Selection Selection / / Roll-Out Roll-Out Business Case Business Case Analysis Analysis 85% Service Mix, Geographical Traffic Demand Voice Voice SS7 SS7 SONET SONET / / SDH SDH Synchronization Synchronization ATM ATM Bandwidth Requirements 9% 5% NODES Optical 9% Optical Ring Ring IP / MPLS IP / MPLS Exchanges Optical Optical Circuits COREMesh 52% Link 25% Requirements ACCESS Subscribers WDM Links WDM Links no. of exchanges nodes ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-8 4

5 Broadband access technologies xdsl SAT WLL HFC Power line FTTx ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-9 Planning process for planning of wireless BB access network ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-10 5

6 Planning case studies performed with available network planning tools The case studies present the planning process that needs to be performed for evaluation of wireless broadband access in rural and remote areas Planning includes market definition and optimization of the access network. First access network is optimized regardless of the terrain characteristics, then network is analysed for coverage and result is adjusted correspondingly The case studies are planned with professional NP tools, available through ITU partners ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-11 Oman Test Case study Rural market Muscat area ITU/BDT Arab Regional Workshop on Wireless Network Evolution Muscat-Oman, May 2004 ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-12 6

7 Case study Oman - Market forecasting: Permanent service Residential - connection at 64 Kbit/s Business - connection at 128 Kbit/s Market based on inhabitants / households per sq. km. and penetration from 2% to 10% ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-13 Case study Oman - Technology definition : ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-14 7

8 Case study Oman - Planning process : ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-15 Case study Oman - Planning wireless : BS coverage calculation Max server coverage ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-16 8

9 Case study Papua New Guinea : TELIKOM planning team Suburban / Rural market Port Moresby area ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-17 Case study Papua New Guinea Suburban and rural area : User per sector: 254 Sector payload: 18 Mbps Radius per BS: 3 KM Frequency of Operation: 2.3, 2.4 GHz Bandwidth: 3.5 MHz TELIKOM planning - wireless BB access ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-18 9

10 Case study Papua New Guinea Planning process : optimization of service areas ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-19 Case study Papua New Guinea Planning wireless : ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_

11 Case study Bamako - suburban area : Wireline xdsl and WiMAX overlay ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-21 Case study Bamako - Planning process : Technology specification Network Optimization ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_

12 Case study Bamako - Planning wireless : BS coverage calculation BS coverage calculation ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-23 Case study Bamako Wireless access network : ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_

13 Case study Bamako - Economic Analysis : Revenues, Costs, NPN ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-25 Requirements to services and customer segments definition and forecasting e.g. Permanent service Defined by required bandwidth or bit rate Broadband penetration forecasts for the residential market - EU y (e.g. no. of subscribers) Saturation limit Logistic or Gompertz' trend 0 Linear trend Exponential trend Time Beginning interval Average interval Saturation interval Forecasting of customer segments e.g. Residential market: Typical for rural and remote areas : Individual, family, commune services/users ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_

14 Requirements to the modeling of user locations Digital maps Geo data zones /areas = > = > DTM Elevation data DEM nodes / sites DBM ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_4-27 Requirements to the network optimization Location on nodes : Service areas : E.g. optimal placement of BS E.g. optimal service areas of a BS Non-Terrain Based Prediction Models : Scattering Freespace Propagation Diffraction Terrain Based Tropospheric Effects Atmosph. Absorption Loss f>10 GHz Rain Attenuation Reflection f>5ghz ITU-T/ITU-D Seminar 29 April 2 May 2007, Manama, Bahrain Session 9_

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