OPPORTUNITIES: TOUGH TIMES

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1 SK OPPORTUNITIES: BRIGHT LIGHTS IN TOUGH TIMES Saskatchewan Industrial & Mining Suppliers Association November 15, 2016 Regina

2 WELCOME BILL WHITELAW PRESIDENT & CEO JWN ENERGY 2

3 OVERVIEW JWN Energy is the most trusted provider of information, intelligence and insight about Canada s energy industry. Inform Connect Grow 3

4 YEAR IN REVIEW Saskatchewan experienced a significant decline in drilling activity in Rig Releases by PSAC Region in Saskatchewan SK1 SK2 2,000 SK1 1,800 Lloydminster 1,600 Saskatoon 1,400 1,200 SK3 1, SK2 Swift Current SK3 Regina Weyburn , Actual 2015 Actual 2016 YTD Estimate SK1 SK2 SK3 Sources: JWN Daily Oil Bulletin Data Central and PSAC 2017 Canadian Drilling Activity Forecast 4

5 YEAR IN REVIEW Crescent Point Energy, Teine Energy and Raging River Exploration are the top three operators (by wells drilled) in all of Saskatchewan this year. 383 Rig Releases 158 Rig Releases 155 Rig Releases The top three operators (and their respective rig releases) by PSAC region in 2016 are: SK1 SK2 SK3 Husky Oil Operations (35) Northern Blizzard Resources (31) Gear Energy (8) Crescent Point Energy (175) Teine Energy (158) Raging River Exploration (155) Sources: JWN Daily Oil Bulletin Data Central and PSAC 2017 Canadian Drilling Activity Forecast Crescent Point Energy (208) Spartan Energy (41) Torc Oil & Gas (22) 5

6 YEAR AHEAD PSAC 2017 Canadian Drilling Activity Forecast: Saskatchewan will surpass Alberta in the number of wells drilled in 2017 (due to shallower wells that can be developed more quickly). 2,500 2,000 1,500 1, Total Rig Releases in Alberta and Saskatchewan 1,229 1,044 1,900 1, YTD Estimate 2017 Forecast PSAC estimates 1,940 wells will be drilled in SK in (from the 2016 SK Forecast: 1,700) Alberta Saskatchewan Sources: JWN Daily Oil Bulletin Data Central and PSAC 2017 Canadian Drilling Activity Forecast 6

7 YEAR AHEAD 3,500,000 Total Metres of Wells Rig Releases in Saskatchewan 3,000,000 2,882,332 2,500,000 2,399,259 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, ,046 1,479,545 1,510,025 1,134,319 1,107,676 1,286,882 1,199, , , , , Forecast 2017 Forecast SK1 SK2 SK3 Sources: JWN Daily Oil Bulletin Data Central and PSAC 2017 Canadian Drilling Activity Forecast 7

8 YEAR AHEAD Heavy oil is moving out of the construction phase into the operation phase. Tremendous Maintenance, Repair and Operations (MRO) opportunities are ahead. Heavy Oil SAGD Projects The number of operating SAGD projects in SK s conventional heavy oil is now at 15 (up from 6 projects in Fall 2014). Source: JWN Oilsands Review Hunting for Opportunities: Following the Producer Spend in a Bear Oilsands Market info.evaluateenergy.com/mrospend 8

9 YEAR AHEAD Oil Price Uncertainty There still remains a great deal of uncertainty around the price of oil, and its implications (e.g. global competitiveness, impact on jobs). Market Access Uncertainty Much uncertainty remains around an ability to get Canadian product out to market. Carbon Tax Uncertainty The Federal government recently announced that provinces must adopt a carbon tax of $10 per tonne by 2017 ($50 per tonne in 2022) or introduce a comparable cap and trade system. Moreover, the carbon tax is going to affect Bakken competitiveness for Saskatchewan. This places great pressure on business and industry. 9

10 DIGITAL OILFIELD Digital Oilfield Outlook Report: Opportunities and Challenges for Digital Oilfield Transformation www2.jwnenergy.com/dof1 2. Digital Oilfield Outlook Report: Improving Productivity from the Field to the Fleet www2.jwnenergy.com/digitaloilfieldoutlook-2016-download 3. Digital Oilfield Outlook Report: Optimizing Operations to Unlock the Hidden Barrels www2.jwnenergy.com/digitaloilfieldreport-november

11 DIGITAL OILFIELD Source: JWN Digital Oilfield Outlook Report 11

12 KEY INSIGHTS Field Productivity (FP): Maximizing worker efficiency by providing wireless mobility that enables on-demand access to field data, engineering drawings and inventory and communication with centralized operations experts (e.g. field tablets and augmented reality). 12

13 KEY INSIGHTS Increased knowledge of digital oilfield technology offerings and benefits Field productivity and fleet management maturity and market readiness: Respondents perceived both to have matured and moved significantly along the adoption curve Top ranked benefits of field productivity: Increased labour productivity, Increased asset uptime, and Improved safety Top ranked benefits of field management: Reduced maintenance and repair costs, Improved safety, and Increased asset uptime Budget constraints: Biggest perceived barrier to implementation Cyber security: Decrease in respondents who felt cyber security could be a deal breaker in adoption of digital oilfield technologies 13

14 THE DOB The Daily Oil Bulletin (DOB) delivers essential news, data, comment and authoritative analysis of industry trends and opportunities. 14

15 REPORTS Hunting for Opportunities: Following the Producer Spend in a Bear Oilsands Market info.evaluateenergy.com/mrospend Digital Oilfield Outlook Report #1: Opportunities and Challenges for Digital Oilfield Transformation www2.jwnenergy.com/dof1 Digital Oilfield Outlook Report #2: Improving Productivity from the Field to the Fleet www2.jwnenergy.com/digitaloilfieldoutlook-2016-download Digital Oilfield Outlook Report #3: Optimizing Operations to Unlock the Hidden Barrels www2.jwnenergy.com/digitaloilfieldreport-november

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