Big Data Analytics with Oracle Advanced Analytics 12c and Big Data SQL

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1 Big Data Analytics with Oracle Advanced Analytics 12c and Big Data SQL Make Big Data + Analytics Simple Charlie Berger, MS Engineering, MBA Sr. Director Product Management, Data Mining and Advanced Analytics charlie.berger@oracle.com Faster than a Mouse: Turn Data Mining Strategy into Action Miguel Barrera, Director of Risk Analytics, Fiserv Inc. Julia Minkowski, Risk Analytics Manager, Fiserv Inc. Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

2 Data, data everywhere Growth of Data Exponentially Greater than Growth of Data Analysts! Data Analysis platforms requirements: Be extremely powerful and handle large data volumes Be easy to learn Be highly automated & enable deployment Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Oracle Confidential Internal/Restricted/Highly Restricted

3 Analytics + Data Warehouse + Hadoop Platform Sprawl More Duplicated Data More Data Movement Latency More Security challenges More Duplicated Storage More Duplicated Backups More Duplicated Systems More Space and Power Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

4 Vision Big Data + Analytic Platform for the Era of Big Data and Cloud Make Big Data + Analytics Simple Any data size, on any computer infrastructure Any variety of data, in any combination Make Big Data + Analytics Deployment Simple As a service, as a platform, as an application Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 5

5 Oracle Advanced Analytics Database Option Fastest Way to Deliver Scalable Enterprise-wide Predictive Analytics Key Features Scalable in-database data mining algorithms and R integration Powerful predictive analytics and deployment platform Drag and drop workflow, R and SQL APIs Data analysts, data scientists & developers Enables enterprise predictive analytics applications Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

6 Oracle Advanced Analytics Database Architecture Multi-lingual Component of Oracle Database SQL, SQL Dev/ODMr GUI, R Users Data & Business Analysts R programmers Business Analysts/Mgrs Domain End Users SQL Developer R Client OBIEE Applications Platform Oracle Database Enterprise Edition Oracle Advanced Analytics - Database Option SQL Data Mining & Analytic Functions + R Integration for Scalable, Distributed, Parallel in-database ML Execution Oracle Database 12c Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

7 Oracle Advanced Analytics Database Option Fastest way to deliver enterprise-wide predictive analytics Key Features Data remains in the Database Scalable machine learning algorithms (e.g. clustering, regression, decision Trees, SVM, PCA, NB, text, AR, etc.) implemented as SQL functions Parallelized SQL data mining functions, data preparation and execution of R open-source packages High-performance parallel scoring of SQL dm functions and R models Traditional Analytics Data Import Data Mining Model Scoring Data Prep. & Transformation Data Mining Model Building Data Prep & Transformation Data Extraction Hours, Days or Weeks Oracle Advanced Analytics avings Model Scoring Embedded Data Prep Model Building Data Preparation Secs, Mins or Hours Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

8 Oracle Advanced Analytics Database Option Fastest way to deliver enterprise-wide predictive analytics Key Features Lowest Total Cost of Ownership Leverage investment in Oracle tech stack Eliminate duplicate data & ETL Eliminate separate analytical servers Fastest way to deliver enterprisewide predictive analytics Analytical Database Applications Traditional Analytics Data Import Data Mining Model Scoring Data Prep. & Transformation Data Mining Model Building Data Prep & Transformation Oracle Advanced Analytics avings Data Extraction Hours, Days or Weeks Model Scoring Embedded Data Prep Model Building Data Preparation Secs, Mins or Hours Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

9 Oracle Advanced Analytics In-Database Data Mining Algorithms SQL & Function Algorithms Applicability Classification Logistic Regression (GLM) Decision Trees Naïve Bayes Support Vector Machines (SVM) & GUI Access Classical statistical technique Popular / Rules / transparency Embedded app Wide / narrow data / text Regression Linear Regression (GLM) Support Vector Machine (SVM) Classical statistical technique Wide / narrow data / text Anomaly Detection One Class SVM Unknown fraud cases or anomalies Attribute Importance A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 Minimum Description Length (MDL) Principal Components Analysis (PCA) Attribute reduction, Reduce data noise Association Rules Apriori Market basket analysis / Next Best Offer Clustering Hierarchical k-means Hierarchical O-Cluster Expectation-Maximization Clustering (EM) Product grouping / Text mining Gene and protein analysis Feature Extraction F1 F2 F3 F4 Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (NMF) Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) Text analysis / Feature reduction Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

10 Oracle Advanced Analytics How Oracle R Enterprise Compute Engines Work Other R packages R-> SQL Oracle Database 12c R R Engine Other R packages Oracle R Enterprise (ORE) packages Results Results Oracle R Enterprise packages 1 R-> SQL Transparency Push-Down 2 In-Database Adv Analytical SQL Functions 3 Embedded R Package Callouts R language for interaction with the database R-SQL Transparency Framework overloads R functions for scalable in-database execution Function overload for data selection, manipulation and transforms Interactive display of graphical results and flow control as in standard R Submit user-defined R functions for execution at database server under control of Oracle Database 15+ Powerful data mining algorithms (regression, clustering, AR, DT, etc._ Run Oracle Data Mining SQL data mining functioning (ORE.odmSVM, ORE.odmDT, etc.) Speak R but executes as proprietary indatabase SQL functions machine learning algorithms and statistical functions Leverage database strengths: SQL parallelism, scale to large datasets, security Access big data in Database and Hadoop via SQL, R, and Big Data SQL R Engine(s) spawned by Oracle DB for database-managed parallelism ore.groupapply high performance scoring Efficient data transfer to spawned R engines Emulate map-reduce style algorithms and applications Enables production deployment and automated execution of R scripts Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

11 You Can Think of Oracle Advanced Analytics Like This Traditional SQL Oracle Advanced Analytics - SQL & Human-driven queries Domain expertise Any rules must be defined and managed SQL Queries SELECT DISTINCT AGGREGATE WHERE AND OR GROUP BY ORDER BY RANK + Automated knowledge discovery, model building and deployment Domain expertise to assemble the right data to mine/analyze Analytical SQL Verbs PREDICT DETECT CLUSTER CLASSIFY REGRESS PROFILE IDENTIFY FACTORS ASSOCIATE Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

12 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 13

13 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 14

14 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 15

15 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 16

16 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 17

17 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 18

18 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 19

19 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 20

20 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 21

21 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 22

22 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 23

23 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 24

24 Predicting Behavior Identify Likely Behavior and their Profiles SQL Joins and arbitrary SQL transforms & queries power of SQL Transactional POS data Generates SQL scripts for deployment Inline predictive model to augment input data Unstructured data also mined by algorithms Consider: Demographics Past purchases Recent purchases Customer comments & tweets Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

25 SQL Developer/Oracle Data Miner 4.0 New Features R SQL Script Generation Deploy entire methodology as a SQL script Immediate deployment of data analyst s methodologies Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

26 Fraud Prediction Demo Automated In-DB Analytical Methodology drop table CLAIMS_SET; exec dbms_data_mining.drop_model('claimsmodel'); create table CLAIMS_SET (setting_name varchar2(30), setting_value varchar2(4000)); insert into CLAIMS_SET values ('ALGO_NAME','ALGO_SUPPORT_VECTOR_MACHINES'); insert into CLAIMS_SET values ('PREP_AUTO','ON'); commit; begin dbms_data_mining.create_model('claimsmodel', 'CLASSIFICATION', 'CLAIMS', 'POLICYNUMBER', null, 'CLAIMS_SET'); end; / -- Top 5 most suspicious fraud policy holder claims select * from (select POLICYNUMBER, round(prob_fraud*100,2) percent_fraud, rank() over (order by prob_fraud desc) rnk from (select POLICYNUMBER, prediction_probability(claimsmodel, '0' using *) prob_fraud from CLAIMS where PASTNUMBEROFCLAIMS in ('2to4', 'morethan4'))) where rnk <= 5 order by percent_fraud desc; POLICYNUMBER PERCENT_FRAUD RNK Automated Monthly Application! Just add: Create View CLAIMS2_30 As Select * from CLAIMS2 Where mydate > SYSDATE 30 Time measure: set timing on; Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

27 Oracle Advanced Analytics More Details On-the-fly, single record apply with new data (e.g. from call center) Select prediction_probability(clas_dt_1_2, 'Yes' USING 7800 as bank_funds, 125 as checking_amount, 20 as credit_balance, 55 as age, 'Married' as marital_status, 250 as MONEY_MONTLY_OVERDRAWN, 1 as house_ownership) from dual; Call Center Social Media Get Advice Branch Office R Likelihood to respond: Web Mobile Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

28 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 29

29 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 30

30 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 31

31 Introducing Oracle Big Data SQL Massively Parallel SQL Query across Oracle, Hadoop and NoSQL SQL SQL Offload Query to Data Nodes data subset Small data subset quickly returned Offload Query to Exadata Storage Servers Hadoop & NoSQL Oracle Database 12c Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 32

32 Manage and Analyze All Data SQL & Oracle Big Data SQL SQL Oracle Big Data Appliance Oracle Database 12c SQL JSON Store JSON data unconverted in Hadoop Store business-critical data in Oracle Data analyzed via SQL or R 33 Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

33 Responders More Data Variety Better Predictive Models Increasing sources of relevant data can boost model accuracy 100% 100% Model with Big Data and hundreds -- thousands of input variables including: Demographic data Purchase POS transactional data Unstructured data, text & comments Spatial location data Long term vs. recent historical behavior Web visits Sensor data etc. 0% Population Size Naïve Guess or Random Model with 20 variables Model with 75 variables Model with 250 variables Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

34 Oracle R Advanced Analytics for Hadoop Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. 35

35 Oracle Communications Industry Data Model Example Predictive Analytics Application Pre-Built Predictive Models Fastest Way to Deliver Scalable Enterprise-wide Predictive Analytics OAA s clustering and predictions available in-db for OBIEE Automatic Customer Segmentation, Churn Predictions, and Sentiment Analysis Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

36 New Features Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

37 Oracle Data Miner 4.1 New Features JSON Query node JSON Query node extracts BDA data via External Tables and parses out JSON data type and assembles data for data mining Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

38 Oracle Data Miner 4.1 New Features Oracle Data Miner Workflow API to Manage, Schedule and Run Workflows PL/SQL APIs to enable applications to execute workflows immediately or schedule them Oracle Scheduler for scheduling functionality ODMr repository views can be queried for project and workflow information Applications can monitor workflow execution and query generated results CONNECT DMUSER/DMUSER SET SERVEROUTPUT ON DECLARE v_jobid VARCHAR2(30) := NULL; v_status VARCHAR2(30) := NULL; v_projectname VARCHAR2(30) := 'Project'; v_workflow_name VARCHAR2(30) := 'build_workflow'; v_node VARCHAR2(30) := 'MODEL_COEFFCIENTS'; v_run_mode VARCHAR2(30) := ODMRSYS.ODMR_WORKFLOW.RERUN_NODE_PARENTS; v_failure NUMBER := 0; v_nodes ODMRSYS.ODMR_OBJECT_NAMES := ODMRSYS.ODMR_OBJECT_NAMES(); BEGIN v_nodes.extend(); v_nodes(v_nodes.count) := v_node; v_jobid := ODMRSYS.ODMR_WORKFLOW.WF_RUN(p_project_name => v_projectname, p_workflow_name => v_workflow_name, p_node_names => v_nodes, p_run_mode => v_run_mode, p_start_date => '31-DEC AM AMERICA/NEW_YORK', p_repeat_interval => 'FREQ=MONTHLY;BYMONTHDAY=-1', p_end_date => '31-DEC AM AMERICA/NEW_YORK'); DBMS_OUTPUT.PUT_LINE('Job: ' v_jobid); Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

39 Oracle R Advanced Analytics for Hadoop Algorithms and Functions Copyright 2015 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Oracle Internal - Proprietary 40

40 OAA Links and Resources Oracle Advanced Analytics Overview: OAA presentation Big Data Analytics in Oracle Database 12c With Oracle Advanced Analytics & Big Data SQL Big Data Analytics with Oracle Advanced Analytics: Making Big Data and Analytics Simple white paper on OTN Oracle Internal OAA Product Management Wiki and Workspace YouTube recorded OAA Presentations and Demos: Oracle Advanced Analytics and Data Mining at the YouTube Movies (6 + OAA live Demos on ODM r 4.0 New Features, Retail, Fraud, Loyalty, Overview, etc.) Getting Started: Link to Getting Started w/ ODM blog entry Link to New OAA/Oracle Data Mining 2-Day Instructor Led Oracle University course. Link to OAA/Oracle Data Mining 4.1 Oracle by Examples (free) Tutorials on OTN Take a Free Test Drive of Oracle Advanced Analytics (Oracle Data Miner GUI) on the Amazon Cloud Link to OAA/Oracle R Enterprise (free) Tutorial Series on OTN Additional Resources: Oracle Advanced Analytics Option on OTN page OAA/Oracle Data Mining on OTN page, ODM Documentation & ODM Blog OAA/Oracle R Enterprise page on OTN page, ORE Documentation & ORE Blog Oracle SQL based Basic Statistical functions on OTN BIWA Summit 16, Jan 26-28, 2016 Oracle Big Data & Analytics User Oracle HQ Conference Center Copyright 2014 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

41 Hands-on-Labs Customer stories, told by the customers Educational sessions by Practitioners and Direct from Developers Oracle Keynote presentations Presentations covering: Advanced Analytics, Big Data, Business Intelligence, Cloud, Data Warehousing and Integration, Spatial and Graph, SQL Networking with product management and development professionals Copyright 2014 Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

42 Faster than a Mouse: Turn Data Mining Strategy into Action Miguel Barrera, Director of Risk Analytics, Fiserv Inc. Julia Minkowski, Risk Analytics Manager, Fiserv Inc.

43 Risk Fiserv Electronic Payments We prevent $200M in losses every year using data to monitor, understand and anticipate fraud We manage risk for $30BB in transfers, servicing 2,500+ financial institutions, including the 27 of the top 30 banks in the US A department of 6 people, we operated in start-up mode until we were acquired in 2011 by Fiserv We build our risk models, supervise their installation & develop the next-generation of strategies for risk mitigation 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

44 What is special about Fraud Prevention? Fraud is performed by organized criminal groups using sophisticated technologies and logistics Hard to detect: target has low frequency (2 in 10,000) Misclassification is expensive $ Losses if you fail to detect fraud 60% increase in customer attrition if you miss-classify The environment changes fast, so you need to adapt quickly Fraud prevention is a great field for the application of predictive analytics 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

45 Evolution of Model Deployment 3 months to run & deploy Logistic Regression (using SAS) 1 month to estimate and deploy Trees and GLM 1 week to estimate, 1 week to install rules in online application 1 day to estimate and deploy Trees + GLM models (using Oracle Advanced Analytics) Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

46 Lessons we learned for our business Complex methods were hard to deploy because they required large investments in infrastructure and translation time Once we created good predictive attributes, simple methods (Trees, GLM) were almost as good as complex estimates (ensemble, gradient descent) 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

47 What to Do? Option 1: Get a bigger door (Netezza/ Hadoop / Pivotal ) + Option 2: Shrink the Elephant Install Simpler Algorithms 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

48 Cost Analytics Software + Infrastructure Looking for a cost-effective way to migrate our modeling requirements from other vendors to a scalable infrastructure: IBM/ Spark We stopped replicating data into other software tables We integrated all preprocessing for the models into the DB We installed OAA analytics for model development and integrated R during Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

49 Why we like Oracle Advanced Analytics: Accuracy The loss reduction from timely deployment (hours) compensates for the small increase of highly complex models Agility Scalability No data transfer needed (in-database) New opportunities to combine structured data with unstructured data The integration with our DB replication makes re-fit inexpensive The same algorithm can scale-up for all other clients 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

50 Data Miner Survey 2015 by Rexer Analytics While 6 out 10 data miners report the data is available for analysis within days of capture, the time to deploy the models takes substantially longer. For 60% of the respondents the deployment time will range between 3 weeks and 1year. Everyone forgets about deployment but is most important component! 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

51 In Fraud-Mitigation Speed is the Key How long can you wait to deploy a solution? 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

52 The Value of Time Traditional Analytics Oracle Advanced Analytics Data Import Data Mining Model Scoring Data Prep. & Transformation avings Data Mining Model Building Data Prep & Transformation Data Extraction Hours, Days or Weeks Model Scoring Embedded Data Prep Model Building Data Preparation Secs, Mins or Hours 2015, Oracle Corporation 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

53 Accuracy / Agility vs. Cost to Deploy Pick the best combination of: Less days to deployment High model accuracy Lower Cost Application Deploy (Days) Accuracy Total Cost SAS Server x5 ODM SAS Ba s e % Angos s % 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

54 Time to Fit & Deploy 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

55 How we have leveraged the Oracle-R interface Expand Data Exploration and Visualization 1. Chart and store the results of existing procedures in the DB 2. Run R matrices for visualization of variable densities Model Fitting 1. Transport R models and legacy code from desktops to the DB 2. All the model documentation stays in the DB and access is public Deployment 1. Run process directly from PL/SQL and visualize in the application 2. Call R models from stored procedures for scoring and direct action 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

56 OAA+ R Improves Exploration and Visualization Chart and store the results of existing procedures in the DB 1. We process routines in R and save images in DB 2. We removed the memory size constraint that made R-methods and plots impractical 3. Allowed to integrate leverage our DBAs and add them to the modeling team 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

57 Fit from SQL Developer and Store in DB Wrap the script around your existing R code, just like you would with an existing R function The server stores the script in a table that you can call and just assemble the code dynamically to fit your models The SQL access allow you to preprocess information and sub-set your data as part of SQL calls in screen or procedures, so you can seamlessly integrate into your exploration or production scoring processes Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

58 Store the results directly in the Database ggplot creates a chart, prints it to the output, then the query runs the script and retrieves the output as an image You can wrap a procedure and just run the analysis and store the output directly into a table in the DB 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

59 Store models, data and performance in the DB 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

60 Turning Data Mining Strategy into Action

61 Stakeholders: Everyone has different incentives Business Manager IT Manager Data Scientist Preserve Service Level Agreement Reduce Operational Risk Preserve Budget 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

62 Conflict of Interests? Cannot agree on success factors? Wonder why? 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

63 Managing the Quants Define clearly the objective and constraints Implement SMART* goal setting Get familiar with basic analytics concepts Establish a time-line for delivery then multiply x 2 Make sure you understand enough to explain to other executives you will champion this initiative and negotiate the budgets Source: Davenport, Tom (2013), Keep up with your quants", Harvard Business Review, Issue July-August Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

64 Take Care of Business (tips for Data Scientists) Communicate clearly business level information When and what is the expected result Present the key concept in 2 phrases Avoid technical language for communication If asked for more details, then present the How Provide a Business Dashboard Provide the $$ metrics profit/loss reduction Show the impact of algorithms deployed / provided Current vs. Historical Pick the right model - the model that maximizes the ROI Source: Davenport, Tom (2013), Keep up with your quants", Harvard Business Review, Issue July-August Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

65 Tracking Performance: Dashboard Our dashboards tracked the key performance metrics: Historical Trends for Fraud Rates and Losses (Business KPI) Percentage of Transfers affected by Risk Mitigation (Business KPI) % of population affected by policy and % of fraud prevented (KPI for Analytics) Fraud detection rates for rules installed (KPI for Analytics) 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

66 Key Takeaways On Fraud Modeling When choosing the tools for fraud management, speed is a critical factor Oracle Advance Analytics provided a fast and flexible solution for model building, visualization and integration with production processes The additional interface with R has allowed the group to leverage the skillset for both the analytics and data management team, accelerating adoption across our group Turning Strategy into Action Involving the key stakeholders early in the process maximizes your chance for success. Once you have aligned the incentives for the team, selecting the appropriate techniques, tools and infrastructure becomes much simpler For data scientists it is important to select their models and projects based on the expected business impact and to translate their findings into the relevant metrics 2014 Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

67 If you have further questions or comments, please contact: Fiserv, Inc. or its affiliates.

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