Making Forensic Attack Event/forensic Analysis as Simple as Possible and No Simpler

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1 Making Forensic Attack Event/forensic Analysis as Simple as Possible and No Simpler Sean Peisert, UC Davis Given at Schloss Dagstuhl July 22,

2 Electronic Voting Machines Need to be able to count ballots Need to be able to determine if and how a machine failed. Cannot allow a voter to indicate to an auditor who they are (vote selling) Cannot allow an auditor to determine who a voter is (voter coersion) This leads to a direct conflict. So how do we balance this? Add noise Enforce regularity 2 2

3 Existing Technical Solutions and the Insider Problem Access Control Intrusion Detection Anomaly-Based Detection Misuse-Based Detection Signature-Based Detection 3

4 Optimistic Access Control Security and usability are in conflict. Ideally, a system should block all forbidden actions and permit all allowed actions. (This is not feasible.) Policies can be binary (block access) or flexible (perform this countermeasure). Policies can be static (always do this) or dynamic (uh oh an intruder) Many possible countermeasures exist log checkpoint/replay make a particular partition read-only Many possible dynamic approaches exist Use an a standard IPS Incorporate external factors 4

5 So we need to focus on non-binary (e.g., post mortem analysis). 5

6 What is forensic Analysis? forensic analysis is the process of answering the questions: How did an event take place? What was the nature of the event? What were the effects of the event? forensic analysis applies to arbitrary events. This can include attacks, but is not limited to attacks (e.g., mistakes). forensic analysis is not intrusion detection. The goal of intrusion detection is to determine whether an attack occurred. 6 6

7 Transparent Society (abbreviated from David Brin s ideas) Anyone can know anything. There is no privacy. It s better if everyone knows everything than if a few people know everything. Watching the watchers R. Heinlein: privacy laws only make the bugs smaller. 7

8 Audit trails are... Is it is not well understood what forensic data is necessary, and there is no general solution to find that data. Data is often redundant, missing, vague, or misleading. Forensic analysis is worthless with bad data. We re wasting time, drawing bad conclusions, and making bad decisions. We need better data. A systematic approach to forensic logging gives better data and better analysis. 8 8

9 Current State Decent tools, but what problem do they solve? file & filesystem analysis (Coroner s Toolkit, Sleuth Kit, EnCase, FTK) syslog, tcpwrappers, Windows event logs BSM process accounting logs IDS logs packet sniffing 9 9

10 Forensics What do we need? What are we missing? 10 10

11 What are the assumptions for using current forensic tools? Often that there s only one person who had access to the machine. Often that the owner of the machine was in complete control (as opposed to malware). Probably a lot of other assumptions that we have no clue about

12 For forensics, we need to... go back to the beginning. understand what the purpose of the analysis is understand what data can answer that purpose, with X% accuracy, and under a set of Y assumptions log the data give tools and techniques to an analyst to analyze that data 12 12

13 Art & Science But computer science can only answer part of it. Forensic analysis is an art, but there are scientific components. What are they? Determining what to log Determining relevance of logged data what is relevant? what is not relevant? under what circumstances something might be relevant? Using the results to constrain and correlate data. This can be measured, systematized and automated

14 Logging Two options: Log everything (e.g., all non-deterministic events), and capture upon replay Log selectively Ad hoc Systematic (e.g., based on security policies) 14 14

15 A Systematic Approach is Better Given system S, that records data D, what intrusions ID can we understand with the data we have? Given intrusions I, what additional data DI do we need to record to analyze those intrusions? Given an arbitrary system defined by certain specifications, what information must be logged to detect violations of those specifications? 15 15

16 Laocoön Laocoön: A Model of Forensic Logging Attack graphs of goals. Goals can be attacker goals or defender goals (i.e., security policies ) Pre-conditions & post-conditions of events to accomplish goals. Method of translating those conditions into logging requirements. Logs are in a standardized and parseable format. Logged data can be at arbitrary levels of granularity

17 Goals Premise: compute resources are cheap, human time is expensive. Understand the scope of the possible data, analyses, and conclusions. Be able to define (or place bounds on) what necessary information is present and what is missing. Assuming all potentially relevant information is recorded (e.g., by extrospection of a virtual machine), be able to correlate and prune the information necessary for a human to analyze. 17

18 Attack Graphs Intruder goals can be enumerated. Vulnerabilities, attacks, and exploits cannot (or in many cases, we would patch them, or they would inhibit usability). start of attack intermediate steps (too many!) end goals of intruder a b c d Defender goals can also be enumerated. They are called security polices

19 Security Policies Legal policies (HIPAA, Sarbanes-Oxley) Formal policies (Bell-LaPadula, Chinese Wall) Actual metrics Severity (path length, time, difficulty) Attack Surface Metric Historically known vulnerabilities 19 19

20 Security Policies Security policies can be reverse-engineered or enforced, automatically. i.e., determine the current policy, and modify. Policies can be binary (block access) or flexible (log something). Policies can be static (always do this) or dynamic (uh oh an intruder) Assumptions get in the way of security. What are they? 20 20

21 Applying Security Policies Applying Laocoön to security policies guides where to place instrumentation and what to log. The logged data needs to be correlated with a unique path identifier. Branches of a graph unrelated to the attack can be automatically pruned. Avoid recording data where events can be recreated because they are deterministic

22 Pruning Paths start of attack intermediate steps end goals of intruder start of attack intermediate steps end goals of intruder A B C D A B C D 22 22

23 Pruning Paths 23

24 Pruning Paths Graph 62 Node 1 Node 3 Node 4 Node 5 24

25 Pruning Paths Graph 62 Node 1 Exploit Node 3 Node 4 Node 5 25

26 Complex Attack Graph a b c d 26 26

27 Summary Forensics, attack analysis, logging, and auditing are broken. We have developed methods to correlate and constrain data that needs to be analyzed. We have developed methods for logging based on known vulnerabilities. We have developed methods for integrating societal needs (e.g., law) with forensic logging and auditing capabilities

28 Thank you Questions? Sean Peisert 28

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