Fundamentals Drive the Market. Population Employment Money
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1
2 Fundamentals Drive the Market Population Employment Money
3 Population
4 Source: United States Census Bureau; Nevada State Demographer
5
6 Clark County Population 2.1 M 0.8 M '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: Clark County Comprehensive Planning
7 Clark County Population Year-Over-Year Growth 1.9% 2.7% 2.1% 1.5% 1.0% 8.1% 6.4% 6.5% 6.8% 7.3% 6.0% 6.3% 5.3% 5.3% 4.9% 5.6% 4.4% 4.5% 4.9% 3.9% 4.0% 3.0% -0.5% -3.4% '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: Clark County Comprehensive Planning
8 Why Do You Live in Southern Nevada? To find a job 26.0% Job transfer Born here 19.1% 20.8% To live near relatives 15.3% For a better lifestyle Like the area 8.2% 7.1% Retirement 3.6% Health reasons 0.0% Source: Las Vegas Perspective 2014, Community Survey
9 Employment
10 States With Slower Private Sector Job Growth '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14YTD Source: Nevada Department of Employment, Training & Rehabilitation
11 Source: United States Bureau of Labor Statistics
12 Las Vegas MSA Employment Trailing 12-Month Average 950, , , , , , , , , ,000 Peak to Present: -54,050 (-5.8%) '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: United States Bureau of Labor Statistics
13 Las Vegas MSA Employment Year-Over-Year Growth 10% 42 months of consecutive Y-O-Y growth 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: United States Bureau of Labor Statistics
14 Las Vegas MSA Employment Distribution Other Services 2.8% Government 11.0% Leisure & Hospitality 31.0% Construction 4.9% Manufacturing 2.4% Education & Health Services 9.5% Professional & Business Services 13.4% Information 1.1% Financial Activities 5.0% Trade, Transportation & Utilities 18.7% Source: United States Bureau of Labor Statistics
15 Employment Growth vs. Resort Openings Thousands Mirage Excalibur Hard Rock Monte Carlo NY-NY Stratosphere Palazzo Aliante Encore M Resort CityCenter Cosmopolitan SLS Delano (rebrand of THEhotel) Luxor MGM Grand Treasure Island Bellagio Mandalay Bay Venetian Paris Aladdin THEhotel Wynn Red Rock -110
16 Las Vegas MSA Employment Growth Peak to Present Education & Health Services 19,708 Trade, Transportation & Utilities 2,025 Professional & Business Services 1,300 Natural Resources & Mining (175) Other Services (1,000) Information (1,642) Government (1,792) Leisure & Hospitality (1,983) Manufacturing (5,242) Financial Activities Construction (59,508) (5,742) Net Job Loss: -54,050 Jobs Source: United States Bureau of Labor Statistics; Nevada Department of Employment, Training & Rehabilitation
17 Las Vegas MSA Employment Growth Past 12 Months Trade, Transportation & Utilities Professional & Business Services Education & Health Services Leisure & Hospitality Construction Government Manufacturing Financial Activities Other Services Natural Resources & Mining Information (50) 1,825 1, ,250 4,150 5,975 6,583 Net Job Growth: +25,592 Jobs Source: United States Bureau of Labor Statistics; Nevada Department of Employment, Training & Rehabilitation
18 Admin. & Support Svcs. Employment 70,000 65, % 60,000 55,000 50,000 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: United States Bureau of Labor Statistics
19 NV Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims Trailing 12-Month Average Thousands Peak to Present: -13,998 (-48.9%) '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: United States Department of Labor
20 Unemployment Rates 16% 14% 12% 10% United States Las Vegas MSA 8% 6% 4% 6.9% 6.1% 2% 0% '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '15 Source: United States Bureau of Labor Statistics
21 Money
22 Tourism Spending Investments
23 Money Tourism
24 Las Vegas Visitor Volume In Millions '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: Las Vegas Convention & Visitors Authority
25 17%
26 Leisure & Hospitality Sector The Mix of Consumers Has Shifted (Visitor Volume to Las Vegas in Millions) Convention Travelers Leisure Travelers (Non-Convention) -17.0% +9.1% '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: Las Vegas Convention & Visitors Authority
27
28 Percentage of Those Who Gambled 88% 87% 86% 87% 84% 85% 83% 80% 77% 72% 71% Source: Las Vegas Convention & Visitors Authority, Las Vegas Visitor Profile Study
29 Leisure & Hospitality Sector The Mix of Revenue Has Shifted (Strip Gaming Revenue in Billions) $0.9 $1.0 $1.0 Baccarat Revenue $0.9 $1.0 $1.2 $1.3 $1.4 $1.7 $1.6 $5.2 Gaming Revenue excl. Baccarat +50.9% -17.3% $5.7 $5.8 $5.3 $4.5 $4.5 $4.7 $4.8 $4.8 $4.8 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: Nevada Gaming Control Board
30 Casino Revenues LV Strip Area Gaming Revenue of $1 M or More FY 1994 FY 2004 FY 2014 Non- Gaming 44.8% Gaming 55.2% Non- Gaming 58.1% Gaming 41.9% Non- Gaming 63.2% Gaming 36.8% Total Revenue: $5.8 Billion Total Revenue: $11.7 Billion Total Revenue: $16.3 Billion Source: Nevada Gaming Control Board
31 Source: Nightclub & Bar Top 100; Green rows signify Las Vegas Nightclubs
32 States with Commercial Casinos 2004 Source: American Gaming Association State of the States: The AGA Survey of Casino Entertainment
33 States with Commercial Casinos 2014 Source: American Gaming Association State of the States: The AGA Survey of Casino Entertainment
34 States with Native American Casinos 2014 Source: American Gaming Association State of the States: The AGA Survey of Casino Entertainment
35 States with Commercial and/or Native American Casinos Source: American Gaming Association State of the States: The AGA Survey of Casino Entertainment
36 Global Casino Presence Source: Casino City, map represents countries with one casino or more
37 Money Consumer Spending
38 Clark County Taxable Retail Sales Trailing 12-Month Total Billions $40 $35 $30 Trough to Present: +$8.2 B (+29.4%) $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: Nevada Department of Taxation
39 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% Clark County Taxable Retail Sales Year-Over-Year Growth -30% '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: Nevada Department of Taxation
40 Clark County Taxable Retail Sales Growth Ten Largest Sectors; Peak-to-Present Food Services & Drinking Places 48.0% Clothing & Accessories Stores 31.9% General Merchandise Stores Motor Vehicle & Parts Dealers Miscellaneous Store Retailers 2.5% 2.0% 7.1% Electronics & Appliance Stores Food & Beverage Stores Rental & Leasing Services -5.4% -8.4% -2.1% Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods Bldg. Material & Garden Equip. & Supplies -22.2% -26.0% Source: Nevada Department of Taxation
41 Clark County Taxable Retail Sales Growth Ten Largest Sectors; Last 12 Months Miscellaneous Store Retailers 54.6% Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods Rental & Leasing Services Motor Vehicle & Parts Dealers Bldg. Material & Garden Equip. & Supplies Food Services & Drinking Places Food & Beverage Stores Clothing & Accessories Stores General Merchandise Stores Electronics & Appliance Stores 14.3% 10.4% 9.3% 8.2% 3.7% 2.7% 2.7% 1.9% 1.3% Total Sales: +8.1% Source: Nevada Department of Taxation
42 Lower Gas Price Impact: $750 Million
43 Money Major Investments
44 Summary of Major Investments Project Cost Status Est. Completion Date Resorts World Las Vegas $4.0 B Planned Fall 2017 (Phase I) LVCVA Global Business District $2.5 B Planned 8-10 years All Net Resort/Arena (former Wet n' Wild) $1.4 B Planned Early 2017 Union Village $1.2 B U/C Fall 2016 (Phase I) Switch $1.0 B U/C 1-3 Years MGM Resorts International/AEG Arena $375 M U/C April 2016 Wyndham Desert Blue $172 M U/C March 2015 Shops at Tropicana $100 M Planned Fall 2015 Mandalay Bay Convention Center Expansion $66 M U/C January 2016 Bellagio Room Remodel $55 M U/C February 2015 MGM Resorts International Entertainment District $50 M U/C April 2016 (Phase II) Bally's Grand Bazaar Shops $50 M U/C February 2015 Thomas & Mack Center Renovation $47 M Planned Spring 2016 Omnia Nightclub in Caesar's Palace $38 M U/C Spring 2015 Federal Justice Tower $35 M U/C 2015 Boulevard Mall Renovation $25 M U/C Fall 2016 Total (inclusive of all projects) $11.2 B +
45 Housing
46 New Home Closings 11,145 11,263 14,287 18,917 17,921 19,799 19,839 21,888 21,403 20,508 22,062 22,606 25,025 29,187 38,705 35,291 19,462 9,965 5,244 5,438 3, % 5,389 7,076 6,107 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: SalesTraq
47 New Home Pricing $310,000 $293,582 $290,000 $270,000 $250,000 $230,000 $210,000 $193,875 $190,000 $170, Source: SalesTraq
48 Existing (Resale) Home Closings 11,383 11,959 14,403 12,968 14,371 18,235 19,348 24,888 26,493 29,218 31,395 34,811 46,116 55,408 54,698 41,889 23,956 31,617 52,148 51,124 58, % 52,553 47,570 42,353 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: SalesTraq
49 Existing (Resale) Home Pricing $180,000 $172,580 $160,000 $140,000 $120,000 $100,000 $100,000 $80,000 $60, Source: SalesTraq
50 Mix of Properties Sold Transitions 2009 Sales Mix 2014 Sales Mix Auction 7% REO 56% Non-Distressed 27% Short Sale 10% REO 9% Auction 5% Short Sale 9% Non-Distressed 77% Source: SalesTraq
51 25 Months of Effective Inventory Southern Nevada Resale Market '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: SalesTraq
52 Notices of Breach and Default Clark County, NV Notices of Trustee Sale Clark County, NV Trustee Deeds (Foreclosures) Clark County, NV 10,000 9,000 8,000 Peak-to-Present: -8,157 10,000 9,000 8,000 Peak-to-Present: -6,244 10,000 9,000 8,000 Peak-to-Present: -3,356 7,000 7,000 7,000 6,000 6,000 6,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 4,000 4,000 4,000 3,000 3,000 3,000 2,000 2,000 2,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 0 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 0 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 0 '08'09'10'11'12'13'14 Source: Clark County Assessor s Office
53 Cash Closings (Resale Homes) 52.5% 59.4% 33.7% Source: SalesTraq
54
55 Nevada Homeowner s Equity Q Q Q Under Water 56.9% Positive 43.1% Under Water 32.2% Positive 67.8% Under Water 25.4% Positive 74.6% Source: CoreLogic
56 30% 25% Negative Equity by State Negative Equity: 25.4% (#1) Near Negative Equity: 3.1% (#16) 20% 15% National Average Negative Equity: 10.3% 10% 5% 0% NV FL AZ RI IL MD OH GA MI NJ NH WI CT DE VA CA NM AR SC ID MA MO AL TN NC MN IA NE KY WA OR DC PA UT KS OK CO NY IN NDHI AK MT TX LA* ME* MS* SD* VT* WV* WY* Source: CoreLogic, Q LA, ME, MS, SD, VT, WV & WY insufficient data
57 Homes Past Due or in Foreclosure
58 No. of Mortgages Past Due & In Foreclosure Nevada 160, , , ,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Source: Mortgage Bankers Association, National Delinquency Survey
59 Outlook
60
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