Delivering India. Unitech Wireless

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Transcription:

Unitech Wireless Stein-Erik Vellan, Managing Director Delivering India High market growth with huge potential Integrated go-to-market strategy Efficient and scalable operating model On track to secure funding Management is confident to deliver on business plan 2 1

Indian economy is still growing Outlook for sustained GDP growth of more than 7% Impact of global recession is limited Majority Congress government expected to provide political stability GDP growth projections (%) 7.9 8.0 8.0 8.1 7.9 6.1 6.3 7.8 5.5 6.6 5.3 5.0 India s benchmark stock market index has increased significantly YTD 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Current estimates Feb 09 estimates Source: Economist Intelligence Unit 3 Mobile growth continues Indian mobile market exceeding 500 million subscribers in 2009 Penetration level around 35% indicates significant growth remaining Average monthly net adds of 12 million from Q208 to Q209 Mobile status as a necessity in consumer purchase basket Mobile subscribers (million) 912 802 710 626 509 347 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 +35 427 +45 +32 +28 287 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209 Q209 Source: Telenor estimates 2009-2013, TRAI figures up to Q209 4 2

Competitive intensity Revenue market share (Q109) Currently 6-8 operators in most circles New launches from April 2009 to date: Aircel in 8 circles Tata DoCoMo in 7 circles MTS in 3 circles Idea in 2 circles New entrants pushing ARPU lower Churn remains high and may increase with new entrants 3% 1% 8% 29% 12% 11% 16% 20% SIM market share (Q109) Bharti 24% RCOM 19% Vodafone 18% BSNL 13% Idea Tata Aircel MTNL 11% 9% 5% 1% Revenues Q109 on a 4 quarter rolling basis Sources: Cellular Operators Association of India, TRAI Association of Unified Telecom Service Providers of India 5 5 ARPU decline has continued in 2009 ARPU already at the lower end of most Asian markets Spectrum scarcity and continued GDP growth will act as a buffer 400 350 ARPU trends (INR per month) Airtel Reliance Idea Vodafone Significant number of inactive and multiple SIMs ARPU decline expected to continue for next few years before stabilizing 300 250 200 150 Q1 08 Q1 09 2010 2011 Telenor original market projections 2012 2013 Sources: Cellular Operators Association of India, Association of Unified Service Providers of India, Pyramid research 6 3

Market revenue growth expected to remain robust Market revenue projections (INR bn) 1 702 CAGR 17% 2 004 2 249 2 550 1 145 1 309 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Sources: Cellular Operators Association of India, Association of Unified Service Providers of India, Pyramid research 7 Spectrum scarcity Spectrum scarcity continues, especially in dense urban areas Established operators face sever spectrum constraints in key cities Government to decide on methodology for allocation of further 2G spectrum 3G spectrum reserve price set at INR 35 bn for pan-indian licence 8 4

Integrated go-to-market strategy Distinct value proposition Higher ARPU customers: Offer best value for money Mass-market: Offer simple products at attractive prices Targeted and simple offerings Provide attractive offers based on customer insight and local tailoring Focus on selected markets where we can build a strong position Superior channel management Establish traditional reach at par with competitors soon after launch Create compelling value propositions for the distributor and retailer Customer lifecycle management Focus on micro segmentation Offers designed to stimulate ARPU and drive customer loyalty 9 Leveraging on proven Telenor concepts Advertising PR Web site Call centre Segment offers Value for money Campaigns Simplicity Pre-purchase experience Fair pricing Store Relevant communication Customer Co-branding Care Postpurchase experience Loyalty Purchase and Staff usage Living the brand experience Products Service minded Product quality Activation Packaging Modern & Fresh Convenience - web User experience 10 5

Unique operating model set up IT systems Pan-Indian passive sharing contract with Tata/Quippo for towers and transmission IT systems outsourced to WiPro Network installation and managed services contracts in all circles Empowered local leadership CCAO office Consultants External legal support HRO WiPro support Placement consultants Outsourced payroll WiPro: implementation, O& M TELECOM SYSTEMS INTEGRATOR Ericsson/Huawei/ Alcatel Lucent Turnkey implementation Managed services Tata/Quippo Build & maintain towers IN & VAS Marketing agencies Sales & distribution: Turn-key implementation Managed services Distributors and retailers 11 Organisation model based on 11 hubs # Hub HQ Circles covered 1 Chennai RoTN Chennai Kerala 2 Bangalore Karnataka 3 Hyderabad Andhra Pradesh 4 Kolkata Kolkata West Bengal Orissa 5 Lucknow UP (E) 6 Delhi (NCR) UP (W) (Inc. Uttaranchal) Delhi (Inc. NCR) Rajasthan 7 Patna Bihar (Inc. Jharkhand) 8 Mumbai Mumbai Maharashtra (Inc. Goa) 9 Guwahati Assam North East (6 States) 10 Chandigarh Punjab Himachal Haryana J&K 11 Indore Madhya Pradesh Gujarat Mumbai 8 10 Chandigarh 6 Delhi 11 Indore 2 3 Hyderabad Bangalore Lucknow 5 7 Patna 1 Chennai 4 Kolkata Hub leader in place 9 Guwahati 12 6

Significant differences across circles Metro circles A circles B circles C circles Punjab 55% Population: 28.3 Subscribers : 15.7 Delhi 94% Population: 25.6 Subscribers: 24.0 Kolkata 71% Population: 17.8 Subscribers: 12.7 J&K 37% Population: 11.4 Subscribers: 4.2 Haryana 43% Population: 24.6 Subscribers: 10.7 Mumbai 89% Population): 23.4 Subscribers: 20.8 Chennai 79% Population: 12.2 Subscribers: 9.6 H. Pradesh 55% Population: 6.7 Subscribers: 3.7 UP (East) 32% Population: 96.9 Subscribers: 31.0 Bihar 20% Population: 125.6 Subscribers: 25.0 UP (West) 20% Population : 106.5 Subscribers: 21.8 Assam 22% Population: 29.8 Subscribers: 6.5 M. Pradesh 24% Population: 93.5 Subscribers: 22.5 North East 28% Population: 13.5 Subscribers: 3.8 Rajasthan 39% Population: 65.7 Subscribers: 25.9 Gujarat 45% Population: 58.0 Subscribers: 26.0 A. Pradesh 45% Population: 76.2 Subscribers: 34.1 Orissa 26% Population: 40.0 Subscribers: 10.4 West Bengal 25% Maharashtra 39% Tamil Nadu 49% Population: 70.5 Population: 87.8 Population: 67.8 Subscribers: 17.9 Subscribers: 34.0 Subscribers: 32.9 Kerala 53% Karnataka 45% Population: 34.1 Population: 58.2 Subscribers: 18.2 Subscribers: 26.0 Source: TRAI, NCAER, Telenor estimates. All numbers in million as of Q109 13 Local micro market understanding will be critical Andhra Pradesh example Adilabad (Telengana) Population: 2.5m Pop. density: 154/sq km Adilabad Mobile penetration: 30-35% Largely Telugu speaking with some Urdu Nizamabad Karimnagar Some agriculture, but less than in the coastal belt People naturally linked Medak upwards, e.g. Maharashtra Rangareddy Greater Hyderabad Population: 7.3m Pop. density: 1,086/sq km Mobile penetration: 75-80% Capital of AP with a large business community Hub of AP and well connected to rest of region Hyderabad Kurnool Anantapur Mahbubnagar Cuddapah Nalgonda Prakasam Warangal Nellore Guntur Khammam Visakhapatnam (coastal belt) Srikakulam Population: 3.8m Vizianagaram Pop. density: 343/sq km Mobile penetration: 45-50% Vishakhapatnam Often referred to as the wealth of Andhra Very economically active in agriculture Large Hindu population with Telugu as main language Krishna West Godavari East Godavari Chittoor (Rayalaseema) Population: 3.7m Pop. density: 244/sq km Mobile penetration: 30-35% Market center for various produce and industries Considerable tourism due to its famous temples Mixed population with Telugu as the predominant language Chittoor Source: India 2001 census, Telenor estimates 14 7

Targeting 8% pan-indian market share Targeting both churners and new subscribers Large share of net adds first years due to low churn from own subs Significant differences in market share between circles Sub-market ARPU first years UW pan-indian market share 10 % 8 % 6 % 4 % 2 % 0 % Share of gross adds Market share 2009 2018 15 Organisation in place and launch well underway More than 8,500 BTS sites installed More than 900 people on-board Man. Director Stein-Erik Vellan More than 1,200 distributors shortlisted EVP Marketing David Meneghello EVP Finance Johan Lindgren EVP Operations Rohit Chandra Major vendor and outsourcing contracts signed EVP Corp. Affairs Rajiv Bawa EVP HR Kerstin Thulin EVP Hubs Akash Das Ann Hofvander Stefan Kereza Allan Russel Olav Sande Dushyanthan V 16 8

Financing on track INR 61 bn from Telenor Group in 2009 No more equity assumed 67/33 ownership long term Bridge facility of INR 50 bn from State Bank of India Work on long term project financing started 17 Financial outlook and long term ambitions Capex of INR 25-32 bn and EBITDA loss of INR 11-14 bn in 2009 EBITDA breakeven in approximately three years from launch OCF* breakeven in approx five years from launch Accumulated OCF loss of INR 155 bn before breakeven Long term ambition of 30% EBITDA margin and 20% OCF margin Outlook for 2009 (INR bn) EBITDA Capex 39-46 25-32 (11-14) Old plan (Feb 2009) (14-18) Current outlook * OCF: Operating cash flow (EBITDA-capex) 18 9

Summary We have the right formula to win and are building the necessary tools We are on track for launch in Q4 2009 Highly committed management team Focus on delivering on the business plan and creating shareholder value 19 10