THE FUTURE OF THE UTC TIME SCALE

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THE FUTURE OF THE UTC TIME SCALE 20 th Meeting of the CCTF 18 September 2015 R.L. Beard Chairman, ITU-R Working Party 7A

The Future of The UTC Time Scale Question ITU-R 236/7 (2000) 1. What are the requirements for globally-accepted time scales for use both in navigation and telecommunications systems, and for civil time-keeping? Accuracy, Stability, Based on the SI Second Uniformity, Accessibility Reliability Availability Civil / National Timekeeping 2. What are the present and future requirements for the tolerance limit between UTC and UT1? UT1 UTC Tolerance of 0.9 seconds Could a Greater Tolerance be Accommodated? 3. Does the current leap second procedure satisfy user needs, or should an alternative procedure be developed? Availability of Leap Second Information for Users Alternatives Used (Establishing System Independent Time) Relationship of Telecom & NAVSAT System Internal Time to Time Scales

ITU-R TF.460-6 STANDARD-FREQUENCY AND TIME-SIGNAL EMISSIONS (1970-1974-1978-1982-1986-1997-2002) To maintain worldwide coordination of standard frequency and time signals Disseminate standard frequency and time signals in conformity with the SI second Continuing need for UT immediate availability to an uncertainty of 0.1 second All standard-frequency and time-signal emissions conform as closely as possible to UTC Time signals should not deviate from UTC by more than 1 ms; that the standard frequencies should not deviate by more than 1 part in 10 10 TAI - International reference timescale of atomic time based on SI second as realized on a rotating geoid. Continuous scale from origin 1 Jan 1958 UTC - Basis of coordinated dissemination of standard frequency and time signals. Corresponds exactly in rate with TAI but differs by integral number of seconds. UTC scale adjusted by insertion or deletion of seconds to ensure agreement with UT1 DUT1 - Dissemination to include predicted difference UT1 UTC (values given by IERS in integral multiples of 0.1 s) Leaps Seconds may be introduced as the last second of a UTC month December and June Preferred, March and September second choice

RA and WRC-12 Results UTC as defined in ITU-R TF460 is incorporated into the Radio Regulations by reference. Proposed Modification to ITU-R TF460-6 discussed at Radiocommunication Assembly and forwarded to World Radiocommunication Conference (WRC- 12) WRC-12 decision contained in Resolution 653 which invited further study to be reported on the agenda for its next meeting in 2015 Resolution 653 recognized that a change in the reference time-scale may have operational and therefore economic consequences and invited ITU-R to study issues related to the possible implementation of a continuous reference time-scale (including technical and operational factors) Agenda item 1.14 : to consider the feasibility of achieving a continuous reference time-scale, whether by the modification of coordinated universal time (UTC) or some other method, and take appropriate action, in accordance with Resolution 653

WRC-12 Actions Resolution 653 calls for notification of other organizations of Agenda item 1.14 (CGPM, CCTF, BIPM, IERS, BIPM and others) Director of Radiocommunications Bureau to include presentation on the topic in Radiocommunications World Seminars Topic to be included in regional seminar being held in Ecuador (2012) and other international forums A Workshop on the Future of the UTC Time Scale co-hosted by the ITU-R and BIPM was help at the ITU in Geneva in 2013 (Presentations available on ITU Website http://www.itu.int/itu- R/go/itu-bipm-workshop-13 Invited administrations to participate in studies by submitting contributions to ITU-R

WRC-15 Preparation Conference Preparatory Meetings (CPM) are held to compile final text for WRC agenda items CPM 15-1 (20-21 February 2012) begin the process Designated ITU-R Working Party 7A as the responsible group to prepare text Working Party 7A to conduct further studies into: Feasibility of achieving a continuous reference time-scale for dissemination by radiocommunication systems Issues related to possible implementation of a continuous reference timescale including technical and operational factors Working Party 7A prepared CPM Text for Agenda Item 1.14 CPM 15-2 (23 March 2 April 2015) Compiled final report CPM Text for WRC- 15

CPM TEXT PREPARATION Working Party 7A exhausted technical considerations and studies Surveys requested data from administrations on Leap Second Events Two requests were made Response from International groups, IUGG, IAU, IERS, URSI, IEC and ISO was mixed. Consensus not reached on other than technical grounds

Methods to Satisfy the Agenda Item WRC-15 AGENDA ITEM 1.14 Method A1/A2 Discontinue Leap Seconds Not earlier that 5 years after date of entry of Final Acts of WRC (with and without change of Name) Method B - Retain UTC as currently defined and introduce a continuous reference atomic time-scale based on TAI with an offset with respect to UTC to be broadcasted on an equal basis. Method C1/C2- No change in definition of UTC as specified in Recommendation ITU-R TF.460-6, which will remain the only time-scale which is broadcast in order to avoid any confusion. Clarification/definition of method to derive TAI from UTC be established. Method D -No change to the Radio Régulations as the results of studies are inconclusive.