From growth to quality growth: the Kent and Medway Growth and Infrastructure Framework Katie Stewart Director, Environment Planning and Enforcement Kent County Council RTPI Planning and Infrastructure 21 September 2018
Setting the scene
GIF: the context
With significant population growth
comes significant housing demand With Government s proposed OAN methodology: Around an additional 23,600 homes to 2031
from a district perspective
and pressure for commercial space 900,000 800,000 700,000 600,000 Industrial demand and supply 500,000 400,000 Industrial Demand (sm2) Industrial supply (sm2) 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 600,000 500,000 Office demand and supply 400,000 300,000 Office dmeand (sm2) Office supply (sm2) 200,000 Historic supply and demand in Kent (Locate in Kent source) 100,000 0 Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17
Plus, pressure from London
against a backdrop of
a fragmented planning system
a mixed picture of viability
and a virtual infrastructure maze
or looked at a different way Department for Transport Department for CLG Highways England Network Rail Homes and Communities Agency National Transport for the Southeast Southeast Local Enterprise Partnership Thames Gateway Strategic Partnership Regional Kent and Medway Economic Partnership Business Advisory Board Visit Kent Locate in Kent Countywide Kent Leaders Kent Chiefs Kent County Council Medway Council East Kent Regeneration Board West Kent Partnership Thames Gateway Kent Partnership Sub-county Thanet Ashf d Dover Shep Cant' 7oaks TWells T&M Maid Gravesh Swale Dartf d District
A way forward
A strategic framework
= The growth challenge
How that cost is calculated A mix of project lists compiled by local planning authorities and infrastructure providers, strategies and theoretical modelling Backed by an in-house Single Forecasting System and Single Monitoring System
Who s responsible With Crossrail and Lower Thames Crossing Without Crossrail and Lower Thames Crossing Who s responsible for infrastructure delivery? Where s the funding coming from?
The specific gaps
Transport infrastructure
Primary school capacity
Flood defences
Green infrastructure
Water supply capacity
Energy capacity
Sub county assessments
Sub county assessments
And looking beyond
Understanding the challenges and opportunities of 2050, and translating that to how we plan and deliver infrastructure today The GIF: 2050
Looking back to 1984
The growth challenge for Kent and Medway in 2050
Climate challenge Sea level change relative to 1990 (in cm)
A growing and ageing population
The increasing pace of technology
translating to infrastructure
The potential implications of Brexit
GIF: 2050 scenarios Hot House Strong economic growth Severe climate challenge impacts Fertile Ground Strong economic growth Moderate climate challenge impacts Withering Growth Weaker economic growth Severe climate challenge impacts Lying Fallow Lower economic growth Moderate climate challenge impacts
Building future proofing into delivery A multi-functional approach to infrastructure Taking a more sustainable solution to providing energy Prioritising digital connectivity and engaging with emerging technology
GIF: finding solutions GIF Action Plan 1. Defining the investment gap 2. Pioneering a place-based approach 3. Exploring innovation in financing the funding gap 4. Commercial supply and demand 5. Future proofing Kent and Medway s infrastructure 6. Creating well designed communities 7. Collaborating with infrastructure providers 8. Creating an increasingly robust evidence base
Outcomes to date Influence and lobby Government Attracting investment Utilities dependency mapping Engaging with key infrastructure providers Engaging with Local Authorities Joint Housing Prospectus
GIF: the future A more systematic approach to infrastructure data collection Further lobbying of Government The Digi-GIF
Thank you Katie Stewart katie.stewart@kent.gov.uk