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Transcription:

Financial Results Presentation Q3 FY15: Quarter ended 31 December 2014 12 February 2015 Chua Sock Koong, Group CEO 1

Forward looking statement important note The following presentation contains forward looking statements by the management of Singapore Telecommunications Limited ("Singtel"), relating to financial trends for future periods, compared to the results for previous periods. Some of the statements contained in this presentation that are not historical facts are statements of future expectations with respect to the financial conditions, results of operations and businesses, and related plans and objectives. Forward looking information is based on management's current views and assumptions including, but not limited to, prevailing economic and market conditions. These statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those in the statements as originally made. Such statements are not, and should not be construed as a representation as to future performance of Singtel. In particular, such targets should not be regarded as a forecast or projection of future performance of Singtel. It should be noted that the actual performance of Singtel may vary significantly from such targets. S$ means Singapore dollars and "A$" means Australian dollars unless otherwise indicated. Any discrepancies between individual amounts and totals are due to rounding. 2

Agenda 01 Overview 02 Business Units 03 Group Outlook 04 Supplementary Information 3

Q3FY15: Higher earnings on strong core business and associates performance Q3FY15 Operating revenue S$4,427m EBITDA S$1,229m Regional Mobile Associates pre-tax earnings 2 S$646m Underlying net profit S$970m Net profit S$970m % change (reported) % change (constant currency) 1 +4% +7% -3% Stable +28% +27% +7% +8% +11% +12% Explanation (constant currency) Growth momentum in mobile data services Significant mobile acquisition and recontract activities drove higher equipment sales and mobile revenues Include revenue from recent digital acquisitions Impact of higher customer acquisition & recontract costs in Singapore Contributions from all associates grew Robust mobile data take-up Strong core performance offset adverse currency impact and operating losses from digital investments Free cash flow S$669m +18% +20% Increased operating cashflows from Singapore & Australia 1. Assuming constant exchange rates from corresponding periods in FY2014. 2. Exclude exceptional items. 4

Foreign exchange movements Currency Exchange rate 1 Quarter ended 31 December 2014 Increase/ (decrease) against S$ 9 months ended 31 December 2014 Exchange rate 1 Increase/ (decrease) against S$ YoY QoQ YoY 1 AUD 2 1.1073 (4.4%) (4.3%) 1.1434 (3.5%) IDR 9,434 (1.9%) - 9,383 (11.1%) INR 47.8 3.4% 1.0% 48.0 0.2% PHP 34.6 0.6% 1.1% 35.0 (2.6%) THB 25.3 0.4% 1.2% 25.6 (3.6%) 1. Average exchange rates for the quarter and 9 months ended 31 December 2014. 2. Average A$ rate for translation of Optus operating revenue. 5

Group Q3FY15 highlights Group Consumer Group Enterprise Group Digital Life New brand identity and promise - Let's make everyday better SG: Significant customer acquisitions and recontracting with new smart phone launches SG: Strengthened news and children s content with CNN and Cartoon Network AU: Mobile momentum continues with 96k new handset customers AU: Concluded revised agreement with NBN Co delivering comparable NPV Gained momentum in G-Cloud with adoption by 6 additional government agencies Expanded cloud capabilities with acquisition of Ensyst Established HOOQ to offer OTT video service in Asia Amobee: Completed integration of Adconion and Kontera 6

Q3FY15: Robust earnings growth 3 months to 9 months to Dec 14 Dec 13 YoY % Dec 14 Dec 13 YoY % Operating revenue 4,427 4,263 3.8% 12,884 12,720 1.3% EBITDA 1,229 1,264 (2.8%) 3,817 3,858 (1.1%) - margin 27.8% 29.6% 29.6% 30.3% Associates pre-tax earnings 1 683 531 28.7% 1,960 1,621 21.0% EBITDA & share of associates pre-tax earnings 1,896 1,803 5.2% 5,750 5,493 4.7% Depreciation & amortisation (541) (533) 1.5% (1,619) (1,599) 1.2% Net finance expense (69) (34) 107.2% (165) (138) 19.6% Profit before EI and tax 1,285 1,236 4.0% 3,966 3,756 5.6% Tax (314) (326) (3.5%) (1,133) (1,062) 6.7% Underlying net profit 970 910 6.6% 2,830 2,690 5.2% Exceptional Items (post tax) * (37) N.M. 13 64 (79.2%) Net profit 970 872 11.2% 2,843 2,754 3.2% 1. Excluding exceptionals. * Denotes less than +/- S$0.5M 7

Group free cash flow (S$m) Solid financial position Free cash flow S$2,585m Balance sheet 2,381 +9% 2,585 Net debt 1 S$7.9b 951 828 580 642 973 992 Singapore Up S$123m Australia Up S$62m Assoc div Up S$19m Net debt gearing 2 24.9% Net debt: EBITDA & share of 1.0x associates pre-tax profits 3 EBITDA & share of associates pre-tax profits: Net interest expense S&P s rating A+ Moody s rating 29.2x Aa3 9MFY14 9MFY15 1. Net debt is defined as gross debt less cash and bank balances adjusted for related hedging balances. 2. Net debt gearing ratio is defined as the ratio of net debt to net capitalisation. Net capitalisation is the aggregate of net debt, shareholders funds and minority interests. 3. Net debt to EBITDA and share of associates pre-tax profits is calculated on an annualised basis. 8

Agenda 01 Overview 02 Business Units 03 Group Outlook 04 Supplementary Information

Consumer: Sustained growth momentum in Singapore & Australia Consumer S$m +4% 2,668 2,762 Singapore S$m +7% 607 651 29.7% 28.9% EBITDA margin +1% 158 +3% 163 792 799 Q3FY14 Q3FY15 Q3FY14 Q3FY15 Revenue EBITDA Q3FY14 Q3FY15 Q3FY14 Q3FY15 Revenue EBITDA Significant revenue growth in Singapore and Australia Singapore revenue boosted by higher equipment sales and TV revenues Australia revenue accelerated on robust customer gains and higher ARPU Weaker AUD EBITDA growth impacted by higher handset subsidies in Singapore Australia A$m +7% 1,779 1,907 550 +6% 580 Q3FY14 Q3FY15 Q3FY14 Q3FY15 Revenue EBITDA 10

Singapore Consumer: Equipment sales and mobile data growth offset declines in voice roaming, local voice & SMS Singapore Consumer Revenue S$m +7% 607 651 Consumer Home Revenue S$m 483 $123 488 488 492 492 3 $127 $133 $134 $131 Customers 000 322 328 Mobile Comms Singtel TV 125 133 Fixed 1 Fibre ADSL 159 189 Others 2 Fixed Voice Q3FY14 Mobile revenue up 2% Q3FY15 Steady growth in data & postpaid subscription revenues Lower voice roaming, local voice & SMS 1. Fixed services revenue comprises internet, national telephone and Singtel TV. 2. Others revenue comprises sale of equipment, international telephone and other services. 3. Households who subscribe to 3 or 4 services comprising Broadband, TV, Fixed Voice and Mobile Q3FY14 Q4FY14 Q1FY15 Q2FY15 Q3FY15 Customers on triple/ quad play services FIFA 2014 World Cup Household ARPU up 8% to S$60 Higher content upgrades Broadband revenue up 1% YoY Upgrades to higher speeds and continued migration from copper to fibre 11

Australia Consumer: Accelerating revenue growth Australia Consumer Revenue A$m 1,779 449 215 450 292 238 253 876 912 Q3FY14 +7% 1,907 Q3FY15 Fixed Mobile Equipment Mobile Incoming Service Mobile Outgoing Service Outgoing mobile service revenue up 4% 96k net adds in mobile handsets 1 Blended ARPU up 5% Data revenues up 12% 4G 2,763 4G sites deliver 80% national population coverage 2 Turned on 700 MHz at over 1,200 metro and regional sites 3.1m 4G handsets on the network (34% penetration) Mobile service revenue up 5% Outgoing service revenue up 4% Strong data growth EBITDA up 6% Driven by strong mobile service revenue growth 1. Exclude mobile broadband. 2. As at 31 January 2015. 12

Regional Mobile Associates: mobile data and customer growth across major associates Q3FY15 PBT 1 (S$m) % Change (S$) % Change (local currency) Highlights Regional Mobile 646 +28% - Up 27% in constant currency Strong contributions from Airtel India and Telkomsel Continued data and customer base growth Telkomsel 273 +28% +30% Airtel 202 +37% +32% AIS 113 +7% +6% Globe 57 +48% +47% Revenue growth across data, voice and digital services Lower O&M and other cost of service India: Higher data traffic and blended ARPU Africa: Mobile data and Airtel Money grew in local currency terms Africa: Earnings impacted by weaker currencies and increased network and customer service costs Higher mobile data and smartphone penetration Regulatory cost savings partially offset by higher depreciation on 3G investments Growth in mobile customers and strong adoption of data services Lower depreciation charges 1. Exclude exceptional items. 13

Group Enterprise: Leadership maintained in a price-competitive environment Group Enterprise (ex fibre contribution) S$m +3% 1,559 1,508 Singapore S$m 1,071 +6% 1,140 33.0% 31.1% -3% EBITDA margin 407 Stable 407 498 1 1 Include A$10m write-back of provisions; Excluding the write-back, Group Enterprise EBITDA is stable. 485 Q3FY14 Q3FY15 Q3FY14 Q3FY15 Revenue EBITDA Robust revenue growth Solid ICT and core carriage revenues in Singapore Higher G-Cloud adoption and greater demand for carriage services Growth in Australia mobile business Lower EBITDA margin with increased mix of ICT revenue Australia A$m Q3FY14 Q3FY15 Q3FY14 Q3FY15 Revenue EBITDA 377 +1% 379 79 1-11% 70 Q3FY14 Q3FY15 Q3FY14 Q3FY15 Revenue EBITDA 14

Group Digital Life: Building scale with acquisitions and partnerships Group Digital Life S$m +128% 118 Launched INK, our proprietary cross device tracking technology 52 38 104 Amobee Digital marketing revenue grew 178% Launched Real Moment Marketing: Enhancing digital advertising effectiveness with Kontera s real time brand intelligence 14 13 Others 1 Q3FY14 EBITDA Q3FY15 capabilities Q3FY14 Q3FY15 Revenue -36-29 -7-20 -43-49 +16% Digital marketing revenue growth from new acquisitions Operating losses increased with investments in digital marketing and video and integration costs Service roll out in the Philippines with Globe in late February India, Indonesia and Thailand to follow 1. Include revenues from e-commerce, mobile banking payments, concierge and hyper-local services, TV & internet advertising revenue etc. 15

Agenda 01 Overview 02 Business Units 03 Group Outlook 04 Supplementary Information

Outlook 1 Group Revenue and EBITDA excluding acquisitions to be stable Capital expenditure to be approx. S$2.3b Approx. S$900m for Singapore Approx. S$1.4b for Australia Free cash flow 2 to be stable Ordinary dividends from Regional Mobile Associates to be approx. S$1.0b Core Business 3 Group Digital Life 5 Revenue to be stable EBITDA to increase by low single digit level Singapore Mobile Communications revenue to increase by mid single digit level Australia Mobile Service revenue to increase by low single digit level (updated) Group ICT 4 revenue to increase by low single digit level Revenue to exceed S$300m Negative EBITDA to increase to approximately S$200 S$250m 1.Based on average exchange rates during FY14. 2.Exclude spectrum payments of approx. S$900m and associates dividends. 3.Comprises Singapore Consumer, Australia Consumer and Group Enterprise. 4. Comprises Managed Services and Business Solutions. 5. Include acquisition of Adconion and Kontera 17

Agenda 01 Overview 02 Business Units 03 Group Outlook 04 Supplementary Information

Singapore Mobile Mobile revenue up 2% S$533m Mobile revenue (S$m) $525 508 518 523 $533 Mobile customers ( m) 4G customers up 181k QoQ 2.19 2.20 2.22 2.24 2.26 1.77 1.78 1.79 1.83 1.83 26k 1k Tiered data plans 59% Postpaid customers on tiered plans 1 1,661k Tiered plans customers who exceed data bundles 21% Postpaid ARPU down 3% S$76 1ppt due to dilution effect of data-only SIMs and mobile share plans 2 2ppts due to lower voice roaming and inter-operator SMS Q3FY14 Q4FY14 Q1FY15 Q2FY15 Q3FY15 Prepaid Postpaid Revenue Postpaid SAC 3 up 4% S$488 1. If excluding data-only SIMs, 72% of postpaid customers were on tiered plans. 2. Data-only SIMs refer to wireless broadband plans excluding voice. Mobile share plans refer to supplementary lines which share data, voice & text allowances of postpaid plans. 3. Blended acquisition and retention cost per postpaid customer. 19

Singapore Fixed Singtel TV revenue up 21% S$55m Singtel TV ARPU S$39 Singtel TV Revenue (S$m) 63 63 Customers ( 000) Up 23% $46 50 $55 Singtel TV churn Improved from 1.6% 1.0% Fibre customers 2 Up 21k QoQ 390k 418 418 418 1 419 420 Q3FY14 Q4FY14 Q1FY15 Q2FY15 Q3FY15 Residential Singtel TV Customers Singtel TV revenue Singtel TV revenue excluding 2014 FIFA World Cup 1. Exclude 19k cross-carriage customers who subscribed to 2014 FIFA World Cup only. 2. Refers to residential and corporate subscriptions to broadband internet services using optical fibre networks. 20

Australia Mobile Mobile revenue up 9% A$1,534m Net adds Mobile revenue (A$m) 1,403 1,296 1,323 1,393 Mobile customers (mn) 1,534 Handset plans Mobile broadband Postpaid +100k -112k 1.39 1.36 1.32 1.25 1.14 4.44 4.45 4.46 4.51 4.55 Handset ARPU - up 1% Churn SAC 1 - down 17% A$62 1.4% A$198 3. 60 3. 62 3. 63 3. 64 3. 70 Q3FY14 Q4FY14 Q1FY15 Q2FY15 Q3FY15 Prepaid Handset Postpaid Handset Mobile BB Mobile Revenue Prepaid Handset ARPU - up 8% SAC A$27 A$13 1. Blended acquisition and retention cost per customer 21

Trends in constant currency terms 1 3 months to Dec 14 Q3FY15 (reported S$m) YoY % change (reported S$) YoY % change (at constant FX) 1 Group revenue 4,427 3.8% 6.6% Group reported NPAT 970 11.2% 12.4% Group underlying NPAT 970 6.6% 7.8% Optus revenue 2,535 1.3% 6.0% Regional Mobile Associates pre-tax earnings 2 646 27.6% 27.1% 9 months to Dec 14 9M FY15 (reported S$m) YoY % change (reported S$) YoY % change (at constant FX) 1 Group revenue 12,884 1.3% 3.4% Group reported NPAT 2,843 3.2% 6.7% Group underlying NPAT 2,830 5.2% 8.8% Optus revenue 7,439 (1.9%) 1.6% Regional Mobile Associates pre-tax earnings 2 1,869 20.1% 26.4% 1. Assuming constant exchange rates from corresponding periods in FY2014. 2. Based on the Group s share of associates earnings before exceptionals. 22

Disclaimer: This material that follows is a presentation of general background information about Singtel s activities current at the date of the presentation. The information contained in this document is intended only for use during the presentation and should not be disseminated or distributed to parties outside the presentation. It is information given in summary form and does not purport to be complete. It is not to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. This material should be considered with professional advice when deciding if an investment is appropriate.