Atomic Object Grand Rapids, Michigan, USA.

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Transcription:

Atomic Object Grand Rapids, Michigan, USA atomicobject.com @atomicobject I m Carl Erickson, co-founder and President of Atomic Object I thought it might be good to give you a little context about my company before I start talking...

We re a 30 person software product development firm located in Grand Rapids We re in our tenth year of operation...

We all work from our building on Wealthy Street just outside downtown...

Health Care Manufacturing City of Grand Rapids Circle Builder Enterprise Web & Mobile we practice in web, mobile and embedded and we build products for clients from the Fortune 500 to startups across many industries today I m talking about a complicated subject...

Crafting Your Mobile Strategy Carl Erickson, PhD Atomic Object Mobile is a very complicated space right now A recent Forrester study found only 1/3 of companies had a mobile strategy And only 2% of the firms surveyed expected to generate revenue or new customers from their mobile applications Things are changing very rapidly on the technology front, people and companies are still trying to figure out what it all means That s the bad news. The good news is...

The Opportunity Mobile represents a fundamentally new computing platform What differentiates mobile isn t just the size of the screen It s ubiquity - we always have our devices close by, day and night And intimacy - we wear them, we hold them in our hands, we sleep with them Her mobile phone is more important to my teenage daughter than a car We already know quite a bit about the mobile space...

The Opportunity Ubiquity + Intimacy Mobile represents a fundamentally new computing platform What differentiates mobile isn t just the size of the screen It s ubiquity - we always have our devices close by, day and night And intimacy - we wear them, we hold them in our hands, we sleep with them Her mobile phone is more important to my teenage daughter than a car We already know quite a bit about the mobile space...

What We Know Ubiquity + Functionality = Convenience Social apps are huge App market has a very long tail Quality matters Ubiquity and functionality add up to convenience -second highest used reading platform after Kindle was iphone (before ipad) -iphone usage peaks on evenings and weekends (good browser) -social apps are huge FB and 50% of all iphone app usage? Yelp - (reviews, yellow pages) sees 27% of searches from iphones, yet only iphones account for only 4% of visitors overall There are a lot of apps (300k Apple, 100k Android) -visibility is a huge issue -a lot of these apps are lousy -a lot are free or very inexpensive No surprise: people view apps as disposable -one month after download, the vast majority of apps are only used by 5% of the people who downloaded them A Harris Interactive study showed that quality of apps have an influence on people s view of brands -bad apps hurt a company s brand -users expect name-brand companies to have apps, and -expect them to be easier to use than their website Mobile is obviously a global market...

Smartphone Global Market Growing very rapidly Asia driving smartphone adoption Still relatively small Smartphones are the hot item globally, with growth rates in excess of 30% over the last couple of years Asia and parts of the developing world are driving a lot of this global growth -less likely than US consumers to have Internet access -more used to SMS and reading on phones While smartphone market adoption is growing rapidly, it s still a relatively small 20% of sales globally Here s how market share among smartphone companies breaks down...

Global Market Share by Platform 40 30 20 10 0 37 33 26 25 17 17 12 11 10 7 Nokia Android BlackBerry Apple Microsoft 2010 2014 IDC study, September 2010 The global and US markets are very different Globally, Nokia and their Symbian operating system are the leaders Both Android and Apple are taking market share from Nokia -will Nokia adopt Android? -can their app store compete with Apple and Google? IDC s view of Microsoft s market share reflect optimism on their new Phone 7 platform BlackBerry is a relatively small player globally But notice that BlackBerry is projected by IDC to grow in the next 4 years My view is much more contrarian with respect to BlackBerry -I see consumer successful platforms (Android, ios) entering the enterprise -I see consumer oriented devices changing expectations there -I don t see RIM responding successfully to that challenge The US market looks quite different...

US Market Share by Platform 40 30 20 10 0 39 24 17 12 8 BlackBerry Apple Android Microsoft Nokia ComScore May-July market share Nokia is a very small player in the US in smartphones BlackBerry is losing ground rapidly to Apple and Android Microsoft s share reflects old technologies that are being replaced We advise our customers to ignore BlackBerry for a very important reason...

Which Platforms Matter? Units!= Usage Development time (cost) not equal Today: ios and Android Next year, maybe: Microsoft What about BlackBerry? Market share reflects the number of units being sold But for applications, what matters more is how those units are used Google sees 50x the number of searches from iphone as any other mobile device BlackBerry users are not app-oriented, unlike Android and ios BlackBerry does not have a compelling app store experience and they have less than 10% as many apps as Android and ios Development tools and environment are very old and inefficient -we estimate BB apps to cost twice as much and look 1/2 as good -the approval process takes a long time and is unpredictable Deciding on the platforms you need to cover is a big piece of the puzzle. The architecture of your applications is another...

Mobile Architecture SMS WAP Basic browser HTML Modern browser Applications HTML + CSS + JS These are 5 generations of mobile app architecture Calling SMS an app might be a bit of a stretch, but for a large portion of the world s mobile phone users, it s still a reality WAP was much more successful in Europe than the US, and eventually merged into the web The first web browser s on mobile were frustrating. Anyone remember Blazer? One of the early reason s Apple succeeded with iphone, well before the App Store existed, was that they gave us a modern browser that supported modern web app standards The most recent choice in mobile is native applications. The factors that drive the choice of native apps are...

Driving Applications User experience Performance Off-line Findability Device features Monetization operation UX - Performance - Offline - Findability - Hardware - Revenue If a native app makes the most sense, then you have a few alternatives that impact development cost, user experience, and platform coverage...

App Architecture Native for each platform Cross platform framework Hybrid web apps There are three ways to architect mobile applications native cross-platform hybrid web...

Native Apps Various languages Various libraries and APIs Porting and maintenance effort Your mileage will vary The best user experience will be native apps But remember how many platforms share the market? That directly multiplies development and maintenance cost -each mobile platform has it s own languages, libraries, interfaces Porting experience slightly to dramatically different apps saving some time on porting, but best estimate is still 1x Maintaining multiple code bases going forward continues to cost An alternative to native apps is to use a cross-platform app framework...

Cross-platform Frameworks One code base Compromises Examples Cross-platform -one code base, multiple platforms -some tradeoffs in functionality and look&feel Examples: MoSync, EdgeLib, Qt for Mobile Another approach to solve the cross-platform expense problem is a hybrid web app...

Hybrid Web Apps HTML5 + CSS3 + JS persistent local storage geo location device orientation offline mode audio/video HTML5 and CSS3 significantly extend the capabilities of traditional web technology. Both on mobile and desktop, apps built with HTML5 can be more like apps built with Flash or other rich internet application technology These apps work on any mobile platform where the browser supports HTML5 You can even access hardware (camera, location sensor, GPS) from them Some of the toolkits that support hybrid web apps are Rhodium, Titanium, and PhoneGap I have a few screenshots of a simple app built this way...

This is a desktop view of a simple app used for the program of a conference Here s how it looks on an iphone...

Mobile s Place Hype & Hip Integration Mobile only?

Questions? Carl Erickson, PhD Atomic Object