Pakistan Country overview. Telenor Pakistan. Population. Macro outlook. Regulation. Lars Christian Iuel, CEO. Population of 178 million

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Transcription:

Telenor Pakistan Lars Christian Iuel, CEO Pakistan Country overview Population Population of 178 million 43% of the population below the age of 15 years Sizeable market for consumer orientated businesses Macro outlook Real GDP growth 2012 at 4% Inflation rate stabilizing Political and economic stability growing fragile Regulation Energy & power shortages Common industry approach towards the regulator on 3G Security situation forcing tougher regulation on the industry 1

Pakistan telecom market overview Mobile penetration (%) Mobile subscribers (m) 67 42% 38 22 24% 8 14% 5% 108 56% 118 66% 127 70% 133 71% 138 73% 108 12 13 21 28 34 Warid Zong Ufone Telenor Mobilink 2004 2005 2006 2007 2013e 2014e 2015e Customer retention becoming top priority as market matures Higher focus on non-voice including financial services and mobile Internet Opex pressure largely due to country-specific costs Telenor Pakistan aims to continue to outperform competition Telenor Pakistan revenue development Increase VAS contribution % of total revenue 4% 3% 7% 7% 10% 8% 9% 11% 85% 81% 74% Increase revenue per activity Develop a content ecosystem Mobile Internet Build mobile Internet ecosystem Access Build the base Device Content 2015e Financial services Launch new products & segments FS * Others VAS Voice Grow mobile accounts Grow ARPU Enhance agent footprint * Financial services, excluding Tameer Bank 2

Opex and capex evolution to be impacted by network modernisation Network modernisation started targeting completion by end of 2013 Making the network 3G and LTE ready Reducing energy footprint Catering for equipment reaching end-of-life Driving further cost efficiency in investment and operations Development in opex and capex Capex/sales (%) 76 Opex/sales (%) Ebitda margin (%) 53 52 48 45 37 31 30 24 18 13 11 2008 2009 2010 Future growth opportunities 1 Mobile Internet 2 Industrialisation 3 Financial services 3

1 The mobile Internet opportunity Mobile Internet users (m) and penetration (%)* Telenor I-Champ providing Internet training to young people 8.5 6.5 4.9 3.4 27% 1.9 8% 13% 17% 22% 2013e 2014e 2015e *) % of own subscriber base 1 Mobile Internet - Build an ecosystem Targeting mobile Internet market share 5% higher than the GSM market share by 2015 Access Market development programs Creative pricing lowering the entry barrier Device Conversion of feature phones to smart phones Conversion of non-internet to internet capable phones Content Actively facilitate the eco system Content aggregators on WAP portal Competitions to develop content Apportunity 4

2 Benefitting from Telenor Group industrialisation Asia billing Distribution 2.0 Future operating models Centralised sourcing 3 EasyPaisa Idea evolution Attractive market potential identified in 2010 30 million bills per month Transfer money Domestically USD 7 bn per year Internationally USD 9 bn per year Only 12% population has access to formal financial services Telenor acquired majority interest in TAMEER Bank to launch EasyPaisa as a Joint Venture 51% Agent agreement Reliability in fund transfers Convenience Real time transactions Empowering the customer 5

3 EasyPaisa A successful venture Basic financial services Average transactions ~ 160,000 per day and growing Total 60 m transactions worth PKR 140 bn to date Easypaisa shops > 18,000 and growing Over-the-counter or mobile phone based services for everyone! Targeting the under-banked and the un-banked Telenor Pakistan ahead of 2013 targets Targets for 2013 announced at CMD 2010: 10% revenue growth Y-o-Y 10% revenue growth YoY Revenue growth Operating cash flow margin >25% Operating cash flow margin Capex/sales ratio <12% Capex/sales ratio 16% 18% 18% 26% 27% 16% 13% 16% 11% 2010 2010 2010 6

Raising the bar with ambitious targets for 2015 Increase revenue market share Revenue growth CAGR >10% Opex/sales < 36% Operating cash flow margin > 40% Operating cash flow defined as EBITDA before other items less capex, excl. spectrum fees. Summary Strengthening number 2 position Taking leading positions in financial services and mobile Internet Focusing on operational excellence sweating our assets Karo Mumkin our philosophy 7

Telenor Pakistan Lars Christian Iuel, CEO 8