BROWSING Feature phones and mobile broadband introduction. VIDEO Smartphone popularization and mobile data traffic exponentially increase

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Transcription:

this is 5g

what is 5g? Previous generations of mobile networks addressed consumers predominantly for voice and SMS in 2G, web-browsing in 3G and higherspeed data and video streaming in 4G. The transition from 4G to will add exciting new capabilities and will serve both consumers and multiple industries. The capabilities of will span several dimensions, including tremendous flexibility, lower energy consumption, greater capacity, higher bandwidth, security, reliability and speed, as well as lower latency and device costs. It will bring new opportunities for people, society and businesses. 2g VOICE Massive mobile voice communication 3g BROWSING Feature phones and mobile broadband introduction 4g VIDEO Smartphone popularization and mobile data traffic exponentially increase 5g MULTIPLE INDUSTRIES Any device can provide access to the content and enable new business oppurtunities across industries

IN 2022, ERICSSON FORECASTS: 9B 9 BILLION MOBILE SUBSCRIPTIONS 530M 530 MILLION SUBSCRIPTIONS 18B 18 BILLION CONNECTED IOT DEVICES 75% VIDEO WILL ACCOUNT FOR 75% OF MOBILE DATA TRAFFIC ericsson.com/mobility-report WHAT WILL HAPPEN IN THE NEXT FIVE YEARS? Industries will be transforming by new capabilities brought on by. Examples of these capabilities include: 1. The ability to download a full-length HD movie in seconds 2. The quick reaction time (low latency) to enable remote robotics 3. The ability to spin up virtual networks on-demand with network slicing 4. Battery lifetimes beyond 10 years for remote cellular devices REQUIREMENTS OF A NETWORK Up to 100 times faster data rates: instant access to services and applications Network latency lowered by a factor of five; use cases in areas such as manufacturing, automotive, energy and utilities, healthcare Mobile data volumes expanded by a factor of 1,000 10x better battery life: remote sensors and more sustainable networks

Why Three areas of usage and applications have been defined by the International Telecommunication Union s Radiocommunication Sector (ITU-R) as part of its program to expand and support diverse usage scenarios and applications beyond 4G: ENHANCED MOBILE BROADBAND Usage scenarios: Widespread connectivity is needed as the demand for mobile broadband continues to grow Data rates, connection density, and mobility Human-centric use cases: Access to multi-media content, such as 4k streaming on a mobile device or on-site live experiences

MASSIVE MACHINE-TYPE COMMUNICATIONS Usage scenarios: Connectivity is required for millions of devices Typically transmitting a low volume of non-delay-sensitive data (low bandwidth and not latency critical) Devices must be low cost with extremely long battery lives CRITICAL MACHINE-TYPE COMMUNICATIONS Usage scenarios: Ultra-reliable, resilient and instantaneous connectivity Stringent requirements on availability, latency and throughput Use cases: Wireless control of industrial manufacturing and production processes, remote medical surgery, distribution and automation on a smart grid, and transportation safety.

What will mean for operators? The introduction of will enable new services, new ecosystems and new revenue streams. By addressing industry digitalization with, operators can benefit from a USD 582 billion market opportunity globally in 2026, based on Ericsson s business potential report, representing potential of additional 34 percent growth in revenues. Operators will find the greatest opportunities in the manufacturing and energy/utilities sectors. Capturing this market potential requires investment in technology, as well as business development, go-to-market models, and organizational adaptation.

OPERATOR ADRESSABLE MARKET IN EIGHT INDUSTRIES (USD BILLION) 1,233 Connectivity and infrastructure provisioning Service enablement Application and service provisioning Total -enabled revenue per value chain step Operator addressable share 217 606 410 89% 52% 18% Sum of adressable revenue per operator role Operator addressable market for role of network developer Operator addressable market for role of service enabler Operator addressable market for role of service creator 193 193 315 193 315 74 193 508 582 New addressable -enabled revenues Current operator service revenues 2,400 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 2,400 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 2016 New addressable -enabled revenues offer a 34 percent growth opportunity, worth around USD 582 billion by 2026. 34% 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Source: Ericsson, The business potential - Industry digitalization and the untapped opportunities for operators

When will be available? Ericsson and partners have been working with technology for several years in the labs, and this year we are starting to take these technologies into smaller field trials. The standardization has been accelerated and is planned to be finalized by mid 2018. First commercial networks and devices based on the 3GPP standards are expected in 2019, with major network deployments from 2020. Ericsson estimates the number of subscriptions reaching around a half billion by the end of 2022. Early research sets the foundation for 2011 Our vision for was developed, bringing benefit to people, business and society We managed the METIS project, collaborating with the top four mobile infrastructure vendors to address the challenges of mobile and wireless communications 2012-2015 We built a radio testbed We proved several tech concepts, including: -LTE dual connectivity Outstanding Contribution to Standards Development Ericsson Program Glotel, Global Telecoms Awards We won several early awards 2015-2016 Biggest Contribution to Development LTE Asia Awards Biggest Contribution to Standards LTE & World Awards multipoint connectivity with distributed multiple-input and multiple-output (MIMO)

TOMORROW There will be even more use cases and applications deployed, such as VR/AR gaming, remote-controlled robots and fixed wireless access, ready for subscription uptake in 2019. We will see in action 1st First commercial networks and devices based on the 3GPP standards are expected in 2019 The standardization planned to be finalized by mid 2018. Our partnerships are growing TODAY By mid-2017, we had already signed 33 MoU (Memorandum of Understanding) with operators, including Vodafone, Telefónica and China Mobile, to help define industry standards, drive innovation and launch equipment demonstrations. First vehicular connectivity services (with BMW Korea and SK Telecom) 25 Gbps 25 Gbps downlink throughput (with NTT DOCOMO and Korea Telecom) 15 Gb <3 ms advances 2016 Use cases delivered: 20 Gbps with two connected mobile devices outdoors (with DOCOMO) 20 Gbps Test peak rates of 15 Gbps per user, and a latency below 3 milliseconds (with Telia) Tactile robotic surgery at King s College London

technologies at the heart of Whereas 2G, 3G and 4G were primarily radio focused, will represent an entire system with radio, a telecom core, and OSS all transformed to support new requirements. This process will involve new radio technologies, a virtualized cloud-based core, and end-to-end management and orchestration to facilitate automation and new concepts like network slicing. The system will not be standardized instead many technology areas and interfaces will be standardized in different environments. Artificial Intelligence (AI) is the ability of machines to learn processes. Automation makes all configurations of services and network connections, which are mainly manual today, automated. This reduces time to market for new services and improves the quality with less risk of error. Baseband provides switching, traffic management, timing, baseband processing, and interfaces towards the radio units. Beam tracking is used to follow the position and movements of a given device. Radio points one or more beams in the best direction for that device in real-time, to ensure consistently reliable connections. Cloudification is the conversion and/ or migration of data and application programs to make better use of cloud computing. Cross-domain orchestration manages provision, end-to-end services and connectivity across system domains like radio, transport and core. Edge computing is the technology to move the execution applications closer to the users. This will enable latency sensitive applications e.g AR/VR or mission critical use cases. This is done by having cloud platforms distributed further out in the radio network. Dynamic Time-Division Duplexing (TDD) enables adjustments of uplink and downlink resources flexibly according to the instantaneous traffic load.

ecpri interface is an evolved front-haul standard agreed by industry leaders, which makes it possible to move the beamforming processing from the baseband to the radio. This simplifies Massive MIMO deployment and offers the flexibility needed in real-life site environments. Federated network slicing is designed to enable the provision of network slices globally, making sure that customers do not need individual agreements with different operators for a global service experience. Gigabit LTE offers LTE-based download speeds of up to one gigabit per second. Massive Multiple-Input and Multiple- Output (MIMO) is the combination of MIMO and beamforming with large number of antenna elements to improve both throughput and energy efficiency. Multi-User MIMO uses techniques to transmit data to several user terminals using the same time and frequency resources, thus increasing the efficiency of the system s radio spectrum. Network Function Virtualization (NFV) enables the on-demand instantiation of functions in a format easier to loadbalance, scale up/down, and allow for the movement of functions dynamically across distributed hardware resources in the network. Network slicing enables mobile network operators to provide dedicated virtual networks with functionality specific to the service or customer over a common network. Network slice management automates the setup of service connections to secure service quality, save costs and gain fast time to service. network through radio connections. Software-Defined Networking (SDN) centrally configures and manages physical and virtual network devices in datacenters, such as routers, switches, and gateways. Virtual Network Functions (VNF) describes telecom core functions like packet core, IP Multimedia Subsystem and Subscriber data management when implemented as software on cloud-based hardware platforms. The software will be optimized for the cloud environment. This evolution has started and will be applicable also for LTE networks. Virtualization combines hardware and software network resources and functionality into a single, software-based administrative entity a virtual network. New Radio (NR) is the radio access interface that will become the foundation for the next generation of mobile networks. policy and user data for Network Slices ensure users get the right service quality with data integrity. transformation services ensure the migration of the network and operation from legacy to core, virtualized and based on an automated operational model. core network technologies radio network technologies Radio Access Network (RAN) connects individual devices to other parts of a

technical expectations of 5g Peak Data Rate 1-20 Gbps Area Traffic Capacity 0.1-10 Mbps/m² User Experienced Data Rate 10-100 Mbps Availability 99.999% (of time) Spectral Efficiency x 1 - x 3 Battery Life 10 years* Mobility 300-350 km/h Reliability 99.999% (of packets) Latency 1-10 ms Position Accuracy 10m - < 1m Connection Density 10k-1m devices/km² Security Network Energy Efficiency x 1 - x 100 Strong subscriber authentication, user provacy and network security ericsson.com/5g

Ericsson is a world leader in communications technology and services with headquarters in Stockholm, Sweden. Our organization consists of more than 111,000 experts who provide customers in 180 countries with innovative solutions and services. Together we are building a more connected future where anyone and any industry is empowered to reach their full potential. Net sales in 2016 were SEK 222.6 billion (USD 24.5 billion). The Ericsson stock is listed on Nasdaq Stockholm and on NASDAQ in New York. Read more on www.ericsson.com Ericsson SE-164 80 Stockholm, Sweden Telephone +46 10 719 0000 www.ericsson.com GFMC-17:000455 Rev A Uen Ericsson AB 2017