Evolution and Migration to IMT-2000 & Systems beyond

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Evolution and Migration to IMT-2000 & Systems beyond 2.1.6: Mobile Network Evolution to NGN ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 for CEE and Baltic States Ljubljana, Slovenia 1-3 December 2003 John Visser, P.Eng. Chairman, ITU-T SSG IMT-2000 and Beyond Phone: +1-613-763-7028 Fax: +1-613-765-6257 Mobile: +1-613-276-6096 Email: jvisser@nortelnetworks.com Abstract: Mobile Network Evolution to NGN Change is necessary. As we manage our lives more and more on telecommunications networks, we increase the traffic they must carry. This increases costs but does not drive up revenues as connectivity becomes a commodity. Today, we have different networks for different services, different networks for different enterprises. We have boundaries within service providers that cause different services to be provided by different platforms without something ensuring the overall consistency of the user experience. At many levels the transformed network needs to eliminate these boundaries. This is essential both for end user satisfaction and for operator profitability. ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 1 1

Outline What do end users and operators want? Mobility is a key dimension of the NGN Review: ITU-T SSG: forward looking areas Major shifts occurring Subscriber base What the access technologies can deliver Convergence of Telecoms, Data, Broadcasting Wireless access and network transformation Blending user devices Realizing the Vision ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 2 End Users Value... The Multimedia Experience The Freedom of Mobility Security & Personalization for enhanced productivity and user experience ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 3 2

Eliminate boundaries... Transformation... to enable ubiquitous and seamless solutions ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 4 Mobile Revolution is underway Fixed Lines vs. Mobile Users, worldwide, millions 1'400 Mobile Users 1'200 Fixed Lines 1'000 800 600 400 200 0 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database. ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 5 3

Forecasts Many available! Example: Yankee Group, News Release 24 Jun 03: estimate 18.6 percent of world s population currently has mobile phones global wireless user base will increase 49% over next 4 years, reach 1.72 billion by 2007 global cellular subscriber revenue will grow from $387 billion in 2002 to $584 billion in 2007, similar in value to crude oil production Mobility is a key dimension of the NGN ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 6 Summary of SSG Mandate Lead SG on IMT-2000 and beyond and for mobility Primary responsibility within ITU-T for overall network aspects of IMT-2000 and beyond To study: Vision for IMT-2000 and Beyond (circa 2010) Identification and globalization of IMT-2000 Family members Support harmonization of evolving IMT-2000 Family members Convergence of fixed and wireless networks To assist developing countries in applying IMT-2000 Emphasis on strong cooperative relations and complementary programs with SDOs, 3GPPs Make use of provisional working procedures specific to SSG: Recommendation A.9: Provisional working procedures for SSG ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 7 4

SSG Mandate translated into Study Questions Q.1/SSG Q.2/SSG Q.3/SSG Q.4/SSG Q.5/SSG Q.6/SSG Q.7/SSG Service and network capability requirements and network architecture ( Vision ) NNI Mobility Management protocol Identification of existing and evolving IMT-2000 Systems ( ID Systems ) Interworking functions to be used with existing and evolving IMT-2000 systems Preparation of a Handbook on IMT-2000 ( Handbook ) Harmonisation of existing IMT-2000 Systems Convergence of fixed and existing IMT-2000 systems ( Convergence ) Q.8/SSG Special Study Group working procedures ( Procedures ) (now deleted: work finished) Details available at: http://www.itu.int/itu-t/studygroups/ssg/questions.html ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 8 SSG: what we re working on SSG Inter-system mobility management End user experience consistency Operator Inputs Key future core network characteristics Q.3/SSG ID Systems Q.1/SSG Vision Q.2 & Q.6/SSG Mobility Mgmt & Harmonization For consideration by: Q.7/SSG Convergence Regional solutions in a global context Q.5/SSG Handbook Q.8/SSG Procedures Helping the decision process Leveraging the infrastructure Work completed ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 9 5

Large shifts taking place in subscriber base! Example: TCA Japan Telecom Data Book 2003 Ref: http://www.tca.or.jp/eng/dat abase/annual/2003/index.ht ml Fixed subscriber lines Mobile subscribers Paging PHS ISDN 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 10 Large shifts taking place in subscriber base! Example: South Korea: >10 million broadband access as of Jan 2003 Ref: GSC-8 (Ottawa) Doc. 76 Broadband Service Status and implementation issues on VDSL in Korea, Keun-ha Chin, Korea Telecom 14000 12000 13,500 10000 10,000 10,573 (Unit : thousands) 8000 6000 4000 4,018 7,863 KT (4,742) Hanaro(3,077) VDSL Started KT (5,053) Hanaro(2,896) xdsl : 62% 2000 Thrunet (1,306) Others (1324) CATV : 37% 14 325 Others (949) Thrunet (1,300) ISDN : 1% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Oct. 2002 Jan. 2003 ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 11 6

The Wireless Landscape Mobility Outside Campus Within Campus Vehicle Walk Fixed Walk Fixed/ Desktop Wireless Wireless Wide Wide Area Area Network Network (WWAN) (WWAN) Metro/Geographical Metro/Geographical area area Always Always On On Services Services Ubiquitous Ubiquitous public public connectivity connectivity with with private private virtual virtual networks networks CDMA2000 1X GSM/GPRS DECT Bluetooth 0.1 CDMA2000 1X EV-DO & UMTS >3G 802.11b HiperLAN2 802.11a Wireless Wireless Local Local Area Area Network Network (WLAN) (WLAN) Public Public or or Private Private Site Site or or Campus Campus Enterprise Enterprise / / premises premises application application voice voice & & data data network network extension extension Nomadic Nomadic / / pull pull services services Non-licensed Non-licensed spectrum spectrum LAN 1 10 100 Mbps ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 12 Looking forward: the Internet and Telecoms Convergence PSTN designed for voice Data added by making it behave like voice (modems,...) ISDN designed for both data and voice Voice treated as data using CS paradigm (2B+D,...) Internet designed around best effort data transfer (IP,...) QoS, performance issues for voice, high quality audio, high quality video, real time interactive applications can be addressed using a managed internet Major changes in data capabilities of access interfaces ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 13 7

Convergence Internet, Broadcasting, Telephony,... TODAY Telecommunications Consumer Entertainment GII Computer information NEAR FUTURE Telecommunications GII Consumer Entertainment AIM Consumer Entertainment Computer information GII Telecommunications Computer information Figure 5-1/Y.110 GII is at the centre of the threefold industrial convergence ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 14 The Wireless Packet Network Wireline Network Good for Voice, not Data Data Router Network Best Efforts Wireless Network Mobility Wireless Packet Network Attributes Voice over IP Universal Mobility Five 9 s Reliability for Mission-Critical Applications Network-embedded Services VPN, QoS, Billing,... Enable Consumer and Business Services ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 15 8

What does this mean for the IMT-2000 Core Network? Common CN solution: IP-based using IETF protocols Integration of Wireless LANs into basic mobile telecommunications paradigm Common issues to be dealt with: QoS Fraud/Privacy CS (legacy) interworking Charging... Solution: do it on a common infrastructure But there are issues... ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 16 IMS and Interworking SIP/ SDP IMT-2000 Family Member A Network IMT-2000 Family Member B Network SIP/ SDP IP Network A UE UE should be be able able to to set set up up a multimedia session with with a UE UE in in another network, and and should be be able able to to roam to to other networks. ISP (e.g., WLAN) SIP/ SDP ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 17 9

Enhanced End User Experience: Blending User Devices PC, phone(s) and PDA: different user interfaces to the same network-based application Common, network-based directory for: Phone numbers Buddies & presence Email address book All applications Just one address to reach the user Unified, network-based, user profile applying to all terminals E.g., set presence location, (call routing preferences), etc., on any terminal and it applies to all ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 18 The Un-Wiring of the Future Mobility / WWAN A Million nodes @ $50k Nomadic / Mesh / WLAN Millions of Nodes @ $100 Sensor / Ad-hoc / WPAN Billions of Nodes @ $1 connected through the Wireless Packet Network ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 19 10

Network Transformation PDA Business Mobile Office Phone Gaming Console Office Computer Simplify Network Profile Home Computer Home Office Phone TV / PVR Existing Multiple networks Simple devices Disparate services Transition Converged packet network Multimedia devices Linked services Transformed Dynamic packet/ optical network Secure multimedia services Ubiquitous broadband Integrated functionality ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 20 Common infrastructure Call Feature Servers Mobility Servers Application & Content Servers Legacy Networks Media Gateway IP Network Multiple Mobile Access Standards Fixed MM Access ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 21 11

Transformed Network Architecture Access Service Edge Content Switching Voice Policy ISV Apps Media Interactive Multimedia Applications Services Security Mobility Packet QoS IP VPN Optical LAN Subscriber Control Broadband ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 22 Transformed Network Architecture Platforms Access Service Edge Voice Network Services Content Switching Policy ISV Apps Media Interactive Multimedia Applications Services Client Wireless Access Security Multiservices Packet Mobility VoIP Packet QoS IP VPN Multiservice Optical Optical LAN Subscriber Element Management Control Broadband ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 23 12

Some Key Work Areas for Realizing the Vision SERVICE ENABLING ENVIRONMENT Voice Voice quality quality & functionality Presence Presence technology Application integration Server Server & database database integrity integrity Security Security Multi-service networking Carrier Carrier grade grade scaling, scaling, performance, reliability reliability Mobility Mobility services services COMMON OPTICAL & PACKET FOUNDATION Multi-service access access High High speed speed high high density density Lambda Lambda management Photonic Photonic switching switching NETWORKING ATTRIBUTES System availability Interoperability Hardware availability Distributed software Real-time software Management integration Scalability Solution integration Much interesting and challenging work still to be done! ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 24 The Transformed Network Always on Anytime, anywhere and in any form Voice and multimedia Self service, intuitive Simpler for the end user Secure, trusted and reliable ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 25 13

IMT-2000 and Beyond... Satellite Global Suburban Urban In-Building Macrocell Microcell Picocell Basic Terminal PDA Terminal Audio/Visual Terminal Realizing the Vision will require an ongoing and well-coordinated global effort. ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 26 Thank you! ITU-BDT Regional Seminar on IMT-2000 - CEE and Baltic States, Ljubljana, Slovenia - 27 14