Outlook for Lodging. Amherst. University of Massachusetts Amherst. Charlie Ballard TripAdvisor

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University of Massachusetts Amherst ScholarWorks@UMass Amherst Tourism Travel and Research Association: Advancing Tourism Research Globally 2015 Marketing Outlook Forum - Outlook for 2016 Outlook for Lodging Charlie Ballard TripAdvisor Follow this and additional works at: http://scholarworks.umass.edu/ttra Ballard, Charlie, "Outlook for Lodging" (2016). Tourism Travel and Research Association: Advancing Tourism Research Globally. 7. http://scholarworks.umass.edu/ttra/2015marketing/proceedings/7 This Event is brought to you for free and open access by ScholarWorks@UMass Amherst. It has been accepted for inclusion in Tourism Travel and Research Association: Advancing Tourism Research Globally by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks@UMass Amherst. For more information, please contact scholarworks@library.umass.edu.

Applying Data to Determine Travel Trends TripAdvisor Customer Insights 27 October 2015

Overview of US TripAdvisor users! TripAdvisor is the largest travel property in the United States with 91m users accessing the site via mobiles or PCs in July 2014! An estimated 1 in every 7 people online in the US visited TripAdvisor in July 2014 Monthly Unique Users Aug 2013 : 81M July 2014 : 91M Source: TripAdvisor Internal Data, Google Analytics Nov 2012 Mar 2015

TripAdvisor Worldwide, Last 18 Months TAMG remains the largest travel player worldwide Source: comscore July 2015 Note 1: For comparison purposes data above reflects Desktop only

The Life Cycle of the Traveller Week -20+ Not Yet Ready Already thinking about next trip! Advocate Reviews, Facebook, WoM Awareness Not planning but open to inspiration Consideration Starting the process Week -16: 5 Destinations 0 Hotels Week -12: 3 Destinations 6 Hotels Book Additional Activities Restaurants Attractions Tours, etc. Experience Actively on vacation Booking Flight -> Hotel Comparison Short list of hotels Week -4: 1 Destination 15 Hotels Window for competitive DMO marketing now closed? Week 0 Booked

TripBarometer 2015 Survey of 44,277 TripAdvisor users across the world

Proportion of travelers taking trips in 2014 o Amongst the top 10 nationalities to take international leisure trips in 2014, it was more aspirational for Russian travelers than others, with a difference of 15% between those who intended to travel and those who did in 2014. o The nationalities least likely to have taken an international trip in 2014 are Turkish, South African and Indian (40% in each market took an international trip). International Leisure % (Top 10) Domestic Leisure % (Top 10) Actually took in 2014 Planned to take in 2014 Actually took in 2014 Planned to take in 2014 Austria 98 99 Indonesia 94 92 Switzerland 97 99 Thailand 93 94 Germany 91 97 China 92 94 UAE 89 97 US 92 97 Ireland 87 96 Brazil 91 94 Israel 87 97 India 91 95 UK 83 91 Japan 90 95 Canada 82 92 Mexico 90 94 Russia 81 96 Malaysia 89 91 France 80 90 New Zealand 89 90

How is the average number of international trips changing? o The average number of international leisure trips is set to increase by 15%. o While six countries are expecting over 30% increase in the average number of international trips that residents take, Russians are more likely to stay at home this year with a 9% decrease in the average number of trips planned. % difference between average number of international trips taken in 2014 and planned for 2015 (% difference) 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0-10 -20 58 45 39 38 37 36 29 25 21 17 17 16 14 12 11 11 10 10 9 6 1 6 3 3 4 9 Turkey India New Zealand South Africa Brazil Australia USA Indonesia Argentina Malaysia Portugal Greece China Japan Spain UK Canada Italy UAE France Germany Ireland Switzerland Austria Thailand Russia Average (+15%)

Top destinations for international travelers: past and future o When we compare the destinations travelers have visited with those they plan to visit we see a very similar pattern, with next year s plans reflecting countries visited last year. The most popular destination in 2014, and for 2015, is the US. o Travelers also told us the destinations they would love to go in the next two years if money were no object: these are their dream destinations. Australia, US and Italy stand out as dream locations. o The gap between those who have been, and those who would love to go to Australia and New Zealand is wide: both destinations are more dream than reality. Visited/Plan to visit (%) 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Past 12 months Next 12 months Dream destination Australia US Italy New Zealand UK France Spain Caribbean Greece Japan Germany Switzerland Thailand Canada Brazil Ireland China South Africa Mexico Portugal Argentina Turkey Austria Egypt India Indonesia Russia Morocco UAE Malaysia Israel Jordan

Applying internal data to size the market Using TripAdvisor internal server data to estimate how worldwide users are changing their travel search patterns

TripAdvisor Customer Insights: Setting The State How do we add value to our partners efforts to improve and grow their des5na5ons and businesses? TripAdvisor has been collec2ng traveler data since 2004 340 million users per month (2015 avg) and s2ll rapidly growing Billions of pages viewed per year Millions of reviews per year Users in all countries, even Antarc2ca and North Korea (?!) Based on IP address we also know (generally) where users are from For all reviews and vast majority of pages we know the des5na5on viewed For every des5na5on a user is looking we know where else they re looking By aggrega2ng and analyzing this data can result in powerful views illustra5ng the dynamic and rapidly changing world travel market

Global Interest in US Content o o The number of global sessions viewing United States content on TripAdvisor has grown rapidly in 2014 vs 2013, and has shown even greater growth thus far in 2015 Overall the traffic has grown by 24% YoY Source: TripAdvisor internal session data

Top 20 Markets Viewing the US in 2014 United States Content: Domes5c vs. Interna5onal 2013 2014 22.3% 20.0% 77.7% 80.0% Domes5c Users Interna5onal Users o o o In 2014, users in the United States made up 80% of all domestic views on TripAdvisor, up from 78% in 2013 Canada is the largest international market viewing the United States, followed by the UK and Australia Countries such as Russia, Colombia, Sweden and New Zealand had less than 1% each of views of US content *In terms of total TripAdvisor sessions in 2014 Source: TripAdvisor Internal Site Data

Growth in US Destination Views by Market o Out of the top 20 countries viewing the United States, China, Switzerland, New Zealand and the UK showed especially large increases in 2014 versus 2013 *In terms of total TripAdvisor sessions in 2014 versus 2013 Source: TripAdvisor Internal Site Data

Top 20 International Cities Viewed by US Users *In terms of total TripAdvisor sessions in 2014 Source: TripAdvisor Internal Site Data

Top 20 International Cities Clicked to Book by US *In terms of total TripAdvisor sessions in 2014 Source: TripAdvisor Internal Site Data

Top 20 US Cities Viewing the US *In terms of total TripAdvisor sessions in 2014 Source: TripAdvisor Internal Site Data

Top 20 US Cities Clicking to Book the US *In terms of total TripAdvisor sessions in 2014 Source: TripAdvisor Internal Site Data

Top 20 Countries Clicking to Book the US *In terms of total TripAdvisor sessions in 2014 Source: TripAdvisor Internal Site Data

Top 20 International Cities Clicking to Book the US *In terms of total TripAdvisor sessions in 2014 Source: TripAdvisor Internal Site Data

Source: TripAdvisor internal session data Top Countries Viewing the US on TripAdvisor All International IPs

Source: TripAdvisor internal session data Top Countries Viewing the US on TripAdvisor All International IPs Excluding Canada, the UK and China

Source: TripAdvisor internal session data Top US Cities Viewing the US on TripAdvisor All US IPs

Source: TripAdvisor internal session data Top International Cities Viewing the US on TripAdvisor All International IPs

Source: TripAdvisor internal session data Top International Cities Viewing the US on TripAdvisor All International IPs Excluding Beijing

Relative Rank of Countries Viewing the US o The US, the UK and Canada remain relatively the top 3 countries viewing the US o However, there seems to be a great change of interest for China around December probably due to New Year s holidays Source: TripAdvisor internal session data

Top US Destinations Viewed, Domestic Travelers o Las Vegas and New York City comprise the majority of sessions from travellers in the United States, followed closely by Orlando Source: TripAdvisor internal session data

Top US Destinations Viewed, International Travelers o New York City receives the majority of all sessions from international travellers viewing US destinations, followed by Las Vegas and Orlando Source: TripAdvisor internal session data

US Destination Views By Device Type o Desktop usage remains strong while activity on mobile has grown rapidly in the past two years Source: TripAdvisor internal session data

Hotels Research Time US IP s Researching Walt Disney World o 49.8% of TripAdvisor users who clicked to book Disney spent 31 days or more researching their journey, from 1 st hotel search until the day they clicked to book Source: TripAdvisor internal site data 29 Date range: 01/07/2015 07/09/2015

Stay Length Researched, United States IPs o o o 87% of all US users were looking for a stay of one to six days 8% of users researched a one-week vacation The remaining 5% were looking for a stay of eight days or longer Source: TripAdvisor aggregated meta click volume, all US IPs, Top 100 Destination Cities, 2014 only

Source: TripAdvisor internal session data US users continue to research more options abroad

Top Other Dests Viewed: Non-US looking at US The data below reflects the top 10 Countries and top 10 Cities viewed by non-us users who also viewed the United States Countries Int l Cities o o The other country viewed most by non-us users only who also viewed US content was Italy, followed by the UK and Germany The international city that was viewed the most by non-us users who also viewed US content was London, followed by Paris and Toronto Source: TripAdvisor Internal Site Data

Top Other Dests Viewed: US looking at Paris The data below reflects the top 10 Countries and top 10 Cities viewed by US users who also viewed Paris Countries Int l Cities (France) Int l Cities (Ex. France) o o o The country viewed most by US users who also viewed Paris was Italy, followed by the UK and Spain The French city viewed most by US users only who also viewed Paris content was Nice, followed by Versailles and Bayeux Likewise, the international city that was viewed the most by US users who also viewed Paris was London, followed by Rome and Barcelona Source: TripAdvisor Internal Site Data

TripAdvisor s top markets continue to grow 2015 Source: TripAdvisor internal session data

TripAdvisor s top markets continue to grow 2015 Source: TripAdvisor internal session data

TripAdvisor s top markets continue to grow 2015 Source: TripAdvisor internal session data

The growth is from intent to book, not just visits 2015 Source: TripAdvisor internal session data

Your Visitors Your Visitors page contains relevant information to keep the DMO/NTB up to date with their destination Data provided: Number of Restaurant, Attraction and Hotel listings in the destination Indicates how many listings have been added during the month Top 10 countries (based on IP) viewing the destination Top 10 cities (based on IP) viewing the destination This data is updated on a monthly basis and only showcases the month previous Helpful marketing tip at the bottom of the page

Please contact Charlie Ballard at cballard@tripadvisor.com with any questions