Report No: P-410-14 January 2014 Bishop and Associates has just released the 2014 Server Systems and Connector Forecast 2010 2020 research report. This comprehensive six chapter, 112 page report analyzes the server market, providing detailed information on server units by business segment and connector usage. The report provides detailed server unit statistics, as well as connector market statistics and background information by server business segment. Server business segments covered in this report include: Enterprise/World Corporate Cloud Servers Midrange Servers Rack Blade Servers Open System Servers Micro Servers Server Market The approximately $50B+ server market has had a nominal 5 7.5% AGR with higher growth cycles in up years. Major business to business segments of the industry are sensitive to economic cycles. 2011 was an up year after the 2008 9 recession and recovery in 2010. The market was led in revenues by IBM (33.7%) followed by HP (26.9%), Dell (14.6%), Oracle Sun (5.3%), Fujitsu (3.6%) and all others (15.8%). The server market is dominated by North America suppliers: IBM, HP, Dell, Oracle/Sun, but there are aggressive/innovative smaller firms, including several in Taiwan and China, plus a trend toward large end users like Google, assembling their own. This, combined with a trend toward cloud computing, server virtualization, and low power micro server systems, is changing the server landscape. Bishop & Associates Inc. Copyright 2014 2
Major suppliers both outsource and have their own factories in North America, Europe and Asia. The dynamics of competition are as follows: Intel remains strong due to CPUs, chip sets, motherboards and overall influence on X86 server designs. 75% of Intel s Chips used to go to IBM, HP and Dell. In 2012 at least 8 firms buy 75% of Intel s server chips. However, Intel faces a major challenge from low power, Linux and ARM based server systems. Microsoft also remains a strong influence with Windows NT and Server 2012 software. The Intel Microsoft Duopoly in PCs has relentlessly shifted the Server market toward Wintel designs. HP has had on going corporate controversy and has the potential for downsizing or reorganization. Dell has focused on servers to shore up profitability and is solidly #3 in server sales. IBM remains the industry leader in dollars and profitability but may be exposed to lower cost solutions. Sun is under Oracle ownership and has a strong, if not eroded following in the IT industry. Lenovo is emerging as a force in China, and will become an increasing factor in that fast rising market. Startups and venture firms continue to make the server market space interesting. Micro server technology, virtualization, open source and cloud computing will impact the server market. Virtualization can cannibalize 10 1 server hardware where it is deployed and is a serious emerging factor. Cloud computing is a major sift, with some companies tooling remote server/storage in the cloud. Solid state disk use is increasing due to high reliability, low power and fast access times. SSDs will compliment, not replace HDDs in server/storage markets. Bishop & Associates Inc. Copyright 2014 3
Table 1 2 World Server Unit Volume + Connectors & Cable Assemblies Est. Dollars by Server OEM 2011 12 (U x K) Server Unit Connector Cable Units Connector Connector+Cable OEM Volume Units Avg. ASP* Avg. * ASP* Dollars Assembly Dollars HP X,XXX XX $Y.YY XX $YY $YYY,YYY.Y $YYY,YYY.Y Dell X,XXX XX $Y.YY X $Y $YYY,YYY.Y $YYY,YYY.Y IBM X,XXX XX $Y XX $YY $YYY,YYY.Y $YYY,YYY.Y Oracle/Sun XXX XX $Y XX $YY $YY,YYY.Y $YY,YYY.Y Fjuitsu XXX XX $Y XX $Y $YY,YYY.Y $YY,YYY.Y Other X,XXX XX $Y.YY XX $Y $YYY,YYY.Y $YYY,YYY.Y 2011 Total X,XXX XX avg. $Y.YY avg. XX.X avg. $YY.YY avg. $Y,YYY,YYY.Y $Y,YYY,YYY.Y 2012 Est. X,XXX XX avg. $Y.YY XX avg. $YY.YY $Y,YYY,YYY.Y $Y,YYY,YYY.Y Table 1 3 World Server Interconnect Units by Region ($ x K) 1 1 Where Equipment mfd. or controlled $600,000 $500,000 $400,000 $300,000 $200,000 2011 2012 $100,000 $0 NA EU Japan China AP ROW Bishop & Associates Inc. Copyright 2014 4
The following table of contents shows the detail provided in this new report. Table of Contents Chapter 1 Introduction Server Market for Connectors Definitions Server Market Table 1 1 World Server Market Estimates by Manufacturer 2011 and 2013 World Market Share 2011 World Market Share 2013 Server Market Trends Connector Products used in Server Systems Table 1 2 World Server Unit Volume + Connector & Cable Assemblies Est. Dollar by Server OEM 2011 12 Table 1 3 World Server Interconnect Units by Region Chapter 2 OEMS Competitive Nature of Server Market Competitive Challenges Facing Server Market Server Manufacturers IBM Table 2 1 IBM Revenue Band 2007 2020 Table 2 2 IBM Server Connector Use Estimate IBM Server Product Lineup IBM Strengths & Weaknesses #2 Hewlett Packard Table 2 3 HP Revenue Band 2007 2020 Table 2 4 HP Server Connector Usage Estimate HP Manufacturing HP Server Technology HP Strengths & Weaknesses Dell Computer Table 2 5 Dell Revenue Band 2007 2020 Table 2 6 Dell Server Connector Usage Estimate Dell Strengths & Weaknesses Oracle Table 2 7 Oracle Revenue Band 2007 2020 Table 2 8 Oracle Server Connector Usage Estimate Oracle Strengths & Weaknesses Fujitsu Technology Solutions FTS Server Products Table 2 9 Example: Primequest 1800E Mission Critical Server Table 2 10 FTS Revenue Band2007 2020 Table 2 11 FTS Server Connector Usage Estimate Fujitsu Strengths & Weaknesses Cisco Systems Table 2 12 Cisco Server Revenue Band 2007 2020 Table 2 13 Cisco Server Connector Usage Estimate Cisco Systems Strengths & Weaknesses Other Server Manufacturers Table 2 14 Summary of OEM Server Makers Table 2 15 Summary of Connector Usage by OEM 2007 2020 Chapter 3 Server Types and Connectors Enterprise Server Connector Applications Mid Range and X86 Server Applications Blade Servers Connectors per Server Systems Table 3 1 Est. Percent of World Server Sales in Units by Category, 2007 23 Table 3 2 Server Types % of World Units 2007 2023 Table 3 3 World Server Units by Type 2007 2023 Table 3 4 World Server Units by Type 2007 2023 Table 3 5 Enterprise/World Corp Cloud Server Total 2007 2023 Including Connector Table 3 6 Midrange/World Server Total 2007 2023 Including Connector Table 3 7 Rack Blade/World Server Total 2007 2023 Including Connector Table 3 8 Open System/World Server Total 2007 23 Including Connector Table 3 9 Micro Server/World Server Total 2007 23 Including Connector World Enterprise/Cloud Servers 2011 23 World Midrange Servers 2011 23 World Rack/Blade Servers 2011 23 World Open Source Servers 2011 23 World Micro Server 2011 23 Chapter 4 World Forecast Server Connector Forecast Diagnostics Table 4 1 World Enterprise Servers/Corporate Cloud 2007 23, World Enterprise Connector Units Chart 4 1 Possible Server Alternative Scenario Chart 4 2 Enterprise Server World Connector Units 2007 2023 Chart 4 3 World Enterprise Server Cable Connector Units 2007 2023 Table 4 2 World Midrange Servers 2007 23, World Midrange Server Connector Units Chart 4 4 Possible Midrange Server Alternative Scenario Chart 4 5 World Midrange Server Connector Units 2007 23 Chart 4 6 World Midrange Server Cable Connector Units 2007 23 Table 4 3 World Rack/Blade Servers 2007 23, World Rack/Blade Server Connector Units Chart 4 7 Possible Rack/Blade Alternative Scenario Chart 4 8 World Blade/Server Connector Units 2007 23 Chart 4 9 World Blade/Server Cable Connector Units 2007 23 Table 4 4 World Open Source Server 2007 23, World Open Source Server Connector Units Chart 4 10 Possible Open Source Alternative Scenario Chart 4 11 World Open Source Connector Units 2007 23 Chart 4 12 World Open Source Cable Connector Units 2007 23 Table 4 5 World Micro Servers 2007 23, World Micro Server Connector Units Chart 4 13 Possible Micro Server Alternative Scenario Chart 4 14 World Micro Server Connector Units 2007 23 Chart 4 15 World Micro Server Cable Connector Units 2007 23 Table 4 6 World Equivalent Cloud Servers 2007 23, World Cloud Server Connector Units Chart 4 16 World Equivalent Cloud Servers Trend Line 2007 23 Chart 4 17 World Cloud Server Connector Units 2007 23 Chart 4 18 World Cloud Server Cable Connector Units 2007 23 Bishop & Associates Inc. Copyright 2014 5
Chapter 5 Regional Forecasts Table 5 1 Nominal Regional Server Connector Market Projections (Primary Server Assembly Location) 2011 23 Chart 5 1 North American Server Connector Market Projections, Primary Chart 5 2 European Server Connector Market Projections, Primary Chart 5 3 Japanese Server Connector Market Projections, Primary Chart 5 4 Chinese Server Connector Market Projections, Primary Chart 5 5 Asia Pacific Server Connector Market Projections, Primary Chart 5 6 ROW Server Connector Market Projections, Primary Chart 5 7 World Server Connector Market Projections, Primary Table 5 2 Nominal Regional Server Connector Market Projections Where System Assembled 2011 23 Chart 5 8 Nominal Connector Market Projections by Region of System Assembly 2011 23 Chart 5 9 2012 Nominal Regional Server Connector Market % System Assembly Location Chart 5 10 2018 Nominal Regional Server Connector Market % System Assembly Location Chart 5 13 2023 Nominal Regional Server Connector Market % System Assembly Location Table 5 3 Server Connector Dollar Projections 2011 23 Based on OEM HQ/Design/Procurement Presence Chart 5 12 North American Server Connector Market Projections OEM HQ Control 2011 23 and Beyond Chart 5 13 European Server Connector Market Projections OEM HQ Control 2011 23 and Beyond Chart 5 14 Japanese Server Connector Market Projections OEM HQ Control 2011 23 and Beyond Chart 5 15 Chinese Server Connector Market Projections OEM HQ Control 2011 23 and Beyond Chart 5 16 Asia Pacific Server Connector Market Projections OEM HQ Control 2011 23 and Beyond Table 5 4 Nominal Server Connector Market Projections by Region HQ Control, 2011 23 Chart 5 17 Nominal Server Connector Market Projection by Region of OEM Control 2011 23 Chart 5 18 2012 Nominal Regional Server Connector Market Where OEM HQ Control Chart 5 19 20189 Nominal Regional Server Connector Market Where OEM HQ Control Chart 5 20 2023 Nominal Regional Server Connector Market Where OEM HQ Control Chapter 6 Cloud Computing Cloud Computing Server Virtualization Open Source Computing Outsourcing Lenovo and IBM Dell Micro Server Technology Alternative Scenarios Bishop & Associates Inc. Copyright 2014 6
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What s New? Bishop & Associates has recently completed several new research reports about the worldwide connector industry. A table of contents for each report can be found at http://store.bishopinc.com. Report P 410 14 Server Systems and Connector Forecast 2010 2020 (January 2014) NEW Report R 3200 13 World s Emerging Connector Markets (December 2014) NEW Report F 2013 02 Connector Industry Forecast (November 2013) NEW Report P 980 13 Mobile Backhaul Network Technologies and Connectivity Market (October 2013) NEW Report M 3100 13 Heavy Equipment Market for Connectors (November 2013) NEW Report P 980 13 Mobile Backhaul Network Technologies and Connectivity Market (October 2013) NEW Report P 610 13 World Market for Terminal Blocks (September 2013) Report C 122 13 2013 Connector Industry Yearbook (September 2013) Report P 799 13 2013 World Cable Assembly Market (August 2013) Report M 121 13 2013 Top 100 Connector Manufacturers (July 2013) Report C 303 13 2013 European Customer Survey of the Electronic Connector Industry (July 2013) Report P 881 13 Evolving High Speed Backplane Connectors (June 2013) Report M 1501 13 Medical Electronics Market for Connectors (May 2013) Report M 700 13 Connector Market Handbook (April 2013) THE BISHOP REPORT CONNECTOR INDUSTRY YEARBOOK An annual subscription to THE BISHOP REPORT (12 issues) is available for $950. As part of your Bishop Report subscription, you have admission to BishopReport.com, a website that provides quick access to prior issues of The Bishop Report, News Briefs, connector industry news, the connector industry forecast, and various industry statistics. The CONNECTOR INDUSTRY YEARBOOK is available for $1,250. However, Bishop & Associates offers a special combined price of $1,450 for THE BISHOP REPORT and the CONNECTOR INDUSTRY YEARBOOK (an annual savings of $750). To view an expanded report description, and a complete table of contents, for all Bishop & Associates research reports, click here. Bishop & Associates Inc. 1209 Fox Glen Drive St. Charles, IL 60174 Phone: 630.443.2702 Fax: 630.443.2704 bishop@bishopinc.com www.connectorindustry.com Online Ordering: http://store.bishopinc.com