e title 48 pt Enabling China 2.0 btitle 30 pt HÅKAN ERIKSSON Group CTO President Ericsson silicon valley
Mobile Operators & countries Mobile operators and their proportionate subscriptions - End Q4, 2009 Million 1. China Mobile 528 2. Vodafone 305 3. América Móvil 203 4. Telefonica 188 5. China Unicom 148 6. Deutsche Telekom 130 7. Bharti Airtel 117 8. France Telecom 111 9. (10) Mobile Tele Systems 100 10. (9) AT&T 100 Mobile reported subscriptions* Top 5 Countries - End Q1, 2010 Million 1. China 753 2. India 555 3. USA 291 4. Russia 215 5. Brazil 184 Mobile net additions* Top 5 Countries - End Q1, 2010 Million 1. India 53 2. China 28 3. Indonesia 13 4. Vietnam 8 5. Brazil 8 Concentration: 20 largest operators ~56% of reported subscriptions 10 largest operators ~40% of reported subscriptions * As reported by operators Source: Estimates based on Informa Telecoms & Media
Market potential : Global average household spending on Telecom* stabilizing at 4%, China has huge potential USD Per year income and expenditures % *Average based on market size of 16 markets. In total these market represent a pop. of 3.8 billion. Telecom includes Mobile and Fixed phone and Internet access Source: Consumer Lab study based on Official Statistics, EIU
Trusted Partner 117 years presence in China First Digital Switch, 1981 First Mobile System, 1987 First Infocom MBA, 1998 Present Day: 9000 employees 27 offices 10 joint ventures First order, 1892 First office in Beijing, 1985
AN Era of Unprecedented Scale 50 Billion Connections by 2020
Into the new decade Billion 50 THINGS PEOPLE 5 PLACES 0.5 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 2000 2025 Source: Ericsson This slide contains forward looking statements
Technology Evolution Broadband Capacity Last mile Bandwidth Fixed Mobile Capacity Multi-Access IP Edge Routers Edge 1Gbps 100Mbps 2000x 2000x FTTH LTE 10Mbps 2Mbps 500kbps ADSL SDSL 1 st gen BRAS ADSL2+ VDSL Eth BNG VDSL2 GPON Next-gen Eth MSER HSPA EDGE 1 st gen GGSN HSPA Evol HSPA Evolved 50x SAE Gateway LTE Multi-Access Edge 50x 480Gbps 240Gbps 10Gbps 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Convergence driven by the mobile broadband ecosystem Mobile Broadband Mobile terminals Cellular networks Fixed phones Copper networks TV Video Audio PC Multi media Cable TV, DSL, DTV, Sat-TV RLAN, DSL, fiber, VoIP
broadband subscriptions 3 billion mobile broadband subscriptions redefines the market Fixed and mobile broadband subscriptions M2M connections to be added on top Mobile Broadband - the dominating Broadband
Measured voice and data traffic Killer APP : Connected Mobility 24/7 Measured Data Updated Q1 2010 ~175% Traffic Growth 100% ~240% Source: Ericsson Measurements in Global Networks (DVB-H, Mobile WiMax, M2M and WiFi traffic not included) This slide contains forward looking statements
Reported mobile subscriptions By system standard Reported Subscriptions (million) 9 000 8 000 7 000 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: Internal Ericsson This slide contains forward looking statements M2M connections to be added on top LTE WCDMA/HSPA GSM/GPRS/ED GE TDSCDMA Mobile WiMAX CDMA Other
Common LTE Evolution Alignment for WCDMA/HSPA, TD-SCDMA (China) and CDMA FDD TDD GSM Track (3GPP) GSM WCDMA HSPA TD-SCDMA HSPA LTE FDD and TDD 2014 ~90% FDD CDMA Track (3GPP2) CDMA One EVDO Rev A ~10% TDD WiMax Track (IEEE) (Fixed WiMax) Mobile WiMax ~1% LTE the Global standard for Next Generation (4G)
Understanding ICT s carbon footprint ICT responsible for 2% of global CO2 emissions How can we reduce our own sector emissions? ICT key to reduce the other 98% of CO2 emissions How can we help reduce other sector emissions?
ICT contribution potential > Smart metering > Energy Internet Global Carbon Emission 2007 Energy supply 26% > Digital society > Smart business 15-20% Industry 19% > Facility management > Monitor & control Buildings Travel & transport Forestry 8% 13% 17% > Virtual presence > Smart transport Source: IPCC Agriculture Waste 49 billion ton 14% 3%
More pipes Macro, micro, pico and fixed/wifi WiFi Residential Gateway DSL, Fiber Evolved Packet Core Internet Macro Mobile Pico Mobile
Smarter pipes enabled by IP & Convergence MANAGEMENT, POLICY & CHARGING Optimize across Access and Edge MOBILE Edge INTERNET MOBILE BROADBAND MOBILE BACKHAUL Optimize across fixed and mobile FIXED BROADBAND CONVERGED METRO TRANSPORT FIXED Edge IP EDGE CONVERGED CORE TRANSPORT INTERNET IPTV, CONTENT, APPS
Connected devices People Businesses Societies
Key Messages The people in China will reach the world (and the cloud) through Smart Phones Smart Phones require Smart Pipes 3GPP Technologies GSM, HSPA, TD- SCDMA and LTE creating economy of scale LTE the 4G standard On our way towards 50 Billion connected devices by 2020 Anything benefiting from being connected, will be connected