A Two-Stage Stochastic Programming Approach for Location-Allocation Models in Uncertain Environments

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A Two-Stage Stochastic Programming Approach for Location-Allocation in Uncertain Environments Markus Kaiser, Kathrin Klamroth Optimization & Approximation Department of Mathematics University of Wuppertal EWGLA XIX Nantes, October 12-14, 2011

Outline

Example for different future scenarios Two forcasts describing the population development in Germany until 2025: Sources: www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de/cps/rde/xchg/bst/hs.xsl/nachrichten_91824.htm and www.berlin-institut.org/weitere-veroeffentlichungen/demografischer-wandel.html

Example for different future scenarios Flood scenarios with various probabilities: Source: www.lfu.bayern.de/wasser/hw_ue_gebiete/informationsdienst/index.htm

Example for different future scenarios Flood scenarios with various probabilities: Source: www.lfu.bayern.de/wasser/hw_ue_gebiete/informationsdienst/index.htm

Example for different future scenarios Flood scenarios with various probabilities: Source: www.lfu.bayern.de/wasser/hw_ue_gebiete/informationsdienst/index.htm

Continuous location-allocation problem

Continuous location-allocation problem distance measure: Manhattan-Norm weights: w 1 = (1,..., 1),

Continuous location-allocation problem with uncertain development of the according environment: various forbidden regions, different customer weights. distance measure: Manhattan-Norm weights: w 1 = (1,..., 1), w 2 = (1, 1, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 1, 1),

Continuous location-allocation problem with uncertain development of the according environment: various forbidden regions, different customer weights. distance measure: Manhattan-Norm weights: w 1 = (1,..., 1), w 2 = (1, 1, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 1, 1), w 3 = (0.5,..., 0.5)

Continuous location-allocation problem with uncertain development of the according environment: various forbidden regions, different customer weights. distance measure: Manhattan-Norm weights: w 1 = (1,..., 1), w 2 = (1, 1, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 0.7, 1, 1), w 3 = (0.5,..., 0.5) Goal: Find a solution, which is optimal for the expectation of the future scenarios and the current situation.

Two-stage stochastic location-allocation model (SLAP) min s.t. N n=1 m=1 M z nmw nd(x m, a n)+e(z s) M z nm = 1 m=1 M z nms = 1 m=1 z nms 1 y ms z nm, z nms {0, 1} x m R 2 n N n N, s S n N, s S n N, m M, s S m M

Two-stage stochastic location-allocation model (SLAP) with E(z s) = min s.t. p s N n=1 m=1 M z nmw nd(x m, a n)+e(z s) M z nm = 1 m=1 M z nms = 1 m=1 z nms 1 y ms z nm, z nms {0, 1} x m R 2 N M n N n N, s S n N, s S n N, m M, s S m M z nmsw s nd(xm, an) (expectation of the 2nd stage objective) s S n=1 m=1

Two-stage stochastic location-allocation model (SLAP) with E(z s) = min s.t. p s N n=1 m=1 M z nmw nd(x m, a n)+e(z s) M z nm = 1 m=1 M z nms = 1 m=1 z nms 1 y ms z nm, z nms {0, 1} x m R 2 N M n N n N, s S n N, s S n N, m M, s S m M z nmsw s nd(xm, an) (expectation of the 2nd stage objective) and s S n=1 m=1 { 1 if xm R s y ms = 0 otherwise m M, s S

Assumptions Assumptions on the forbidden regions R si, s S, i I s : rectangular with boundaries parallel to the coordinate axes, possibility of more than one forbidden region in each scenario (i.e. I s N), not necessarily disjoint.

Assumptions Assumptions on the forbidden regions R si, s S, i I s : rectangular with boundaries parallel to the coordinate axes, possibility of more than one forbidden region in each scenario (i.e. I s N), not necessarily disjoint. Assumption on the distance measure: block-norm or polyhedral gauge.

Assumptions Assumptions on the forbidden regions R si, s S, i I s : rectangular with boundaries parallel to the coordinate axes, possibility of more than one forbidden region in each scenario (i.e. I s N), not necessarily disjoint. Assumption on the distance measure: block-norm or polyhedral gauge. Assumption on the representation of the future uncertainty: discrete set of scenarios with S <, probabilities given by p s (0 p s 1, p s = 1). s S

Discretisation Theorem C 1 : grid points of the construction grid, C 2 : intersection points of the construction grid with the boundaries of forbidden regions R, R = s S R s, C 3 : intersection points of line segments of boundaries of different forbidden regions. Then: there is an optimal solution x = (x 1,..., x m) with x C = i {1,2,3} C i.

Discretisation Theorem C 1 : grid points of the construction grid, C 2 : intersection points of the construction grid with the boundaries of forbidden regions R, R = s S R s, C 3 : intersection points of line segments of boundaries of different forbidden regions. Then: there is an optimal solution x = (x 1,..., x m) with x C = i {1,2,3} C i. Example (l 1 -norm):

Discretisation Theorem C 1 : grid points of the construction grid, C 2 : intersection points of the construction grid with the boundaries of forbidden regions R, R = s S R s, C 3 : intersection points of line segments of boundaries of different forbidden regions. Then: there is an optimal solution x = (x 1,..., x m) with x C = i {1,2,3} C i. Example (l 1 -norm):

Discretisation Theorem C 1 : grid points of the construction grid, C 2 : intersection points of the construction grid with the boundaries of forbidden regions R, R = s S R s, C 3 : intersection points of line segments of boundaries of different forbidden regions. Then: there is an optimal solution x = (x 1,..., x m) with x C = i {1,2,3} C i. Example (l 1 -norm):

Location-allocation heuristic Alternating method to iteratively improve the location variables x m of the new facilities and the allocations z nm and z nms of the customers. Input Iteration loop Stopping condition

Location-allocation heuristic Alternating method to iteratively improve the location variables x m of the new facilities and the allocations z nm and z nms of the customers. Input Problem data and initial guess for location variables. Iteration loop Stopping condition

Location-allocation heuristic Alternating method to iteratively improve the location variables x m of the new facilities and the allocations z nm and z nms of the customers. Input Problem data and initial guess for location variables. Iteration loop Sequentially solve the 1-median problems defined by the allocation variables z nm and update the location and the allocation variables. Stopping condition

Location-allocation heuristic Alternating method to iteratively improve the location variables x m of the new facilities and the allocations z nm and z nms of the customers. Input Problem data and initial guess for location variables. Iteration loop Sequentially solve the 1-median problems defined by the allocation variables z nm and update the location and the allocation variables. Stopping condition Stop after M successively considered not improving iterations.

Location-allocation heuristic (1-median subproblem) Consider a mean-problem for the cluster m M with z nm0 = z nm, p 0 = 1 and N := {n N : z nm s = 1} : min s S p s s.t. N n=1 m=1 M z nms = 1 m=1 z nms 1 y ms z nms {0, 1} x m R 2 M z nms w n d(x m, a n ) n N, s S n N, s S n N, m M, s S

Location-allocation heuristic (1-median subproblem) Consider a mean-problem for the cluster m M with z nm0 = z nm, p 0 = 1 and N := {n N : z nm s = 1} : min s S p s s.t. N n=1 m=1 M z nms = 1 m=1 z nms 1 y ms z nms {0, 1} x m R 2 M z nms w n d(x m, a n ) n N, s S n N, s S n N, m M, s S Solution approach: 1) Solve the unrestricted 1-median problem. 2) If s S : x m R s consider additional candidates on the boundaries of the forbidden regions containing x m.

Example for the 1-median subproblem

Example for the 1-median subproblem

Example for the 1-median subproblem

Example for the 1-median subproblem

Example for the 1-median subproblem

Example for the 1-median subproblem

Example for the 1-median subproblem

Genetic algorithm (GA) - basic ideas Design individuals: coordinates of the M locations of one particular solution of (SLAP), genes: coordinates of one location of one solution of (SLAP), fitness function: objective function of (SLAP).

Genetic algorithm (GA) - basic ideas Design individuals: coordinates of the M locations of one particular solution of (SLAP), genes: coordinates of one location of one solution of (SLAP), fitness function: objective function of (SLAP). Initial population Randomly combine all coordinates given by elements of C.

Genetic algorithm (GA) - basic ideas Design individuals: coordinates of the M locations of one particular solution of (SLAP), genes: coordinates of one location of one solution of (SLAP), fitness function: objective function of (SLAP). Initial population Randomly combine all coordinates given by elements of C. Generating new individuals (crossing-over and mutation) combination of single genes of two parent-individuals, building pairs (arbitrarily or by bipartite matching) of a gene from each parent, linking the pairs and choosing points on the connection line, use all genes of the two parents (infeasible solution) and remove iteratively the worst one until the solution is feasible.

Branch and Bound - basic ideas Branching combinatorial branching based on the allocation variables of the current scenario, successively fix the z nm - considering one customer in each level of the branch and bound tree, generate M child nodes from one node by realizing every possible allocation of one unconnected customer.

Branch and Bound - basic ideas Branching combinatorial branching based on the allocation variables of the current scenario, successively fix the z nm - considering one customer in each level of the branch and bound tree, generate M child nodes from one node by realizing every possible allocation of one unconnected customer. Bounds upper bound by LA heuristic (or objectives of completely evaluated nodes), lower bound of every node by evaluating the contribution of the partially constructed clusters.

LA heuristic Computation time with Matlab 7.9, Dual-Core 2.80 GHz CPU and 4 GB memory: 2 future scenarios: M \ N 10 20 50 100 250 500 1000 2000 2 0.0247 0.0179 0.0267 0.0621 0.0724 0.2610 0.8566 1.0931 3 0.0129 0.0279 0.0312 0.0644 0.1884 0.3793 0.8041 2.1899 5 0.0161 0.0219 0.0677 0.0957 0.2691 0.7110 1.9563 5.3643 10 0.0202 0.0326 0.0946 0.1275 0.4457 1.4313 2.3414 5.4916 5 future scenarios: M \ N 10 20 50 100 250 500 1000 2000 2 0.0139 0.0743 0.1581 0.1340 0.3052 0.2993 2.0992 2.5409 3 0.0281 0.0786 0.0441 0.2906 0.5216 0.7545 1.0009 6.3129 5 0.0323 0.1117 0.2134 0.2003 0.4455 1.0590 2.6459 8.7888 10 0.0492 0.0691 0.2671 0.2554 0.9458 1.1800 7.5720 32.7529 10 future scenarios: M \ N 10 20 50 100 250 500 1000 2000 2 0.1685 0.3933 0.2112 0.2706 1.2893 1.8686 3.2462 18.2116 3 0.1851 0.4454 0.4688 0.6975 3.5155 3.3666 4.5294 37.1779 5 0.1373 0.2736 0.6974 3.3337 7.1581 7.7755 38.4467 49.7630 10 0.2508 0.6780 2.0802 3.6927 4.2954 25.5889 38.2305 114.1883

LA heuristic and genetic algorithm Average improvement (in percent) by metaheuristics compared to average LA heuristic run (considering 5 scenarios): LA heuristic with multistart: M \ N 100 250 500 1000 2000 2 18.8 19.7 19.2 19.2 18.1 3 19.1 20.4 19,7 19.5 20.4 5 20.1 19.3 18.2 17.5 17.7 10 17.6 18.5 17.3 16.2 16.9 GA finished by LA heuristic: M \ N 100 250 500 1000 2000 2 18.8 19.7 19.1 20.3 20.6 3 19.1 20.5 19.5 20.2 20.4 5 20.2 20.0 18.3 20.4 19.7 10 18.1 19.6 21.5 20.5 20.9 Hybrid GA combined with LA heuristic: M \ N 100 250 500 1000 2000 2 18.8 19.7 19.1 20.2 20.1 3 19.1 20.5 19.4 20.3 20.5 5 20.2 20.0 18.3 19.7 17.9 10 18.3 18.5 20.1 20.5 20.8

Thank you for your attention! Markus Kaiser e-mail: kaiser@math.uni-wuppertal.de