Networking Technology Trends Howard Crabtree Berk-Tek
Agenda Technology developments Impact on data centers, enterprise and infrastructure Application standardization efforts Although disruptive technologies may appear to reduce the need for cabling infrastructure, new applications and increasing traffic will continue to drive the need for both copper and fiber cabling.
The Internet of Things The connection of everything to the internet: t appliances, vehicles, tablets, medical devices Building controls: security, access, lights, HVAC, power Services: remote medical, video conferencing, training/education Applications: software, entertainment, real time monitoring/usage i billing
The Internet of Things Impact Increased wireless traffic further burdens infrastructure Increased use of Power over Ethernet to remote devices using twisted pair Continuously-connected t y devices and applications Increases need for robust infrastructure as mission critical services migrate or develop
Bring your own device (BYOD) Wireless traffic is doubling annually Workplace bring your own device (BYOD) is gaining acceptance In 2015 nearly 1 billion 802.11ac devices will exist (In-Stat, February 2011) By 2015, 80% of newly installed wireless networks will be obsolete because of a lack of proper planning (Gartner : Top Wireless issues that may derail your mobile strategy, Paul DeBeasi, October 2011)
Bring you own device (BYOD) Impact Increased network traffic during break times, significant news, and sporting events Most M t current wireless deployments will be overwhelmed within two years Recommend deployment of multiple drops of cat 6 F/UTP, or cat 6A UTP to handle new 802.11ac access point aggregate capacity
2013 IT Manager Wish List 2012 Top Pain Points 1. Aging Hardware 2. Meeting Performance and Reliability expectations 3. Security 4. Managing Growth, Capacity Forecasting 14. Wireless 15. Mobile 2013 Top Projects 1. Core/Switch upgrade 2. Wireless 3. Technology Refresh 4. VoIP 5. Wireless LAN Indicates an awareness of the increasing wireless impact
Wireless: Enterprise and DC Impact Aggregate bandwidth is rapidly increasing in response to wireless device proliferation Within 2 years, access points will require more than 1 Gb/s in enterprise and campus Access point density 2x-3x higher 10GBASE-T addresses projected 802.11ac need in enterprise Wireless will help drive demand for 10, 40 and 100 Gb/s in data center
Bandwidth Explosion IP Convergence The convergence of data and storage networks using technologies such as FCoE More application content More blade servers in each rack or cabinet Cooling requirements increasing Redundancy R d d and ddata backup Storage Area Network growing by 50X in 10 years High speed links required from storage devices to the servers
Server Virtualization Impact Virtual servers and applications are increasing utilization to an average of 50% to 80% Quality of service server connection is critical to ensure no systems or applications are impacted Reduced physical servers may open up rack/cabinet space and reduce OPEX 3,500-4,000 kwh ($280 - $320) annual savings per server Driving Dii networks to flatter architecture of two tiers
Cloud Computing Infrastructure, Platform, Software as a Service 80% in Gartner poll plan to move to some sort of cloud computing in the next 2-3years Private cloud vs. public cloud Dependent on size of organization Provides on demand services, requires fast scaling for immediate demand Infrastructure I f t t bandwidth needs to support growing demand d to ensure acceptable response and scalability
Cloud Computing Continued Benefits Scalable resource in remote DC accessed over the internet Low upfront costs, Pay for resources as used Speed to market, handles market spikes Challenges Security and privacy Control and visibility of the information Reliability and performance
Enterprise Projections <5 Years 10GBASE-T improvements will increase adoption and help drive horizontal migration to 10G Wireless APs will drive increased cat 6a deployment EEE bl l i i fib EEE enables copper value propositions over fiber IP convergence and application virtualization are driving increased networking traffic and speeds Link quality becomes important as server pipe fills
2012 Server Forecast by Data Rate 14 12 10 8 ons of ports 10 6 Millio 4 2 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 IEEE 802.3 Next Generation BASE-T Call for interest 100M Consensus 1G Presentation 10G 40G CFI_01_0712.pdf 100G
Data Center Projections <5 Years 10G predominant server speed 10GBASE-T will support the growth and provide energy saving advantages Twinaxial and fiber share will decrease 40G servers will become dominant within 4 years 40GBASE-T provide an economical intra-rack solution (interrack solution to follow) 40GBASE-T development continues the roadmap for copper
Data Center Projections <5 Years Multimode fiber will continue as the most preferred 40/100G fiber solution OM4 (+) fiber with should be installed if DC lengths reach or exceed 75 meters MTP/MPO connectors will be predominant fiber interface System complexity will reduce link lengths for next generation Ethernet and Fibre Channel Higher bandwidth fiber may help minimize impact
Data Center Projections <5 Years Number of Data Centers will decline Today 2.94M ~ 4 Years 2.89M Peaked in 2008 Large Data Centers growing in size Most of decline due to reduction of midsize to small data centers Total Data Center Area Increasing Today y611.4msqft ~ 4 Years 700Msqft Driven by virtualization and server consolidation
IEEE 802.3 Application Standard Efforts Active Task Forces Active Study Groups Next Generation Planning
IEEE P802.3bj 100 Gb/s Backplane and Copper Cable Task Force Direct Attach Twinaxial Assemblies (4x25, 8 pairs, 5m reach) Backplane (approximately 1m, insertion loss limited) Energy Efficient Ethernet for both is optional Currently resolving comments to the draft
IEEE P802.3bm 40 Gb/s and 100 Gb/s Fiber Optic Task Force 40 Gb/s operation up to at least 40km of SMF Filling in the gap left from previous standard d 100 Gb/s operation up to at least 500 m of SMF Parallel optics, MPO connectivity, cost viability in question 100 Gb/s operation up to at least 100 m of MMF 4x25G, MPO Connectivity, OM3 or OM4 not yet determined 100 Gb/s operation up to at least 20 m of MMF Attempt t at low power, inexpensive, i direct attach optical cable, cost viability in question Optional EEE
IEEE 802.3 Application Standard Efforts Active Task Forces Active Study Groups Next Generation Planning
Reduced Twisted Pair Gigabit Ethernet (RTPGE) Study Group BER of 10-10 due to harsh environment Support 1 Gb/s in automotive and industrial environments 1 or 2 pairs in 15 meter, 4 connector channel Specify optional EEE Specify optional link performance of at least 40 meters
Distinguished Minimum Latency Traffic in a Converged Traffic Environment Investigating how to prioritize traffic in a time sensitive environment A break from the best effort past Required for systems in an automotive or industrial environment that may have life or death consequences
Next Generation BASE-T Study Group Investigating feasibility of 40GBase-T over twisted pair Cat 7A, Cat 8 Cat 6A not likely to be specified, lack of interest Channel length and composition under discussion Direct attach cordage being investigated Support for EEE
IEEE 802.3 Application Standard Efforts 44 Active Task Forces 3 active Study Groups Next Generation Planning
IEEE Next Generation Planning Next Generation of Ethernet CFI March 2013 SMF, MMF, Copper, Backplane Next Gen PoE CFI March 2013 4 pair delivery, 60-80W, 10GBASE-T, automotive voltages Short Reach 10GBASE-T 20-30m reach, reduce power cost, Increase adoption Reduced pair Gigabit Ethernet 15-40m of 1-2 pairs for industrial environment Possible basis for new enterprise applications with PoE
Conclusion Copper and fiber cabling will continue to evolve e and provide solutions for the demands of tomorrow Although disruptive, wireless will increase need for high speed cabling in the enterprise Increasing number of applications will drive traffic and nee for higher-speed or aggregated connections Next generation IEEE applications are in development for copper and fiber
Thank You! Copper and fiber cabling will continue to evolve and provide solutions for the demands of tomorrow