THIRD QUARTER October 19, 2017 Tele2 AB

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Transcription:

THIRD QUARTER 2017 October 19, 2017 Tele2 AB

Group highlights Q3 2017 SEK billion Q3 2017 % Change Reported % Change LFL Mobile end-user service revenue 3.9 9% 7% Net sales 7.5 13% 1% EBITDA 1.8 21% 12% 2 LFL is constant currencies and pro forma for TDC Sweden Note: All figures in this presentation exclude Tele2 Austria unless otherwise stated

Tele2 s Way2Win Our Purpose We fearlessly liberate people to live a more connected life Where We Play How We Win Baltic Sea Challenger Investment Markets IoT Cash Generators Positively Fearless Brands Connecting Things our Customers Love Digital First Customer Experience Challenger Cost Structure Responsible Challenger Winning People & Culture 3

Delivering on our long term strategy Positively Fearless Brands Baltic Sea Challenger Investment Markets Challenger Cost Structure Strong uptake of new commercial propositions across the Group Comviq awarded strongest telecom brand in Sweden Tele2 wins best telecom retail chain and webshop in the Netherlands Baltics mobile end-user service revenue up 12%, EBITDA up 18% Sweden mobile end-user service revenue down 1.5%, EBITDA down 6% LFL Rolling 12 m operating cash flow up 22% to SEK 4.4bn Netherlands mobile end-user service revenue up 27% Netherlands data and voice on-loading at 93% and 54% respectively Kazakhstan mobile end-user service revenue up 19%, EBITDA margin of 26% Group EBITDA margin improved by 2% pts to 25% Netherlands mobile EBITDA losses reduced by 72% Challenger Program ahead of plan, on track for SEK >850m benefits in 2017 4 LFL is constant currencies and pro forma for TDC Sweden Operating cash flow is EBITDA - CAPEX, 12 m rolling Comviq awarded by Evimetrix Swedish Brand Award and Tele2 NL awarded by the ABN AMRO Retail chain of the Year and Webshop Award election

Baltic Sea Challenger

Sweden Financials Net sales, LFL Mobile end-user service revenue, LFL EBITDA and EBITDA margin, LFL -1.5% -2% -6% 3,900 TDC 4,332 4,029 3,932 3,921 3,833 1,969 1,959 1,922 1,930 1,939 1,885 1,928 1,191 1,068 1,045 1,028 1,091 1,040 1,121 3,095 31% 24% 28% 27% 29% Q3 Highlights Decrease in net sales due to Roam Like at Home (RLAH) and continued decline within fixed Decline in mobile end-user service revenue driven by RLAH and lower ASPU levels within B2B. Growth of 1% excluding RLAH EBITDA excluding RLAH flat, as Challenger and TDC synergies benefits compensate for declining fixed service revenue 6 LFL is pro forma for TDC Sweden

Sweden Consumer Stable despite RLAH Consumer mobile end-user service revenue +1% Share of postpaid sales with bundle >3GB Customer satisfaction (Tele2 Media & Insight) 63% 65% 83% 86% 82% 83% Q3 16 Q3 17 Q3 16 Q3 17 Q3 16 Q3 17 Tele2 Comviq Q3 Highlights Mobile end-user service revenue grew by 3% adjusted for RLAH Strong Comviq performance from continued prepaid to postpaid migration and good ASPU development in Tele2 Comviq s 5-year postpaid anniversary promotion has fueled strong prepaid to postpaid migration Continued high level of customer satisfaction 7

Sweden B2B Synergies ahead of plan B2B net sales, LFL B2B Large net sales, LFL YTD integration synergies -2% -2% SEK 137 million 0 Q3 16 Q3 17 Q3 16 Q3 17 Q3 Highlights Net sales down due to weak customer additions in previous quarters, continued price competition and decline in fixed TDC integration and synergies ahead of plan, with SEK 65m achieved in the quarter Positive progress in both new contracts and retention of large contracts in the quarter including University of Gothenburg, Attendo and Transportstyrelsen 8 LFL is pro forma for TDC Sweden

Baltics Financials Net sales Mobile end-user service revenue EBITDA +12% +11% +18% 884 935 859 949 983 521 533 522 564 582 287 264 286 314 339 32% 28% 33% 33% 34% Q3 Highlights Net sales growth driven by increase in both mobile end-user revenue and equipment sales Mobile end-user revenue increase driven by higher ASPU, due to successful data monetization, and growth in mobile broadband Strong EBITDA performance driven by higher service revenue and Challenger Program benefits 9

Baltics Strong growth despite RLAH ASPU development Share of 4G capable smartphones in base MBB end-user service revenue +11% +37% 37% 45% Q3 16 Q3 17 Q3 16 Q3 17 Q3 16 Q3 17 Q3 Highlights Higher ASPU driven by continued prepaid to postpaid migration and strong uptake of new commercial propositions Smartphone penetration continues to rise with room for further growth Prior quarter investments in mobile broadband are contributing to mobile end-user service revenue growth 10

Investment Markets

Netherlands Financials Net sales Mobile end-user service revenue EBITDA 1,478 1,583 1,577 +27% -6% +103m 1,489 1,390 419 438 451 509 531 151 101 18-2 -23 Q3 Highlights Net sales decrease due to lower handset revenue following the new accounting rules and WFT, and lower fixed revenue Mobile end-user service revenue driven by 18% increase in customer base and ASPU growth of 6% EBITDA positively impacted by growth in mobile, lower mobile expansion costs and improved network economics 12

Netherlands Strong momentum Spontaneous brand awareness & brand consideration (Memo2) Share of total new postpaid (GfK) Usage on own network 50% 38% 39% 53% 24% 30% 18% 72% 54% 93% 10% Q3 16 Q3 17 Awareness Consideration Aug 16 Aug 17 Handset SIM only Sep 16 Sep 17 Voice Data Q3 Highlights Continuing to take >20% market share of new postpaid contracts Mobile customer intake grew to 57k in the quarter due to our Fun Rebel commercial propositions Continued progress in data on-loading driven by network roll-out and densification Voice on-loading at 54% with 557k active VoLTE customers 13

Kazakhstan Financials Net sales Mobile end-user service revenue EBITDA and EBITDA margin +19% +14% +114% 573 702 649 713 653 426 470 495 547 506 122 160 169 79 92 14% 13% 19% 22% 26% Q3 Highlights Continued strong momentum as JV executes on integration and go-to-market strategies Mobile end-user service revenue growth driven by increased customer base and higher ASPU bundles EBITDA margin expanded to 26% from integration synergies and scale benefits 14

Kazakhstan Network integration completed Customer base (thousand) ASPU development Integration +7% +13% Q3 16 Q3 17 Q3 16 Q3 17 ~1,740 sites merged Q3 Highlights Customer growth driven by successful dual brand strategy and expansion of distribution network Positive ASPU development driven by new mobile offerings and focus on higher data bundles Network integration successfully completed in the quarter 15

Financial Overview

Mobile end-user service revenue Tele2 Group Development per market +9% 3,907 3,927 80 6 17 3,927 112 3,597 3,709 3,723 3,597 54 61 Q3 16 Sweden Baltics NL KZ RoW Oth Q3 17 17

EBITDA Tele2 Group Development per market +21% 1,848 90 18 9 1,848 1,523 1,670 1,583 1,523 53 52 103 1,411 22.8% 17.8% 22.0% 20.6% 24.5% Q3 16 Sweden Baltics NL KZ RoW Oth Q3 17 EBITDA margin 18

CAPEX Tele2 Group Development per market -31% 1,052 766 757 766 14 11.5% 13.3% 615 8.1% 9.8% 532 7.1% -46-100 -78 6-30 532 Q3 16 Sweden Baltics NL KZ RoW Oth Q3 17 CAPEX / Sales 19

Free cash flow Total operations Tele2 Group Development +54% 1,290 325 89-6 226 0 54 1,290 838 820 838-236 394 178 Q3 16 EBITDA Interest etc. Taxes Working capital CAPEX paid Discontinued operations One-off items Q3 17 20 Free cash flow = Cash flow from operating activities and CAPEX paid

Operating cash flow EBITDA less CAPEX 12 m rolling, SEK million 3,353 3,345 3,320 3,407 3,246 3,314 3,357 3,337 3,765 4,012 4,175-1,178-1,504-1,625-1,940-2,223-2,282-2,196-1,934-1,344-1,015-619 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Baltic Sea Challenger & Rest of Group Investment Markets 21

Debt position and financial leverage Total operations, Economic net debt to EBITDA 12 m rolling SEK billion 12.5 Leverage 2.5 10.0 7.5 1,88 1.7 2.0 1.5 5.0 11.0 10.4 10.3 12.0 10.7 1.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 Sep 2016 Dec 2016 Mar 2017 Jun 2017 Sep 2017 0.0 Economic net debt Economic net debt to EBITDA 22 Economic net debt excludes liabilities to Kazakhtelecom, loan guaranteed by Kazakhtelecom and liability for earn-out obligation in Kazakhstan

Challenger program ahead of plan Simplify % of products harmonized on shared platforms Discipline % of spend strategically sourced & procured Baseline 2016 actual 2018 target 30% 40% 60% 40% 75% 80% Key progress areas since inception New revenue streams Sales & marketing efficiency Network & IT consolidation Consolidate % of reduction in IT OpEx as share of revenue Transform % of staff in Shared Operations 0% 5% 20% 12% 18% 25% Customer service optimization Procurement scope increase Administration efficiency 23

Financial guidance 2017 Upgraded Mobile end-user service revenue Net sales (SEK billion) High-single digit % growth* 30 31 EBITDA (SEK billion) 6.4 6.6 CAPEX (SEK billion) 2.9 3.2 24 * Based on LFL which is constant currencies and pro forma for Altel and TDC Sweden

Summary

Key priorities moving forward Fearlessly liberate people to live a more connected life Growth from continued data monetization Return Sweden to growth despite RLAH Further leverage our momentum in Baltics, Netherlands and Kazakhstan Execute on Challenger and synergy programs Positively Fearless Brands Connecting Things our Customers Love Digital First Customer Experience Challenger Cost Structure 26

Tele2 s Way2Win Our Purpose We fearlessly liberate people to live a more connected life Where We Play How We Win Baltic Sea Challenger Investment Markets IoT Cash Generators Positively Fearless Brands Connecting Things our Customers Love Digital First Customer Experience Challenger Cost Structure Responsible Challenger Winning People & Culture 27

THE END