Tomorrow s Network and the Internet of Things Dr Tim Kelly Head, Strategy & Policy Unit, International Telecommunication Union (ITU) Tomorrow s Network Today Saint-Vincent, Valle d Aosta, 7-8 October 2005 1 The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the ITU or its Membership. Dr Tim Kelly can be contacted at tim.kelly@itu.int.
2 What is the Internet of Things? Different definitions Ubiquitous network societies anytime, anywhere, by anything and anyone Ubiquitous computing: The most profound technologies are those that disappear. They weave themselves into the fabric of everyday life until they are indistinguishable from it. Next Generation Networks: packet-based network able to provide telecommunication services and make use of multiple broadband [ ] transport technologies in which servicerelated functions are independent from underlying transport-related technologies
Today s and tomorrow s networks Today s PSTN network Circuit-switched. Limited mobility of end-user services. Vertical integration of application and call control layers, with dedicated networks. Non-responsive network. Next Generation Networks Packet-based, based on Internet Protocol (IP). Broad-based generalised mobility. Horizontally-integrated control layers, with simultaneous delivery of applications. Servicerelated functions independent of transportrelated technologies. NGN will be able to identify and adapt to user needs in real-time. 3 Source: ITU Internet Reports 2005: The Internet of Things
Connecting things Any TIME connection On the move Outdoors and indoors Night Daytime On the move Outdoors Indoors (away from the PC) At the PC Any PLACE connection Between PCs Human to Human (H2H), not using a PC Human to Thing (H2T), using generic equipment Thing to Thing (T2T) Any THING connection 4 Source: ITU Internet Reports 2005: The Internet of Things
What s driving the market? (1) Near saturation of traditional markets Telecom services revenue, in US$ bn Fixed-line and mobile services revenue, in US$ bn 1'200 25% 1'200 45% 1'000 800 600 400 Developing countries Developing as % of total 20% 15% 10% 1'000 800 600 400 Mobile as % of total Mobile 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 200 Developed countries 5% 200 Fixed-lines 10% 5% 0 1990 1 2 3 4 1995 6 7 8 9 2000 1 2 3 0% 0 1990 1 2 3 4 1995 6 7 8 9 2000 1 2 3 0% Developing countries growing faster that developed ones Mobile markets growing faster than fixed-line markets Source: ITU Internet Reports 2005: The Internet of Things
What s driving the market? (2) Growth of the internet 873 Estimated internet users worldwide, millions 622 725 495 399 277 40 74 117 183 6 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Source: ITU Internet Reports 2005: The Internet of Things
What s driving the market? (3) Development of 3G mobile NZ Brazil UK Italy Canada China 18.8 0.9 3.7 8.3 23.3 0.7 Top 10 3G mobile markets worldwide, in millions of subscribers, 2004 CDMA-1x W-CDMA India Korea (Rep.) Japan USA 0.9 53.0 20.8 Per 100 inhabitants 16.7 7 0 20 40 60 Source: ITU Internet Reports 2005: The Internet of Things
What s driving the market? (4) Broadband Broadband subscribers per 100 inhabitants, Top 20 nations, 1 Jan 2005 Note: Figures used in slide do NOT include wireless broadband (e.g., 3G). Source: ITU World Telecom Indicators Database. Korea (Rep.) HK, China Netherlands Denmark Canada Switzerland Taiwan, China Belgium Iceland Sweden Norway Israel Japan Finland Singapore USA France UK Austria Portugal 20.9 19.4 19.3 17.6 17.0 16.3 16.0 15.5 15.1 15.0 14.3 14.1 12.8 11.6 11.4 11.2 10.3 10.1 8.5 DSL 24.9 Overall broadband penetration rate Cable Modems and Other - 5 10 15 20 25 30
We have the platform. Pervasive Internet and mobile networks Increasingly higher speeds available Pricing trending towards lower usage costs now give us the applications 9 Home automation Automotive telematics RFIDs and Sensor Technologies Logistics and distribution etc
Thank you The Internet of Things report will be released in November 2005 at http://www.itu.int/internetofthings Tim Kelly Tim.kelly@itu.int 10