STORAGE TRENDS INTO THE 21 ST CENTURY

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1 STORAGE TRENDS INTO THE 21 ST CENTURY MARK KEMPSTER S TRATEGIC M ANAGEMENT R ESOURCES, LTD LISA LANE, BOWIE MD TELE: ÐÐ kempster@nmaa.org

2 INFORMATION AND ELECTRONIC STORAGE Total Amount of Information 2.0 Information Stored Electronically

3 INFORMATION STORAGE REQUIREMENTS Historically, electronic storage has grown 20-percent for the last several years. Requirements will increase as multimedia becomes more prevalent, and ÒdataÓ expands to include Òinformation.Ó Files will get larger. color audio and video 2-, 3-, 4-dimensional, volumetric science, banking, government, military, medicine, entertainment, WWW. 60 million PCs Internet-ready; 265 million by percent of large businesses and 20-percent of midsized companies have websites. Internet traffic through five largest providers exceeds 250 TB per month. 50 million pages on 475,000 sites for 1 to 10 TB of information Total Amount of Information

4 10, , , , THE INFORMATION TSUNAMI The three phases of the information tsunami: Phase I ÐÐ new markets Phase II ÐÐ growth Phase III ÐÐ sustainment Phase III Phase II Phase I 20% Annual Growth

5 COSTS TO STORE AND RETRIEVE INFORMATION In the last ten years the cost of electronic storage and retrieval has decreased. Tape has decreased by 100. Optical disk has decreased by 4. Magnetic disk has decreased by 11. Over the same period of time, the cost to store and retrieve paper has increased. facilities are more expensive labor is more expensive and facing reductions databases are becoming larger and more cumbersome customer service expectations are increasing Cost of Storage and Retrieval ElectronicPaper At some point in time paper files simply will not be cost effective. When the cost to store and retrieve paper files exceeds the cost of electronic storage ÐÐ what was off-line paper will migrate to near-line electronic. $s Time

6 INFORMATION STORAGE and RETRIEVAL Dollars PRICING TRENDS Magnetic Disk Optical Disk Paper 0.1 Automated Tape Cost per Megabyte of Storage Source: Storage Outlook ÐÐ Making The Connections, Fred Moore, StorageTek

7 1,500 1,000 Petabytes IMPACT Information Stored Electronically? $s Total Amount of Information Cost of Storage and Retrieval ElectronicPaper Time

8 THE STORAGE TSUNAMI Information Stored Electronically 30% Annual Growth

9 THE DIGITAL TSUNAMI Information Tsunami 50.0 Storage Tsunami 20.0 Total Amount of Information Information Stored Electronically

10 Gigabytes UNIT STORAGE CAPACITY 3480 Optical Tape mm Tape 3480 TapeDTF 8 mm Tape 14 Optical 12 Optical 4 mm Tape 5.25 Optical

11 THE DIGIT AL TSUNAMI Information T sunami 50.0 Storage T sunami 20.0 T otal Amount of Information Information Stor ed Electr onically INFORMA TION ST ORAGE and RETRIEV AL Dollars PRICING TRENDS Gigabytes UNIT ST ORAGE CAP ACITY 3480 Optical T ape Magnetic Disk Optical Disk Paper T ape DTF 19 mm T ape 0.1 Automated T ape 8 mm T ape 14 Optical 12 Optical Cost per Megabyte of Storage 4 mm T ape 5.25 Optical Source: Storage Outlook ÐÐ Making The Connections, Fred Moore, StorageT ek

12 Transfer Rate COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS Transfer Rate OPTICAL DISK Permanency Low cost Permanency Low cost MAGNETIC TAPE Random Access Transfer Rate Random Access RAID Permanency Low cost Random Access

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