The 5G Wireless Ecosystem: Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts

Transcription

1 Report Information More information from: The 5G Wireless Ecosystem: Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts Report / Search Code: WGR Publish Date: 29 February, 2016 Price 1-user PDF : $ Site PDF : $ Description: While LTE and LTE-Advanced deployments are still underway, mobile operators and vendors have already embarked on R&D initiatives to develop so-called 5G technology, with a vision of commercialization by G is essentially a revolutionary paradigm shift in wireless networking to support the throughput, latency and scalability requirements of future use cases such as extreme bandwidth augmented reality applications and connectivity management for Billions of M2M (Machine to Machine) devices. Although 5G is yet to be standardized, vendors are aggressively investing in 5G development efforts with a principal focus on new air interface transmission schemes, higher frequency bands and advanced antenna technologies such as Massive MIMO and beamforming. With large scale commercial deployments expected to begin in 2020, we estimate that 5G networks will generate nearly $250 Billion in annual service revenue by The 5G Wireless Ecosystem: Technologies, Applications, Verticals, Strategies & Forecasts report presents an in-depth assessment of the emerging 5G ecosystem including key market drivers, challenges, enabling technologies, use cases, vertical market applications, spectrum assessment, mobile operator deployment commitments, case studies, standardization, research initiatives and vendor strategies. The report also presents forecasts for 5G investments and operator services. The report comes with an associated Excel datasheet suite covering quantitative data from all numeric forecasts presented in the report. List of Companies Mentioned 3GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project) 5G Americas 5G Forum, South Korea 5G Lab (TU Dresden) 5G PPP (5G Infrastructure Public Private Partnership) 5GIC (5G Innovation Center, University of Surrey) 5GMF (Fifth Generation Mobile Communications Promotion Forum, Japan) 5GRUS Alcatel-Lucent Alpental Technologies América Móvil ARIB (Association of Radio Industries and Businesses) Ascenta AT&T Mobility Athena Wireless Communications ATIS (Alliance for Telecommunications Industry Solutions) AVC Networks Company CableLabs China Mobile Cisco Systems Cohere Technologies DT (Deutsche Telekom) du (Emirates Integrated Telecommunications Company) Ericsson Etisalat ETRI (Electronics and Telecommunications Research) ETSI (European Telecommunications Standards Institute)

2 Facebook Fraunhofer FOKUS Fraunhofer HHI Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft Fujitsu Future Forum, China Google GSMA Hiroshima University Huawei IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers) IMDEA Networks Institute IMT-2020 (5G) Promotion Group, China Intel Corporation InterDigital ITRI (Industrial Technology Research Institute) ITU (International Telecommunication Union) KDDI Keysight Technologies KT Corporation Kumu Networks LG Uplus MegaFon Mitsubishi Electric MOEA (Ministry of Economic Affairs, Taiwan) Moogsoft MOST (Ministry of Science & Technology, China) MOST (Ministry of Science & Technology, Taiwan) MSIP (Ministry of Science, ICT and Future Planning, South Korea) MTS (Mobile TeleSystems) NEC Corporation New Mexico Spaceport Authority NGMN (Next Generation Mobile Networks) Alliance NI (National Instruments) Nokia NTT DoCoMo NYU WIRELESS (New York University) Ofcom Optus Orange Panasonic Qualcomm RF DSP Rohde & Schwarz Samsung SES SiBEAM SingTel SK Telecom Small Cell Forum SoftBank Swisscom TAICS (Taiwan Association of Information and Communication Standards) Telecom Italia Telefónica TeliaSonera Telstra TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association) Contents: 1 Chapter 1: Introduction Executive Summary Topics Covered Forecast Segmentation Key Questions Answered Key Findings Methodology Target Audience 19

3 1.8 Companies & Organizations Mentioned 20 2 Chapter 2: The Evolving 5G Ecosystem What is 5G? G Requirements Data Volume Throughput Response Time & Latency Device Density Availability & Coverage Battery Life Energy Saving & Cost Reduction G Market Drivers Why the Need for a 5G Standard? Improving Spectrum Utilization Advances in Air Interface Transmission Schemes Gigabit Wireless Connectivity: Supporting Future Services Moving Towards the IoT (Internet of Things): Increasing Device Density Towards a Flatter Network Architecture Challenges & Inhibitors to 5G Skepticism Standardization Challenges: Too Many Stakeholders Spectrum Regulation & Complexities Massive MIMO, Beamforming & Antenna Technology Issues Higher Frequencies Mean New Infrastructure Complex Performance Requirements Energy Efficiency & Technology Scaling G Applications & Use Cases Extreme Bandwidth Applications: Video, Internet Gaming & Augmented Reality MTC/M2M, IoT & Ubiquitous Communications Short-burst Traffic Vertical Industries & Safety Critical Domains Automotive Energy & Smart Grids Transport & Logistics Healthcare Smart Cities Public Safety Fitness & Sports 34 3 Chapter 3: Enabling Technologies for 5G Key Technologies & Concepts Air Interface: Waveform Options Millimeter Wave Radio Access Massive MIMO Phased Array Antennas Beamforming D2D (Device to Device) Communications Self-Backhauling & Mesh Networking Cognitive Radio & Spectrum Sensing Unlicensed Spectrum Usage LSA (Licensed Shared Access) Spectrum Aggregation Integration of VLC (Visible Light Communication) Complimentary Technologies NFV & SDN HetNet & C-RAN Architecture Cloud RAN MEC (Mobile Edge Computing) Drones & Satellites Satellite Integration in 5G Networks Google and Facebook s Drone Ambitions Interest from Mobile Operators 49 4 Chapter 4: 5G Investments & Future Forecast How Much is Being Invested in 5G R&D? R&D Investments by Technology New Waveforms & Millimeter Wave Radio Access 52

4 4.2.2 MIMO, Beamforming & Antenna Technologies Interference & Spectrum Management C-RAN, Virtualization & Other Technologies Global Outlook for 5G Infrastructure Segmentation by Submarket Distributed Macrocell Base Stations Small Cells RRHs (Remote Radio Heads) C-RAN BBUs (Baseband Units) Mobile Core Fronthaul & Backhaul Networking Segmentation by Region Global Outlook for 5G Operator Services Subscriptions Service Revenue Regional Segmentation Asia Pacific Infrastructure Subscriptions Service Revenue Eastern Europe Infrastructure Subscriptions Service Revenue Latin & Central America Infrastructure Subscriptions Service Revenue Middle East & Africa Infrastructure Subscriptions Service Revenue North America Infrastructure Subscriptions Service Revenue Western Europe Infrastructure Subscriptions Service Revenue 73 5 Chapter 5: Mobile Operator Commitments & 5G Spectrum Assessment Mobile Operator Commitments Japan, South Korea & Asia Europe North America Rest of the World Operator Case Studies NTT DoCoMo SK Telecom Spectrum Options for 5G Sub-1 GHz GHz GHz GHz Above 6 GHz GHz GHz GHz , 70 & 80 GHz Higher Bands 83 6 Chapter 6: 5G Standardization & Research Initiatives ITU (International Telecommunication Union) IMT Spectrum Allocation GPP (Third Generation Partnership Project) Phased Standardization Approach 86

5 6.2.2 R&D Efforts ETSI (European Telecommunications Standards Institute) ISGs (Industry Specification Groups) for Enabling Technologies GSMA Defining 5G Spectrum Policy Position NGMN (Next Generation Mobile Networks) Alliance G Work Program G Americas G Advocacy Efforts WWRF (World Wireless Research Forum) New Working Groups for 5G IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers) G Advocacy Efforts Small Cell Forum Mapping 5G Requirements for Small Cells CableLabs Research on High Capacity Millimeter Wave Small Cells European Commission Initiatives G PPP (5G Infrastructure Public Private Partnership) G NORMA METIS-II mmmagic FANTASTIC-5G Flex5Gware G-XHaul G-Crosshaul Other Projects FP7 Projects METIS GNOW MiWEBA MiWaveS Other Projects National Initiatives South Korea G Forum ETRI (Electronics and Telecommunications Research) Japan ARIB 20B AH (2020 and Beyond AdHoc) GMF (Fifth Generation Mobile Communications Promotion Forum) China IMT-2020 (5G) Promotion Group Research Program Future Forum Taiwan TAICS (Taiwan Association of Information and Communication Standards) USA NSF (National Science Foundation) NIST (National Institute of Standards and Technology) FCC (Federal Communications Commission) ATIS (Alliance for Telecommunications Industry Solutions) TIA (Telecommunications Industry Association) UK Ofcom Russia GRUS Germany G:Haus Spain TONIC Finland GTNF (5G Test Network Finland) Academic Initiatives GIC (5G Innovation Center, University of Surrey) NYU WIRELESS (New York University) G Lab (TU Dresden) 120

6 Viterbi School of Engineering (University of Southern California) Hiroshima University Tokyo Institute of Technology Chapter 7: Vendor Demonstrations, Commitments & Strategies Cohere Technologies G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments Cisco Systems G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments Ericsson G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments Fujitsu G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments Google G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments Huawei G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments Intel Corporation G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments InterDigital G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments Keysight Technologies G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments Kumu Networks G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments Mitsubishi Electric G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments NEC Corporation G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments NI (National Instruments) G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments Nokia G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments Panasonic G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments Qualcomm G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments Rohde & Schwarz G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments Samsung G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments SiBEAM G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments ZTE G Strategy Demonstrations & Trial Commitments 145 List of Figures Figure 1: 5G Requirements 24

7 Figure 2: Potential Waveform Options for 5G 36 Figure 3: D2D Communication Scenarios 40 Figure 4: LSA Concept 42 Figure 5: NFV Concept 44 Figure 6: C-RAN Architecture 46 Figure 7: Cloud RAN Concept 48 Figure 8: Global 5G R&D Investments: ($ Million) 51 Figure 9: Global 5G R&D Investments by Technology: ($ Million) 52 Figure 10: Global 5G R&D Investments on New Waveforms & Millimeter Wave Radio Access: ($ Million) 53 Figure 11: Global 5G R&D Investments on MIMO, Beamforming & Antenna Technologies: ($ Million) 54 Figure 12: Global 5G R&D Investments on Interference & Spectrum Management: ($ Million) 55 Figure 13: Global 5G R&D Investments on C-RAN, Virtualization & Other Technologies: ($ Million) 56 Figure 14: Global 5G Infrastructure Investments: ($ Million) 57 Figure 15: Global 5G Infrastructure Investments by Submarket: ($ Million) 57 Figure 16: Global 5G Distributed Macrocell Base Station Shipments: (Thousands of Units) 58 Figure 17: Global 5G Distributed Macrocell Base Station Shipment Revenue: ($ Million) 58 Figure 18: Global 5G Small Cell Shipments: (Thousands of Units) 59 Figure 19: Global 5G Small Cell Shipment Revenue: ($ Million) 59 Figure 20: Global 5G RRH Shipments: (Thousands of Units) 60 Figure 21: Global 5G RRH Shipment Revenue: ($ Million) 60 Figure 22: Global 5G C-RAN BBU Shipments: (Thousands of Units) 61 Figure 23: Global 5G C-RAN BBU Shipment Revenue: ($ Million) 61 Figure 24: Global 5G Mobile Core Investments: ($ Million) 62 Figure 25: Global 5G Fronthaul & Backhaul Investments: ($ Million) 62 Figure 26: 5G Infrastructure Investments by Region: ($ Million) 63 Figure 27: Global 5G Subscriptions: (Millions) 64 Figure 28: Global 5G Service Revenue: ($ Billion) 64 Figure 29: 5G Subscriptions by Region: (Millions) 65 Figure 30: 5G Service Revenue by Region: ($ Billion) 65 Figure 31: Asia Pacific 5G Infrastructure Investments: ($ Million) 66 Figure 32: Asia Pacific 5G Subscriptions: (Millions) 66 Figure 33: Asia Pacific 5G Service Revenue: ($ Billion) 67 Figure 34: Eastern Europe 5G Infrastructure Investments: ($ Million) 67 Figure 35: Eastern Europe 5G Subscriptions: (Millions) 68 Figure 36: Eastern Europe 5G Service Revenue: ($ Billion) 68 Figure 37: Latin & Central America 5G Infrastructure Investments: ($ Million) 69 Figure 38: Latin & Central America 5G Subscriptions: (Millions) 69 Figure 39: Latin & Central America 5G Service Revenue: ($ Billion) 70 Figure 40: Middle East & Africa 5G Infrastructure Investments: ($ Million) 70 Figure 41: Middle East & Africa 5G Subscriptions: (Millions) 71 Figure 42: Middle East & Africa 5G Service Revenue: ($ Billion) 71 Figure 43: North America 5G Infrastructure Investments: ($ Million) 72 Figure 44: North America 5G Subscriptions: (Millions) 72 Figure 45: North America 5G Service Revenue: ($ Billion) 73 Figure 46: Western Europe 5G Infrastructure Investments: ($ Million) 73 Figure 47: Western Europe 5G Subscriptions: (Millions) 74 Figure 48: Western Europe 5G Service Revenue: ($ Billion) 74 Figure 49: NTT DoCoMo s 5G Roadmap 79 Figure 50: SK Telecom s Phased 5G Approach 80 Figure 51: BBU-RRH Functional Split Options for 5G C-RAN 81 Figure 52: Spectrum Bands for 5G 82 Figure 53: IMT-2020 Development Roadmap 86 Figure 54: 3GPP 5G Standardization Roadmap 88 Figure 55: NGMN 5G Work Program 91 Figure 56: 5G Networks & Service Vision 96 Figure 57: 5G PPP s Development Roadmap 97 Figure 58: ARIB s Vision of Radio Access Technologies for 5G 110

8 Figure 59: Japan 5G Implementation Roadmap 111 wiseguyreports.com / Phone (US) (UK)