Advanced Flash Technology Status, Scaling Trends & Implications to Enterprise SSD Technology Enablement

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Advanced Flash Technology Status, Scaling Trends & Implications to Enterprise SSD Technology Enablement Jung H. Yoon & Gary A. Tressler IBM Corporation Aug 21, 2012 Santa Clara, CA 1

Outline Si Technology scaling trends Flash, DRAM & Logic Flash Technology scaling challenges - Floating Gate Si Process Integration challenges NAND reliability challenges @ sub 20 nm Cell Architecture & 3D NAND key directions Signal Processing & Implications to SSD Technology Enablement Manufacturing, Fab Technology & Quality Die & Package Cost Analysis Packaging Technology Summary Santa Clara, CA 2

Si Technology Scaling Trends & Outlook Now NAND continue to drive Si minimum feature scaling 2H12 NAND @ 1xnm and DRAM @ 2xnm node in mass production NAND Floating gate scaling expected to extend to 1y nm in 2012-2013 > transition to 3D NAND cell in 2014-2015 timeframe enabling path for Effective Sub10nm scaling 3

NAND & DRAM Cost per GB Trend* 1000 100 $ / GByte 10 1 0.1 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 * Commercial grade NAND/DRAM pricing Source = DRAM Exchange/IDC/ASML NAND & DRAM market driven by cost per bit scaling fueled by die cost reduction opportunities NAND flash cost slope fueled by Consumer & SSD applications in 2008-2014 timeframe SSD cost reduction driven by NAND scaling - SSD @ ~$4/GB (vs HDD @ ~$0.4/GB) in 2H12 Santa Clara, CA 4

NAND Scaling Status & Future Directions (1) (2) (3) (4) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Technology (nm) 3x 3x 2x 2y /1x 1x /1y 1y/1z 1z Cell Architecture Floating Gate Floating Gate Floating Gate Floating Gate Floating Gate 3D NAND/ Floating Gate 3D NAND ECC/Signal Processing BCH BCH BCH/Read Retry BCH/Read Retry/LDPC BCH/Read Retry/LDPC Advanced Signal Processing Advanced Signal Processing MLC Density (Gb) 32 64 64 128 128 256 256 1. M. Ishiduki et al., IEDM2009-626, 27.3.1-4 2. J. Jang et al., VLSI 2009, pp192-193 3. Y. Noh et al., VLSI 2012, pp19-20 Santa Clara, CA 5 4. A. Fazio, IEDM 2009 27.7.1-4

NAND Technology Scaling Challenges A. Fazio, IEDM 2009 27.7.1-4 As Floating Gate geometry shrinks, the same amount of charge loss causes larger Vt shifts causing endurance & data retention degradation with NAND scaling. FG-FG capacitive coupling and interference. 3D NAND Charge Trap Flash- potential workaround for this limitation (1z nm node in 2014-2015) Narrow FG-FG space doesn t leave enough room for the two inter-poly dielectric layers. Floating gate scaling challenge @ sub 2xnm NAND Planar floating gate cell with High-K Metal gate at sub 20nm maintain control to floating gate coupling ration with smaller area Main challenge is cell endurance, data retention. Cell operation window and Program Disturb due to High program fields Commercial grade MLC @ sub 20nm targeted at ~3K endurance/1 Year data retention target spec with Process Technology, Design innovations and Signal processing Santa Clara, CA 6

NAND Scaling Challenges Floating Gate Charge As NAND Technology node is scaled down, the number of electron/cell decreases. A small number of electrons (charge loss/gain) can result in dramatic effects on Vt. Less than 100 electrons/cell @ 1y nm in 2013 Santa Clara, CA 7

NAND Scaling Outlook J. Choi et. al., VLSI Tech Digest, pp178-179, 2011 2D Floating Gate Flash expected to face significant scaling challenges at 1z nm (10-13 nm) Technology Node in 2014-2015 timeframe 2D scaling challenges driven by significantly degrading reliability and cell-to-cell interference effects causing degradation in operating window at sub 20nm node 3D NAND will allow Effective Flash scaling into sub 10nm with 3D cell architecture - 3D-NAND cell based on charge trap technology, cmlc Target Reliability @ 3K endurance - Investigate opportunities for reliability improvements with 3D/Charge trap - 3D-NAND offers cost effective path for sub 10nm Flash scaling non EUV based solution, # of litho layers - Manufacturing, Yield & Quality critical learning must occur in 2013-2014 timeframe - 3D-NAND long term scalability may be challenging for >45 stack cells RRAM is lead candidate as potential 3D-NAND replacement in the 2017+ timeframe Santa Clara, CA 8

NAND Reliability Endurance - Number of Program/Erase cycles a cell is expected to be able to withstand. Failure mechanism is caused by charge trapping in gate oxide. Commercial MLC NAND at 2x 1x nm sustained @ 3K endurance Data Retention - Charge is lost on the floating gate over time. Block can be erased and reprogrammed. C-MLC spec d @ 1year, E-MLC @ 3month with max pre-cycled condition Affected mainly by three mechanisms. * High temperature accelerates rate of charge loss. - Charge de-trapping can occur. * Stress Induced Leakage Current (SILC) - Degradation caused by P/E cycles - Voltage accelerated * Cell Disturb - Activity on adjacent pages or cells can cause gradual buildup of charge on floating gate Program Disturb Charge collects on floating gate causing the cell to appear to be weakly programmed. Partial page programming accelerates disturbance Read Disturb Pages not selected for read see elevated voltage stress. If enough charge collects on floating gate, cells can appear to be charged, causing a flipped bit ** as geometry shrinks, the same amount of charge loss causes larger Vt shifts challenge to endurance & data retention for sub 2x nm Floating Gate MLC NAND Temperature effect - i) Effect on Charge Trap/De-trap kinetics (Data Retention/Endurance) and ii) Intrinsic Failure Modes vs Temperature with typical exponential dependency Santa Clara, CA 9

NAND (cmlc( cmlc, emlc,, SLC) Endurance & ECC Trends Flash Technology Node Endurance & Data Retention cycles has been decreasing with process shrinks 5x ~ 1xnm node ECC requirements increasing exponentially with process shrinks Advanced ECC algorithms, signal processing techniques critical for Enterprise SSD enablement in 2012-2015 timeframe (using sub 20nm MLC flash) Santa Clara, CA 10

NAND Reliability Outlook cmlc Floating gate & 3D-NAND Endurance Target will be maintained @ 3K thru 2xnm>1xnm>1ynm transitions in 2012-2014 driven by consumer cmlc reliability requirements 1x/1y nm scaling will require process technology innovations & usage of advanced signal processing Advanced Signal processing will be key in SSD enablement based on sub 1x nm cmlc (Floating gate & 3D NAND) Flash Need to explore cmlc extended endurance capability with relaxed data retention (3 month @ 40C) requirement Program / Erase Cycle 10000 3000 Natural Drift 4xnm 3xnm 2xnm 1xnm 1ynm Technology Node Maintain 3K endurance vs NAND scaling via: Process Technology Innovation Air Gap High-K/metal gate Advanced FG cell process architecture & design Signal Processing Read Retry Strong ECC, LDPC emlc 30K/3month reliability @ 3x -2x nm enabler for current industry Enterprise SSD emlc price premium over cmlc - key factor in future Enterprise SSD directions 1znm Santa Clara, CA 11

Flash signal processing Implications to SSD Technology Enablement NAND scaling vs Vt distribution widening mitigation via signal processing Vt distribution widening due to i) reduced # of electrons per cell and ii) adjacent cell interference with 2D NAND scaling Read Retry needed starting @ 2xnm emlc & cmlc Advanced DSP techniques including FG coupling compensated read, LDPC, Soft Data Algorithms needed @ 2y/sub 1x nm nodes Latency increase at device end of life must be evaluated Advanced Signal Processing critical in 1x /1y nm Flash usage for Enterprise SSD applications Understanding of Flash/Controller reliability capabilities & latency impact to SSD End of Life is key Santa Clara, CA 12

Advanced Memory Manufacturing & Quality Leading edge 300mm NAND/DRAM fab manufacturing driven by productivity, efficient, yield and quality requirements, typical fab capacity @ 100-150K WPM, Mostly dedicated NAND/DRAM fab strategy Fully integrated MES (Manufacturing Execution System) integrates various sub-data/control systems in ensuring robust quality system Focus on SPC/APC based process controls & small drift controls nano scale process window control requirements needed for robust quality FDC (Fault Detection Control) methodologies critical for sub 30nm NAND & DRAM manufacturing quality control Rigorous & thorough equivalency practices required across multiple fab locations spread out in widely different geo s DFM (Design for Manufacturing) critical in areas of lithography OPC, Design rules, layout and pattern density effects Santa Clara, CA 13

Flash Die Size/Cost Factors 32 Gb NAND MLC Die Area 250 200 Die Area (mm²) 150 100 50 0 A A B B' C D A' A B C D E Supplier NAND Die Rev Flash Die Cost reduction enabled by Lithography node transition NAND Flash Productivity (i.e., Die cost reduction) strongly driven by advanced Si technology enablement Die per Wafer 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 32Gb NAND MLC - 300m Fab Productivity 40 3x 2x 2y Technology Node Santa Clara, CA 14 Supplier A Supplier B Supplier C Supplier D

Flash Packaging Technology Key Directions High reliance on stacked packaging currently at 8DP, stacked package development focused on 16DP+ & TSV (Thru Si Via) stacked package 8DP/16DP stacked packaging Enabling 1-2Tera Bit Flash package (using 128Gb MLC Flash die @ 20nm node) Focus on TSV Stacked Flash package driven by power consumption & performance gain TSV Flash 16DP package Flash TSV package Santa Clara, CA 15

Summary Flash market driven by cost per bit scaling fueled by die cost reduction opportunities. Competition for smallest die size will continue thru lithography scaling, cell architecture, and design innovations advanced lithography technology key factor in speed of NAND cost reduction NAND floating gate scaling expected to reach significant challenges at 1y /1z nm technology node. 3D NAND provides path for sub 10nm effective scaling thru 3D Cell stacking in the 2014-2016 timeframe Signal Processing Technology & Strong ECC critical in meeting enterprise SSD reliability requirements with 1x /1y/ 1z nm NAND flash 300mm NAND manufacturing & quality systems key in memory quality & reliability focus on SPC/APC based process controls, FDC, DFM, equivalency and particle reduction needed Flash has been driving force for Advanced Stacked Packaging Technology 8DP BGA current mainstream, development focus on 16DP+ stacking & TSV sub 20nm NAND scaling & Advanced signal processing critical in meeting Enterprise SSD enablement in 2012-2016 timeframe Santa Clara, CA 16