INMARSAT > Interim Results Interim Results August 2017

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Transcription:

INMARSAT > Interim Results 2017 Interim Results 2017 3 August 2017

INMARSAT > Interim Results 2017 Mid-year review Rupert Pearce Chief Executive Officer

Market context Structural Change Demand Side Supply Side Inmarsat Will remain a key feature of our industry Significant potential investment from existing operators and new players Will help to capture new growth opportunities Rise of a digital society, powered by the Internet of Things Sizeable new markets will need satellite communications and technology Shift towards managed services and solutions Risk of over-capacity remains in certain geographies and for specific technologies Likely requirement for more usable capacity in certain mobility markets Driving into new satellite broadband markets in mobility Re-positioning L-band network for next generation Internet of Things opportunities

Our strategy Grow and diversify by serving the Digital Society with our unique capabilities Best networks Best solutions Best distribution Best organisation Driven by our unique position in mobility in Maritime, Government, Aviation and Enterprise

Operational Review - H1 2017 Continued focus on operational execution in challenging markets Group revenue up 9% to $688m, with EBITDA, up 2% to $376m in H1 2017 GX generated revenue of $60m in H1 2017, including $28m in Q2 2017 Maritime Against tough comparator in Q2, strong growth in higher bandwidth services and resilient L-band revenues, with legacy product continuing to decline Government Continued outperformance, reflecting material new business win, particularly impacting Q2, first CSSC revenue, increased Boeing revenue & ongoing higher operational tempo Aviation Sustained double digit revenue growth in Core business and further positive momentum in In Flight Connectivity, with Avianca and Qatar contract wins, and service with Deutsche Lufthansa Group going live Enterprise Growth in M2M but continuing difficult markets otherwise 5

2017 Maritime - the market opportunity Market share Small vessel market Inmarsat products: Fleet One Market size: 690,000 vessels Market value: c.$750m Mid-market Inmarsat products: FleetBroadband Market size: 60,000 vessels Market value: c.$540m VSAT / high bandwidth Inmarsat products: XpressLink, Fleet Xpress Market size: 20,000 vessels Market value: c.$500m Fleet One medium to long term upsell FleetBroadband migration to Fleet Xpress 2020 s Small vessel market Forecast market size: 725,000 vessels Potential market value: c.$780m Market share opportunity Mid-market Forecast market size: 50,000 vessels Potential market value: c.$450m Market share opportunity VSAT / high bandwidth Forecast market size: 40,000 vessels Potential market value: c.$1bn Market share opportunity Source: Inmarsat, Clarksons, Euroconsult, Futurenautics NB All estimated market sizes are retail 6

Maritime progress in H1 2017 Driven by continued demand for higher bandwidth services L-band Ka-band Fleet One > Over 2,000 vessels now installed > Building new business pipeline for future growth Fleet BroadBand > A solid performance, despite weak market conditions > On-going customer migration to Fleet Xpress ARPU-accretive for the Maritime business > Customers continue to take higher value packages Fleet Xpress > Installation programme ahead of schedule, with over 1,300 vessels now installed > Margin benefits from migration to Ka-band expected to come through > Future commitments on over 10,000 vessels > Strengthened internal installation capability > Market-leading distribution network, further enhanced by Satlink commitment, signed in Q1 2017 Fleet One medium to long term upsell FleetBroadband migration to Fleet Xpress 7

Aviation: BGA & SOS the market opportunity Business & General Aviation and Safety & Operations Services market Market size: Market size: BGA: 2016: $200m 2025: $600m SOS: (Long haul only) 2016: $50m 2025: $100m Key Drivers > Growth in connected jets in BGA from 21,000 in 2016 to 34,000 in 2026 > Increased bandwidth requirement per aircraft > Further innovation in cabin and cockpit applications > Key regulatory-driven mandates, including IRIS > Rise in next generation safety services Source: Euroconsult 2016 8

Aviation: IFC the market opportunity Growth in connected aircraft Regional split of new expected connected aircraft 2,400 5,200 13,900 7,600 500 1,900 Europe Asia Pacific x 2.2 800 600 1,400 1,000 North America Middle East LatAm 6,300 400 400 400 Twin aisle Single aisle Regional focus areas for Inmarsat 2016 2021 Source: Valour 2016 9

The European Aviation Network On track for commercial deployment in Q4 2017 EAN Proposition vs current IFC offerings Response to recent competitor claims > Higher capacity > Wider coverage > Faster speeds > Lower latency > Quicker and easier terminal installation > Lower cost per bit > Quicker and easier network expansion > Inmarsat is delivering EAN in accordance with framework established by European laws and implemented by national regulatory authorities > Competitor claims are entirely without merit and fundamentally misconceived > No basis to challenge our use of the MSS spectrum > All MSS regulatory authorizations received and issuance for remaining CGC licenses in final stages > On track for commercial deployment in Q4 2017 10

Aviation progress in H1 2017 Strong growth continues Business & General Aviation Safety & Operational Services > Continued double digit revenue growth in SwiftBroadband and Classic Aero > Over 17,000 terminals now connected > Continued high customer usage of SwiftBroadband > 64 JetConnex terminals now installed > JetConnex now linefit certified with 4 leading OEM s In-flight connectivity services for Commercial Aviation > Qatar Airways and Avianca contracts won in Q2 2017 > Over 1,200 signed aircraft under expected contract > Active new business pipeline of 3,000 aircraft > Increasing focus on installation programmes for customers > 101 aircraft installed for Deutsche Lufthansa Group > Launch of Inmarsat-S EAN satellite 11

Government the market opportunity Government/military satcom global capacity revenues Key Drivers: Major events Budgets Technology Contract wins

Government progress in H1 2017 US Boeing partnership CSSC contract ramping up New contract wins driven by renewed emphasis on direct sales Involvement in FirstNet consortium win International Higher operational tempo continues in one region Continued focus on geographic diversification - over 30 countries served Longer term opportunities in China and India

Enterprise the market opportunity Core Connectivity Markets Future markets Oil & Gas Mining Intelligent transport Smart Agriculture e2e logistics Media Aid & NGO Smart Cities Smart grids E-government 14

Enterprise progress in H1 2017 Legacy products remain under pressure in the short term > Impacted by challenging and competitive markets, in particular BGAN > On-going decline in customer demand for GSPS > Fixed to mobile impacted by continued migration to VOIP Focused on Internet-of-Things opportunities in the long term > Positive growth trajectory continues in M2M > Incubating key potential growth initiatives > Further developments in Connected Car proposition > Inmarsat involvement in Smart Africa Alliance > Re-focused approach gaining new business traction 15

Asset Base Development progress in H1 2017 Continuing to develop our organizational capability Launch of Inmarsat-5 F4 > Successful launch with SpaceX > Provides in-orbit redundancy and additional capacity, as and when required > Initially positioned over Europe, Middle East and Indian Sub-continent Design & build of 5th GX > Adds depth in capacity to service areas of higher demand, in particular aviation routes > Supports our customers in IFC > Illustrates constant evolution of GX to capture future growth opportunities to be launched during 2019 > Total expected capital investment of c.$200m, including launch and insurance Investing in our organisational capability > Building a strong functional backbone to support the business > Improving our organisational capability IT, Cyber, Finance, People, Digital, Operations, Product Development > Utilising best practice to drive innovation > Creating efficiencies over time 16

H1 2017 performance - summary Strong progress against our key priorities for 2017 Maritime Drive FleetBroadband ARPU and value, progress Fleet Xpress migration from Xpress Link, scale Fleet Xpress and Fleet One, CAP programme Aviation Continue to grow BGA & SOS services. Drive installation rates and win further customers in IFC. Ensure EAN is operational during H2 2017, including launch of S- band satellite in Q2 2017 Government Internationalise, diversify and innovate to deliver further value to key government customers. Deliver WGS and MUOS interoperability Enterprise Focus on M2M, innovation and sectorisation. Grow new market segments, address challenging markets and escalate planning for medium to long term opportunities Asset base Maintain high service and connectivity levels for L-band and GX customers, deliver successful launch of I-5 F4 satellite in Q2 2017 Organisational capability Continue investment in global functional transformation programmes to drive efficiency and effectiveness 17

INMARSAT > Interim Results 2017 Financial Review Tony Bates Chief Financial Officer

Group Income statement H1 and Q2 2017 $m H1 2017 H1 2016 Change Q2 2017 Q2 2016 Change Revenue 688.2 629.0 59.2 356.0 330.4 25.6 Operating costs (311.7) (260.6) (51.1) (161.0) (128.2) (32.8) EBITDA 376.5 368.4 8.1 195.0 202.2 (7.2) Depreciation & Amortisation (192.3) (174.5) (17.8) (96.2) (84.6) (11.6) Operating profit 184.2 193.9 (9.7) 98.8 117.6 (18.8) Adjusted net financing costs (50.2) (39.5) (10.7) (23.7) (21.7) (2.0) Adjusted profit before tax 134.0 154.4 (20.4) 75.1 95.9 (20.8) Tax (24.2) (32.0) 7.8 (17.5) (19.1) 1.6 Change in value of derivative (72.2) - (72.2) (13.9) - (13.9) Profit after tax 37.6 122.4 (84.8) 43.7 76.8 (33.1) Free cash flow 21.5 218.2 (196.7) 3.7 85.7 (82.0) DPS (cents) 21.6 20.6 5.0% 19

H1 2017 Business Unit Summary Maritime ($m) 2017 2016 Revenue 278 290 Direct Costs 41 42 Gross Margin 237 85% 248 86% Indirect Costs 17 21 EBITDA 220 79% 227 78% Government ($m) 2017 2016 Revenue 188 141 Direct Costs 28 18 Gross Margin 160 85% 123 87% Indirect Costs 22 22 EBITDA 138 73% 101 72% Aviation ($m) 2017 2016 Revenue 90 65 Direct Costs 8 2 Gross Margin 82 91% 63 97% Indirect Costs 31 18 EBITDA 51 57% 45 69% Enterprise ($m) 2017 2016 Revenue 62 73 Direct Costs 9 9 Gross Margin 53 85% 64 88% Indirect Costs 9 10 EBITDA 44 71% 54 74% Central Services ($m) 2017 2016 Revenue 70 62 Direct Costs 7 2 Gross Margin 63 60 Indirect Costs 139 119 EBITDA (76) (59) Group ($m) 2017 2016 Revenue 688 629 Direct Costs 94 71 Gross Margin 594 86% 558 89% Indirect Costs 217 190 EBITDA 377 55% 368 59% 20

Maritime Results H1 2017 VSAT revenue up $9.7m, 19.5%, to $59.7m FX installation rate ramping up assisted by partners Now 3600 ships, increasing order book ARPU lower due to increasing impact of distribution agreements Decline in FleetBroadband revenue of $8.3m or 4.5%, to $175.7m Fewer ships : FX migration and loss (mainly H2 2016) Lower ARPU reflecting migration to VSAT, lower F2M etc Other, mainly legacy products, fell by $12.7m or 22.8%, to $43.0m EBITDA $6.7m lower: Revenue impact Bad debt provisions (may reverse) Underlying indirect costs little changed $m 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 289.7 278.4 Revenue 227.1 Margin 78.4% EBITDA H1 2016 H1 2017 220.4 Margin 79.2% 21

Maritime Revenue trends 2016 $m Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 VSAT (XL and FX) 24.8 25.2 17% 25.2 27.8 FleetBroadband 89.7 94.3 64% 92.9 91.3 Other (mainly low margin and legacy) 28.6 27.1 18% 24.8 23.7 Total Maritime Revenue 143.1 146.6 83% 142.9 142.7 2017 Q1 Q2 29.2 30.5 22% 87.8 87.9 63% 22.1 20.9 15% 139.1 139.3 78% FBB Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 To VSAT (0.3) (0.2) (0.2) (0.3) Other 4.8 (1.2) (1.5) (3.2) Total 4.6 (1.3) (1.7) (3.5) Q1 (0.4) 0.5 0.1 Q2 VSAT Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 From FBB 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.5 Other (0.2) (0.4) 2.1 0.9 Total 0.4 (0.0) 2.6 1.5 Q1 0.8 0.5 1.3 Q2 1. Tougher Q2 comparative given FB price increase in Q2 2016 2. Revenue growth Q2 2017 v Q1 2017 4. FB declining slowly, compounded by migration to VSAT 5. Legacy decline at 20-25% pa continues but impact reducing 7. Material ARPU accretion on FB to FX migration 3. Accelerating strong growth in VSAT (in Q2 2017, 21% v PY) 6. FB ARPU increase Q2 2016 not sustained 22

Government Results H1 2017 Growth in the US Revenue up 57.2% Material new, high margin, contract impacting Q2 Boeing ToP contract CSSC contract ramping up FirstNet contract no impact in 2017 Growth outside the US Revenue up 4.3% Higher operational tempo continues EBITDA growth of $36.6m: Revenue impact Indirect costs unchanged $m 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 140.7 187.5 Revenue 101.2 Margin 71.9% H1 2016 H1 2017 137.8 Margin 73.5% EBITDA 23

Aviation Results H1 2017 Growth in Core BGA and Safety Total core revenues up $16.9m, (26%) to $81.5m SwiftBroadband up $13.3m, (32%), to $55.2m Classic Aero up $2.5m, (15%), to $19.3m Investment in In-Flight Connectivity (GX) Installation revenues of $8.6m Investment in capability EBITDA growth of $5.3m: Revenue growth, changing revenue mix Rising indirect costs Cash capex increased by $45.9m to $78.9m Inmarsat-S EAN satellite and GX on board equipment $m 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 64.6 90.1 Revenue 45.2 Margin 70.0% H1 2016 H1 2017 50.5 Margin 56.0% EBITDA 24

Enterprise Results H1 2017 Markets continue to be tough Revenue down $10.2m, (14%) to $62.3m BGAN -21% Continuing decline (particularly energy & media) GSPS -20% Airtime flat, terminal sales -46% FleetBroadband -29% Oil and Gas users and usage lower FB Fixed to Mobile -29% Structural migration to VOIP M2M +8% Increasing terminal numbers EBITDA declined by $10.4m: Revenue decline and mix Indirect costs unchanged 25 $m 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 72.5 62.3 Revenue 54.0 Margin 74.5% H1 2016 H1 2017 43.6 Margin 70.0% EBITDA

Group Cash Flow US$m H1 2017 H1 2016 Change Q2 2017 Q2 2016 Change EBITDA 376.5 368.4 8.1 195.0 202.2 (7.2) Working capital/non-cash items 17.2 49.0 (31.8) 15.7 16.3 (0.6) Operating cash flow 393.7 417.4 (23.7) 210.7 218.5 (7.8) Capital expenditure (300.8) (139.1) (161.7) (170.6) (100.6) (70.0) Interest paid (54.8) (38.5) (16.3) (33.5) (27.7) (5.8) Tax paid* (16.6) (21.6) 5.0 (2.9) (4.5) 1.6 Free cash flow 21.5 218.2 (196.7) 3.7 85.7 (82.0) Dividends paid (117.9) (144.0) 26.1 (117.9) (143.6) 25.7 Other movements (2.0) 2.6 (4.6) (0.7) (0.8) 0.1 Net cash flow (98.4) 76.8 (175.2) (114.9) (58.7) (56.2) Opening net debt 1,894.8 1,985.8 91.0 1,884.9 1,857.8 (27.1) Net cash flow 98.4 (76.8) (175.2) 115.2 58.7 (56.5) Other 12.6 14.9 2.3 5.7 7.4 1.8 Closing net debt 2,005.8 1,923.9 (81.9) 2,005.8 1,923.9 (81.8) * Legacy tax issue remains open 26

Capital Expenditure US$m H1 2017 H1 2016 Change Q2 2017 Q2 2016 Change Major infrastructure projects 203.5 100.2 (103.3) 127.3 66.3 (61.0) Success-based capex 53.4 23.1 (30.3) 23.4 10.5 (12.9) Other 58.8 34.2 (24.6) 29.0 12.8 (16.2) Cash flow timing (14.9) (18.4) (3.5) (9.1) 11.0 20.1 Total cash capital expenditure 300.8 139.1 (161.7) 170.6 100.6 (70.0) Major infrastructure projects: Success-based capex: Other: 2017 reflects I-5F4, I-5 F5, and I-6 spend satellite design, build, launch and ground infrastructure costs. Equipment installed on customer platforms (e.g. ships and aircraft) increasing due to DLH. Primarily infrastructure maintenance, IT and capitalised product and service development costs. This analysis of capital expenditure is on an accruals basis, with the timing adjustment to cash capex being shown separately, and is exclusive of capitalised interest. 27

Net debt $1,094m liquidity at 30 June Cash $516m Revolving Credit Facility $500m Undrawn Ex-Im Facilities $78m Average interest rate on Gross Debt of 4.43% (Dec 2016 4.41%) Leverage Net Debt* to normally be <3.5x EBITDA 2.5x at 30 Jun (as at 31 Dec 2016: 2.4x) 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0-500 -1,000 1,894.8 Net debt 2,005.8 394.4 +394.4-131.8 394.7 993.9 +1.2 994.4 541.5 +211.5 548.1 614.8-81.4 578.7-657.0-479.7-516.4 Dec 2016 Jun 2017 Ex-Im Bank (2023) Convertible Bond (2023) Senior Notes (2022) Senior Notes (2024) Other* Cash and short-term deposits * Including convert 28

Future Guidance Remains unchanged 2017 revenue, excluding Ligado, of $1,200m to $1,300 2018 revenue, excluding Ligado, of $1,300m to $1,500m EBITDA margin will be adversely impacted by: Addition of lower margin service revenues and higher indirect costs in Aviation IFC Higher central operational delivery costs Capex at $500m to $600m per annum for both 2017 and 2018 Annual GX revenues at a run rate of $500m by the end of 2020 Leverage to normally remain below 3.5x, compared to 2.5x at the end of HY 2017 29

Interim Results 2017 3 August 2017 Forward looking Statements This announcement contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause our actual results, performance or achievements, or industry results, to be materially different from those projected in the forward-looking statements. These factors include: general economic and business conditions; changes in technology; timing or delay in signing, commencement, implementation and performance or programmes, or the delivery of products or services under them; structural change in the satellite industry; relationships with customers; competition; and ability to attract personnel. You are cautioned not to rely on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this announcement. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement to reflect any change in our expectations or any change in events, conditions or circumstances. 30

INMARSAT > Interim Results 2017 Q&A Interim Results 2017