Results 3Q October 2015

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Transcription:

Results 3Q 2015 28 October 2015 1

Strong 3Q15 Service revenue growth underpinned by solid prepaid performance and stable core postpaid Growth driven by higher data usage and supported by attractive customer propositions and superior customer experience Underlying EBITDA stable excluding forex impact Third interim dividend of 5 sen net per share; pay-out aligned to cash generation and dividend policy 2

Growing service revenue in a competitive environment Service Revenue Total RGS and Blended ARPU QoQ (RM mn) 0.0% +2.2% +1.6% -1.6% +3.1% 55 54 53 51 53 YoY -3.7% -0.7% +4.4% +2.2% +5.3% 2,049 2,094 2,127 2,094 2,158 11,338 11,864 12,192 12,214 11,956 Blended ARPU (RM/mth) 3 3 Service revenue growth underpinned by solid prepaid contribution and stable core postpaid; YTD growth @ 4.0% QoQ overall subscription base impacted by high rotational churn and price-focused competition

Prepaid revenue growth driven by higher data adoption Prepaid Revenue Prepaid RGS and ARPU QoQ (RM mn) +2.2% +1.4% +4.5% -3.5% +6.0% 40 39 38 36 39 YoY -6.0% -0.1% +8.7% +4.4% +8.4% 993 1,007 1,052 1,015 1,076 8,120 8,656 8,992 9,068 8,850 ARPU (RM/mth) 4 4 Solid revenue momentum on the back of rising data usage Migrant traction continued; driven by new focus countries QoQ subscription base mainly impacted by high rotational churn of low ARPU and low tenure subscribers

Core postpaid revenue growth driven by higher value subscriber mix Postpaid Revenue Postpaid RGS and ARPU (RM mn) (RGS ex-wbb) QoQ -2.4% +2.4% -1.3% +0.2% 0.0% 95 98 96 97 98 YoY -8.8% -2.3% -1.2% -1.2% +1.2% 962 985 972 974 974 2,786 2,809 2,823 2,796 2,784 ARPU (RM/mth) 5 5 514k MaxisONE Plan subscribers with ARPU at ~RM150 MaxisONE Share and MaxisZerolution propositions have good traction Bundled propositions mitigate impact of voice/sms-to-data substitution; >30% postpaid revenue base year-to-date

Worry free propositions and rising 4G adoption driving data momentum Data Volume by Technology Mobile Internet Users Data Usage LTE Device Smart-phone Penetration 50 40 30 20 10 27 32 36 42 45 7,600 8,800 9,000 9,100 9,000 1,295 1,350 1,393 768 885 1,007 1,537 1,191 1,765 1,292 959 1,240 67% 67% 50% 54% 1,613 2,037 2,368 72% 73% 75% 60% 63% 65% 0 2G 3G 4G LTE Postpaid (MB/mth) Prepaid (MB/mth) Postpaid Prepaid Mobile data traffic +67% YoY; >15% data traffic handled by 4G LTE network Added more than 1.5 million 4G LTE users in last 12 months 4G LTE average data consumption at 2.3 GB/month 6 6

Continued building a high performing network; leads in widest LTE coverage Capex Network Population Coverage 16.3% 25.0% 6.8% 12.3% 16.6% 2G 3Q14 3Q15 95% 95% 3G 86% 91% 530 337 146 260 359 LTE 20% 55% Capex (RM mn) Capex/Sales 2G & 3G Modernisation 67% 83% 55% LTE pop coverage; >95% key market centres; overall 60% in all state capitals Covering 1.5 million more population than our nearest competitor and rapidly expanding Always ON best data experience 7 7

Underlying EBITDA stable excluding forex impact Normalised EBITDA (Excluding unrealised forex losses) 53.1% 54.3% 50.2% 51.6% 51.6% (% of Total Revenue) Cost Development 995 1,123 1,102 1,009 1,145 8.9 7.6 8.2 5.5 5.8 3.2 5.2 5.7 4.7 6.4 11.0 5.4 5.7 5.2 4.4 1,079 1,034 1,084 1,110 1,111 31.6 32.8 33.2 30.8 31.8 EBITDA (RM mn) Service Revenue EBITDA Margin 3Q14 Direct Exp 4Q14 S&M 1Q15 Staff 2Q15 G&A 3Q15 Total Costs (RM mn) RM113 million forex losses this quarter; mainly unrealised losses Increased in direct expenses attributed to higher IDD interconnect charges 8 8

Profit After Tax Profit After Tax Profit After Tax Margin (RM mn) Accelerated Depreciation 23.9% 19.7% 21.2% 23.0% 20.4% 113 494 419 455 485 442 57 57 56 27 PAT (RM PAT Margin mn) 3Q PAT in-line with EBITDA development in the quarter PAT excludes RM20 million in accelerated depreciation net of tax (2Q15: RM42 million) 9 9

FY2015 Priorities and outlook 1 Accelerate data adoption and monetisation Service revenue growth at low single digits 2 Commitment to superior network and service experience EBITDA at similar level to FY2014 Increased capex spend RM1.2 billion RM1.3 billion 3 Re-shape distribution/retail network 4 Continuous focus on operational efficiency and excellence 10 10

q & a Visit our website for more information @ www.maxis.com.my/investor 11 11

12 12 thank you

Disclaimer the use of forward- -looking statements. Forward-looking statements can be identified by Forward-looking statements made in this presentation involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause actual future performance, outcomes and results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. Such forwardfuture events and are not a guarantee of future performance. Maxis cannot give any assurance that such forward-looking statements will be realized. Factors which could affect actual future performance, outcomes and results include (without limitation) general industry and economic conditions, interest rate trends, cost of capital and capital availability, availability of real estate properties, competition from other companies and avenues for the sale/distribution of goods and services, shifts in customer demands, customers and partners, changes in operating expenses, including employee wages, benefits and training, governmental and public policy changes and the continued availability of financing in the amounts and the terms necessary to support future business. Forward-looking statements made in this presentation are made only as at the date of this presentation and Maxis and its subsidiaries, affiliates, representatives and advisers expressly disclaim any obligation or undertaking to release, publicly or otherwise, any updates or revisions to any such forward-, change in conditions or circumstances or otherwise. 13 13 This presentation has been prepared by Maxis. The information in this presentation, including forward-looking statements, has not been independently verified. Without limiting any of the foregoing in this disclaimer, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy or completeness of such information. Maxis and its subsidiaries, affiliates, representatives and advisers shall have no liability whatsoever (whether in negligence or otherwise) for any loss, damage, costs or expenses howsoever arising out of or in connection with this presentation.

APPENDICES 14 14

Important definitions/notations Service Revenue: Group revenue excluding device & hubbing revenues EBITDA margin on Service Revenue: EBITDA that has been adjusted for costs solely related to the provision of service revenue defined above Normalised PAT: Normalised for one-off items after accounting for tax effects of RM43 mil in 3Q14, RM84 million in 4Q14, RM43 million in 1Q15, RM42 million in 2Q15 and RM20 million in 3Q15 Free Cash Flow: Cash Flow from Operations Cash Flow from Investing Activities Interest paid Finance lease repayment Revenue generating subscriber/subscription (RGS30): Defined as active line subscriptions and exclude those that does not have any revenue generating activities for more than 30 days WBB subscription: Subscriptions on data plans using USB modems and tablets FBI: Free basic internet Smart-phone: Any devices with growing apps stores and active developers 15 15

Consolidated Income Statement RM mn Reported 1Q15 Reported 2Q15 Reported 3Q15 QoQ chg Normalised 1Q15 Normalised 2Q15 Normalised 3Q15 REVENUE 2,149 2,110 2,166 +2.7% 2,149 2,110 2,166 +2.7% Direct Exp (713) (650) (689) (713) (650) (689) Indirect Exp (389) (359) (456) (389) (359) (456) Total Exp (1,102) (1,009) (1,145) +13.5% (1,102) (1,009) (1,145) +13.5% EBITDA 1,047 1,101 1,021-7.3% 1,047 1,101 1,021-7.3% Margin 48.7% 52.2% 47.1% 48.7% 52.2% 47.1% Depreciation (294) (296) (265) (237) (240) (238) Amortisation (61) (67) (71) (61) (67) (71) Others (6) (2) (9) (6) (2) (9) EBIT 686 736 676-8.2% 743 792 703-11.2% Interest Exp (110) (117) (125) (110) (117) (125) Interest Inc 14 12 15 14 12 15 PBT 590 631 566-10.3% 647 687 593-13.7% Tax (178) (188) (144) (192) (202) (151) PAT 412 443 422-4.7% 455 485 442-8.9% QoQ chg 16 16

Cash Flow Statement RM mn Cash flow from operating activities 1,146 1,336 856 841 1,109 Cash flow used in investing activities (389) (597) (256) (398) (429) Purchase of property, plant & equipment (338) (519) (146) (317) (357) Proceeds from disposal of PPE 2 2-1 - Purchase of intangible assets (53) (80) (110) (82) (72) Cash flow before financing activities 757 739 600 443 680 Cash flow used in financing activities (634) (684) (796) (221) (934) Dividends paid (600) (601) (600) (976) (375) Debt drawdown 1,000-350 840 - Debt repayment (921) - (421) - (421) Payment of finance costs (114) (86) (129) (92) (139) Others 1 3 4 7 1 Net change in cash 123 55 (196) 222 (254) RM mn 2Q15 3Q15 Debt# 9,569 9,105 Cash 1,557 1,303 Net Debt 8,012 7,802 Total Equity 4,038 4,117 Ratios 2Q15 3Q15 Net debt to EBITDA* 1.86x 1.85x Net debt to Equity 1.98x 1.89x # Includes derivative financial instruments for hedging; excludes vendor financing * Based on annualised YTD EBITDA 17 17 Opening Cash Balance 1,353 1,476 1,531 1,335 1,557 Closing Cash Balance 1,476 1,531 1,335 1,557 1,303

Key Financial Data REVENUE BREAKDOWN (RM mn) 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 Total Revenue - Service - Mobile - EntFixed - Integrated Ser - Non-Service - Device - Hubbing EBITDA Margin on Service Revenue 2,327 2,143 2,066 63 14 184 125 59 2,294 2,136 2,062 58 16 158 95 63 2,239 2,127 2,051 58 18 112 43 69 2,224 2,108 2,024 61 23 116 56 60 2,119 2,037 1,953 59 25 82 40 42 2,082 2,049 1,958 62 29 33 5 28 2,065 2,049 1,954 64 31 16 2 14 2,123 2,094 1,992 68 34 29 7 22 2,149 2,127 2,024 65 38 22 9 13 2,110 2,094 1,989 64 41 16 6 10 53.0% 54.4% 49.6% 46.4% 53.0% 53.5% 52.7% 48.6% 49.8% 53.9% 47.5% (RM mn) 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 Mobile Revenue* - Prepaid - Postpaid 2,066 1,069 997 2,062 1,047 1,015 2,051 1,055 996 2,024 1,008 1,016 1,953 969 984 1,958 972 986 1,954 992 962 1,992 1,007 985 2,024 1,052 972 1,989 1,015 974 2,166 2,158 2,050 63 45 8 4 4 2,050 1,076 974 18 18 * Commencing 1Q15, further breakdowns of mobile revenue are not disclosed as we are not applying fair value to new bundled plans including the MaxisONE Plan

Key Financial Data 19 19 REPORTED - FINANCIALS (RM mn) 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 Total Revenue 2,327 2,294 2,239 2,224 2,119 2,082 2,065 2,123 2,149 2,110 2,166 Total Expenses - Direct - Indirect REPORTED - COSTS (RM mn) 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 Total Expenses 1,205 1,129 1,187 1,253 1,046 996 995 1,123 1,102 1,009 1,145 Direct Expenses 801 787 738 763 707 652 652 696 713 650 689 Indirect Expenses - S&M - Staff Costs - Bad Debts - G&A 1,205 801 404 404 91 135 20 158 1,129 787 342 342 77 111 16 138 1,187 738 449 449 87 218 8 136 1,253 763 490 490 108 154 21 207 1,046 707 339 EBITDA 1,122 1,165 1,052 971 1,073 1,086 1,070 1,000 1,047 1,101 1,021 PBT 666 735 667 428 657 634 643 502 590 631 566 PAT 476 530 474 292 488 451 451 335 412 443 422 EBITDA Margin 339 71 117 12 139 996 652 344 48.2% 50.8% 47.0% 43.7% 50.6% 52.2% 51.8% 47.1% 48.7% 52.2% 47.1% PAT Margin 20.5% 23.1% 21.2% 13.1% 23.0% 21.7% 21.8% 15.8% 19.2% 21.0% 19.5% 344 100 115 9 120 995 652 343 343 107 66 15 155 1,123 696 427 427 122 116 18 171 1,102 713 389 389 103 124 4 158 1,009 650 359 359 110 115 10 124 1,145 689 456 456 94 124 9 229

Key Financial Data NORMALISED - FINANCIALS (RM mn) 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 Total Revenue 2,327 2,294 2,239 2,224 2,119 2,082 2,065 2,123 2,149 2,110 2,166 Total Expenses - Direct - Indirect 1,205 801 404 1,129 787 342 1,085 738 347 1,143 759 384 1,046 707 339 EBITDA 1,122 1,165 1,154 1,081 1,073 1,064 1,070 1,000 1,047 1,101 1,021 PBT 726 775 769 660 696 672 700 615 647 631 593 PAT 521 560 550 466 517 480 494 419 455 485 442 EBITDA Margin 48.2% 50.8% 51.5% 48.6% 50.6% 51.1% 51.8% 47.1% 48.7% 52.2% 47.1% PAT Margin 22.4% 24.4% 24.6% 21.0% 24.4% 23.1% 23.9% 19.7% 21.2% 23.0% 20.4% 1,018 652 366 995 652 343 1,123 696 427 1,102 713 389 1,009 650 359 1,145 689 456 20 20 NORMALISED - COSTS (RM mn) 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 Total Expenses 1,205 1,129 1,085 1,143 1,046 1,018 995 1,123 1,102 1,009 1,145 Direct Expenses 801 787 738 759 707 652 652 696 713 650 689 Indirect Expenses - S&M - Staff Costs - Bad Debts - G&A 404 91 135 20 158 342 77 111 16 138 347 87 116 9 135 384 108 113 21 142 339 71 117 12 139 366 100 115 9 142 343 107 66 15 155 427 122 116 18 171 389 103 124 4 158 359 110 115 10 124 456 94 124 9 229

Key Operational Data CUSTOMERS (RGS30) Mobile Subs - Prepaid - Postpaid - WBB 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 11,532 8,289 2,634 608 11,310 8,054 2,664 592 11,003 7,759 2,683 561 11,048 7,797 2,721 530 11,076 7,822 2,749 505 11,146 7,903 2,781 462 11,338 8,120 2,786 432 11,864 8,656 2,809 398 12,192 8,992 2,823 377 12,214 9,068 2,796 351 11,956 8,850 2,784 322 ARPUs (RGS30) (RM/mth) 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 Postpaid 103 104 101 101 97 98 95 98 96 97 98 Prepaid 41 40 42 42 40 40 40 39 38 36 39 Blended 57 57 58 58 55 56 55 54 53 51 53 SMART PHONE PENETRATION (%) 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 Blended - Prepaid - Postpaid 25 20 49 29 23 53 33 27 56 38 32 59 43 38 61 48 43 64 54 50 67 57 54 67 62 60 72 65 63 73 67 65 75 21 21 * WBB subscriptions defined as subscriptions on data plans using USB modems and tablets # Commencing 1Q15, postpaid MOU is no longer disclosed as we are not applying fair value to new bundled plans including the MaxisONE Plan * Smart-phone defined as any devices with growing apps store and active developers

Key Operational Data CUSTOMERS (Market Definition) Mobile Subs - Prepaid - Postpaid 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 14,136 10,780 3,356 13,873 10,497 3,376 13,213 9,845 3,368 12,893 9,528 3,365 12,602 9,238 3,364 12,401 9,042 3,359 12,415 9,081 3,334 12,913 9,624 3,289 13,260 9,979 3,280 13,269 10,051 3,218 WBB* 673 663 636 596 569 532 495 440 412 385 357 Mobile Internet Users 7,900 8,000 6,900 7,300 7,100 7,500 7,600 8,800 9,000 9,100 9,000 Home Connections 31 36 43 52 59 66 72 80 89 99 107 13,110 9,927 3,174 ARPUs and MOUs (Market Definition) (RM/mth) 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 4Q13 1Q14 2Q14 Postpaid ARPU# 102 103 100 101 96 97 94 97 95 96 97 Prepaid - ARPU - MOU (min/mth) 32 125 31 119 33 116 33 117 33 118 Blended ARPU# 46 46 48 49 48 50 50 50 48 47 49 34 124 35 131 35 133 35 126 33 131 35 134 22 22 * WBB subscriptions defined as subscriptions on data plans using USB modems and tablets included in postpaid subscriptions # Commencing 1Q15, postpaid MOU is no longer disclosed as we are not applying fair value to new bundled plans including the MaxisONE Plan