Workshop on Water Industry Restructuring and Competition

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1 :diagnostics/ :transformation/ :investment planning/ :portfolio optimisation/ :investment economics/ :regulation and economics/ :training/ Workshop on Water Industry Restructuring and Competition The Practicalities of Vertical Separation: Lessons from the Unbundling of the Electricity Industry 10 February 2011

2 :diagnostics/ :transformation/ :investment planning/ :portfolio optimisation/ :investment economics/ :regulation and economics/ :training/ Workshop on Water Industry Restructuring and Competition What is it like to be The Practicalities of Vertical Separation: Lessons from the Unbundling on the receiving of the Electricity end? Industry 10 February 2011 Page : 2 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

3 Electricity was easy... Homogeneous product Relatively easy to control quality Integrated delivery infrastructure Fully metered infrastructure Page : 3 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

4 Electricity was easy... Homogeneous product Relatively easy to control quality Integrated delivery infrastructure Fully metered infrastructure Real time management Instantaneous delivery No facility for storage No substitute product Page : 4 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

5 Industry Overview - Pre-privatisation Generation System Operation CEGB Transmission Distribution Metering Electricity Boards Electricity Boards Electricity Boards Supply Customers Page : 5 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

6 Industry Overview On privatisation Generation Nuclear Power National Power Powergen System Operation Transmission National Grid Pooling and Settlement Distribution Metering Regional Electricity Companies Regional Electricity Companies Regional Electricity Companies Supply Customers Page : 6 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

7 Industry Overview though the 1990 s Generation Nuclear Power New National National Gens Power Power Powergen / Nat Power System Operation Transmission National Grid Pooling and Settlement Distribution Metering Regional Electricity Companies Regional Electricity Companies Distribution and Metering Separate Licences Accounting Separation Supply Retail Legal Separation Customers Page : 7 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

8 Industry Overview now re-integration Generation Nuclear Power Other Gens EON / Nat Power System Operation Transmission National Grid Settlement Distribution Metering Distribution Network Operators Metering Companies Distribution Metering Supply Retail Customers Page : 8 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

9 Industry Overview Operational Interfaces Generation System Operation Transmission Distribution Metering Nuclear Power EON / Nat Other Gens Power 200 Points of Interface National Grid 400 Points of Interface Distribution Network Operators Distribution 25 Million Points of Interface Metering Companies Metering Settlement Grid Code Distribution Code Settlement Code Supply Retail Customers Page : 9 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

10 It s hard enough without all the fighting... Imagine the mother and father of all re-organisations and double it! Industry and company wide Decisions made in an uncertain environment Can be paralysing Shared transparent services versus split services Call centres Customer and asset data Integrated information systems Central services legal, communications, IT, HR How you organise will influence your future - transparency Page : 10 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

11 You will spend the money... The commercial arrangements will be generally complex Large numbers of parties will need to be integrated Processes and systems need to be production ready Complexity and integration is expensive Electricity Trading and Settlement ½ hourly settlement across all generators and suppliers 3 changes of the settlement approach and systems NETA systems cost approx 1.5bn Electricity Retail Competition All customers could select their suppliers from 1998 onwards Systems costs approx 1bn Page : 11 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

12 The devil (and more cost) is in the data... Data requirements can be complex and large In the face of uncertainty data ownership needs to be clear Who owns the customer? Who owns the meter? New obligations MPAS Distribution Company Meter Operator Supply Company Customer Tariff Consumption Page : 12 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

13 Everybody wants to be Richard Branson... The magpie effect It s shiny, it s new and it s exciting It s also very distracting Desire for diversification Generation Asset management and delivery services International business Your assets need some love too! Good people Management focus Page : 13 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

14 In summary at the industry and company level... Understand what and why! Influence Clarify Decide Align Plan, plan and plan again Communicate Page : 14 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

15 You don t always end up where you thought you would be... 3 out of 3 senior politicians surveyed in 2005 stated that structurally the electricity industry has not ended up where they thought it would be : Need for regulatory comparators initially prevented consolidation Foreign ownership No national champions It took 50% longer to implement than planned The electricity industry is leaner and more focussed has the customer seen the most benefit they could have?... Is it the best structure for the industry? Page : 15 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

16 ICS Consulting is a company formed by experienced people We are a small consultancy providing niche services to asset intensive industries predominantly in the UK, Europe & Middle East We all have extensive experience within the utility industry and utilities consultancy, with some of the most respected names in the industry Our philosophy is to provide a high quality service to clients with the ambition to succeed Page : 16 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

17 We provide a range of products and services across the Asset Management and Regulatory spectrum :investment planning/ :diagnostics/ business evaluation capability assessment investment planning framework whole life costing deterioration modelling service modelling investment governance :transformation/ transformation roadmap business processes organisation design inter-trading framework :regulation and economics/ benchmarking and efficiency competition policy tariffs and affordability metering cost benefit analysis :portfolio optimisation/ portfolio optimisation investment manager programme manager scenario planning :training/ regulation statistics asset management cost benefit analysis :investment economics/ justification of investment choice experiments valuation completion whole life cost and benefit real options and uncertainty Page : 17 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

18 We have worked with most of the UK Water industry Over the past few years we have changed the face of asset and investment planning in the UK water industry Veolia Central Veolia East Veolia South East Bournemouth South Staffordshire Bristol Page : 18 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

19 :diagnostics/ :transformation/ :investment planning/ :portfolio optimisation/ :investment economics/ :regulation and economics/ :training/ Workshop on Water Industry Restructuring and Competition The Practicalities of Vertical Separation: Lessons from the Unbundling of the Electricity Industry 10 February 2011 Page : 19 ICS Consulting Ltd 2010

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