Future X Network. Sanjay Kamat Managing Partner, Bell Labs Consulting Nokia

Size: px

Start display at page:

Download "Future X Network. Sanjay Kamat Managing Partner, Bell Labs Consulting Nokia"

Adam Goodwin
5 years ago
Views:

1 Future X Network Sanjay Kamat Managing Partner, Bell Labs Consulting Nokia

2 Nokia Bell Labs innovations have been changing the way we live for more than 90 years Nokia Nokia Internal

3 Nokia Bell Labs today Creating disruptive innovations for the next phase of human existence Nokia Nokia Internal

4 Future X New network architecture for the 5G era (and beyond) WHY NEW ARCHITECTURE? Digital Value Dynamic 7 ANP, CSP, ICP, 8 Platforms Vertical apps Data Security New trust framework External data sources Ecosystem sharing Mass edge monitoring Augmented 6 Machine A. Cognition One Systems Huge Expectation Analytics on Creating learning New Value Open APIs Enable the Next Technological Revolution Management & Programmable Dynamic Dynamic Multioperator 5 customer Orchestration network B. Network Three OS Fundamental services SDN Limits NFV optimization federation Universal Common data layer Adaptive Core Access agnostic modular, decomposed C. Seven Dominant converged Forces core Shaping network functions the Architecture 4 Physics, Mathematics, Economics self-optimized coverage & capacity 3 Smart Network Fabric Long fibers Short waves & wires Humans & Machines 1 Massive Scale Access Converged 2 Software Edge Cloud defined, end-end Access Remote 4 Nokia 2017

5 Humanity s Needs Human Needs Technological Revolution = Interconnection and interdependence of new systems and technologies + The capacity to profoundly transform the economy and eventually society Free WiFi New Value Creation How? 5 Nokia 2017

6 Remember Malthus and his dismal prophecy? The power of population is so superior to the power of the Earth to produce subsistence for man, that premature death that must in some shape or the other visit the human race. Thomas Malthus How did we prove him wrong? 6 Nokia 2017

7 World Population [Billions] Technological Revolutions Creation of new value The power of population is so superior to the power of the Earth to produce subsistence for man, that premature death must in some shape or the other visit the human race. Thomas Malthus $11,000 $15, GDP per capita Life Expectancy AGRICULTURE ERA $ MECHANICAL SYSTEMS ERA $ $ ELECTRICAL SYSTEMS ERA $2, ELECTRONIC SYSTEMS ERA 70 SHARING ERA INFORMATION ERA? ? Our industry has helped create the sharing era what is next? 7 Nokia 2017

8 Creating New Value for Augmented Intelligence Era Can our industry help crack the problem of enabling sustainable growth? 8 Nokia 2017

Our Thesis - Digitization as enabler of Networked Augmented

0 Create efficiencies / reduce waste by enabling flows over various

0 Create efficiencies / reduce waste by replacing physical with

0 Digital Transportation, Digital Health, Digital Energy, Digital

9 Our Thesis - Digitization as enabler of Networked Augmented Intelligence Value 1.0 Create efficiencies / reduce waste by enabling flows over various networks Value 2.0 Create efficiencies / reduce waste by replacing physical with digital Transportation, Health, Energy & Communications Value 3.0 Digital Transportation, Digital Health, Digital Energy, Digital Communications & Digital Manufacturing Create efficiencies / reduce waste by controlling physical using digital Automation, Optimization & Control of everything that matters 9 Nokia 2017

10 Humanity s Needs New Value Remove waste How? Sense, Analyze, Control X where X = New Value Creation How? 10 Nokia 2017

11 Humanity s Needs Human Needs We are here Free WiFi New Value Creation How? 11 Nokia 2017

12 New Value Create / Save time How? Automate X where X = While building and keeping 12 Nokia 2017

13 New Value Create new experiences How? Connect Digital and Physical X where X = 13 Nokia 2017

14 New Value Create new knowledge How? Augmented Intelligence to better understand X where X = 14 Nokia 2017

15 1 Rise of the Machine 7 Forces Shaping Future X Architecture 15 Nokia 2017

16 Devices Per Human Rise of the Machine = Create time, experience, knowledge remove waste 1 Tools Smarter Tools Create Ever Smarter Autonomous Tools Present Create Create Operate Future Growth 76x Create Past 200 Operate 200 Operate s From Mechanical Advantage to Cognitive Advantage with new network 16 Nokia 2017

17 1 Rise of the Machine 7 Forces 2 Emergence of the Enterprise Shaping Future X Architecture 17 Nokia 2017

18 Economic Value $3.8T-$11T economic impact in 2025 Source: McKinsey Global Institute, The Internet of Things: Mapping the Value Beyond the Hype, June 2015? 1 Emergence of the Enterprise Nokia 2017

19 1 Rise of the Machine 7 Forces Shaping 2 Emergence of the Enterprise 3 Move to the Edge Cloud Future X Architecture 19 Nokia 2017

Bandwidth Latency & bandwidth matter for new digital experiences + saving time 10Gbps

Autonomous vehicles 100Mbps 10Mbps 360 video (lo-res) Remote training 4k Video streaming

Comms & Chatbots Cloud-assisted driving Remote control vehicles Electric grid control

20 Bandwidth Latency & bandwidth matter for new digital experiences + saving time 10Gbps Video 360 video (free viewpoint) Cloud RAN 360 VR/AR VR/AR 1Gbps 360 video (hi-res) Autonomous vehicles 100Mbps 10Mbps 360 video (lo-res) Remote training 4k Video streaming Haptic VR Virtual RAN 1Mbps 100kbps 10kbps People & Things Sensors HD Video streaming Comms & Chatbots Cloud-assisted driving Remote control vehicles Electric grid control System Control 1kbps Home Sensors 10s 1s 100ms 10ms 1ms 100us 10us Latency Core Cloud Edge Cloud Nokia

21 1 Rise of the Machine 7 Forces Shaping Future X 2 Emergence of the Enterprise 3 Move to the Edge Cloud 4 Confluence of Networks (& IT) Architecture Nokia

22 Architecture old silos vs. new convergence (& joint optimization) Past 10Mbps 10Gbps Future 100ms 1ms Edge Cloud Core Cloud Compute Tech IP Networks Broadband Access } People Devices 10x 100x 1000x Core Cloud IP Networks Broadband Access Things 10B 100B+ Compute Tech 4 $ day $ - + $1 10 years Confluence of Networks (& IT) Radically new distributed network architecture to support confluence of technologies 22 Nokia 2017

23 1 Rise of the Machine 7 Forces Shaping Future X Architecture 2 Emergence of the Enterprise 3 Move to the Edge Cloud 4 Confluence of Networks (& IT) 5 Evolution to Cognitive Operations 23 Nokia 2017

24 Network operations Today Manual configuration time intensive and error prone Nokia

25 Network Operations Future Fully automated self-orchestrating Network OS Nokia

2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Need for Cognitive Operations the only way to manage complexity Transactional complexity growth factors A E B

capacity scaling & optimization 10X 5X Connected Devices Device Apps Digital Services Social Networks Context Attributes Security Safeguards Processing

10000x Future X Network Cognitive = Predictive and Proactive Operations 8000x 6000x 4000x 2000x 0x 5 Rise in network transaction complexity required to deliver

26 Need for Cognitive Operations the only way to manage complexity Transactional complexity growth factors A E B Network Slices 5X Moore s Law 40X Microservices 10X Virtual Network n Virtual Network 1 Physical Network F C Contextual Interaction 70X Control capacity scaling & optimization 10X 5X Connected Devices Device Apps Digital Services Social Networks Context Attributes Security Safeguards Processing Capacity = f ( E, F ) Traffic Peak to Average Processing Demand = f ( A, B, C, D ) D 4X 16000x 14000x 12000x 10000x Future X Network Cognitive = Predictive and Proactive Operations 8000x 6000x 4000x 2000x 0x 5 Rise in network transaction complexity required to deliver dynamic services at massive scale Increasing levels of network intelligence required to support growth in network capacity with stability Source: Bell Labs Consulting Nokia

27 1 Rise of the Machine 7 Forces Shaping Future X Architecture 2 Emergence of the Enterprise 3 Move to the Edge Cloud 4 Confluence of Networks (& IT) 5 Evolution to Cognitive Operations 6 Enabling new Business Models Nokia

28 Four basic value vectors for new business models Create: Unique Value, More Time, Demonstrable Trust Digital Value CONTENT 6 CONTROL CLOUD Provide: Optimal Cloud Performance & Economics, Guaranteed Security Cloud Network Deliver: Entertainment, Information, Distribution CONNECTIVITY Optimize: Broadband Access, Transport Economics, & Scalability It is a journey Nokia

29 2025 Economic Impact in $B What to monetize the big picture 1: Industrial Automation Services (monetize control) 2: Smart City Services (monetize scale) : Media (AR/VR/MR) Low Services estimate(monetize High experiences) estimate size in $ billion, adjusted to 2015 Data source: McKinsey Global Institute, High estimate The Internet of Things: Mapping the Value Low estimate Beyond the Hype, June Factory Cities Human Retail Worksites Outside Vehicles Home Source: McKinsey Global Institute, The internet of things: Mapping the value beyond the hype, June Nokia

businesses TANGIBLE ASSETS RETURN ON INVESTED CAPITAL 7% OWN ASSETS OTHER S

30 Fundamental role of assets 4x OWN ASSETS OTHER S ASSETS 16x INTANGIBLE ASSETS INTANGIBLE ASSETS TANGIBLE ASSETS Traditional Telcos and brick and mortar businesses TANGIBLE ASSETS RETURN ON INVESTED CAPITAL 7% OWN ASSETS OTHER S ASSETS 4x Digital Value Platforms to create appreciating assets + Smart sharing 30 Nokia 2017

31 SUMMARY 7 Forces Shaping Future X Architecture P E R I M E T E R L E S S 1 Rise of the Machine 2 Emergence of the Enterprise 3 Move to the Edge Cloud 4 Confluence of Networks (& IT) 5 Evolution to Cognitive Operations 6 Enabling new Business Models Nokia 7 Need for Pervasive Security

32 Future X A New Architecture for New Value in the 5G era Digital Value 7 ANP, CSP, ICP, Platforms Vertical apps Augmented Cognition Systems External data sources 6 Analytics Machine learning 8 Dynamic Data Security New trust framework Ecosystem sharing Mass edge monitoring 5 Programmable Network OS Open APIs Dynamic customer services Management & Orchestration SDN NFV Dynamic network optimization Multioperator federation 4 Universal Adaptive Core Access agnostic converged core modular, decomposed network functions Common data layer self-optimized coverage & capacity 3 Smart Network Fabric Long fibers Short waves & wires Humans & Machines 1 Massive Scale Access Converged 2 Software Edge Cloud defined, end-end Access Remote Nokia

33 terascale trust Infinite capacity global-local alliance Networked Augmented Intelligence the next technological revolution 3D 100x augmented cognition SLA imperceptible latency security Pervasive digital-physical systems drive life and business automation Automation of everything transforms economy and society and creates time Fundamental digital needs demand radically new network architecture Nokia

34 34 Nokia 2017

5G Future X Network and the Next Industrial Revolution. Peter Vetter Nokia Bell Labs

5G Future X Network and the Next Industrial Revolution Peter Vetter Nokia Bell Labs Future X Network The vision: Building the digital fabric for the automation of everything and the creation of time From