Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission Hearing September 8, 2010 Las Vegas, NV Appendices Charts & Tables Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 1
Selected National Comparisons Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 2
35 Millions40 30 Resident Population 2009 Estimates 25 20 15 10 5 0 Source(s): United States Census Bureau Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 3
35% Resident Population Growth Rate 2000 2009 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% United States = 9.1% 0% Source(s): United States Census Bureau Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 4
2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% Statewide Employment Growth Rate Over the Same Month Prior Year United States 0.01% Source(s): United States Bureau of Labor Statistics Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 5
2.0% Statewide Employment 10 Year Compound Annual Growth Rate 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% United States = 0.1% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% Source(s): United States Bureau of Labor Statistics Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 6
16.0% Unemployment Rates Seasonally Adjusted As of Jul 10 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% United States = 9.5% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Source(s): United States Bureau of Labor Statistics Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 7
40 39 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 31 30 United States = 34.2 Hours Average Weekly Hours Worked Private Sector As of Jul 10 Source(s): United States Bureau of Labor Statistics Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 8
3.0 2.0 Average Weekly Hours Cut/Added Since the Recessionary Period Began 1.0 0.0 1.0 United States = 0.8 Hours 2.0 3.0 Source(s): United States Bureau of Labor Statistics Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 9
$1,400 Average Weekly Earnings Private Sector As of Jul 10 $1,200 $1,000 $800 United States = $766.08 $600 $400 $200 $0 Source(s): United States Bureau of Labor Statistics Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 10
25% 20% 15% 10% Change in Average Weekly Earnings Since the Recessionary Period Began 5% 0% United States = +2.4% 5% 10% 15% Source(s): United States Bureau of Labor Statistics Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 11
4% Housing Price Appreciation Growth Rate Over the Prior Quarter 2% 0% 2% United States = 1.6% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Source(s): Federal Housing Finance Agency Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 12
6% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% Housing Price Appreciation 5 Year Compounded Annual Growth Rate United States = 0.9% Source(s): Federal Housing Finance Agency Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 13
7% 6% 5% 4% 3% New Foreclosures As a % of Total Housing Units Since the Recession Began 2% United States = 1.5% 1% 0% Source(s): Applied Analysis; based on figures released by foreclosure.com and the United States Census Bureau Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 14
80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Negative Equity Mortgages As a % of Total Mortgages Outstanding As of Q2 2010 30% 20% 10% United States = 23.0% Not Reported 0% Source(s): CoreLogic Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 15
140% Loan to Value Ratio Of Mortgages Outstanding As of Q2 2010 120% 100% 80% 60% United States = 69.8% 40% 20% Not Reported 0% Source(s): CoreLogic Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 16
United States Foreclosure Rankings By State Q1 + Q2 2010 Rank 1 2 State Nevada Total Properties with Foreclosure Filings % of Housing Units 1 in Every X Housing Units Arizona 91,484 3.4 30 % Change vs. Last Year 64,429 5.7 17 13.2% 1.7% 3 Florida 277,073 3.2 32 8.6% 4 California 340,740 2.5 39 15.3% 5 Utah 18,058 1.9 52 2.0% 6 Georgia 71,949 1.8 56 11.1% 7 Michigan 78,509 1.7 58 8.0% 8 Idaho 10,799 1.7 59 9.5% 9 Illinois 85,223 1.6 62 0.9% 10 Colorado 30,177 1.4 71 9.1% Source(s): RealtyTrac Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 17
Total Shortfall as Percent of FY 11 Budget NV #1 Source(s): Map by Applied Analysis; Center of Budget and Policy Priorities Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 18
Population Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 19
Millions 3.0 2.5 Nevada Population Annual Series 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 Source(s): Nevada State Demographer s Office Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 20
Clark County Drivers License Surrenders 100,000 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 Trailing 12 Month Series 0 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Motor Vehicles Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 21
Clark County Electric Meter Hookups 750,000 700,000 650,000 600,000 550,000 500,000 450,000 Monthly Series 400,000 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): NV Energy Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 22
Employment Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 23
1,350,000 Nevada Employment Monthly Series 1,250,000 1,150,000 Peak to Present = 195,500 1,050,000 950,000 850,000 750,000 650,000 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 24
80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 Nevada Employment Growth Year Over Year Growth 120,000 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 25
Professional & Business Services Education & Health Services Natural Resources & Mining Trade, Transportation & Utilities Nevada Employment Growth By Sector (Past 12 Months) Other Services Manufacturing Information Government Financial Activities Leisure & Hospitality Construction Total Job Losses = 25,100 18,200 5,200 900 1,100 1,700 2,000 2,100 1,500 1,000 300 3,300 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 10,000 Source(s): Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 26
United States Job Growth 2006 NV #4 +4.6% Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 27
United States Job Growth 2007 NV #27 +1.0% Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 28
United States Job Growth 2008 NV #49 2.2% Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 29
United States Job Growth 2009 NV #51 9.1% Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 30
United States Job Growth 2010(p) NV #51 2.2% Source(s): Maps by Applied Analysis; based on data from the United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (As of July 2010) Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 31
Unemployment Rate 15% 14% Nevada Unemployment Rate US Unemployment Rate 14.4% 13% 12% 11% 10% 9% 9.5% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation; Bureau of Labor Statistics Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 32
160,000 Construction Employment Monthly Series 140,000 120,000 Peak to Present = 102,100 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 33
Casino Hotel & Gaming Employment 230,000 Monthly Series 220,000 210,000 Peak to Present = 37,100 200,000 190,000 180,000 170,000 160,000 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 34
Tourism Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 35
60 55 Nevada Visitor Volume Annual Series 39.3 M 40.5 M 41.5 M 42.1 M 42.0 M 47.3 M 49.6 M 48.4 M 48.9 M 49.3 M 51.1 M 49.5 M 49.5 M 51.8 M 51.6 M 54.6 M 54.6 M 50 45 40 35 30 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10(p) Millions (P) Preliminary; For the trailing 12 months ending March 2010 Source(s): Nevada Commission on Tourism Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 36
$140 Average Daily Room Rates Annual Series $50.42 $49.35 $48.78 $50.08 $52.71 $57.47 $60.42 $62.39 $64.01 $69.73 $77.54 $83.73 $80.25 $82.00 $94.01 $99.60 $110.78 $117.12 $119.46 $102.46 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 Source(s): Nevada Gaming Control Board Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 37
200,000 Nevada Hotel Room Inventory Annual Series 195,000 190,000 194,424 193,782 185,000 185,826 180,000 175,000 179,460 179,679 178,638 178,656 170,000 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10(p) (P) Preliminary; as of March 2010 Source(s): Nevada Commission on Tourism Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 38
86% Hotel/Motel Room Occupancy Rates Annual Series 84% 82% 84.3% 84.3% 85.2% 80% 80.5% 78% 76% 74% 72% 76.1% 75.6% 70% '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10(p) (P) Preliminary; for the trailing 12 months ending March 2010 Source(s): Nevada Commission on Tourism Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 39
$14 Nevada Gross Gaming Revenues Annual Series $5.5 B $5.6 B $5.9 B $6.2 B $7.0 B $7.4 B $7.4 B $7.8 B $8.1 B $9.0 B $9.6 B $9.5 B $9.4 B $9.6 B $10.6 B $10.4 B $10.3 B $11.6 B $11.6 B $12.6 B $12.8 B $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10(p) Billions (P) Preliminary; For the trailing 12 months ending June 2010 Source(s): Nevada Gaming Control Board Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 40
$150 $140 Nevada Slot Machine Coin in Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 41 $118.3 B $116.3 B $115.4 B $111.9 B $108.3 B $117.8 B $124.0 B $125.6 B $133.0 B $138.1 B $137.8 B $130 $120 $110 $100 $90 $80 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10(p) '00 Billions (P) Preliminary; For the trailing 12 months ending June 2010 Nevada Table & Game Drop $23.7 B '01 $22.2 B '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10(p) $20.7 B $20.8 B $25.2 B $28.9 B $28.5 B $29.8 B $29.8 B $31.1 B $31.6 B Preliminary Draft Subject to Change $32 $30 Billions $28 $26 $24 $22 $20 $18 $16 Source(s): Nevada Gaming Control Board
60 Intent to Travel Bi Monthly Series 55 50 45 40 35 30 '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 Source: Source(s): The The Conference Board Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 42
$30 $25 Total Revenue (Nevada Gaming Industry) (in billions) Growth: 66% Total Revenue and Long term Debt in Nevada s Tourism Sector $35 $30 $25 (in billions) Total Long Term Debt (Nevada Gaming Industry) Growth: 557% $20 $20 $15 $15 $10 $10 $5 $5 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 '09 $0 '97 '99 '01 '03 '05 '07 '09 Source(s): Nevada Gaming Control Board Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 43
Southern Nevada/ Statewide Social Indicators Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 44
12,000 Notice of Breaches and Default Monthly Series 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Clark County Recorder s Office Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 45
40,000 Nevada Welfare Caseloads Monthly Series 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Health and Human Services Division of Welfare and Supportive Services Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 46
350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 SNAP (Food Stamp) Participants Monthly Series 0 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Health and Human Services Division of Welfare and Supportive Services Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 47
300,000 Medicaid Eligible Recipients (Retroactive) Monthly Series 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Health and Human Services Division of Welfare and Supportive Services Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 48
30,000 29,000 28,000 27,000 26,000 25,000 24,000 23,000 22,000 21,000 20,000 Nevada Checkup Enrollment Monthly Series Source(s): Nevada Department of Health and Human Services Division of Healthcare Financing and Policy Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 49
Households Served by Three Square 60,000 Monthly Series 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Source(s): Three Square Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 50
5,000 4,800 4,600 4,400 4,200 4,000 3,800 3,600 3,400 3,200 3,000 Property Crime Incidents Monthly Series Source(s): Las Vegas Metro Police Department Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 51
3,000 Juvenile Referrals Monthly Series 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Clark County Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 52
60% Students Receiving Free & Reduced Lunch Assistance 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Source(s): Clark County School District Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 53
Homeless Children Enrolled in the CCSD 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 Monthly Series Source(s): Clark County School District Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 54
Number of All CPS Investigation Calls 1,200 Monthly Series 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 Source(s): Clark County Family Services Department Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 55
16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Social Service Clients Not Seen Due to Lack of Capacity Source(s): Clark County Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 56
1,600 Emergency Room Holds at UMC Monthly Series 1,500 1,400 1,300 1,200 1,100 1,000 Source(s): University Medical Center of Southern Nevada Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 57
Southern Nevada Residential Market Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 58
Southern Nevada Residential Market Demand Indicators Q2 2010 Q2 2009 New Home Sales 1,978 1,199 New H ome Sales Price $193,300 $212,800 Existing Home Sales 13,477 13,476 Existing Home Sales Price $123,900 $123,800 Supply Indicators Residential Permits 1,535 1,795 MLS Listings (end of quarter) 12,253 13,490 Foreclosures Foreclosures New 8,163 7,671 Foreclosures Active (end of quarter) 8,646 8,686 Source(s): SalesTraq; Greater Las Vegas Association of REALTORS; Local Building Permitting Agencies; Foreclosure.com Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 59
45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Clark County Housing Units Permitted Annual Series 0 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10(p) (P) Preliminary; For the trailing 12 months ending June 2010 Source(s): Local Building Permitting Agencies Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 60
45,000 Clark County New Home Sales Trailing 12 Month Totals 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): SalesTraq Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 61
$400,000 $350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 Clark County New Home Sales Price Monthly Series $0 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): SalesTraq Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 62
Clark County Home Sales Prices Resale Home Prices as a Percentage of New Home Prices 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Calculations based on SalesTraq figures Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 63
$350 $300 $250 $200 $150 $100 $50 $0 Clark County New Home Sales Price PSF Monthly Series Source(s): SalesTraq Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 64
60,000 Clark County Existing Home Sales Trailing 12 Month Totals 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): SalesTraq Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 65
$350,000 $300,000 $250,000 $200,000 $150,000 $100,000 $50,000 Clark County Existing Home Sales Price Monthly Series $0 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): SalesTraq Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 66
Clark County Existing Home Sales Price PSF Monthly Series $200 $180 $160 $140 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 Source(s): SalesTraq Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 67
Resale (MLS) Home Listings 16,000 14,000 12,000 Tenant Occupied Vacant Owner Occupied 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Jul 09 Aug 09 Sep 09 Oct 09 Nov 09 Dec 09 Jan 10 Feb 10 Mar 10 Apr 10 May 10 Jun 10 Jul 10 Source(s): Greater Las Vegas Association of REALTORS Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 68
Resale (MLS) Home Listings 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Pending Contingent Jul 09 Aug 09 Sep 09 Oct 09 Nov 09 Dec 09 Jan 10 Feb 10 Mar 10 Apr 10 May 10 Jun 10 Jul 10 Source(s): Greater Las Vegas Association of REALTORS Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 69
Available and Contracted Homes 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Other 7,656 Short Sales 5,871 Available Other 4,056 Short Sales 10,140 (43.3%) (71.4%) Contingent/ Pending Source(s): Greater Las Vegas Association of REALTORS Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 70
12,000 Clark County Active Foreclosures Monthly Series 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Foreclosure.com Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 71
Housing Market Instability Foreclosure Rates (Q1+Q2 10) United States: 1 in 78 California: 1 in 39 Arizona: 1 in 30 Nevada: 1 in 17 Source: RealtyTrac Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 72
Apartment Market Average Monthly Rents $950 $900 $850 $800 $750 $700 $650 $600 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 73
Apartment Market Occupancy Rate 97% 96% 95% 94% 93% 92% 91% 90% 89% 88% 87% 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 74
Nevada Residential Market and Other Comparison Charts Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 75
Subprime Loans as a % of Total 20% 15% 10% National Average = 10.3% 5% 0% ARMs as a % of Total 40% 30% 20% 10% National Average = 15.4% 0% Source: Mortgage Bankers Association, National Delinquency Survey Q4 2009 Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 76
Loans with Installments Past Due (All Loans) 20% 15% 10% National Average = 10.4% 5% 0% Loans with Installments Seriously Past Due (90+ days) 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% National Average = 5.1% Source: Mortgage Bankers Association, National Delinquency Survey Q4 2009 Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 77
(in thousands) $500 $450 $400 $350 $300 $250 $200 $150 $100 $50 Median Sales Price of Existing Homes 05 06 Gains Reno/Sparks: 0.8% 07 08 Gains Las Vegas: +4.2% Reno/Sparks: 19.4% 04 05 Gains Las Vegas: 25.9% Reno/Sparks: +23.1% 06 07 Gains Las Vegas: +14.4% Reno/Sparks: 7.4% 03 04 Gains Las Vegas: 6.2% 08 09 Gains Reno/Sparks: +38.8% Las Vegas: +48.7% State of Nevada Reno/Sparks: 25.2% Las Vegas: 35.2% 09 10(p) Gains Reno/Sparks: 7.0% Las Vegas: 0.4% $0 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10(p) (P) Preliminary; for the second quarter of 2010. Source(s): National Association of REALTORS Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 78
40% Nevada Housing Price Appreciation Four Quarter Growth Rates United States 30% 20% 10% 0% 10% 20% 30% '80 '82 '84 '86 '88 '90 '92 '94 '96 '98 '00 '02 '04 '06 '08 '10 Source(s): Federal Housing Finance Agency Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 79
Housing Price Depreciation Rankings By State Q2 2010 Rank Region Year over year 1 Idaho 11.0% 2 Arizona 8.2% 3 Delaware 7.5% 4 Nevada 7.2% 5 Florida 5.9% 6 Maine 5.4% 7 Michigan 5.4% 8 New Hampshire 5.2% 9 New Mexico 5.0% 10 Alabama 4.9% Source(s): Federal Housing Finance Agency Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 80
Housing Price Depreciation Rankings By Metropolitan Area Q2 2010 Rank Region Year over year 1 Bend, OR 18.6% 2 Ocala, FL 18.6% 3 Madera Chowchilla, CA 17.6% 4 Lakeland Winter Haven, FL 17.6% 5 Reno Sparks, NV 17.3% 6 Orlando Kissimmee Sanford, FL 16.1% 7 Lake Havasu City Kingman, AZ 15.1% 8 Deltona Daytona Beach Ormond Beach, FL 15.0% 9 Port St. Lucie, FL 14.4% 10 Las Vegas Paradise, NV 13.9% Source(s): Federal Housing Finance Agency Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 81
Southern Nevada Commercial Market Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 82
Southern Nevada Office Market Overview Q2 2010 Q2 2009 Inventory (SF) 49.7 M 49.2 M Vacancy 24.1% 21.8% Lease Rates $2.13 psf $2.32 psf Net Absorption (SF) 427,000 820,000 Completed (SF) 365,000 Under Construction (SF) 611,000 1.4 M Source(s): Applied Analysis Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 83
Millions 60 50 Inventory Southern Nevada Office Market Inventory and Vacancy Rates Vacancy Rate 30% 25% 40 20% 30 15% 20 10% 10 5% 0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis 0% Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 84
Millions 14 12 10 Southern Nevada Office Market Vacant Inventory and Average Asking Rates Vacant Inventory Avg Asking Price $2.40 $2.35 $2.30 8 6 4 2 0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis $2.25 $2.20 $2.15 $2.10 $2.05 Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 85
Southern Nevada Office Market $2.40 Average Asking Price $2.40 Actual Lease Rates $2.20 $2.00 $2.27 $2.23 $2.16 $2.13 $2.20 $2.00 $1.80 $1.93 $1.80 $1.60 $1.69 $0.83 PSF $1.60 $1.40 $1.49 $1.40 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 $1.30 $1.20 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Source(s): Applied Analysis; compilation by InBusiness Las Vegas Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 86
30 Change in Office Using Employment (in thousands) Las Vegas Office Market 1,500 (in thousands) Net Absorption 20 10 0 10 20 30 1,000 500 0 500 1,000 1,500 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation; Applied Analysis Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 87
Southern Nevada Retail Market Overview Q2 2010 Q2 2009 Inventory (SF) 51.9 M 51.2 M Vacancy 10.4% 10.2% Lease Rates $1.68 psf $2.02 psf Net Absorption (SF) 166,000 293,000 Completed (SF) 139,000 0 Under Construction (SF) 569,000 1.3 M Source(s): Applied Analysis Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 88
Millions 60 50 Inventory Southern Nevada Retail Market Inventory and Vacancy Rates Vacancy Rate 12% 10% 40 8% 30 6% 20 4% 10 2% 0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis 0% Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 89
Millions 6 5 Southern Nevada Retail Market Vacant Inventory and Average Asking Rates Vacant Inventory Avg Asking Price $2.50 $2.25 4 $2.00 3 $1.75 2 $1.50 1 $1.25 0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis $1.00 Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 90
Southern Nevada Retail Market $2.00 Average Asking Price $1.95 $2.00 Actual Lease Rates $1.80 $1.84 $1.80 $1.60 $1.72 $1.68 $1.60 $1.64 $1.55 $1.40 $1.40 $0.52 PSF $1.20 $1.20 $1.18 $1.16 $1.00 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 $1.00 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Source(s): Applied Analysis; compilation by InBusiness Las Vegas Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 91
Billions $60 $50 Nevada Taxable Retail Spending Trailing 12 Month Totals $40 $30 $20 $10 $0 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Taxation Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 92
Billions $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 $2 $4 $6 $8 Nevada Taxable Retail Spending Annualized Growth $10 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Taxation Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 93
Nevada Taxable Retail Spending Growth Rates for the Top 10 Categories (1) Food Services & Drinking Places (16.7%) (2) General Merch&ise Stores (9.4%) 4.6% 4.0% (3) Motor Vehicle & Parts Dealers (8.7%) 5.2% (4) Clothing/Accessories Stores (7.5%) 11.4% (5) Merch. Wholesalers, Durable Goods (6.8%) 0.0% (6) Accommodation (4.7%) (7) Building Material, etc. (4.4%) (8) Food & Beverage Stores (4.0%) (9) Rental & Leasing Services (3.7%) (10) Electronics & Appliance Stores (3.3%) 2.6% 0.2% 1.9% 4.6% 2.4% 10% 5% 0% 5% 10% 15% Note: Growth rates between June 2010 and June 2009 Source(s): Nevada Department of Taxation Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 94
20 15 Change in Retail Using Employment (in thousands) Las Vegas Retail Market 2,000 1,500 (in thousands) Net Absorption 10 5 0 5 10 15 20 1,000 500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation; Applied Analysis Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 95
Southern Nevada Industrial Market Overview Q2 2010 Q2 2009 Inventory (SF) 103.4 M 102.6 M Vacancy 16.2% 12.2% Lease Rates $0.58 psf $0.71 psf Net Absorption (SF) 842,000 1.3 M Completed (SF) 0 189,000 Under Construction (SF) 150,000 816,000 Source(s): Applied Analysis Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 96
Millions 105 100 Southern Nevada Industrial Market Inventory and Vacancy Rates Inventory Vacancy Rate 18% 15% 95 12% 90 9% 85 6% 80 3% 75 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis 0% Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 97
Millions 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Southern Nevada Industrial Market Vacant Inventory and Average Asking Rates Vacant Inventory Avg Asking Price 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis $1.00 $0.90 $0.80 $0.70 $0.60 $0.50 $0.40 $0.30 $0.20 $0.10 $0.00 Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 98
Southern Nevada Industrial Market $0.70 Average Asking Price $0.70 Actual Lease Rates $0.65 $0.68 $0.65 $0.60 $0.55 $0.63 $0.60 $0.58 $0.60 $0.55 $0.50 $0.50 $0.51 $0.53 $0.16 PSF $0.45 $0.45 $0.40 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 $0.41 $0.42 $0.40 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Source(s): Applied Analysis; compilation by InBusiness Las Vegas Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 99
50 40 30 20 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 Las Vegas Industrial Market Change in Industrial Using Employment (in thousands) 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 (in thousands) Net Absorption '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Nevada Department of Employment, Training and Rehabilitation; Applied Analysis Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 100
7 6 Effective Inventory in Years Quarterly Series Office 6.5 5 4 3 2 1 Industrial Retail 3.6 2.4 0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source(s): Applied Analysis Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 101
Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market Overview Preliminary Draft Subject to Change Q2 2010 Q2 2009 Number of Acres Sold 744.9 395.4 Total Value Transacted $139.9 M $101.0 M Price Per Acre $187,800 $255,300 Price Per Square Foot $4.31 $5.86 Net Appreciation Over Prior Quarter 2.9% 6.2% Net Appreciation Over Prior Year 26.5% 93.8% Source(s): Applied Analysis Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 102
1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market Acres Sold Preliminary Draft Subject to Change 0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 103
Millions $1,400 $1,200 $1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market Total Value Transacted Preliminary Draft Subject to Change $0 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 104
Thousands $1,000 $900 $800 $700 $600 $500 $400 $300 $200 $100 $0 Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market Price Per Acre (Non Resort) Preliminary Draft Subject to Change 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 105
60% 40% 20% 0% 20% 40% 60% Southern Nevada Vacant Land Market Price Per Acre Y O Y Appreciation (Non Resort) Preliminary Draft Subject to Change 80% 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Applied Analysis Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 106
Northern Nevada Commercial Market Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 107
Reno Office Market Overview Q1 2010 Q1 2009 Inventory (No. of Buildings) 211 203 Inventory (SF) 6.8 M 6.7 M Vacancy 21.6% 21.2% Lease Rates $1.51 psf $1.58 psf Net Absorption (SF) 22,200 95,300 Completed (SF) 17,000 Under Construction (SF) 10,000 Source(s): Colliers International Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 108
Millions 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.0 Inventory (SF) Vacancy Rate (%) Reno Office Market Inventory and Vacancy Rates 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Colliers International 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 109
Reno Industrial Market Overview Q1 2010 Q1 2009 Inventory (No. of Buildings) 1,191 1,151 Inventory (SF) 73.6 M 71.3 M Vacancy 15.6% 14.5% Lease Rates $0.38 $0.33 Net Absorption (SF) 190,400 1.0 M Completed (SF) 0 32,000 Under Construction (SF) 0 0 Source(s): Colliers International Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 110
Millions 78 76 74 72 70 68 66 64 62 60 58 Inventory (SF) Vacancy Rate (%) Reno Industrial Market Inventory and Vacancy Rates 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 Source(s): Colliers International 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 111
Reno Retail Market Overview Q4 2009 Q4 2008 Inventory (No. of Buildings) 177 164 Inventory (SF) 15.4 M 14.8 M Vacancy 15.4% 14.1% Lease Rates $1.79 $1.85 Net Absorption (SF) 60,400 180,100 Completed (SF) 275,100 Under Construction (SF) 225,000 381,500 Source(s): Colliers International Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 112
Millions 16.0 15.5 15.0 14.5 14.0 13.5 13.0 Inventory (SF) Vacancy Rate (%) Reno Retail Market Inventory and Vacancy Rates 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 2007 2008 2009 Source(s): Colliers International 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission 113