Diameter Signaling Trends Dan Bantukul Senior Member of Technical Staff CTO office Oracle Communications April 2014 1
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Tekelec Releases First Diameter Signaling Index September, 2013 With Diameter at the center of Tekelec s New Diameter Network framework, the LTE Diameter Signaling Index is part of Tekelec s industry thought leadership positioning. By highlighting policy as having the largest impact on Diameter signaling growth, Tekelec plays to its market-leading policy control and DSR strengths. Tekelec recently published its LTE Diameter Signalling Index, which it believes is the industry s first attempt to forecast the growth of Diameter signalling traffic in LTE networks this growth rate, the firm says, is three times faster than the growth that mobile data traffic is expected to show over the same period. According to the "LTE Diameter Signaling Index" published by Tekelec almost any move a mobile operator makes to introduce new services or creative charging models, or to ensure QoS for voice and video offers on its new LTE network, will increase signaling traffic. That's why it's an important technology to watch. It will also be fascinating to see just how operators choose to design their networks to deal with this onslaught of Diameter signaling traffic. Diameter signaling traffic to see 962% CAGR in CALA by 2016 Tekelec Tekelec released its LTE Diameter Signalling Index. This report projects that diameter traffic will increase at a +252% CAGR until 2016 from 800k to 47 million messages per second globally. This is due to a radical change in applications behavior, as well as the new pricing and business models put in place by operators. Policy management, QoS management, metered charging, 2 sided business models and M2M traffic are some of the culprits highlighted in the report. Diameter signaling could become the new front line in signaling storms, Tekelec claims, with growth in Diameter traffic forecast to more than triple mobile data traffic growth through 2016. 3
New Business Models Drive Diameter Signaling Monetization Drives Signaling Guarantee quality of service for a video application Provide subscriber profile, preferences or usage data to a mobile advertiser Provide customized and dynamic service offerings for subscribers Quality of Service Usage Location Preferences Service Tier Personal Ads 4
New Business Models Driving Diameter Signaling Growth Areas Service Provider Revenue/Subscriber Contribute to Diameter signaling Identity and Security Broker $ 3-6 Advertising/Payments $ 3-4 OTT/Cloud Services $1-5 Machine-to-Machine $1-2 QoS Services $1-4 Analytics $5-$15 5
LTE Diameter Signaling vs. Mobile Data Growth 6
Global LTE Diameter MPS 1.2 million messages per second in 2012 Nearly 99 million messages per second in 2017 7
Distribution of LTE Diameter Traffic North America remains the largest region of LTE Diameter signaling traffic throughout the forecast period 8
Regional Growth of LTE Diameter Signaling 9
Policy and Charging are the Biggest Drivers 10
QoS-Enabled Services are the Greatest Contributors 11
Global LTE Diameter Signaling by Use Case Policy will account for 62% of LTE Diameter signaling traffic in 2017 12
North America LTE Diameter Signaling by Use Case 42.7 million LTE Diameter signaling messages per second in 2017 13
EMEA LTE Diameter Signaling by Use Case Fastest growing region for LTE Diameter signaling traffic for the forecast period 14
Latin America LTE Diameter Signaling by Use Case Growth primarily driven by Brazil. Long-term growth region, with traffic expected to accelerate beyond the forecast period. 15
Asia-Pacific LTE Diameter Signaling by Use Case Australia, Japan, Korea, Hong Kong and Singapore to drive growth through forecast period with China forming the second wave of growth 16
LTE Diameter Signaling Index Calculator A new tool to predict and forecast Diameter traffic on your LTE network Incorporate your network s specific factors Network architecture Topology Capacity requirements Geo-redundancy Others Flexible assumptions to meet your requirements Subscriber profiles, behaviors and growth Types of services and devices Policy sessions Online & offline charging interactions Mobility busy hours Subscriber busy hours Concurrent sessions Traffic flows 17
The Time for Diameter is Now 100% of our Revenue Generating Services will run on the New Diameter Network. Tier 1 Operator The New Diameter Network will manage 100% of the Diameter messages generated by devices and apps The decisions you make now will determine mobile data success 18