Trends and Opportunities in the Global Printing Market. Thayer Long President Association for Print Technologies May 2018

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Transcription:

Trends and Opportunities in the Global Printing Market Thayer Long President Association for Print Technologies May 2018

Geographic scope The 26 countries selected and analyzed span across all global regions, representing 80% of global GDP and 70% of the world s population. North America Canada United States Western Europe France Germany Italy Netherlands United Kingdom Central & Eastern Europe Poland Russia Turkey Latin America Brazil Chile Colombia Mexico Middle East Iran Saudi Arabia Africa Nigeria South Africa Asia-Pacific Australia China India Indonesia Japan Philippines South Korea Vietnam 2 Produced by

The BIG picture: Size of Publishing, Commercial, and Packaging Printing Market in Top 26 Markets 2017 2020 CAGR 2.7% (US dollar terms)* Marketing & commercial 16% Marketing & commercial 15% Publishing 20% $389bn Publishing 17% $421bn Packaging 64% Average growth 2.8% (local currency terms) Packaging 68% Note: The three printing segments we cover in WWMP 2.0 do not represent the entire printing market. * Calculation based on EIU forecasts for average yearly exchange rates. 3 Produced by

Print Packaging Market A Bright Spot 4 Produced by

What is driving the Packaging Industry? Emerging Markets Retailer Impacts Design Thinking Sustainability Science & Technology Consumers/Social Media Laws & Regulations Association for Print Technologies 5

Print packaging market size and growth Emerging regions generally have high growth but smaller print packaging markets. Asia-Pacific is the exception, having the happy confluence of both large and fast-growing markets. North America 90.1 Western Europe 52.3 3.1 Central & Eastern Europe 130.3 1.3 7.4 Latin America Size of regional print packaging market in 2020 in US$ bn 1.0 Africa Middle East Total print packaging market, average growth (2016-20) > 8% 6%-8% 4%-6% 2%-4% < 2% Asia- Pacific 6 Produced by

Asia-Pacific Asia-Pacific is the largest regional market for print packaging, accounting for over 42% of revenues in this study, and will be the second fastest-growing region, expanding 6.7% in 2016-20 7 Produced by

Snapshot: Food Packaging Trends in Asia Pacific Dairy Products on China will lead the growth in Brick Liquid Cartons, with slim 250ml cartons gaining popularity Savory Snacks and Confectionary drive growth in flexible plastic with small, affordable pack sizes being popular with low-income consumers Shaped Liquid Cartons to see highest CAGR, driven by growth in plain yoghurts Association for Print Technologies Source: Global Packaging Trends - Global Growth Markets for Packaging 2017 Report (2015-2020), PMMI with data from Euromonitor 8

THAILAND: Volume Share of Food Packaging Association for Print Technologies Source: Global Packaging Trends - Global Growth Markets for Packaging 2017 Report (2015-2020), PMMI with data from Euromonitor 9

Snapshot: Beverage Packaging Trends in Asia Pacific Increased Disposable Income create growth in bottled water, energy drinks, and carbonates, supporting PET bottles Growing coffee consumption to drive flexible aluminum/plastic packaging Metal Bottles to grow steadily in beer markets. China will see a growth due to premium brands promoting limited edition bottles Association for Print Technologies Source: Global Packaging Trends - Global Growth Markets for Packaging 2017 Report (2015-2020), PMMI with data from Euromonitor 10

THAILAND: Volume Share of Beverage Packaging Association for Print Technologies Source: Global Packaging Trends - Global Growth Markets for Packaging 2017 Report (2015-2020), PMMI with data from Euromonitor 11

THAILAND: Food/Beverage Packaging Equipment Import Association for Print Technologies Source: Global Packaging Trends - Global Growth Markets for Packaging 2017 Report (2015-2020), PMMI with data from Euromonitor 12

Publishing printing and marketing & commercial printing markets Produced by

Publishing printing: market size and growth Only some countries in Asia-Pacific will experience solid, positive growth in publishing printing. Most countries in our study will contract. Central & Eastern Europe North America $11.2 Western Europe $13.8 $1.3 $43.3 $0.3 $3.5 Latin America $0.6 Africa Middle East Asia- Pacific Size of regional publishing printing markets in 2021 in US$bn Publishing printing s compound annual growth rates in localcurrency terms (2017 21) > 2% 0% to 2% -2% to 0% -4 % to -2% < -4% 14 Produced by

Marketing & commercial printing: market size and growth North American and Western European markets are declining, but Asia-Pacific is growing at a healthy pace. Central & Eastern Europe North America $14.4 Western Europe $24.8 $1.1 $19.4 $0.2 $2.6 Latin America $0.2 Africa Middle East Asia- Pacific Size of regional marketing and commercial printing markets in 2021 in US$bn Marketing & commercial printing s compound annual growth rates in local-currency terms (2017 21) > 6% 4% to 6% 2% to 4% 0% to 2% < 0% 15 Produced by

What is Driving the Commercial and Publishing Markets Macroeconomic and demographic trends underpin the outlook for publishing printing markets and marketing & commercial printing markets in all countries. Access to telecommunication technology Access to the internet continues to increase rapidly in emerging markets. The next step is get people connected to high-speed mobile internet. Rising education levels and literacy rates All readers are potential print consumers. As the number of readers increases thanks to improved education levels and literacy rates, consumption of the printed word will grow. Higher incomes The rise of middle-income consumers in emerging markets will boost printing revenues. Consumer expenditures will increase overall, especially in education and leisure, which supports publishing printing. Urbanization Urbanization translates to higher concentrations of people, which makes marketing efforts more efficient. Generational gap Younger generations tend to consume more books and magazines, while older generations consume more newspapers. But this is changing. 16

Billions Billions Asia-Pacific Asia-Pacific is expected to outperform all other regions in terms of both the publishing printing industry and the marketing & commercial printing industry. Asia-Pacific s publishing printing market by segment in 2012-21 (US$) 50 Forecast 40 30 20 10 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% -2% -3% Books Magazines Newspapers Asia-Pacific growth (%) Total growth (%) Note: Asia-Pacific includes Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Philippines, South Korea, and Vietnam; Regional growth is the average LCU growth rate of all countries in the region; Total growth is the average LCU growth rate of all 26 countries in this study. Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit. Asia-Pacific s marketing & commercial printing market by segment in 2012-21 (US$) 25 20 15 10 5 0 Forecast 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Brochures & pamphlets Catalogs Directories Inserts Direct mail Asia-Pacific growth (%) Total growth (%) Note: Asia-Pacific includes Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Philippines, South Korea, and Vietnam; Regional growth is the average LCU growth rate of all countries in the region; Total growth is the average LCU growth rate of all 26 countries in this study. Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit. 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% 17 Produced by

Thank You and Let s Go! www.printtechnologies.org @APT_Tech @theprintevent