Police & Crime Commissioner Performance Monitoring Group 18th December 2015 OPEN AGENDA 1
3. HMIC Programme of Work 2
HMIC and Joint Inspection Activity Reports Recently Received: Targeting the Risk : Firearms Licensing Efficiency (Part of the PEEL Assessment) MAPPA Working in Step? : Local Criminal Justice Partnerships Witness for the Prosecution : Vulnerability in Case Files Value for Money Profiles 3
Reports Due: Date Unknown ROCU (Part of PEEL Effectiveness ) HBV, FM and FGM December Vulnerability (Part of PEEL Effectiveness ) February Effectiveness Legitimacy Leadership Overall PEEL Assessment Anticipated Inspections: Crime Data Integrity Child Protection PEEL Programme 4
4. Strategic Priorities 5
4a. Strategic Priorities set at STCG 06/08/15 Individual Community Moral Environmental Financial Organisational Org Economic Total Harm Score Professional Judgement Frequency Knowledge Total Likelihood score Legal Capacity Capability Total OP Score OP Calculation OP Grading MoRiLE Matrix - MERSEYSIDE POLICE Harm Internal Likelihood Risk Legal Organisational Position Thematic Area GMP Merseyside OCG Assoc 1 2 2 0 2 4 2 13 1 1 2 3 39 Y 2 0 2 0.75 29.25 Cyber Crime 4 4 4 0 4 4 4 24 1 2 4 6 144 Y 3 3 6 2 288 Data Quality 2 4 4 0 4 4 4 22 2 3 3 6 264 Y 3 2 5 1 264 CSE/CE Human Trafficking / Modern Slavery Harmful Practices 4 4 8 2 2 4 4 28 2 1 4 5 280 Y 3 3 6 2 560 4 4 4 2 8 4 4 30 1 1 4 5 150 Y 3 3 6 2 300 4 4 4 4 0 4 4 24 1 1 4 5 120 y 3 3 6 2 240 Domestic Abuse 4 4 4 0 4 4 4 24 1 3 1 4 96 Y 3 2 5 1 96 Sefton Tensions 4 4 2 4 2 4 4 24 2 2 2 4 192 Y 2 2 4 1 192 Sexual Offences (Rape) 4 4 4 0 2 4 4 22 1 1 2 3 66 Y 2 1 3 0.75 49.5 Violence against the Person (excludes DA) 1 1 1 0 1 1 4 9 1 2 1 3 27 Y 2 1 3 0.75 20.25 Hate Crime 4 4 4 2 2 4 2 22 1 0.5 1 1.5 33 Y 1 1 2 0.75 24.75 Economic Position/Budget 2 2 2 2 4 4 4 20 4 2 2 4 320 Y 1 1 2 0.75 240 6
7
4a. Strategic Priorities set at STCG 22/10/15 Individual Community Moral Environmental Financial Organisational Org Economic Total Harm Score Professional Judgement Frequency Knowledge Total Likelihood score Legal Capacity Capability Total OP Score OP Calculation OP Grading MoRiLE Matrix - MERSEYSIDE POLICE Harm Internal Likelihood Risk Legal Organisational Position Thematic Area Cyber Crime 4 4 4 0 4 4 4 24 1 3 4 7 168 Y 3 3 6 2 336 Data Quality 2 4 4 0 4 4 4 22 1 3 3 6 132 Y 3 2 5 1 132 CSE Child Exploitation Human Trafficking / Modern Slavery Crime Outcomes (burglary) Harmful Practices 4 4 8 2 2 4 4 28 2 1 4 5 280 Y 3 3 6 2 560 4 4 8 2 2 2 2 24 2 1 4 5 240 Y 3 3 6 2 480 4 4 4 2 8 4 4 30 1 1 4 5 150 Y 3 3 6 2 300 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 10 4 3 1 4 160 Y 2 1 3 0.75 120 4 4 4 4 0 4 4 24 1 1 4 5 120 y 3 3 6 2 240 Domestic Abuse 4 4 4 0 4 4 4 24 1 3 1 4 96 Y 3 3 6 2 192 Sefton 4 4 2 4 2 4 4 24 2 2 2 4 192 Y 2 2 4 1 192 Sexual Offences (Rape) 4 4 4 0 2 4 4 22 1 1 2 3 66 Y 2 1 3 0.75 49.5 Violence against the Person (excludes DA) 2 2 2 0 2 2 4 14 2 2 2 4 112 Y 2 1 3 0.75 84 Hate Crime 4 4 4 2 2 4 2 22 1 0.5 1 1.5 33 Y 1 1 2 0.75 24.75 Economic Position/Budget 2 2 2 2 4 4 4 20 4 2 2 4 320 Y 1 1 2 0.75 240 8
Organisational Capacity & Capability 600 Strategic Risk and Priority Map 500 Child Sexual Exploitation Child Exploitation 400 300 200 Domestic Abuse Harmful Practices Human Trafficking /Modern Slavery Cyber Crime Sefton Economic Position/ Budget 100 0 Hate Crime Sexual Offences (Rape) Data Quality Violence against the Person (excludes DA) Crime Outcomes (burglary) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Risk (Harm -v- Likelihood) 9
5. Crime Data Integrity 10
Audit Sample Review and Inspection Corporate Support and Development Crime Data Integrity September - November 2015 Compliance % Incidents closed correctly in line with NSIR/NCRS? Incidents closed with correct closing code? Incidents with correct crime classifications? Violence 60 91% 83% 93% Sexual Offences 60 87% 68% 82% Robbery 60 100% 83% 91% Burglary 60 98% 87% 91% Criminal Damage 60 90% 97% 93% Other Offence 60 100% 62% 88% Force 360 94% 80% 90% 11
Custody 12
6. Force Alert Summary 13
14
Force Alert summary Crime volumes XMR Alerts MoRile Trend (since Strategic T&C in Aug 15) Governance Violence with Injury 3 UCL Upward trend - reduction in Sept Crime & ASB SRO Meeting Violence Against the Person 84 Violence without Injury 3 UCL Continued upward trend Crime & ASB SRO Meeting Rape 3 UCL 49.5 Fluctuating but upward PVP SRO Meeting Sexual Offences Victim Based Crime Other Sexual Offences 3 UCL Fluctuating trend PVP SRO Meeting UTMV 2 UCL Continued upward trend Crime & ASB SRO Meeting Stealing Vehicle Interference 3 UCL Upward trend Crime & ASB SRO Meeting Other Stealing Theft Bike 1 UCL Upward trend Crime & ASB SRO Meeting Domestic Abuse Domestic Abuse 3 UCL 192 Upward trend PVP SRO Meeting Hate Crime Hate Crime 3 UCL 24.75 Fluctuating but upward PVP SRO Meeting 15
Force Alert summary Crime Outcome Rates XMR Alerts Governance Violence Against the Person Violence with Injury 3 LCL Crime & ASB SRO Meeting Violence without Injury 3 LCL Crime & ASB SRO Meeting Sexual Offences Rape 1 LCL PVP SRO Meeting Burglary Dwelling 3 LCL Crime & ASB SRO Meeting Victim Based Crime Robbery - Personal 2 LCL Crime & ASB SRO Meeting TFMV 2 LCL Crime & ASB SRO Meeting Stealing UTMV 2 LCL Crime & ASB SRO Meeting Shoplifting 3 LCL Crime & ASB SRO Meeting Other Theft 1 LCL Crime & ASB SRO Meeting Domestic Abuse Domestic Abuse 3 LCL PVP SRO Meeting Hate Crime Hate Crime 2 LCL PVP SRO Meeting 16
Violence against the Person 17
Violence against the Person Force Level Alert 5 out of 5 points above first limit line 3 out of 3 points above second upper limit line Last plot above upper limit line MoRiLE Score = 27 18
Violence Analysis (excluding DV) 19
Violence against the person trend 20
Yearly comparison table August - July Recorded Offences Change Compared to Previous Year % Change Compared to Previous Year Change Compared to 2011-2012 % Change Compared to 2011-2012 2011-2012 7,553 - - - - 2012-2013 7,890 337 4.5% 337 4.5% 2013-2014 9,636 1,746 22.1% 2,083 27.6% 2014-2015 13,104 3,468 36.0% 5,551 73.5% August - July Recorded Incidents (122) Change Compared to Previous Year % Change Compared to Previous Year Change Compared to 2011-2012 % Change Compared to 2011-2012 2011-2012 7,516 - - - - 2012-2013 7,573 57 0.8% 57 0.8% 2013-2014 7,484-89 -1.2% - 32-0.4% 2014-2015 10,064 2,580 34.5% 2,548 33.9% 21
Incident & Crime Trend 22
Incident to Crime Ratio Analysis 23
Incident to Crime Ratio Analysis (Continued) Sep-11 A Ratio 1.17 B Ratio 0.89 C Ratio 0.64 D Ratio 0.93 E Ratio 0.97 Range 0.53 Aug-15 A Ratio 1.26 B Ratio 1.20 C Ratio 1.16 D Ratio 1.26 E Ratio 1.23 Range 0.10 24
Most Serious Violence Analysis August - July Recorded Offences Change Compared to Previous Year % Change Compared to Previous Year Change Compared to 2012-2013 % Change Compared to 2012-2013 2012-2013 881 - - - - 2013-2014 892 11 1.2% 11 1.2% 2014-2015 1,030 138 15.5% 149 16.9% 25
Most Serious Violence (Monthly Trend) 26
Sexual Offences 27
Rape Crime Trends & Analysis - XMR Yewtree publication early 2013 HMIC Inspection Integrity of Police Recorded Crime Dec13-Aug 14 Operation Yewtree commenced Yewtree investigation complete Giving Victims a Voice published. Crime Recording :Making the Victim Count published November 2014 28
Rape Outcome Rate (XMR) Force Level Alert 2 out of 3 points above second upper limit line 29
Rape Crime/Solved Outcomes/Crime recording 30
Other Sexual Offences Force Level Alert 4 out of 5 points above first limit line 2 out of 3 points above second upper limit line 31
Other Sexual Offences Crime/Solved Outcomes/Crime recording 32
Stealing 33
Vehicle Crime - UTMV/TOMV Force Level Alert 5 out of 5 points above first limit line 2 out of 3 points above second upper limit line Last plot above upper limit line 34
Vehicle Crime - Vehicle Interference Force Level Alert 5 out of 5 points above first limit line 3 out of 3 points above second upper limit line Last plot above upper limit line 35
Personal Robbery Outcome Rate (XMR) Force Level Alert 5 out of 5 points below first lower limit line 2 out of 3 points below second lower limit line 36
Domestic Abuse 37
Domestic Abuse MoRiLE Score = 96 38
Domestic Abuse Crime Outcome Rate (XMR) 39
Hate Crime 40
Hate Crime (XMR) MoRiLE Score = 24.75 41
Hate Crime Outcome Rate (XMR) 42
Hate Crime Crime/Solved Outcomes 43
7. Organisational Risks 44
7b. Data Quality 45
Data Quality - Understanding the Issues 160 Areas of Risk Development of TNA & Comms 9 Target Areas 4 Systems 9 Business Areas PROBLEM PROFILE Benchmarking All Crime and ASB Monthly Snapshot Long Term I.T. Fixes 46
Previous Performance Errors +3 days of first crimed date (04/09/15-13/09/15) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Wirral Sefton Knowsley St Helens Liverpool MSOC CDU Total errors at 16/09/15 (04/09/15-13/09/15) 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Wirral Sefton Knowsley St Helens Liverpool MSOC CDU Records with errors Total errors 47
Current Performance 140 120 Errors +3 days of first crimed date (28/09/15-11/10/15) 100 80 60 40 20 0 Wirral Sefton Knowsley St Helens Liverpool MSOC FCC Records with errors Total errors 140 Total errors at 14/10/15 (28/09/15-11/10/15) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Wirral Sefton Knowsley St Helens Liverpool MSOC FCC Records with errors Total errors 48
Risk Assessment H L Risk Score Mitigation H L Risk Score DUPLICATES 5 5 25 360,000 -> 56,000 + Training + Clear up 5 4 20 VPRF1 5 5 25 Form on Niche (Jan)/ Compliance rate good 5 3 15 NICHE NOMINALS 5 5 25 CDU management daily/ Notification/ Training 5 3 15 CSE/CE 5 5 25 MASH management/ VPRF/ Training 5 3 15 HATE 4 5 20 CDU management daily/ Notification/ IT fix/training 4 3 12 M.O 3 5 15 CDU management daily/ Notification/ Training 3 3 9 NICHE RTC 2 5 10 RPU input/ BCU central input/ +2 staff/ Training compliance 2 4 8 STOP SEARCH 2 5 10 Supervisors QA/ Training/ Hand Held 2 4 8 49
Training BCU Briefings - November for 5 weeks Target Monday shift handover All issues covered Content QA by business owners Classroom Training - January 2016 3 sessions per week Content QA by business owners 50
7b. Cyber Crime 51
Cyber Crime Cyberdependent Problem Profile Actions Priorities Cyber Crime Cyberenabled Problem Profile Actions Priorities Cyberassisted Problem Profile Actions Priorities 52
Cyber Crime Cyber - dependent Cyber- enabled Cyber assisted Cyber dependent crimes are offences that can only be committed by using a computer, computer networks, or other forms of ICT. Cyber-enabled crimes are traditional crimes that are increased in their scale or reach by the use of computers, computer networks or other ICT. Unlike cyber-dependent crimes, they can still be committed without the use of ICT. Cyber assisted are where the internet and smartphones are used in planning or committing traditional criminal or terrorist activity. 53
8. Emerging Risks 54
Provide Visible and Accessible Neighbourhood Policing ARLS Immediate/Priority response Request for the development of Management Information 55
Prevent Crime and ASB Violence against the person Crime Outcomes 56
Protecting Vulnerable People Named Offender Management o Identification of risk o consideration of civil orders o impact on resources Increase in Rape crime understanding the issues Increase in Domestic Abuse Intelligence gaps in CSE/CE/Harmful Practices 57
334 336 334 315 316 313 313 317 320 324 324 337 330 329 330 330 324 340 340 339 349 327 347 345 350 335 334 333 334 51 50 52 51 46 46 46 47 48 48 48 47 47 48 50 50 51 50 49 49 50 54 53 53 55 55 54 56 56-4 -5-21 -27-11 -15-8 -2-3 -15-14 -5-18 -8-4 -5-16 -9-11 -12-10 0-2 -15-11 -38-17 -5-2 3 7 19 8 12 12 8 6 6 19 14 14 11 7 5 5 10 25 11 11 20 0 6 13 16 23 16 4 3-75 -25 25 75 125 175 225 275 325 375 20/09 --------- - Net Change -1 21/09 --------- - Net Change 2 22/09 --------- - Net Change -2 23/09 --------- - Net Change -19 24/09 --------- - Net Change 1 25/09 --------- - Net Change -3 26/09 --------- - Net Change 0 27/09 --------- - Net Change 4 28/09 --------- - Net Change 3 29/09 --------- - Net Change 4 30/09 --------- - Net Change 0 01/10 --------- - Net Change 13 02/10 --------- - Net Change -7 03/10 --------- - Net Change -1 04/10 --------- - Net Change 1 05/10 --------- - Net Change 0 06/10 --------- - Net Change -6 07/10 --------- - Net Change 16 08/10 --------- - Net Change 0 09/10 --------- - Net Change -1 10/10 --------- - Net Change 10 11/10 --------- - Net Change -22 12/10 --------- - Net Change 20 13/10 --------- - Net Change -2 14/10 --------- - Net Change 5 16/10 --------- - Net Change -15 17/10 --------- - Net Change -1 18/10 --------- - Net Change -1 19/10 --------- - Net Change 1 Named Offenders Domestic Abuse Named Offender Change to 19-10-2015 Total Individuals Outstanding > 90 Days Removed (From Previous Period) New (Within Period) Domestic Abuse Named Offenders (20/09/2015 to 19/10/2015) 74 remain outstanding from 27/07/2015 Closed 58
Serious & Organised Crime Intelligence Human Trafficking & Modern Slavery Management of Economic Crime 59