5G Future X Network and the Next Industrial Revolution. Peter Vetter Nokia Bell Labs

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1 5G Future X Network and the Next Industrial Revolution Peter Vetter Nokia Bell Labs

2 Future X Network The vision: Building the digital fabric for the automation of everything and the creation of time From vision to a strategy: enable the next technological revolution

3 Ways to save/create time 1) Change Time: Use differences in gravity and velocity 2) Change Lifetime: Discover Fountain of Youth or bioengineered equivalent 3) Change Usage of Time: This talk

4 Thinking time. s 1 t X 100 X 500 X 1000 X 5000 We have continuously created tools to augment our physical abilities and save time

5 Thinking time. D t X 10 - X 1000? We have created tools to increase discovery to save time (and waste time?)

6 Thinking time. Need to interface digital & physical realms to decrease distance and waste, and create time

7 Perspective Technological Revolution = Interconnection and interdependence of new systems and technologies + The capacity to profoundly transform the economy and eventually society

8 The revolution Tech. Revolution Enabling Technology Connectivity Financial ( ) Stocks & Bonds Banking & Stock Market Infrastructure 1 st Industrial ( ) Steam Engine & Iron Production Rail and Shipping Networks 2 nd Industrial ( ) Steel & Chemicals Extended Transportation Networks Electricity & Telecom Networks Scientific-Technical ( ) Analog & Digital Signal processing Digital Communications Networks We are here Information ( ) The Web, Cloud computing Internet & Broadband Access Automation of Everything (2015 ) Digital interfaces & Data analysis Future X Network

9 Productivity Growth Current economics 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% p p 1.0% 0.0%

10 Future economics: The industrial opportunity Technology, Content, Finance & Insurance, Professional & Technical Services Digital Industries Share of GDP % of Private Workforce Share of Private-Sector IT Investment Annual Productivity Growth (15yr avg) 30% 25% 70% 2.7% Manufacturing, Construction, Mining, Utilities, Healthcare, Hotels, Food, Transportation, Wholesale and retail trade Physical Industries 70% 75% 30% 0.7% Source: The coming productivity boom, Michael Mandel, Brett Swanson, The Technology CEO Council

11 The quest for new economic value Traditional CSP service revenues in mature markets* are flat Cloud Services have strong growth but limited value captured by CSPs New DSP markets offer significant revenue expansion ($B) TV Voice Data 1, ($B) Cloud Advertising BPaaS SaaS Cloud Infra aas VOD/streaming ($B) Factories Worksites Cities Logistics & Transport Low Estimate Health 1590 High Estimate 3700 * Western Europe, Canada, USA, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, Australia, and NZ Source: Gartner Source: Gartner BPaaS = Business Processes as a Service Estimated 2025 value creation potential of the IoT - McKinsey Global Institute

12 Distance (km) The Physical Limits: Our Current/Future Reality Mid & High Band mmimo Edge Cloud More Spectrum Spectral Efficiency Speed (of Light) ToT Capacity Spatial Reuse 10 FTTx RTT (ms)

1Mbps 100kbps 10kbps People & Things Sensors HD Video streaming Comms & Chatbots Cloud-assisted driving Remote control

13 Bandwidth Latency & bandwidth value map 10Gbps Video 360 video (free viewpoint) Cloud RAN 360 VR/AR VR/AR 1Gbps 360 video (hi-res) Autonomous vehicles 100Mbps 10Mbps 360 video (lo-res) Remote training 4k Video streaming Haptic VR Virtual RAN 1Mbps 100kbps 10kbps People & Things Sensors HD Video streaming Comms & Chatbots Cloud-assisted driving Remote control vehicles Electric grid control System Control 1kbps Home Sensors 10s 1s 100ms 10ms 1ms 100us 10us Latency Core Cloud Edge Cloud

14 The Net Effect: The 100yr, 100x shift 10Mbps 10Gbps Things Core Cloud Compute Tech IP Networks Broadband Access 100ms People Devices 10B 100x 1ms 100B+ Core Cloud IP Networks Compute Tech Broadband Access Edge Cloud Past $ day $ - + $1 10 years Future

15 The New Value Architecture Digital Value 7 Web, Enterprise Platforms & Vertical apps Augmented Cognition Systems External data sources 6 Analytics Machine learning 8 Dynamic Data Security New trust framework Ecosystem sharing Mass edge monitoring 5 Programmable Network OS Open APIs Dynamic customer services Management & Orchestration SDN NFV Dynamic network optimization Multioperator federation 4 Universal Adaptive Core Access agnostic converged core modular, decomposed network functions Common data layer Autonomously optimized coverage & capacity 3 Smart Network Fabric Software defined Short waves & wires Long fibers 0 Emerging Devices & Sensors 1 Massive Scale Access 2 Converged Edge Cloud Core cloud Converged Node

16 Future X Network at work AR assisted design Tele Surgery (*) 3D Printing - Construction Cooperative Collision Avoidance Cooperative Robot Control Drone Control (*) Amazon

17 The triangle of truth Shorter symbols Shorter frames Multi-channel Access More Spectrum Capacity Channel redundancy Spectral Efficiency Reliability Multi Path Robust modulation / coding Latency Shorter Path Spatial Reuse Triangle of truth guiding us towards possible solutions Internal Use

18 critical robot control in factories

19 URLLC Demo: integrated environment for safety Invisible light fence base station Bosch Rexroth controller Bosch APAS assembly robot A millisecond from detection to action Public

20 remote control of harbor cranes and vehicles

21 Remote Operation - Harbor video processing motion compensation multi--screen edge cloud URLLC + broadband base station VR/AR uplink video uplink system messages + tactile control center downlink system messages + commands (+ head/eye position) Gigabit per second video and millisecond latency for full immersion

The E2E Challenge & Opportunity +30% TCO Physical CSP Network +19% Initial Virtualized Network Virtualizing Network Manually Sliced Network 4K,VR Static & limited scale

22 The E2E Challenge & Opportunity +30% TCO Physical CSP Network +19% Initial Virtualized Network Virtualizing Network Manually Sliced Network 4K,VR Static & limited scale Automated Sliced Network Dynamic & large scale Physical Network Degree of network transformation Level of automation 4K,VR Zero-Touch Network and Service Automation -32%

23 The Answer: Augmented Cognition Systems + PNOS Augmented Cognition Systems Programmable Network OS

24 New value = productivity More time New architecture = distributed Future X New technology = innovation Systems New opportunity = automation E2E solutions

25 One more thing #Telstarring

Future X Network. Sanjay Kamat Managing Partner, Bell Labs Consulting Nokia

Future X Network. Sanjay Kamat Managing Partner, Bell Labs Consulting Nokia Future X Network Sanjay Kamat Managing Partner, Bell Labs Consulting 1 2017 Nokia Nokia Bell Labs innovations have been changing the way we live for more than 90 years 2 2017 Nokia Nokia Internal Nokia