U.S. and Canada Weekly Projections

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1 U.S. and Canada Weekly Projections Weekend #12 March 17 March 19, /16/2017 BEAST MEETS BEAST This week s beast may not be as physically big as last week s beast, but dollar the dollar value won t be anywhere near comparable. Beauty and the Beast will likely be at least twice the beast that Kong was last weekend. The other entry into the box office derby, The Belko Experiment will be hovering around the 3 to 5 million mark and not likely to make many sit up and take notice. Now we discuss our estimate on Beauty, which we detail in the pages following. Consider that tomorrow is St. Patrick s Day, or as we sometimes refer to it around here, National Green Beer Drinking Day. Will the celebration have any effect on Friday s gross? Maybe. Will Saturday, also known affectionately as National Hangover Day, also suffer? Maybe. U.S. and Canada Box Office Trends From 12/30/16 Through 03/16/17 Vs. Same Period LY % Chg. This Week Vs. Last Week 10.7% This Week Vs. Last Year 19.2% Upcoming Weeks Projected (Wk. Beg.) BOR Yr/Yr % Chg 03/17/17 303,763, % 262,376, % 03/31/17 260,259, % 04/07/17 203,075, % 04/14/17 274,753, % 04/21/17 206,791, % 1st Quarter 2,921,511, % Also, consider the ticket price. We would estimate that family oriented films have an average ticket price of about 10 12% less than films that have broader appeal. So a 140 million dollar gross on a family film would likely be about 155 for a broader release. Finally, consider reviews and related web activity. Beauty and the Beast is trailing significantly on both counts compared to Jungle Book. So it is with these in mind that we think, despite record advance sales, we will probably be in the 140 million dollar range as opposed to more aggressive estimates that put it at 160 and above. Well really, that isn t so bad is it? This Week In The U.S. Canada Weekly Projections (Click Link to Navigate) BEAUTY AND THE BEAST/BELKO Wikipedia Page Views Cal Year to Date Data/Equivalent Weeks,/Projection Chart 2016/2017 Comp Films Contact Information Doug Stone Tami Morris President Accounts & Publication Manager (816) (816) (816) Fax (816) Fax dstone@boxofficeanalyst.com tmorris@boxofficeanalyst.com 2017 Box Office Analyst, LLC. All rights reserved. Phone (816) , Fax (816) , 1

2 Beauty and the Beast (3D) Distributor: Disney 3 Day Weekend BOR: Total: PG, 129 Synopsis: Belle (Emma Watson), a bright, beautiful and independent young woman is taken prisoner by a beast in his castle. Despite her fears, she befriends the castle s enchanted staff and learns to look beyond the Beast s hideous exterior and realize the kind Director: Bill Condon Cast: Dan Stevens, Emma Watson, Luke Evans Analysis: There is huge interest in this film biggest family presale ever. There are just a few things that stand in its way to achieving hall of fame status. First, the reviews. They are good, but unlike say Jungle Book, they are not great. Second, the Web activity is also good, but, again, not as good as Jungle Book, only about 62% of it. Third and this is kind of a wild card, St. Patrick's Day Friday. The last time this happened was in 2006, which isn't really a great metric since nowdays most films really open Thursday night and throw the numbers into Friday. But, consider that it is more or less the national drinking day. Will that have an affect on Friday's gross, and will it get moved to Saturday, national hangover day, or will it spread to later weeks? Last, ticket prices. This is likely to post lower than average ticket prices due to discounted child attendance. So our verdict? See the numbers above. In any sense it will be huge. Flixster/Rotten Tomatoes: 69% metacritic reviews: 66% 98% of 48,626 Belko Experiment, The Distributor: BH Tilt 3 Day Weekend BOR: 3 5 Total: 8 14 R, 88 Synopsis: In a twisted social experiment, a group of 80 Americans are locked in their highrise corporate office in Bogata, Colombia and ordered by an unknown voice coming from the company's intercom system to participate in a deadly game of kill or be killed. Director: Greg McLean Cast: John Gallagher Jr., Tony Goldwyn Analysis: Exploding heads and mayhem. Reviews are average and once again we have St. Patrick to contend with. Likely that the Green will affect this film more than Beauty, but we're not expecting a lot anyway. 50% 91% of 4,057 metacritic reviews: 42% 2017 Box Office Analyst, LLC. All rights reserved. Phone (816) , Fax (816) , 2

3 Chips Masterminds 09/30/16 Life Victor Frankenstein 11/25/15 Power Rangers TMNT 2 06/03/16 Wikipedia Page Views: Openings Film Week of Chips Masterminds 09/30/16 Life Victor Frankenstein 11/25/15 Power Rangers TMNT 2 06/03/ Wikipedia Page Views: Openings Film Week of 03/17/ Beauty and the Beast 03/17/17 Jungle Book 04/15/16 Belko Experiment 03/17/17 American Ultra 08/15/ E+05 1E+05 1E+05 1E+05 1E+05 1E+05 1E Beauty and the Beast 03/17/17 Jungle Book 04/15/16 Belko Experiment 03/17/17 American Ultra 08/15/ Box Office Analyst, LLC. All rights reserved. Phone (816) , Fax (816) , 3

4 Calendar Year to Date Cume. Box Office 01/01 03/08 Each Year (Millions) January 959 1,039 1, % February 1,735 1,827 1,768 1,590 1,441 1,613 1,390 March 2,007 2,052 1,922 1,856 1,623 1,837 1,568 30% April May June July August September October November December 10% 10% 30% 50% 70% 70% Calendar 2017 vs 2016 Year over Year BOR % Difference 01/01 03/08 Each Year 1/1 1/ Box Office Analyst, LLC. All rights reserved. 1/15 1/22 1/29 Weekly 2/5 Cumulative 2/12 2/19 2/26 3/5 Equivalent Weeks Yr/Yr BOR % Change 90.0% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 10% 8% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 24% Cume Actual Cume Projected Weekly Projected Weekly Actual 17% 20% 14% 2% 4% 21% 19% 66% 23% 2017Box Office Analyst, LLC. All rights reserved. Week Begining 2017 Box Office Analyst, LLC. All rights reserved. Phone (816) , Fax (816) , 4

5 2017 1st Qtr st Qtr Date Title Distributor Weekend Total Est Tot To Date Date Title Distributor Weekend Total Est 01/06/17 Monster Calls, A Focus Features 30,000 5,610,000 3,740,000 01/08/16 Forest, The Focus 12,740,000 26,590,000 01/06/17 Underworld: Blood Wars Sony/ Screen Gems 13,690,000 33,390,000 30,320,000 12/25/15 Revenant, The 20th Century Fox 470, ,640,000 01/06/17 Hidden Figures Fox 520,000 74,200, ,100,000 01/01/16 01/13/17 Live by Night Warner Bros. 14,090,000 10,340,000 01/15/16 Ride Along 2 Universal 35,240,000 90,860,000 01/13/17 Bye Bye Man, The STX Entertainment 13,500,000 36,800,000 22,400,000 01/15/16 13 Hours: The Secret Soldi Paramount 16,190,000 52,850,000 01/13/17 Patriots Day Lionsgate 160,000 54,900,000 31,890,000 01/15/16 Norm of the North Lionsgate 6,840,000 17,060,000 01/13/17 Sleepless Open Road 8,340,000 23,230,000 20,780,000 01/22/16 01/13/17 Monster Trucks Paramount 10,950,000 32,170,000 33,090,000 01/29/16 01/20/17 Founder, The The Weinstein Company 3,400,000 12,630,000 12,520,000 01/22/16 Dirty Grandpa Lionsgate 11,110,000 35,590,000 01/20/17 Split Universal 40,010, ,780, ,610,000 01/22/16 Boy, The 10,780,000 35,820,000 01/20/17 xxx: Return Of Xander Cage Paramount 20,130,000 48,170,000 44,750,000 01/22/16 5th Wave, The Sony 10,330,000 34,910,000 01/20/17 Resurrection of Gavin Stone, The High Top Releasing 1,210,000 6,980,000 2,300,000 01/29/16 01/20/17 20th Century Women A24 3,500,000 9,940,000 02/05/16 01/27/17 Resident Evil: The Final Chapter Sony/ Screen Gems 13,600,000 32,730,000 26,650,000 01/29/16 Jane Got a Gun Relativity Media 840,000 1,510,000 01/27/17 Dog's Purpose, A Universal 18,220,000 51,510,000 60,700,000 01/29/16 Finest Hours, The Disney 10,290,000 27,570,000 01/27/17 Gold TWC/ Dimension 3,470,000 8,910,000 7,180,000 01/29/16 Fifty Shades of Black Open Road 5,900,000 11,690,000 01/27/17 01/29/16 Kung Fu Panda 3 20th Century Fox 41,280, ,530,000 02/03/17 Rings Paramount 13,000,000 33,250,000 27,640,000 02/05/16 Hail, Caesar! Universal 11,360,000 30,080,000 02/03/17 Space Between Us, The STX Entertainment 3,780,000 10,570,000 7,890,000 02/05/16 Choice, The Lionsgate 6,050,000 18,730,000 02/03/17 02/05/16 Pride and Prejudice and ZoSony 5,320,000 10,910,000 02/10/17 Fifty Shades Darker Universal 46,610, ,710, ,290,000 02/12/16 How to Be Single Warner Brothers 17,880,000 46,840,000 02/10/17 LEGO Batman Movie, The Warner Bros. 53,000, ,510, ,200,000 02/12/16 Deadpool 20th Century Fox 132,430, ,070,000 02/10/17 John Wick: Chapter 2 Lionsgate 30,440,000 82,870,000 84,720,000 02/12/16 Zoolander 2 Paramount 13,840,000 28,850,000 02/17/17 Great Wall, The Universal/ Legendary 18,470,000 47,210,000 42,570,000 02/19/16 Race Focus 7,350,000 19,120, Box Office Analyst, LLC. All rights reserved. Phone (816) , Fax (816) , 5

6 2017 1st (Cont.) st (Cont.) Date Title Distributor Weekend Total Est Tot To Date Date Title Distributor Weekend Total Est 02/17/17 Cure for Wellness, A 20th Century Fox 4,360,000 10,480,000 8,080,000 02/19/16 Risen 11,800,000 36,870,000 02/17/17 Fist Fight Warner Bros. 12,200,000 31,090,000 29,190,000 02/19/16 Witch, The A24 8,800,000 25,140,000 02/24/17 Collide Open Road 1,510,000 3,600,000 2,280,000 02/26/16 Gods of Egypt Lionsgate 14,120,000 31,150,000 02/24/17 Get Out Universal 33,380,000 80,600,000 89,980,000 02/26/16 Triple 9 Open Road 6,110,000 12,640,000 02/24/17 Rock Dog Lionsgate 3,700,000 9,470,000 7,220,000 02/26/16 Eddie the Eagle 20th Century Fox 6,080,000 15,790,000 03/03/17 Logan 20th Century Fox 88,410, ,980, ,810,000 03/04/16 London Has Fallen Focus 21,640,000 62,520,000 03/03/17 Shack, The Lionsgate 16,170,000 41,710,000 22,220,000 03/04/16 Whiskey Tango Foxtrot Paramount 7,450,000 23,080,000 03/03/17 Before I Fall Open Road 4,690,000 13,270,000 5,930,000 03/04/16 Zootopia Disney 75,060, ,270,000 03/10/17 Kong: Skull Island Warner Bros. 61,000, ,080,000 03/11/16 Brothers Grimsby, The Sony 3,260,000 6,860,000 03/10/17 03/11/16 Young Messiah, The Focus 03/10/17 03/11/16 10 Cloverfield Lane Paramount 24,730,000 72,080,000 03/10/17 03/11/16 Perfect Match, The Lionsgate 4,290,000 9,670,000 03/17/17 Beauty and the Beast (3D) Disney 137,000, ,080,000 03/18/16 Miracles From Heaven 14,810,000 61,690,000 03/17/17 Belko Experiment, The OTL 3,080,000 7,970,000 03/18/16 Divergent Series: Allegian Lionsgate 29,030,000 66,180,000 Power Rangers Lionsgate 27,000,000 80,110,000 03/25/16 Batman V Superman: Daw Warner Brothers 166,010, ,360,000 Life Sony/ Columbia 22,000,000 57,810,000 03/25/16 My Big Fat Greek Wedding Universal 17,860,000 59,690,000 CHiPS Warner Bros. 15,000,000 38,980,000 04/01/16 03/31/17 Boss Baby, The 20th Century Fox 40,000, ,840,000 04/01/16 God's Not Dead 2 Pure Flix 7,620,000 20,770,000 03/31/17 Ghost in the Shell Paramount/ DreamWorks 32,000,000 85,040,000 04/01/16 Meet the Blacks 4,060,000 9,100,000 03/31/17 Zookeeper's Wife, The Focus Features 4,000,000 11,830,000 04/08/16 03/31/17 Step Sisters Broad Green Pictures 7,690,000 19,890,000 04/15/ Box Office Analyst, LLC. All rights reserved. Phone (816) , Fax (816) , 6

7 2017 2nd nd Date Title Distributor Weekend Total Est Tot To Date Date Title Distributor Weekend Total Est 03/31/17 Boss Baby, The 20th Century Fox 40,000, ,840,000 04/01/16 God's Not Dead 2 Pure Flix 7,620,000 20,770,000 03/31/17 Ghost in the Shell Paramount/ DreamWorks 32,000,000 85,040,000 04/01/16 Meet the Blacks 4,060,000 9,100,000 03/31/17 Zookeeper's Wife, The Focus Features 4,000,000 11,830,000 04/08/16 03/31/17 Step Sisters Broad Green Pictures 7,690,000 19,890,000 04/15/16 04/07/17 Going in Style Warner Bros. 16,000,000 47,010,000 04/08/16 Boss, The Universal 23,590,000 63,080,000 04/07/17 Smurfs: The Lost Village Sony/ Columbia 17,000,000 54,490,000 04/08/16 Hardcore Henry 5,110,000 9,250,000 04/07/17 Case for Christ, The Pure Flix 3,330,000 9,920,000 04/15/16 04/14/17 Fate of the Furious, The Universal 111,110, ,840,000 04/15/16 Jungle Book, The Disney 103,260, ,000,000 04/14/17 04/15/16 Criminal Lionsgate 5,770,000 14,710,000 04/14/17 04/15/16 Barbershop: The Next Cut Warner Brothers 20,240,000 54,030,000 04/21/17 Free Fire A24 5,560,000 13,700,000 04/22/16 Huntsman: Winter's War, TUniversal 19,450,000 48,000,000 04/21/17 Born in China Disneynature 4,000,000 11,830,000 04/29/16 04/21/17 Unforgettable Warner Bros. 16,670,000 44,660,000 05/06/16 04/21/17 Leap! The Weinstein Company 12,500,000 38,590,000 05/13/16 04/21/17 Promise, The (2017) Open Road 7,410,000 19,850,000 05/20/16 04/28/17 Sleight On the Lot 5,000,000 12,450,000 04/29/16 Keanu Warner Brothers 9,450,000 20,590,000 04/28/17 Circle, The STX Entertainment 9,260,000 24,820,000 04/29/16 Ratchet & Clank Focus 4,870,000 8,820,000 04/28/17 Untitled Blumhouse Horror Project Universal 16,670,000 44,680,000 04/29/16 Mother's Day (2016) Open Road 8,370,000 32,490,000 05/05/17 Guardians of the Galaxy 2 Disney 145,000, ,960,000 05/06/16 Captain America: Civil War Disney 179,140, ,080,000 05/12/17 King Arthur: Legend of the Sword Warner Bros. 30,000,000 82,550,000 05/13/16 Money Monster Sony 14,790,000 41,010,000 05/12/17 Snatched 20th Century Fox 27,780,000 83,070,000 05/13/16 Darkness, The 4,950,000 10,750,000 05/12/17 Lowriders On the Lot 2,960,000 7,950,000 05/20/ Box Office Analyst, LLC. All rights reserved. Phone (816) , Fax (816) , 7

8 2017 2nd (Cont.) nd (Cont.) Date Title Distributor Weekend Total Est Tot To Date Date Title Distributor Weekend Total Est 05/12/17 King Arthur: Legend of the Sword Warner Bros. 30,000,000 82,550,000 05/13/16 Money Monster Sony 14,790,000 41,010,000 05/12/17 Snatched 20th Century Fox 27,780,000 83,070,000 05/13/16 Darkness, The 4,950,000 10,750,000 05/12/17 Lowriders On the Lot 2,960,000 7,950,000 05/20/16 05/19/17 Alien: Covenant 20th Century Fox 44,440, ,450,000 05/20/16 Neighbors 2: Sorority Risin Universal 21,760,000 55,340,000 05/19/17 Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul 20th Century Fox 13,330,000 39,620,000 05/20/16 Nice Guys, The Warner Brothers 11,200,000 36,260,000 05/19/17 Everything, Everything Warner Bros. 11,670,000 34,670,000 05/20/16 Angry Birds Movie, The Sony 38,160, ,510,000 05/26/17 Baywatch Paramount 33,850, ,060,000 05/27/16 Alice Through the Looking Disney 26,860,000 77,040,000 05/26/17 Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell Disney 61,670, ,090,000 05/27/16 XMen: Apocalypse 20th Century Fox 65,770, ,440,000 06/02/17 Captain Underpants 20th Century Fox 33,330,000 99,630,000 06/03/16 Me Before You Warner Brothers 18,720,000 56,250,000 06/02/17 Wonder Woman Warner Bros. 81,820, ,620,000 06/03/16 Teenage Mutant Ninja Tur Paramount 35,320,000 82,050,000 06/02/17 06/03/16 Popstar: Never Stop Neve Universal 4,700,000 9,500,000 06/09/17 Mummy, The Universal 45,450, ,580,000 06/10/16 Warcraft Universal 24,170,000 47,230,000 06/09/17 It Comes at Night A24 2,800,000 6,990,000 06/10/16 Conjuring 2, The Warner Brothers 40,410, ,470,000 06/09/17 06/10/16 Now You See Me 2 Lionsgate 22,380,000 65,080,000 06/16/17 Book of Henry, The Focus Features 4,000,000 11,380,000 06/17/16 Central Intelligence Warner Brothers 35,540, ,430,000 06/16/17 Cars 3 Disney 55,000, ,760,000 06/17/16 Finding Dory Disney 135,060, ,300,000 06/16/17 Rough Night Sony/ Columbia 28,330,000 84,630,000 06/24/16 06/16/17 All Eyez On Me Lionsgate/ Summit 19,230,000 49,940,000 07/01/16 06/23/17 Transformers: The Last Knight Paramount 75,470, ,940,000 06/24/16 Free State of Jones, The 7,570,000 20,810,000 06/23/17 06/24/16 Shallows, The Sony 16,800,000 55,120,000 06/23/17 06/24/16 Neon Demon, The 1,330,000 06/23/17 06/24/16 Independence Day: Resur 20th Century Fox 41,040, ,140,000 06/30/17 Despicable Me 3 Universal 100,000, ,470,000 07/01/16 BFG, The Disney/DreamWorks 18,780,000 55,480,000 06/30/17 Amityville: The Awakening TWC/ Dimension 9,620,000 24,320,000 07/01/16 Purge: Election Year, The Universal 31,520,000 79,040,000 06/30/17 House, The New Line 27,000,000 90,690,000 07/01/16 Swiss Army Man (Wide) A24 06/30/17 Beguiled, The Focus Features 10,910,000 31,060,000 07/01/16 Legend of Tarzan, The Warner Brothers 38,530, ,640, Box Office Analyst, LLC. All rights reserved. Phone (816) , Fax (816) , 8