5G: Not just mobile carriers. Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis, May 3
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1 5G: Not just mobile carriers Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis, May 3
2 5G is More than Just Mobile Carriers Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis For Dynamic Spectrum Image credits: Pixabay.com / Dean Bubley
3 Dean Bubley & Disruptive Analysis Tech/telecom analyst & strategic consulting since 1991 Futurism, Forecasting, Anti-Forecasting, Policy Cross-silo, contrarian, independent Often provocative. Sometimes obscure. Occasionally wrong. Network Tech, Policy & Business Models Communications Apps & Services Telecom-Futurism
4
5 Nuanced demand: Multiple delivery models for capabilities Service (Subscribers) Owned / Private Amenity Community Service (Free / fremium users) Public (Govt) service Embed
6 Multiple dimensions for future wireless networks And also: Security model Mobility Integration Bi-directional Protocols etc Gbps Bandwidth Mbps Kbps Rechargeable battery bps Range Generator Mains electricity Long-life battery Harvested bpd 10m 100m 1km >10km <1m Power 90% 99% Wi-Fi 99.9% 4G / 5G / LPWA / Satellite 99.99% 3D Coverage Noncritical Functioncritical Businesscritical Safetycritical Managed spectrum Importance
7 Every vertical sector has unique wireless requirements
8 Not just industrial interest in enterprise cellular All-operator coverage, UC/meeting integration, workgroup/team billing Capacity density, Instant replays via MEC nodes, Content rights protection, VIPs Ultra-low latency, compliance/recording, data sovereignty, private number/addresses In-room coverage, unroaming for guests & Free 5G for conference guests Critical comms, 100% coverage in buildings / underground, secure, pre-emption, new IoT Communities, challenging economics, neutral hosts, Government priorities
9 Dedicated spectrum enables limited business models National MNO licences Non-MNO licences B2C Prepay & Post-Paid Subscriptions IoT Embedded Wholesale, eg MVNO Government eg Public Safety Few corps, eg utilities, rail Alternative approaches needed: Shared, Dynamic, Sub-licenced, Secondary Re-use etc
10 Traditional MNOs address some verticals/sites, but not all Limited domain expertise Coverage challenges Site access difficulties Safety / other certification Data security / ownership IoT platform integration Liability issues Regulatory limits Commercial model Also: Network-slicing in 5G solves different (wide-area) problems
11 Many possible stakeholders / models with shared spectrum Government Public safety, shared national wholesale network, city authorities Industrial companies Owned & controlled IoT connections (cost/risk calculation) Utilities & infrastructure Energy, transport, utility, rail etc. with unique needs & coverage rqts Venue Owners Higher rent / happy visitors & Neutral Host $$ Rural providers Connecting unconnected. neutral host, govt subsidy etc Niche MNO entrants Geo-specific license for new service / rev types eg enterprise IoT solution integrator Embedded WAN ability in similar fashion to WiFi / LoRa Community / decentralised Improve off-grid locations, offer neutral-host or mesh / micropayment
12 Many moving parts to create private 4G/5G networks Shared & Unlicensed Spectrum Small Cells, WiFi,MEC, DAS, cabling IoT / MVNO / MVNE / Slicing platforms esim & RSP Virtualised Core / Transport Network Cloud OSS / BSS Number ranges & MNCs Roaming & Interconnect hubs Devices & chipsets Voice, PTT, video, messaging Physical design, integrate & build
13 Conclusions, High Mobility 4G / 5G for MBB LTE-Cat M1+ Legacy 2G/3G Hybrids / Multi-Network MVNOs LTE/5G & shared spectrum Slice operators (maybe) Satellite & HAPs PMR / TETRA Private LTE / 5G Private MVNO Satellite Vertical-specific (eg auto) Low Mobility NB-IoT (esp. China) 4G / 5G MBB + M1 Legacy 2G/3G M2M Wi-Fi Some LoRa, SigFox Wi-Fi SigFox, LoRa, other LPWA NB-IoT unlicensed MVNOs Multi-Network Wi-Fi Bluetooth, ZigBee etc LoRa / LoRaWAN CBRS / MulteFire NB-IoT unlicensed? Other LPWA & Industrial Traditional MNOs Non-MNO SPs Private & Government
14 Skype:disruptiveanalysis appear.in/disruptiveanalysis Copyright Disruptive Analysis Ltd 2017
Futurism, Innovation & WiFi Networks & Comms is too Important to Leave to the Telcos Dean Bubley, Disruptive Analysis
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