Overview of GPCLRFs and RCCs within the GFCS: Climate Services Information System. R. Kolli Chief World Climate Applications & Services Division

Transcription

1 Overview of GPCLRFs and RCCs within the GFCS: Climate Services Information System R. Kolli Chief World Climate Applications & Services Division 1

2 Climate Service Information System (CSIS) The CSIS is the component of the GFCS most concerned with the generation and dissemination of climate information. It is the operational centre of the GFCS. It will include climate data, monitoring, prediction (monthly, seasonal, decadal) and projection (centennial) activities. HLT report: The Climate Services Information System is the system needed to collect, process and distribute climate data and information according to the needs of users and according to the procedures agreed by governments and other data providers. 2

3 Role of CSIS within the GFCS The CSIS is the means of delivery of climate data and products. It comprises global, regional and national centres and entities that generate/process climate information (observations and predictions), and the exchange of data and products to agreed standards and protocols. It must be supported by observation and research programmes (e.g. GCOS, WCRP). With pull through facilitated by strong links. Capacity building initiatives will increase conductivity of data flow Part of the CSIS is in place, but new infrastructure is needed to fullfil the GFCS vision. 3

4 Global users Regional users National/Sectoral users User Interface Platform Regional Climate Outlook Forums National Climate Forums Global Producing Centres Regional Climate Centres National climate centres Climate Analysis, Monitoring and Prediction Centres Global data centres Specialized data centres Climate Data Centres National data centres Global systems Regional systems Climate Observing Systems National systems 4

5 CSIS Implementation Strategy Developing and implementing CSIS architecture Functional descriptions and product development (Data/Monitoring/Predicti on/projection) Operational infrastructure: GPCs, RCCs, RCOFs, NMHSs, NCOFs/NCFs Climate Services Toolkit Capacity Development 5

6 Global Producing Centres of LRF In 2006, WMO set up a process to designate centres making global seasonal forecasts as WMO Global Producing Centres of Long Range Forecasts (GPCLRFs) GPCLRFs adhere to commonly defined standards aiding consistency and usability of output: a fixed forecast production cycle a standard set of forecast products WMO-defined verification standards A comprehensive set of standard verification measures, with which to communicate the skill of forecasts, has been defined (the WMO Standard Verification System for Long-Range Forecasts SVSLRF) 12 GPCLRFs designated so far Two Lead Centres: LC-LRFMME and LC-SVSLRF 6

7 Currently Designated GPCLRFs Links to GPCs: 7

8 Global Seasonal Climate Update Background: Long experience with WMO El Niño/La Niña Update based on global consensus Purpose: International consensus on current state of climate plus outlook for the next season; Addresses: major climate modes and indices; temperature and precipitation; Issued: ahead of each conventional season (at the minimum); Target users: Regional and national centres and entities (globally acting users also interested); Dedicated Task Team under CCl; Trial versions of GSCU being developed in near real-time and subjected to peerreview process/operational testing.. 8

9 Regional Climate Centres (RCC) WMO Regional Climate Centres are centres of excellence that create regional climate products including long-range forecasts in support of regional and national climate activities and thereby strengthen capacity of WMO Members in a given region to deliver better climate services to national users. RCC users: NMHSs, other RCCs, etc. WMO RCC responsibilitiesshall be regional in nature and shall not duplicate or replace national responsibnilities. Establishment of RCCs is initiatedby WMO Regional Associations, based on regional needs and priorities. Formal designationthrough WMO Technical Regulations Two modes of Implementation: fully self-contained RCCs or distributed-function RCC-Networks 9

10 RCC Functions Mandatory Functions: Operational Activities for LRF Operational Activities for Climate Monitoring Operational Data Services, to support operational LRF and climate monitoring Training in the use of operational RCC products and services Highly Recommended Functions: Climatepredictionand projection Non-operational data services Coordination functions Training and capacity building Research and development 10

11 WMO RCC Status Worldwide 11

12 WMO Mechanisms for Guiding GPCLRFs and RCCs World Climate Services Programme (WCSP) Global Data Processing and Forecasting System (GDPFS) Commission for Basic Systems (CBS) Commission for Climatology (CCl) Implementation Coordination Team on CSIS CBS/CCl Expert Team on Operational Predictions from Subseasonal to Longer-time Scales (ET-OPSLS) CCl/CBS Expert Team on RCCs Interactions with WCRP and Commission for Atmospheric Sciences (CAS)

13 Regional Climate Outlook Forums (RCOFs) RCOFs provide platforms for Climate experts and climate information users to: Discuss current climate status Exchange views on scientific developments in climate prediction Develop consensus-based regional climate outlooks that can feed into national climate outlooks produced by NMHSs Engage in user-provider dialogue An important aspect of RCOFs is the facility to bring together experts in various fields, at regular intervals, operational climate providers and end users of forecasts in an environment that encourages interaction and learning. 13

14 RCOFs Worldwide

15 Potential National Mechanisms Framework for Climate Services at the national level Similar to GFCS structure but involves practicalities and specifics for delivery of climate services at the national level. Some countries may establish coordination mechanisms appropriate to their national context, largely as integral components of the NMHSs, to support/facilitate GFCS implementation at the national level National Climate Outlook Forums (NCOFs) Adapting the Large and Regional scale forecasts to the national context Tailoring products and translating key messages for users (Multidisciplinary Working Groups) Evaluating the impact of expected conditions (with existing vulnerabilities) Coordination mechanisms at National level Tailored to specific National context Positioning of NMHS within the Framework at the national level Strong and sustained users liaison Research focus on national needs Wide access to climate data and knowledge base 15

16 Climate Services Toolkit CST Climate Data Availability, Management, and Mining Features and Functions Information flow Climate Analysis Monitoring PUSH Climate Forecasts Climate Projections RCCs & NMHSs PULL USER INTERFACE Feedback and Requirements 16

17 Resolution 17 (Cg-XVI), 2011 WMO Some extracts: To establish a Climate Services Information System with global, regional and national entities providing operational climate information, including data, monitoring and prediction products within the GFCS; That CSIS operations shall adhere to the WMO Technical Regulations and should generate, as needed, new Technical Regulations pertinent to the advancement of operational climate services; That the implementation of CSIS should be guided by the Commission for Climatology; That the core operational CSIS products should be standardized in terms of production, presentation, delivery and verification 17

18 CCl Implementation Coordination Team on CSIS First Meeting, 3-5 November 2015, Geneva Action Plan agreed Development of Climate Services Toolkit Development of an initial draft for a CSIS Technical Reference Manual White paper on CSIS operations, mandate, standards, design, partnerships International Workshops/Meetings on CSIS Development Optimizing the access to currently available products Optimizing product portfolio at all levels: Climate Services Toolkit Active engagement with all stakeholders Development of the Help Desk concept 18

19 Resolution 60 (Cg-17) WMO Policy for the International Exchange of Climate Data and Products to Support the Implementation of the GFCS Extracts: To adopt the policies and practices, including the guidelines, of Resolution 40 (Cg-XII) and Resolution 25 (Cg-XIII) for the exchange of GFCS relevant data and products; Climate data and products covered by Resolution 40 (Cg-XII) and the GFCS relevant data and products subsumed under Resolution 25 (Cg-XIII) will continue to be governed by these resolutions; GFCS relevant data and products from the WMO WDCs, GPCLRFs, RCCs, RCOFs and the ICSU WDS, as well as from the framework of the GCOS ECVs (Atmospheric, Oceanic and Terrestrial), will constitute an essential contribution to the Framework and therefore should be made accessible among Members, in particular through the GFCS CSIS, on a free and unrestricted basis; 19

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21 Developers Meeting on the GFCS-Relevant Climate Data, Products, and Tools (6-8 December 2016, Geneva) Review currently available GFCS-relevant data and products; Review and refine the CST contents and architecture as well as discuss the strategy to populate and maintain the CST; Develop an action plan for populating the CST with datasets and tools required for climate services, based on the minimum functions defined for the CSIS; Address and provide recommendations on the CST governance issues; Explore the software solutions and IT infrastructure required for the deployment of CST; Develop an outline for guidance on CST core capabilities; Recommend training materials that will support capacity building and use of CST resources; Identify metrics for CST performance evaluation and develop criteria for quality assurance; Recommend strategy for deployment of CST core capabilities. 21

22 Scoping Workshop on Defining CSIS Architecture for Effective Climate Service Delivery March 2017, Nanjing, China (TBC) Evaluate and identify ways to accelerate development of CSIS activities (e.g., Climate Services Toolkit, RCCs/RCOFs, Climate Watches, NCOFs, GPC uptake, etc.) at the global, regional, and national levels Demonstrate a prototype for Climate Services Toolkit Produce CSIS Implementation Plan in coordination with GFCS Operational and Resource Plan Scope out CSIS Technical Reference Manual Harmonize the process of CSIS development with progress made in development of other GFCS pillars and integrated information systems 22

23 Towards an Inventory of GFCS-relevant Data and Products Following up on EC-68 request to CCl Develop an inventory for GFCS-relevant data and products currently available from WMO global and regional centres (e.g., GPCLRFs, RCCs, WDCs for meteorology and climatology, IRI, APCC, etc); Elaborate a template for conducting a Survey on the availability of GFCSrelevant data and products at the WMO global and regional centres; Conduct a Survey communicating with the WMO global and regional centres and also collect relevant information through Internet resources; Prepare a comprehensive report summarizing and synthesizing the current status of availability and access to GFCS-relevant data and products, along with recommendations to increase access/availability, and subject it to review by CCl experts; Present the overview of the current status of GFCS-relevant data and products at the Developers Meeting on the GFCS-Relevant Climate Data, Products, and Tools to be held from 6 to 8 December,

24 GFCS Operational and Resource Plan (ORP) Focus on Phase II of GFCS Implementation Phase I (first two years, ): Start-up phase for establishing the Framework s infrastructure a Demonstration projects Emphasized strengthening of regional support networks and institutional capacities Phase II ( ) Development and scale-up phase of pillars and priority area applications Initial two-year demonstration projects will be replicated in other parts of the world A mid-term review of the Framework during this period will include consideration of such progress Phase III ( ) Wide-reaching benefits from improved climate services will be evident Improved services throughout the world, across all climate-sensitive sectors and across global, regional and national spatial scales

25 What the ORP does Refines Focus. Identifies activities that are essential for mobilizing and developing the field of climate services. A strategic work plan to follow. Improves Communication. Will help answer the question What will the GFCS do in the next 3 years? at a tangible and actionable level Mobilizes Resources and Partners. Provides a list of prioritized activities to help target the mobilization of funds for implementation. Also allows partners (including CCl) to see clear entry points for collaboration. Supports Evaluation. Provides a basis for monitoring and evaluating progress on key elements of the Framework What the ORP does NOT do Guarantees funding for activities. Not all activities currently are funded. Captures everything. This is not a collection of everything that CCl, WMO and the many other partners are doing related to climate services or part of the GFCS

26 ORP has three Objectives, reflects end to end nature of climate services

27 Objective 1: Priority/Sector Areas, GFCS ORP Objective Implementation Strategies Examples of Implementation Partners Results 1. Priority Applications: Improving decision making in climatesensitive areas Agriculture and Food Security. Interagency coordination team; scaling up climate services for food security Disaster Risk Reduction. Develop, implement and support disaster risk reduction strategies at regional and national levels WFP, WMO, FAO NMHS; national Disaster Management Agencies, ISDR/UN Office for DRR Decision making and investments in climate sensitive sectors are improved through the support of climate services Energy. Joint Office; Green Climate Fund proposal preparation; delivering climate information for energy sector WMO, WEMC Human Health. Technical support unit and health user-interface; National Climate and Health Working Groups; Air Quality Services NMHS, Ministries of Health, WHO, Health Academic and Research Institutions Water Resources. Help Desks for flood and drought management; Dialogs and Mechanisms; Preparing flood, drought and water resources management projects WMO, GWP, NMHS, water managers, UN-Water members, NMHS

28 Objective 2: UIP Mechanisms, GFCS ORP Objective Implementation Strategies Examples of Implementation Partners Results 2. Bridge: Connecting user needs with climate services through sustained engagement mechanisms. National. Establishing and support National Dialogues on Climate Services and Frameworks for Climate Services Regional. Strengthening regional systems for climate service provision Global. Coordinate GFCS implementation; communications and knowledge management; monitoring and evaluation UN Country Teams, NMFS, relevant ministries, user groups, donor community RCCs, regional structures of partner agencies GFCS Office Sustained mechanisms are established or enhanced to support effective user-driven climate services at regional and national levels

29 Objective 3: Technical Capabilities, GFCS ORP Objective Implementation Strategies Examples of Implementation Partners Results 3. Foundational Pillars: Enhancing technical and scientific capabilities to support userdriven climate services scientific capabilities Climate Services Information Systems. Climate Services Toolkits; Regional partners and networks, coordination, climate data management systems, national CSIS capabilities, Observations and Monitoring. Observational systems; data recovery; improving networks for water cycle; climate system monitoring Research, Predictions, and Modeling. Research on climate predictability at subseasonal, seasonal and decadal time scales; regional climate information WMO, IRI, NMHSs and organizations developing tools, RCCs, other regional institutions, UN agency regional bodies, GPCs, CCL GCOS, CCL, IEDRO, ACRE, NMHSs, WMO WCRP, WWRP, Global Atmosphere Watch Implementation of climate services are enhanced through targeted improvements in foundational technical and Capacity Development. International Competency Framework for climate services WMO and partner institutions, Academic partners

30 Five CSIS activities included in the ORP 1. Define, build and make available a Climate Services Toolkit at the regional and national levels. Organization of an international workshop; Strategy for deployment of Climate Services Toolkit; Technical reference manuals on CSIS operations; Guidance document on national frameworks for climate services 2. Regional Partnerships and Networks for Enhancing CSIS Capacities. Regional frameworks for CSIS implementation; RCC/RSMC workshops; Climate watch systems; regional management team meetings; regional collaborative platforms; stakeholder engagement. 3. Facilitate Implementation and Coordination of the Climate Services Information System pillar. Organization of an international workshop; Strategy for deployment of Climate Services Toolkit; Technical reference manuals on CSIS operations; Guidance document on national frameworks for climate services 4.

31 Five CSIS activities included in the ORP (contd.) 4. Climate Data Management Systems. Consistent national, regional and global climate data sets and related data products and services. 5. Development and Demonstration of a National Climate Services concept including Enhancement of National CSIS Capacities. (i) A template for National Climate Service concept suitable for implementation in developing countries; (ii) Access to high-resolution climate data and products through twining arrangements between advanced and less capable NMHSs; (iii) Deployment of mentor scientists in developing countries; (iv) Exchange of experts and on-the-job training.

32 Thank you Merci 32