Market Forecast Report Semiconductor and FPD Manufacturing Equipment
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1 Market Report Semiconductor and FPD Manufacturing Equipment [ fiscal year] January 12, 217 Semiconductor Equipment Association of Japan
2 [Overview] This report provides a forecast trend for Semiconductor and FPD manufacturing equipment. The fully-considered results made in this forecast report are by the Semiconductor Research and Statistics sub-committee and the FPD Research and Statistics sub-committee of the Semiconductor Equipment Association of Japan (hereinafter called SEAJ, Chairman Mr. Kazuo Ushida), and as the result of market trend research from both the Board of Directors and auditors (total 19 companies) by SEAJ consensus. Due to growth in the semiconductor manufacturing equipment market, in addition to high growth in the FPD manufacturing equipment market thought to have carried over from fiscal year 215, we predict that overall sales of trillion yen for fiscal year 216, an increase of 23.1%. Assuming there will be a slight increase in the semiconductor manufacturing equipment market and consolidation of the FPD manufacturing equipment market, we have predicted that sales in fiscal year 217 will increase.5% to trillion yen. As for fiscal year 218, we anticipate the semiconductor manufacturing equipment market will grow slightly and the FPD manufacturing equipment market will further decline, so we have predicted that overall sales will decrease 2.1% to trillion yen. (1) period The fiscal year of 216 to 218 for three years (2) items Japanese Equipment and Japanese Market for Semiconductor and Japanese Equipment for FPD manufacturing equipment (3) results [ of Japanese Equipment Billings for Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment] We predicted sales of trillion yen, 11.6% increase, for fiscal year 216 anticipating investment recovery by logic manufacturers and foundries in addition to investment in 3D-NAND. Assuming demand for equipment will recover due to a return to mild growth for electronic devices and semiconductors and in the macro economy from fiscal year 217, we have predicted that sales will slightly increase 3.4% to trillion yen for fiscal year 217 and increase 1.2% to trillion yen for fiscal year 218. [ of Japanese Market Billings for Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment] Since DRAM and image sensor manufacturers are expected to decrease investment, we predicted sales for fiscal year 216 will decrease 33.% to billion yen. We anticipate that investment in image sensors will resume and in addition to investment in 3D-NAND, we have predicted overall sales for fiscal year 217 will increase 3.% to billion yen. As for fiscal year 218, we anticipate a recovery in equipment demand, so we have predicted that sales will increase 13.7% to 65 billion yen. [ of Japanese Equipment billings for FPD Manufacturing Equipment] As for fiscal year 216, Japanese and Taiwanese investments were added to investments that have traditionally focused on the Chinese and Korean markets, so we predicted sales will increase 73.7%, which has been adjusted upward from the previous prediction, to 52 billion yen. Although investment in equipment for small to midsize OLED panels will increase, we have predicted that sales for fiscal year 217 will decrease 7.7% to 48 billion yen due to the impact of decreased investment in large panels. As for fiscal year 218, although we expect investment in G1.5 for large panels, we assume the market will consolidate and have predicted sales will decrease 12.5% to 42 billion yen. ii
3 January 217 for Semiconductor and FPD Manufacturing Equipment 1.Semiconductor and FPD Manufacturing Equipment for Japanese Equipment Billing Billings(1 million Yen) 32, 28, 24, 2, 16, 12, 8, 4, 年度 (Fiscal Year) Semiconductor FPD Growth Rate (CAGR: ) Fiscal Year CAGR Semiconductor 17,778 18,51 7,954 6,528 12,415 12,637 1,284 11,278 12,921 13,89 14,65 15,12 15,283 FPD 5,429 3,761 5,31 2,887 3,84 3,25 2,89 3,485 2,717 2,993 5,2 4,8 4,2 Total (1 million yen) 23,26 22,271 12,985 9,415 16,255 15,887 12,373 14,763 15,638 16,82 19,85 19,92 19,483 Growth Rate (%) % P.1
4 January 217 for Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment 2. Semiconductor Manufacturing Equipment for Japanese Equipment Billing Billings(1 million Yen) 25, 2, , 1, -2 5, Semiconductor Growth Rate (Fiscal Year) (CAGR: ) Fiscal Year CAGR Total (1 million yen) 17,778 18,51 7,954 6,528 12,415 12,637 1,284 11,278 12,921 13,89 14,65 15,12 15,283 Growth Rate (%) % for Japanese Market Billing * "Japanese Market Billing" = Domestic Billing of Japanese and Foreign manufacturers. Billings(1 Million Yen) 15, 12,5 年 6 4 1, 2 7,5 5, -2 2, Semiconductor GrowthRate (Fiscal Year) (CAGR: ) Fiscal Year CAGR Total (1 million yen) 1,241 1,694 5,567 2,13 4,162 4,552 2,363 3,653 5, 6,562 4,396 5,715 6,5 Growth Rate (%) % P.2
5 January 217 for Semiconductor and FPD Manufacturing Equipment 3.FPD Manufacturing Equipment for Japanese Equipment Billing Billing (1 million ) 8, 6, 年 Growh Rate(%) , 2 2, FPD Growth Rate (Fiscal Year) (CAGR: ) Fiscal Year CAGR Total (1 million yen) 5,429 3,761 5,31 2,887 3,84 3,25 2,89 3,485 2,717 2,993 5,2 4,8 4,2 Growth Rate (%) % P.3
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