Global Telecommunications Market Take, 1Q03 (Executive Summary) Executive Summary
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1 Global Telecommunications Market Take, 1Q03 (Executive Summary) Executive Summary Publication Date: 9 April 2003
2 Author Wm.L.Hahn This document has been published to the following Marketplace codes: TELC-WW-EX-0576 For More Information... In North America and Latin America: In Europe, the Middle East and Africa: In Asia/Pacific: In Japan: Worldwide via gartner.com: Entire contents 2003 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. Reproduction of this publication in any form without prior written permission is forbidden. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable. Gartner disclaims all warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or adequacy of such information. Gartner shall have no liability for errors, omissions or inadequacies in the information contained herein or for interpretations thereof. The reader assumes sole responsibility for the selection of these materials to achieve its intended results. The opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice
3 Global Telecommunications Market Take, 1Q03 (Executive Summary) Global Telecommunications Market Update The worldwide market for telecommunications equipment and services topped $1.25 trillion in 2002, a figure comprising more than half of the total IT market. Over the forecast period to 2006, this prevalence will continue, as telecommunications grows at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.0 percent to $1.57 trillion. The services sector outpaced equipment in size by a factor of more than 2-to-1, with revenue of $977 billion in 2002 compared with $270 billion for equipment. By 2006, that proportion will only increase, as services experience a CAGR of 6.3 percent, contrasted with 0.8 percent for equipment. Regionally, North America will remain the largest market (3.2 percent CAGR), while Central and Eastern Europe will post the fastest-growth market worldwide (9.6 percent CAGR). Tables 1 and 2 and Figures 1 and 2 demonstrate this in graphic form. Gartner Dataquest provides a market size and forecast for each telecommunications segment to its clients, based on the most-recent data compiled by all programs in the course of research. The forecasts are updated regularly in these Market Takes, to be of use to Gartner Dataquest's clients in making decisions. In the interests of consistency, the outer forecast year is modeled in some segments. This Market Take updates "Global Telecommunications Market Take, 4Q02" (TCPS-WW-MT-0166), with several regional and segment statistics reports that have been published in the interim. Table 1 Worldwide Telecommunications Market Revenue by Sector, (Millions of Dollars) CAGR (%) Enterprise Systems and Applications 43,325 42,427 40,388 43,434 47,061 50,688 53, Growth (%) NA Infrastructure 203, , , , , , , Growth (%) NA Mobile 432, , , , , , , Growth (%) NA Fixed Public Network Services 588, , , , , , , Growth (%) NA Total Telecom Equipment 352, , , , , , , Growth (%) NA Total Telecom Services 864, , ,326 1,048,740 1,116,804 1,182,753 1,246, Growth (%) NA Total Telecom Market 1,217,078 1,231,317 1,247,819 1,324,657 1,403,477 1,488,476 1,570, Growth (%) NA N/A = Not applicable Note: The Mobile Cluster contains elements of services and equipment. These are clarified in the Total Telecommunications Equipment and Total Telecommunications Services lines to avoid double-counting Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. 1
4 2 Global Telecommunications Market Take, 1Q03 (Executive Summary) Table 2 Worldwide Telecommunications Market Revenue by Region, (Millions of Dollars) CAGR (%) Asia/Pacific 283, , , , , , , Growth (%) NA Central and Eastern Europe 42,618 48,887 56,913 63,014 67,954 73,682 78, Growth (%) NA Latin America 98,805 93,963 92,016 97, , , , Growth (%) NA Middle East and Africa 51,364 52,141 58,238 63,539 68,728 74,718 79, Growth (%) NA North America 434, , , , , , , Growth (%) NA Western Europe 306, , , , , , , Growth (%) NA Total Telecom Equipment 352, , , , , , , Total Telecom Services 864, , ,326 1,048,740 1,116,804 1,182,753 1,246, Total Telecom Market 1,217,078 1,231,317 1,247,819 1,324,657 1,403,477 1,488,476 1,570, Figure 1 Worldwide Telecommunications Market Revenue by Sector, 2001 vs Total Telecom Equipment (25%) Total Telecom Equipment (21%) Total Telecom Services (75%) Total Telecom Market = $1.23 Trillion Total Telecom Services (79%) Total Telecom Market = $1.57 Trillion 2003 Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. 9 April 2003
5 Global Telecommunications Market Take, 1Q03 (Executive Summary) 3 Figure 2 Worldwide Telecommunications Market Revenue by Region, 2001 vs Middle East and Africa (4.2%) Latin America (7.6%) Central and Eastern Europe (4.0%) North America (35.5%) Middle East and Africa (5.0%) Latin America (7.8%) Central and Eastern Europe (5.0%) North America (35.7%) Asia/Pacific (23.5%) Western Europe (25.2%) Total Telecom Market by Region = $1.23 Trillion Western Europe (23.1%) Asia/Pacific (23.4%) Total Telecom Market by Region = $1.57 Trillion Changes Since the Last Take Modifications to the numbers shown in the "Global Telecommunications Market Take, 4Q02" are because of the following: Incremental additions from updated Market Statistics reports as they are published, including: Infrastructure, where certain hardware elements in the support segment were removed to avoid double-counting Modifications to the forecast resulting from Gartner Dataquest's mostrecent market update exercise; for more information on this update affecting telecommunications and other sectors of IT, consult the forthcoming IT Market Databook and the next telecom Spotlight. Segmentation of the data services segment into fixed retail data services and fixed retail Internet/public IP services. This new segmentation of Internet/ public IP services includes a correction of revenue to rectify an error with conversion of the euro. For the full report, see the Gartner Dataquest Market Trends, "Global Telecommunications Market Take, 1Q03" TCEE-WW-MT-0114) Gartner, Inc. and/or its Affiliates. All Rights Reserved. 9 April 2003
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