Center of Excellence in Operational Analyses IPP-BAS

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1 Center of Excellence in Operational Analyses IPP-BAS The Role of Computer Assisted Exercises as a Tool for Concept Development and Experimentation in Bulgarian Navy Transformation Dr. Velizar Shalamanov Ph.D. Student Nikolay Tomov Research Assoc. Irena Nikolova Ph.D. Student Nikolay Pavlov

2 Contents of presentation: Introduction. CDE process in Navy Transformation. New focus on CAX technology. Architecture of CAX support environment. Role of CAX in CDE. CoE in OA capabilities in CAX support. Development of CoE in OA under SfP project. Project management in CoE in OA and implementation of the current projects. Conclusion. Opportunities for cooperation between CoE, Navy, NATO / EU and Industry.

3 Concept Development - NATO View Concept Implementation Plan Doctrine Equipment People Training Organisation Infrastructure Logistics Capability Feedback Facts Experimentation Modelling & Sim Research Verification Plan Quantitative Qualitative Lessons Learned Observations

4 NATO Experimentation The process of exploring innovative methods to improve current capabilities and methods of operation, especially to assess the innovative method s feasibility, utility, and limits.

5 Why Conduct Experimentation? To inform Defence decision making To provide compelling evidence for Change To reduce/understand Complexity and Risk Limitations of other Analytical Techniques in: Representing Human Dimension Providing evidence for non Equipment interventions To produce objective, usable results as a result of an appropriate level of scientific rigour

6 Model - Test - Model Paradigm (OA) Studies (Analytical) Models/Theories New New Knowledge Knowledge Knowledge Knowledge Requirements Requirements Real World World Experiments Experiments Experimentation Knowledge Knowledge Environment of executive decision making, studies, concept definition, op. planning, procurement

7 Concepts to Capability Parallel Development Model I D E A Concept Development BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES Concept Refinement Capability Implementation Capability Concept Analysis Modeling & Simulation Experiments Demonstrations Exercises Doctrine, Organization, Training, Materiel, Leadership, Personnel, Facilities & Interoperability Fielded Capability

8 New focus on CAX technology BULGARIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES The Knowledge and Networks revolution: Acceleration driven by market forces, COTS and commoditisation Wide access to unprecedented computing power Exponential growth in bandwidth, storage, software and connectivity, in tandem with reducing cost New organisational, structural business models based on proliferation Distribution ( of assets, nodes and computing power ) and decentralisation ( edge devices eg. peer-peer, machine-to-machine )

9 Role of CAX in CD&E CAX enable inexpensive gaming for great number of scenarios CAX enable simulation of scenarios and missing players CAX enable modeling of natural and dangerous process and phenomena CAX ease communications and mediation among all levels of public, private and authority relationship CAX create conditions for quantitative measurements of group work and analysis

10 Role of CAX in CD&E CAX enable good stimulation of thinking and experimentation, as well good furnishing of documentary evidence trough the experimentation process CAX enable knowledge accumulation in time for different groups of participants, scenarios and periods CAX enable concept experimentation, technological demonstrations, testing of system architecture for decision making

11 Architecture of CAX support environment Planning and Costing Customer Scenario Development Scenario Simulation Mapping in GIS the Scenario Development Lessons Learned Analysis Documentation of Officials acts Decision making and responds of Officials

12 NATO Science for Peace Programme A nonmilitary cooperation activity under the Euro Atlantic Partnership Council Projects are of a cooperative nature, jointly carried out by scientists and end users from NATO and Partner Countries SfP Operations Research Support to Force and Operations Planning in the New Security Environment Project major purpose is building a library of models for an effective and timely scientific support in decisionmaking, CAX and MAX in Crisis Management Systems

13 Organizational structure of the CoE in OA Emergency Management / Crisis Management W G 1 Center of Excellence W G 2 BAS WG 3 CAX / MAX C4 Architecture WG 4 DSC WG 5 Force Planning Acquisition Planning WG 6 AMoI IMI IPP DSC End Users SACP / MoD / MoI WG 7 NC3A NOA TNO RTO

14 Where is the Center of Excellence situated? Parliament President Government Security Council MoD MoI Civil Protection Other Agencies Partners Center of Excellence in OA Crisis management Customers Institutes of BAS / Universities Defense Industry / Other Industries

15 Project Management in the Center of Excellence NATO / EU Reporting Presentation to Users Internal Reporting BAS Budget SfP SfP CI2RCO, BIS21+ SACP MoD / MoI WG7 Management/Reports Center of Excellence WG1 Infrastructure WG2 SW/Math tools WG3 CAX WG4 C4 WG5 Force Planning MoE&S / MT&T ARWs Training WG6 Acquisition / Logistic

16 Center of Excellence Infrastructure

17 The Center of Excellence in the CDE/ATD process in support of Transformation Transformation Process => Concept Development Experimentation Advanced Technology Demonstration Acquisition Transformation Offices Center of Excellence in OA Acquisition Offices Training / CAX Force Employment Offices Force Preparation Offices Deployment Operations

18 Conclusion: Opportunities for cooperation between CoE, Navy, NATO / EU and Industry 1. Development of operational concept for Navy in NATO/EU environment and framework for BSR security cooperation 2. Development of ROC and Mission Capabilities Packages 3. Development of Navy Architecture and Naval C4 Architecture 4. Experimentation and Training through CAX 5. Acquisition Planning, ATD and testing through CAX 6. Logistics Planning and testing through CAX 7. Implementation planning for Navy integration and its management - certification through CAX

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