AUTHOR SUBMITTED MANUSCRIPT ERL R2. A Appendix for Online Supplement

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1 AUTHOR SUBMITTED MANUSCRIT ERL.R age of 0 A Appendix for Online Supplement

2 age of AUTHOR SUBMITTED MANUSCRIT ERL.R 0 Table A.: Comparison of regressions with weather aggregates based on fixed-season and those derived from field-specific planting-dates (D). (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) (f) (g) (h) Regression rocess ln() Explanatory Variables ln() coefficient estimate (t statistic) Weather Aggregates Dependent Variable: ln( Yield) Stat w/ Fixed Weather (.) (-.0) (.) (-.) Stat w/ D Weather (.) (-.) (.) (-.) Combined w/ Fixed Weather (.) (-.) (.) (-.) (.) (-.) Combined w/ D Weather (.0) (-.0) (0.) (-.) (.) (-.0) Stat + FE w/ Fixed Weather (.) (-.) (0.) (-.) Stat + FE w/ D Weather (.) (-.) (.) (-.0) Comb. + FE w/ Fixed Weather (.) (-.) (0.) (-0.) (.) (-.) Combined + FE w/ D Weather (.) (-.) (0.0) (-0.) (.) (-.) 00 Dependent Variable: ln(rocess Yield) (i) Fixed Weather (.) (-.0) (-.) (-.0) (j) D Weather (.) (-.0) (-.) (-.) (k) Fixed Weather FE (.0) (-.0) (-.) (-.0) (l) D Weather FE (.) (-.) (-.) (-.) Notes: Each pair of reported regressions compares a specification with fixed-season weather ( days starting March ) and an otherwise identical specification that calculates weather aggregates using days starting on the planting date (D) reported for each field. The main paper reports fixed-season aggregates (the first row of each pair), which is repeated here to ease comparison planting-date specific aggregates. See Table for more details. 00 Adj. R

3 AUTHOR SUBMITTED MANUSCRIT ERL.R age of 0 Figure A.: and rocess Yields: North Dakota, Minnesota, Wisconsin North Dakota Minnesota Wisconsin are in grey and modeled yields are in orange. Each box plot summarizes yields across approximately,000 fields (0 fields per county across 0 counties per state). The top and bottom of each box outlines the and percentiles of the yield distribution, with the notch and line at the median (th percentile). The whiskers reach out to the most extreme point within. times the inter-quartile range

4 age of AUTHOR SUBMITTED MANUSCRIT ERL.R 0 Figure A.: and rocess Yields: South Dakota, Iowa, Michigan. South Dakota yield Iowa Michigan yield are in grey and modeled yields are in orange. Each box plot summarizes yields across approximately,000 fields (0 fields per county across 0 counties per state). The top and bottom of each box outlines the and percentiles of the yield distribution, with the notch and line at the median (th percentile). The whiskers reach out to the most extreme point within. times the inter-quartile range.

5 AUTHOR SUBMITTED MANUSCRIT ERL.R age of 0 Figure A.: and rocess Yields: Illinois, Indiana, Ohio yield Illinois Indiana 00 Ohio yield are in grey and modeled yields are in orange. Each box plot summarizes yields across approximately,000 fields (0 fields per county across 0 counties per state). The top and bottom of each box outlines the and percentiles of the yield distribution, with the notch and line at the median (th percentile). The whiskers reach out to the most extreme point within. times the inter-quartile range

6 age of AUTHOR SUBMITTED MANUSCRIT ERL.R 0 Figure A.: and rocess Yields: Nebraksa, Kansas, and Missouri Nebraska 00 yield yield 00 Kansas 00 Missouri yield yield are in grey and modeled yields are in orange. Each box plot summarizes yields across approximately,000 fields (0 fields per county across 0 counties per state). The top and bottom of each box outlines the and percentiles of the yield distribution, with the notch and line at the median (th percentile). The whiskers reach out to the most extreme point within. times the inter-quartile range

7 AUTHOR SUBMITTED MANUSCRIT ERL.R age of 0 Figure A.: State-specific correlations between actual yields, model yields and weather variables North Dakota Minnesota Wisconsin South Dakota Iowa Michigan Illinois Indiana Ohio Nebraska Kansas Missouri

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