GIS Exercise - Spring, 2011

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1 GIS Exercise - Spring, 2011 Maria Antonia Brovelli Laura Carcano, Marco Minghini ArcGIS exercise 3 - Global trend removal Introduction: Besides exploring statistical characteristics and distributional information, we may be interested in knowing whether the data show any spatial trend or not. Compared to a certain trend, are there any significant outliers (unusual data)? Checking for outliers should be a routine part of any data analysis. And so potential outliers have to be analyzed: if they are wrong, they should be corrected if possible and deleted if it s not. Clues for outlier presence can be tracked by lots of tools, for instance, histogram, semivariogram cloud, statistical tests, Voronoi polygons and so forth. In this exercise we will take a look in detail at these questions. We will see one example of trend removal process by polynomial interpolation. GIS Exercise Spring

2 I: Global trend removal: polynomial interpolation Data: Lidar1.dbf Add data -> select the file Lidar1.dbf Right click on the name Lidar 1 -> Display XY data put X field=n1, Y field=n2, Z field=n3; change the reference system clicking on Edit -> -> Monte Mario Italy1.prj Right click on the layer name -> Properties -> Quantities -> Quantity numbers: Classify -> Sampling put a number higher than (ex ); and change the colours of the field using a color ramp over the N3 fields, with for example 5 classes. Tasks: 1. Subdivide the data set Lidar1 into two subsets. Subdivide the lidar dataset into two subsets, the first one used as training and the second as test, corresponding respectively to 90% and 10% and name the subsets as Lidar1_Events_training1 (corresponding to 90% of the population = 34207) and Lidar1_Events_test1 (corresponding to 10% of the population = 3801). Geostatistical Analyst -> Subset Features put as Input features = Lidar1 Events, Output training feature class = Lidar1_Events_training1, Output test feature class = Lidar1_Events_test1; Size of training feature subset = 90; Subset size units = PERCENTAGE_OF_INPUT This process extracts data in a completely random way. GIS Exercise Spring

3 2. Repeat the same operation on the data set Lidar1 Events, dividing it another time in two subsets corresponding to the 90% and 10% and naming the two subsets as Lidar1_Events_training2 and Lidar1_Events_test2. Because the operation of data extraction is random, we expect that the subsets training2 and test2 are different from the two subsets created previously. To verify that this statement is true, we have to compare the two datasets. GIS Exercise Spring

4 3. Compare the two datasets (respectively training and test), using the General QQ plot function. Geostatistical Analyst -> Explore Data -> General QQ Plot; Data source #1 = Lidar1_Events_training1, Attribute = N3, Data source #2 = Lidar1_Events_training2, Attribute = N3. Handling coincidental sample: choose Include all. Results for the training sets: the result can be slightly different depending on the way the program extracts the data. You can see that the plot follows approximately a straight line, except in some parts of the plot (as you can see in the highlighted rectangle). GIS Exercise Spring

5 Results for the test sets: the result can be slightly different depending on the way the program extracts the data. What can you observe? What conclusion can you draw from the observation? 4. Compare now the two subsets (training and test) belonging to the same dataset (for example the first one extracted from Lidar1 Events), using the General QQ plot function. Geostatistical Analyst -> Explore Data -> General QQ Plot; Data source #1 = Lidar1_Events_training1, Attribute = N3, Data source #2 = Lidar1_Events_test1, Attribute = N3. Handling coincidental sample: choose Include all. GIS Exercise Spring

6 Result: the result can be slightly different depending on the way the program extracts the data. What can you observe? What conclusion can you draw from the observation? 5. Interpolate Lidar1_Events_training1 with a Global polynomial interpolation using different polynomial degrees and validate the model using the two subsets Lidar1_events_training1 and Lidar1_Events_test1 Use the data of the training set to create the model: GIS Exercise Spring

7 Geostatistical Analyst -> Geostatistical Wizard -> Global Polynomial Interpolation; Source dataset = Lidar1_Events_training1, Data field = N3. Handling coincidental sample: choose Include all. Validate the model using the training data and then the test data. Right click on the layer name Global polynomial interpolation [Lidar1_Events_training1] -> Validation/Prediction -> Input geostatistical layer = Global polynomial interpolation; Input point observation locations = Lidar1_Events_training1; Field to validate on = N3; Output statistics at point locations = Validation1_training1.shp. Right click on the layer name Global polynomial interpolation [Lidar1 Events_training1] -> Validation/Prediction -> Input geostatistical layer = Global polynomial interpolation; Input point observation locations = Lidar1 Events_test1; Field to validate on = N3; Output statistics at point locations = Validation1_test1.shp. Keep record of the Mean (M) and the Root-Mean-Square (RMS) values of the Training group and the Test group by changing the power degree from 1 to 9. GIS Exercise Spring

8 Both for the training and test we have to save the Validation file and open the file validation.dbf with Excel -> there you can compute the RMS given by the formula: RMS = N i= 1 ( x xˆ ) 2 i N i Here follows the example obtained in this case: Training Test power Mean RMS Mean RMS 1 0, , , , , , , , , , , , GIS Exercise Spring

9 4 0, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Note: Since the sub data sets have been extracted randomly, the interpolation results are subjected to slight variations one case from another. Keep down your own result table; analyze the different Mean (M) and Root- Mean-Square (RMS) Prediction Errors. What is your conclusion about the optimal polynomial interpolation order? 6. Visualize the results in 3D Geostatistical Analyst -> Explore data -> Trend Analysis; in the window you have to select as Layer = Lidar1 Events and as Attribute = N3. Here follows the 3D visualization of the original data: GIS Exercise Spring

10 GIS Exercise Spring

11 Here follows the 3D visualization of the predicted data: GIS Exercise Spring

12 The 3D visualization of error shows as: GIS Exercise Spring

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