VOICE TO DATA : 5G FOR INCLUSIVE GROWTH A PARADIGM SHIFT. Tilak Raj Dua

Transcription

1 VOICE TO DATA : 5G FOR INCLUSIVE GROWTH A PARADIGM SHIFT Tilak Raj Dua Tilakrajdua@gmail.com

2 Mobile Telephony Embracing growth & Exploiting opportunities 2 2

3 Wireless Telecom Scenario as of June Wireless Subscribers : Millions Wireless Urban Subscribers : Millions Wireless Rural Subscribers : Millions Wireless Urban tele-density : % Wireless Rural tele-density : 43.82% Wireless overall tele-density : 73.55% Wireless Broad Band Subscribers : Millions Various policy initiatives by the Indian Govt. have led to a complete transformation of the industry in the last decade. It has achieved a phenomenal growth during the last few years and is poised to grow further. Source: TRAI

4 How does mobile telephony impact our lives? Empowerment Enables disadvantaged groups to enjoy the fruits of economic growth- access to information M - Education Makes knowledge accessible to all sections of the society Safety & Security A powerful tool to stay connected and secure individuals during any exigency M - Health Makes services and medical expertise available to all sections of the society M-Governance Ensures government services and schemes reach the poorest of poor M - Banking Mobile financial transactional channel, accessible from anywhere, at anytime The mobile phone industry in India is likely to contribute US$ 400 billion to the country s GDP and has the 4 potential to generate about 4.1million additional jobs by 2020 Source - Telecom Regulatory Authority of India/ Internet and Mobile Association of India/ Indian Market Research Bureau/United Nations Development Program report (2012)/ibef/PWC/UNESCO

5 International Scenario: Mobile subscribers 5 Ericsson Mobility Report 2014

6 Mobile Traffic Growth: Voice and data 6 Ericsson Mobility Report 2014

7 Mobile Traffic Outlook 7 Ericsson Mobility Report 2014

8 Technology and Standards Evolution 8

9 Challenges and Requirements 9 The four fundamental requirements for building 5G wireless networks are: Capabilities for supporting massive capacity and massive connectivity Support for an increasingly diverse set of services, application and users all with extremely diverging requirements for work and life Flexible and efficient use of all available non-contiguous spectrum for- wildly different network deployment scenarios Low latency and extremely high reliability

10 5G Requirements 10 NTT Docomo

11 Key Requirements for 5G 11 NSN 5G use cases &requirements

12 5G Symbolic integration of existing & new technologies 12 NSN 5G use cases &requirements

13 5G Wish List 13 WWRF

14 Drivers for 5G 14 Number of connections and also the volume of data over wireless networks continuously growing at a significant rate Users more demanding on speed & quality Sustainability of mobile broadband business (ever increasing traffic and flattening ARPU) 3G & 4G both promised improvements in NW capacity, data rate, efficiency, cost and quality While previous generations of wireless networks were characterized by fixed radio parameters and spectrum blocks, 5G will allow utilization of any spectrum and any access technology for the best delivery of services 5G needs to embrace a significant leap forward in terms of targets

15 5G : A paradigm shift & rethinking of mobile business 15

16 Paradigm Shift #1 16 WWRF

17 Paradigm Shift # 2 17 WWRF

18 Paradigm Shift # 3 18 WWRF

19 5G : Paradigm Shifts 19 WWRF

20 Requirements on Technology 20 Orange labs

21 Candidate technology families for 2020 families 21 Orange labs

22 5G: LTE evolution or revolution 22 Orange labs

23 European Commission (Memo, 4July 2014) 23 5G networks will be a leap, not a step, forward Vice-President of the European Commission says it s important to understand 5G mobile will be more than just the next step beyond today s 4G networks. It will also offer totally new possibilities to connect people, and also things being cars, houses, energy infrastructures. All of them at once, wherever you and they are. According to the roadmap of the 5G Public-Private Partnership, 5G standards will allow: Wireless Capacity : 1000 X higher than 2010 Energy savings : up to 90% per service Service creation time: from 90 hrs. to 90 minutes Connections : from over 7 trillion wireless devices for over 7 billion people

24 Spectrum Impact 24 Other than flexible and efficient use of all available non-contiguous spectrum in different network deployment scenarios, freeing up additional spectrum will also be required to support thousand-fold capacity increases by 2020 and even higher increases looking forward to 2040 and beyond. But while a global consensus is forming that 500MHz to 1GHz bandwidth of additional mobile spectrum is needed, the following considerations will be need to be addressed: Spectrum bands availability by region and the local laws that govern their usage will need to be harmonized so the global circulation and economies-of-scale for mobile devices are not negatively impacted. Exactly how all available and new IMT bands will be used to achieve 10 Gb/s for an individual end user is a major challenge for designing working 5G systems.

25 Time Line 25

26 Ensuring spectrum does not impede growth 26 Harmonization at Regional level in line with ITU Recommendations Additional harmonized spectrum must be allocated and used. 100 MHz of additional spectrum below 1 GHz will provide improved rural broadband. 500 MHZ of additional spectrum between 1 and 5 GHz will provide capacity for data. Spectrum shall be dedicated to mobile broadband on a technologyneutral basis.

27 Evolution path for 5G 27 5G = LTE enh. + New RAT Further LTE enhancement -- Small cell and general cellular enhancements for beyond Release 12 Potential New RAT -- Considering new spectrum allocations in WRC-15 and beyond -- should prioritize the achievement of more big gains over backward compatibility

28 5G roadmap and timeline 28 One possible roadmap of 5G technology evolution Huawei:5G A tech. vision

29 Internet and Broad Band key priority for Govt. & Industry 29 1 Government target:600 Million broadband connections by 2020 ~520 million broadband connections at a CAGR of 29% through million broadband connections per month Cumulative capex investment of INR 1,3001,400 Billion by G expansion and 4G roll outs 3 NOFN :to connect all 250,000 Gram panchayats in the country 3G services rolled out in all licensed circles. 4G rollout initiated. --Operators investing in expansion of 3G networks and rollout of 4G Being implemented by utilizing existing fiber of PSU and laying incremental fiber. --Non discriminatory access to be provided to all service providers Million 3G subscribers projected by 2015 and 4G expected to gain momentum. Estimated to cost INR 200 billion to be funded by USOF. Connecting and empowering the unconnected for inclusive growth

30 Digital India 30 Cabinet approved: an ambitious programme- Digital India to transform India into digital empowered society and knowledge economy. Digital India will be implemented in phases from the current year till The programme aims at providing digital infrastructure as a utility to every citizen as well as high-speed internet as a core utility in all gram panchayats. It also envisions providing a cradle to grave digital identity that is unique, lifelong and online. The overall scope of this programme is to prepare India for a knowledge future. The programme aims to promote e-governance and transform India into a connected knowledge economy.

31 Smart Cities 31 5G will provide the foundational infrastructure for building smart cities, which will push mobile network performance and capability requirements to their extremes. Low latency and extremely high reliability, however, will also be essential requirements for the likes of mobile industrial automation, vehicular connectivity, and other IoT (Internet of things) applications.

32 Over 50 LTE networks launched this year, total 318 in 111 countries billion subscriptions globally using 3GPP systems (GSM, WCDMA-HSPA, LTE) billion WCDMA subs including HSPA and million LTE subs

33 Summary 33 5G is the next frontier of innovation for entire mobile industry The three major design objectives for 5G: Implementation of massive capacity and massive connectivity Support for an increasingly diverse set of services, applications and users all with extremely diverging requirements Flexible and efficient use of all available non-contiguous spectrum for wildly different network deployment scenarios The success of 5G can only be built upon the success of the entire ICT ecosystem.

34 Conclusions 34 Orange labs

35 Thank You 35