FIELD RESEARCH CORPORATION

Transcription

1 FIELD RESEARCH CORPORATION FOUNDED IN 1945 BY MERVIN FIELD 601 California Street San Francisco, California Tabulations From a Field Poll Survey of California Likely Voters in the June 2016 Open Primary for U.S. Senate prepared for the Sacramento Bee and Capitol Alert October 9,

2 Introduction This volume presents the statistical data developed from a Field Poll survey of registered voters in California conducted among 1,002 registered voters September 17October 4, 2015, of whom 694 were considered likely voters in the June 2016 primary about the election for U.S. Senate. The survey was administered by telephone in English and Spanish by live interviewers. Sampling Individual voters were sample at random from listings derived from the statewide voter registration rolls. Once a voter s name and telephone had been selected, interviews are attempted only with the specified voter. Interviews can be conducted on either the voter s landline or cell phone, depending on the source of the telephone listing from the voter file and the preference of the voter. Prior to the start of data collection, professionallytrained telephone interviewers were briefed with regard to the survey s proper calling and interviewing procedures by the Study Director. This session provided both interviewers and supervisors with an overview of the study and includes a questionbyquestion review of all items in the survey. Interviewers then completed survey interviews by telephone through the computerassisted telephone interviewing (TI) system. TI controls the telephone scripts read to individual respondents by displaying the appropriate questionnaire items and their valid response code alternatives in their proper sequence on computer screens at each interviewer's booth. The interviewer then reads each question aloud to the respondent from the screen and enters each respondent's precoded answer category through the keyboard directly to a computer disk. All answers are automatically stored in computer memory. In order to bring hardtoreach respondents into the survey, up to six attempts were made to each telephone number selected for inclusion into the sample. Callbacks were made at different times and on different days to increase the probability of finding voters available for the interview. Where possible, appointments are made at specified dates and times to maximize convenience. 2

3 Data Processing The data file resulting from TI interviewing is itself virtually errorfree. Even so, a final series of data checks were performed by means of a specially designed cleaning program that scrutinizes each respondent record for internally inconsistent information. Once the data were determined to be clean and errorfree, the overall sample was weighted to align it to its proper statewide proportions by demographic characteristics of the state s registered voter population. Guide to Reading the Tables The following is an explanation of the detailed statistical tabulations contained in this report: The question or questions upon which the data are based is shown at the top of each table. Tables are percentaged vertically with the raw percentage base appearing at the top of each column. The data have been weighted to known parameters of the statewide registered voter population. All percentages and frequencies reported in each table are therefore weighted tabulations. In instances where percentages are calculated on small bases (e.g., when the base is fewer than 100 respondents) the reader is urged to interpret the data with caution, since results are subject to larger levels of sampling error. Throughout the tables an asterisk is used to denote a value of less than 1/2 of 1%. A hyphen indicates zero value. On some tables the percentages may add to more than 100% due to multiple mentions. s of subgroups used in the tabulations may add to less than the total number of respondents due to some respondents not reporting that characteristic. 3

4 Subgroup Definitions The following are some of the definitions applicable to some of the voter subgroups reported in this volume: Southern California: Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Diego, Imperial, Santa Barbara, Ventura, Kern, and San Luis Obispo counties Northern California: all other 48 California counties Coastal Counties: Inland counties: Los Angeles: San Diego/Orange: So Cal: SF Bay Area: Central Valley: San Diego, Orange, Los Angeles, Ventura, Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo, Monterey, Santa Cruz, San Mateo, San Francisco, Contra Costa, Alameda, Marin, Napa, Solano, Sonoma, Santa Clara, Mendocino, Humboldt and Del Norte counties all other 38 California counties Los Angeles County San Diego County and Orange counties San Bernardino, Riverside, Imperial, Ventura, Santa Barbara, and San Luis Obispo San Francisco, Marin, Napa, Sonoma, Solano, Contra Costa, Alameda, Santa Clara, San Mateo Butte, Colusa, Fresno, Glenn, Kern, Kings, Madera, Merced, Placer, Sacramento, San Joaquin, Shasta, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tehama, Tulare, Yolo, and Yuba Northern Cal: Alpine, Amador, Calaveras, Del Norte, El Dorado, Humboldt, Inyo, Lake, Lassen, Mariposa, Mendocino, Monterey, Modoc, Mono, Nevada, Plumas, San Benito, Santa Cruz, Sierra, Siskiyou, Trinity, and Tuolumne 4

5 Estimates of Sampling Error In any survey based on a sampling, there is some sampling error introduced into the data by the process of sampling itself. When the sample has been drawn using random processes, it is possible to apply probability principles to determine the potential range of such error. While survey samples of human populations rarely, if ever, meet all of the criteria theoretically required for the application of these principles, it is customary to use them as an approximation of error that is introduced as a result of sampling. The table below shows the range of error associated with samples of various sizes at the 95% confidence level, which is customary for most public opinion surveys. For example, if 30% of the overall sample of 694 likely voters in the June 2016 primary voters answered yes to a specific question, this statistic would have a sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. This means that there is a 95% chance that had the overall population of registered voters statewide been interviewed using the same questionnaire and methods, the results of such a census would yield a result between 26.5% and 33.5%. The same procedure can be used to estimate the sample error ranges of any other statistic contained in this report. Approximate percentage distribution of replies to question Sample size 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% 100 +/ 6.0 +/ 9.2 +/ / 9.2 +/ / 3.5 +/ 5.3 +/ 5.8 +/ 5.3 +/ / 2.7 +/ 4.1 +/ 4.5 +/ 4.1 +/ / 2.3 +/ 3.5 +/ 3.8 +/ 3.5 +/ / 1.9 +/ 2.9 +/ 3.2 +/ 2.9 +/ 1.9 There are many other possible sources of error other than sampling variability in this and any other public opinion survey. The overall design and execution of the survey minimized the potential for these other sources of error. 5

6 Questions Asked U.S. Senator Barbara Boxer has announced that she will not be seeking another term as U.S. Senator next year. I am going to read the names of some people who are likely to run for U.S. Senate in California in As I read each name, please tell me whether your opinion of that person is favorable, unfavorable or whether you don t know enough about that person to have an opinion. (NAMES AND TITLES READ IN RANDOM ORDER) Is your opinion of (LAST NAME) favorable or unfavorable? (SEE RELEASE FOR NAMES AND TITLES READ) The California primary election for U.S. Senate next June will be an open primary. In an open primary, the candidates from all parties Democrats, s and others will be listed together on the same ballot and voters can choose any candidate from any party. Suppose the open primary election for U.S. Senate were being held today and the candidates were (NAMES AND PARTIES OF ALL NDIDATES READ IN RANDOM ORDER), who would be your first choice? 6

7 Q19a (Banner 1) UN Southern Northern Region Area Party Registration Coastal counties Inland counties L.A. County San Diego/ Orange So. Central Valley SF Bay Area Northern Democrat No party pref./ others Primary election voter #1 #2 White non Hispanic Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez, Democrat, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 35.5% 31.3% 36.6% 26.3% 43.5% 26.9% 32.4% 23.5% 37.6% 28.1% 48.3% 15.0% 30.2% 33.8% 31.1% 25.7% 48.3% 55.6% 36.6% % 30.3% 18.3% 23.4% 30.3% 24.9% 33.1% 36.6% 29.0% 12.4% 11.4% 9.1% 51.4% 22.5% 25.3% 28.3% 31.7% 16.0% 12.8% 16.0% % 34.2% 50.4% 40.0% 43.4% 31.6% 40.0% 31.0% 47.5% 49.9% 60.6% 42.6% 33.5% 47.3% 41.0% 40.6% 42.6% 35.7% 31.7% 47.4% Ethnicity Latino Black Asian/ Pacific Isle () Field Research Corporation Table 70 7

8 Q19a (Banner 2) UN Gender Age Political Ideology Tea Party identification Male Female or older Strongly conservative Moderately conservative Middle of the road Moderately liberal Strongly liberal A Lot/ some Registered All s Born again Christian Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez, Democrat, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 30.6% 36.4% 33.7% 34.1% 39.3% 35.6% 27.7% 16.3% 22.4% 34.7% 43.6% 48.1% 18.9% 8.3% 34.2% 28.7% 35.3% % 31.7% 19.8% 14.0% 22.2% 24.0% 27.9% 30.6% 55.4% 38.9% 22.1% 4.5% 7.3% 47.2% 56.0% 34.6% 36.0% 22.0% % 37.6% 43.8% 52.3% 43.7% 36.7% 36.4% 41.8% 28.4% 38.6% 43.2% 51.9% 44.7% 33.9% 35.7% 31.2% 35.3% 42.7% Yes, born again No, not born again Field Research Corporation Table 71 8

9 Q19a (Banner 3) H.S. or less Some college/ trade school Education Household Income Religion Marital Status College Post work Under $20,000 $20,000 $40,000 $40,000 $60,000 Protestant/ $60,000 More than other $100,000 $100,000 Christian Catholic religion No preference Married/ Not married living together Widow/ separated/ divorced Never married Parent/ Guardian of child under 18 Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez, Democrat, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 37.0% 33.5% 35.4% 30.0% 37.3% 42.6% 38.7% 35.4% 26.5% 24.5% 44.8% 35.1% 37.5% 32.0% 32.2% 40.5% 36.1% 32.8% UN 25.3% 25.3% 28.1% 22.4% 24.9% 13.4% 22.1% 21.1% 31.0% 31.6% 34.0% 26.1% 18.6% 15.7% 29.5% 25.2% 13.3% 27.2% 24.6% % 37.7% 38.4% 42.2% 45.1% 49.3% 35.4% 40.2% 33.6% 41.9% 41.4% 29.1% 46.3% 46.8% 38.4% 42.5% 46.2% 36.7% 42.6% Yes No Field Research Corporation Table 72 9

10 Q19b (Banner 1) UN Southern Northern Region Area Party Registration Coastal counties Inland counties L.A. County San Diego/ Orange So. Central Valley SF Bay Area Northern Democrat No party pref./ others Primary election voter #1 #2 White non Hispanic Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of Assemblyman Rocky Chavez,, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 14.4% 5.6% 10.7% 10.8% 13.3% 15.5% 15.0% 5.6% 4.3% 10.7% 5.8% 19.0% 9.7% 10.8% 10.4% 9.6% 17.9% 3.4% 9.3% % 20.8% 25.1% 23.9% 19.1% 25.5% 17.3% 16.9% 21.9% 29.1% 18.1% 31.8% 14.0% 16.1% 22.6% 21.8% 19.0% 25.6% 41.8% 25.4% % 64.8% 69.3% 65.4% 70.1% 61.2% 67.2% 68.1% 72.5% 66.6% 71.2% 62.4% 67.0% 74.2% 66.7% 67.8% 71.4% 56.5% 54.9% 65.3% Ethnicity Latino Black Asian/ Pacific Isle () Field Research Corporation Table 73 10

11 Q19b (Banner 2) UN Gender Age Political Ideology Tea Party identification Male Female or older Strongly conservative Moderately conservative Middle of the road Moderately liberal Strongly liberal A Lot/ some Registered All s Born again Christian Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of Assemblyman Rocky Chavez,, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 11.1% 10.4% 9.3% 13.5% 11.9% 11.2% 8.8% 19.1% 11.3% 13.4% 4.5% 2.2% 18.7% 20.9% 15.4% 17.0% 8.8% % 25.1% 20.4% 18.7% 11.7% 23.2% 29.9% 21.1% 17.1% 23.7% 17.8% 26.5% 33.7% 13.4% 8.6% 20.3% 21.6% 22.9% % 63.8% 69.1% 72.0% 74.8% 64.8% 59.0% 70.1% 63.8% 65.0% 68.9% 69.0% 64.1% 67.9% 70.5% 64.3% 61.4% 68.3% Yes, born again No, not born again Field Research Corporation Table 74 11

12 Q19b (Banner 3) H.S. or less Some college/ trade school Education Household Income Religion Marital Status College Post work Under $20,000 $20,000 $40,000 $40,000 $60,000 Protestant/ $60,000 More than other $100,000 $100,000 Christian Catholic religion No preference Married/ Not married living together Widow/ separated/ divorced Never married Parent/ Guardian of child under 18 Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of Assemblyman Rocky Chavez,, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 14.4% 12.2% 9.3% 8.2% 10.9% 12.2% 10.5% 11.3% 10.9% 12.1% 18.3% 5.9% 5.1% 11.1% 5.3% 15.4% 13.8% 9.7% UN 22.6% 23.5% 20.4% 23.0% 24.1% 20.6% 25.5% 22.8% 26.9% 18.6% 22.3% 22.8% 24.5% 21.1% 22.4% 23.6% 22.6% 21.6% 22.9% % 62.1% 67.3% 67.7% 67.7% 68.5% 62.3% 66.7% 61.7% 70.5% 65.6% 58.9% 69.5% 73.7% 66.5% 71.1% 61.9% 64.6% 67.4% Yes No Field Research Corporation Table 75 12

13 Q19c (Banner 1) UN Southern Northern Region Area Party Registration Coastal counties Inland counties L.A. County San Diego/ Orange So. Central Valley SF Bay Area Northern Democrat No party pref./ others Primary election voter #1 #2 White non Hispanic Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of State Attorney General Kamala (KAHMAHLAH) Harris, Democrat, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 37.4% 44.2% 44.4% 29.4% 45.9% 29.8% 32.1% 28.9% 53.5% 50.1% 60.3% 15.5% 33.9% 40.3% 42.5% 36.6% 38.9% 68.5% 40.8% % 22.2% 24.7% 20.9% 29.3% 19.3% 24.3% 24.8% 32.8% 21.9% 13.0% 6.8% 49.5% 20.9% 23.2% 26.8% 29.0% 17.5% 9.2% 13.8% % 40.4% 31.1% 34.6% 41.4% 34.8% 45.9% 43.1% 38.3% 24.5% 36.9% 32.9% 35.0% 45.2% 36.5% 30.7% 34.4% 43.5% 22.3% 45.4% Ethnicity Latino Black Asian/ Pacific Isle () Field Research Corporation Table 76 13

14 Q19c (Banner 2) UN Gender Age Political Ideology Tea Party identification Male Female or older Strongly conservative Moderately conservative Middle of the road Moderately liberal Strongly liberal A Lot/ some Registered All s Born again Christian Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of State Attorney General Kamala (KAHMAHLAH) Harris, Democrat, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 38.3% 42.0% 30.4% 41.7% 43.1% 40.0% 43.2% 8.6% 22.6% 40.2% 49.1% 73.2% 18.2% 7.7% 33.3% 29.5% 43.6% % 30.0% 17.5% 9.1% 19.1% 22.5% 27.5% 28.3% 55.3% 30.2% 19.8% 5.8% 4.3% 45.0% 57.7% 26.6% 36.0% 19.3% % 31.7% 40.5% 60.5% 39.2% 34.4% 32.5% 28.5% 36.1% 47.3% 40.0% 45.1% 22.5% 36.9% 34.6% 40.1% 34.5% 37.1% Yes, born again No, not born again Field Research Corporation Table 77 14

15 Q19c (Banner 3) H.S. or less Some college/ trade school Education Household Income Religion Marital Status College Post work Under $20,000 $20,000 $40,000 $40,000 $60,000 Protestant/ $60,000 More than other $100,000 $100,000 Christian Catholic religion No preference Married/ Not married living together Widow/ separated/ divorced Never married Parent/ Guardian of child under 18 Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of State Attorney General Kamala (KAHMAHLAH) Harris, Democrat, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 25.5% 38.2% 42.4% 51.5% 39.0% 40.6% 42.1% 39.0% 40.0% 32.2% 42.2% 43.5% 49.7% 40.4% 41.6% 37.2% 40.3% 40.0% UN 23.2% 22.1% 28.2% 22.1% 18.5% 12.8% 16.2% 24.7% 24.9% 31.1% 32.2% 22.3% 18.2% 13.3% 25.2% 25.8% 15.2% 24.3% 22.8% % 52.4% 33.6% 35.4% 29.9% 48.1% 43.3% 33.3% 36.1% 29.0% 35.6% 35.4% 38.3% 37.0% 34.4% 32.6% 47.5% 35.5% 37.3% Yes No Field Research Corporation Table 78 15

16 Q19d (Banner 1) UN Southern Northern Region Area Party Registration Coastal counties Inland counties L.A. County San Diego/ Orange So. Central Valley SF Bay Area Northern Democrat No party pref./ others Primary election voter #1 #2 White non Hispanic Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of former state Party chair Duf Sundheim,, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 12.7% 12.6% 9.8% 20.0% 8.3% 16.3% 16.0% 20.2% 6.6% 15.3% 4.6% 25.8% 11.1% 12.6% 13.7% 15.0% 9.9% 4.2% 10.5% % 22.7% 27.2% 26.1% 20.5% 26.8% 17.4% 22.3% 22.0% 33.8% 15.9% 33.3% 14.7% 20.7% 24.6% 25.6% 23.0% 24.9% 38.3% 21.5% % 64.6% 60.2% 64.0% 59.5% 64.9% 66.3% 61.7% 57.9% 59.7% 68.7% 62.1% 59.5% 68.2% 62.8% 60.8% 62.0% 65.2% 57.5% 68.0% Ethnicity Latino Black Asian/ Pacific Isle () Field Research Corporation Table 79 16

17 Q19d (Banner 2) UN Gender Age Political Ideology Tea Party identification Male Female or older Strongly conservative Moderately conservative Middle of the road Moderately liberal Strongly liberal A Lot/ some Registered All s Born again Christian Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of former state Party chair Duf Sundheim,, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 14.5% 11.1% 11.5% 6.0% 12.2% 16.8% 12.0% 28.4% 17.8% 12.6% 1.5% 0.5% 25.0% 30.3% 17.2% 21.4% 10.0% % 26.2% 23.2% 14.9% 18.8% 26.1% 31.5% 23.4% 16.5% 24.7% 17.6% 33.9% 40.6% 17.9% 12.6% 25.4% 21.5% 25.5% % 59.3% 65.7% 73.6% 75.2% 61.7% 51.8% 64.5% 55.1% 57.5% 69.8% 64.5% 58.9% 57.2% 57.0% 57.4% 57.1% 64.5% Yes, born again No, not born again Field Research Corporation Table 80 17

18 Q19d (Banner 3) H.S. or less Some college/ trade school Education Household Income Religion Marital Status College Post work Under $20,000 $20,000 $40,000 $40,000 $60,000 Protestant/ $60,000 More than other $100,000 $100,000 Christian Catholic religion No preference Married/ Not married living together Widow/ separated/ divorced Never married Parent/ Guardian of child under 18 Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of former state Party chair Duf Sundheim,, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 16.2% 13.6% 12.2% 9.0% 8.0% 17.0% 15.6% 10.4% 14.2% 18.4% 15.3% 8.6% 4.0% 12.7% 14.9% 10.6% 13.6% 12.3% UN 24.6% 26.1% 24.4% 20.4% 29.5% 34.1% 24.9% 23.3% 25.5% 20.9% 20.3% 28.1% 23.6% 29.6% 22.9% 27.6% 27.2% 25.8% 24.1% % 57.7% 62.0% 67.4% 61.5% 57.9% 58.1% 61.1% 64.0% 65.0% 61.3% 56.6% 67.8% 66.4% 64.4% 57.5% 62.1% 60.6% 63.6% Yes No Field Research Corporation Table 81 18

19 Q19e (Banner 1) UN Southern Northern Region Area Party Registration Coastal counties Inland counties L.A. County San Diego/ Orange So. Central Valley SF Bay Area Northern Democrat No party pref./ others Primary election voter #1 #2 White non Hispanic Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of former state Party chair Tom Del Beccaro (BAHRROH),, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 11.1% 9.1% 8.8% 13.9% 8.9% 12.5% 13.2% 12.7% 4.8% 16.1% 4.7% 20.2% 8.1% 10.3% 10.8% 10.9% 10.5% 8.4% 7.7% % 24.1% 30.7% 28.7% 22.0% 30.4% 18.0% 20.8% 26.6% 34.4% 27.2% 38.9% 13.1% 21.8% 26.9% 26.6% 24.0% 29.4% 48.5% 24.7% % 64.8% 60.2% 62.4% 64.1% 60.7% 69.5% 65.9% 60.7% 60.8% 56.7% 56.4% 66.7% 70.1% 62.9% 62.6% 65.0% 60.2% 43.1% 67.6% Ethnicity Latino Black Asian/ Pacific Isle () Field Research Corporation Table 82 19

20 Q19e (Banner 2) UN Gender Age Political Ideology Tea Party identification Male Female or older Strongly conservative Moderately conservative Middle of the road Moderately liberal Strongly liberal A Lot/ some Registered All s Born again Christian Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of former state Party chair Tom Del Beccaro (BAHRROH),, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 10.6% 10.0% 8.2% 13.0% 11.3% 9.7% 9.9% 22.1% 23.3% 9.3% 1.5% 1.9% 22.8% 23.7% 21.5% 11.2% 10.0% % 27.3% 26.5% 20.9% 14.2% 26.0% 33.3% 29.5% 12.9% 23.0% 23.4% 33.8% 43.8% 13.9% 9.7% 20.0% 22.8% 28.1% % 62.1% 63.5% 70.9% 72.8% 62.7% 57.0% 60.6% 65.0% 53.7% 67.3% 64.8% 54.3% 63.3% 66.6% 58.5% 66.0% 61.9% Yes, born again No, not born again Field Research Corporation Table 83 20

21 Q19e (Banner 3) H.S. or less Some college/ trade school Education Household Income Religion Marital Status College Post work Under $20,000 $20,000 $40,000 $40,000 $60,000 Protestant/ $60,000 More than other $100,000 $100,000 Christian Catholic religion No preference Married/ Not married living together Widow/ separated/ divorced Never married Parent/ Guardian of child under 18 Q19{QLetter}. Is your opinion of former state Party chair Tom Del Beccaro (BAHRROH),, favorable or unfavorable? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 10.3% 14.5% 9.7% 5.4% 12.0% 7.5% 9.5% 12.1% 10.8% 11.5% 12.7% 8.0% 8.2% 11.6% 8.9% 8.1% 14.7% 8.7% UN 26.9% 29.2% 25.2% 24.9% 30.1% 32.3% 31.9% 24.3% 28.7% 20.9% 22.7% 29.0% 31.6% 26.1% 23.8% 34.1% 28.8% 24.8% 27.6% % 60.6% 60.3% 65.3% 64.6% 55.7% 60.7% 66.2% 59.2% 68.3% 65.8% 58.3% 60.4% 65.7% 64.6% 57.0% 63.2% 60.5% 63.7% Yes No Field Research Corporation Table 84 21

22 Q20a (Banner 1) State Attorney General Kamala Harris, Democrat Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez, Democrat Assemblyman Rocky Chavez, former state Party chair Tom Del Beccaro, former state Party chair Duf Sundheim, OTHER UNDECIDED Southern Northern Region Area Party Registration Coastal counties Inland counties L.A. County San Diego/ Orange So. Central Valley SF Bay Area Northern Democrat No party pref./ others Primary election voter #1 #2 White non Hispanic Q20a. Suppose the open primary election for U.S. Senate were being held today and the candidates were (READ NAMES), who would be your first choice? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 25.3% 36.1% 33.3% 20.8% 31.5% 17.0% 25.3% 19.7% 49.2% 30.2% 49.0% 8.2% 21.3% 29.8% 33.0% 29.5% 17.1% 57.1% 36.0% % 20.8% 11.0% 16.6% 16.9% 22.2% 19.3% 20.1% 15.3% 7.6% 12.7% 21.4% 8.0% 19.0% 16.7% 13.4% 11.1% 34.5% 15.2% 11.6% % 11.1% 5.3% 8.0% 10.4% 6.0% 14.7% 15.4% 8.4% 3.8% 2.9% 2.7% 20.1% 5.3% 8.7% 8.6% 9.0% 12.0% 2.2% 4.5% % 5.9% 5.6% 4.8% 8.3% 2.3% 8.8% 8.4% 6.5% 4.3% 8.6% 0.7% 12.9% 6.3% 5.8% 5.7% 7.6% 3.3% 6.5% % 2.7% 3.9% 2.1% 6.1% 1.6% 3.2% 4.0% 7.7% 2.2% 0.8% 7.8% 1.9% 3.2% 3.8% 4.2% 1.9% 1.7% 3.5% % 0.9% 1.9% 1.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.7% 1.9% 1.0% 2.5% 1.7% 0.7% 1.4% 2.1% 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 1.0% 4.1% 0.8% % 33.5% 36.1% 34.1% 36.0% 36.0% 36.2% 24.9% 41.5% 30.4% 43.8% 24.7% 41.6% 44.2% 34.6% 34.1% 37.6% 30.2% 19.6% 37.1% Ethnicity Latino Black Asian/ Pacific Isle () Field Research Corporation Table 85 22

23 Q20a (Banner 2) State Attorney General Kamala Harris, Democrat Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez, Democrat Assemblyman Rocky Chavez, former state Party chair Tom Del Beccaro, former state Party chair Duf Sundheim, OTHER UNDECIDED Gender Age Political Ideology Tea Party identification Male Female or older Strongly conservative Moderately conservative Middle of the road Moderately liberal Strongly liberal A Lot/ some Registered All s Born again Christian Q20a. Suppose the open primary election for U.S. Senate were being held today and the candidates were (READ NAMES), who would be your first choice? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 28.3% 31.1% 20.7% 29.1% 33.7% 29.9% 32.5% 4.4% 16.4% 30.2% 34.9% 56.1% 6.4% 1.7% 13.1% 16.8% 33.8% % 16.4% 16.9% 17.2% 18.4% 12.9% 20.2% 13.7% 5.1% 17.0% 16.6% 22.1% 25.1% 11.5% 2.7% 24.3% 22.9% 14.8% % 10.4% 7.2% 5.7% 7.5% 14.5% 8.2% 7.6% 18.8% 10.0% 10.0% 2.1% 0.5% 20.6% 25.9% 13.1% 15.3% 6.6% % 6.1% 5.4% 4.8% 7.6% 1.7% 6.2% 7.4% 12.5% 13.0% 4.9% 1.0% 1.6% 11.0% 14.2% 6.4% 6.5% 5.5% % 3.3% 3.1% 3.7% 0.9% 2.7% 3.7% 3.8% 7.1% 3.4% 1.1% 7.1% 11.0% 1.4% 3.7% 3.0% % 1.7% 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 1.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 0.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 1.3% 0.5% 1.5% % 33.7% 35.3% 46.3% 35.2% 33.9% 30.0% 34.1% 50.9% 41.8% 34.0% 38.4% 15.2% 42.4% 43.9% 40.4% 34.4% 34.6% Yes, born again No, not born again Field Research Corporation Table 86 23

24 Q20a (Banner 3) State Attorney General Kamala Harris, Democrat Congresswoman Loretta Sanchez, Democrat Assemblyman Rocky Chavez, former state Party chair Tom Del Beccaro, former state Party chair Duf Sundheim, OTHER UNDECIDED H.S. or less Education Household Income Religion Marital Status Some college/ trade school College Post work $20,000 Under $20,000 $40,000 $40,000 $60,000 $60,000 $100,000 More than $100,000 Protestant/ other Christian Catholic religion No preference Married/ Not married living together Widow/ separated/ divorced Never married Parent/ Guardian of child under 18 Q20a. Suppose the open primary election for U.S. Senate were being held today and the candidates were (READ NAMES), who would be your first choice? % 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% % 8.7% 26.8% 35.3% 42.5% 18.0% 27.0% 34.1% 33.8% 32.6% 24.9% 24.6% 30.2% 44.0% 29.0% 33.8% 27.4% 26.0% 31.1% % 33.9% 14.7% 14.9% 8.7% 32.7% 24.1% 12.0% 16.5% 10.1% 13.2% 24.4% 21.1% 11.7% 15.9% 19.7% 16.8% 18.4% 16.1% % 4.4% 11.3% 7.1% 10.7% 2.1% 11.7% 9.9% 10.7% 8.9% 13.0% 11.1% 3.4% 4.1% 10.7% 6.4% 5.1% 11.0% 7.7% % 3.7% 7.1% 6.8% 4.2% 1.8% 7.5% 4.4% 7.1% 6.7% 7.7% 5.6% 4.5% 3.6% 4.8% 11.4% 3.7% 5.0% 6.1% % 2.0% 3.2% 4.7% 2.0% 0.9% 2.8% 5.7% 1.7% 3.7% 3.7% 2.6% 1.0% 5.2% 2.9% 3.1% 4.3% 1.4% 3.9% % 0.9% 0.3% 2.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.5% 2.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.9% 1.7% 1.1% 2.4% 1.0% 1.6% 1.2% % 46.4% 36.6% 29.3% 29.9% 44.4% 26.8% 33.2% 29.7% 35.0% 36.2% 30.5% 38.9% 29.8% 35.7% 23.2% 41.7% 36.6% 33.8% Yes No 24