Technology Options for Evolution from Existing Mobile Systems to IMT-2000 IMT-2000 Seminar Section 3.2.2

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1 Technology Options for Evolution from Existing Mobile Systems to IMT-2000 IMT-2000 Seminar Section Bruce Pales Business Development Director Lucent Technologies Office Mobile 2G Standards Evolution Paths 2 Lucent Technologies All Rights Reserved 1

2 Voice Capacity Evolution (Compared in 5 MHz bandwidth) 180 GSM 160 cdmaone/ UMTS 140 Erlangs Year IS-95 (13k) EVRC EFR, 4/12 Enhanced ASICs (MRxD+4-BR)/ 3G1x SMV+TD 12.2k TD+7.95k EFR, FH DT, DPC 20% HWFL 25% HWFL TD AMR % HWFL 43%HWFL 6-sector CIC 5.9K SAIC+8PS 35% IC Gain 61%HWFL (Code-limit) G1x xEV-DV UMTS /160 3 GSM Lucent Technologies All Rights Reserved Average Aggregate Throughput (in 5MHz bandwidth) kbps Year GPRS EDGE 3G1x UMTS 1xEV-DO 1xEV-DV 1/3 Reuse CS1, CS2 3G1x Dual-Antenna Single-Antenna CS3, CS4 (TD+Rel.A+MRxD) /(+Rel. A) Enhanced Scheduler DSCH+TD EDGE Equalization EDGE+TD xEV-DO xEV-DV GPRS The availability of HSDPA is EDGE likely to be further delayed UMTS/HSDPA 410 Lucent Technologies All Rights Reserved TD 1xEV-DV AAIR 2

3 Comparison Remarks 1.All technologies improve with time 2.Technologies using spread spectrum techniques are superior in both voice and data applications for the systems considered 3.The key driver for adoption of 3G will be data applications in addition to its voice capability 4.1xEV-DO, 1xEV-DV and HSDPA can provide data throughputs significantly higher than that from GPRS/EDGE 5 Lucent Technologies All Rights Reserved Successful 3G Technology Migration Lucent Has Completed Commercial Migration from Multiple 1G & 2G Mobile Systems to 3G CDMA Legacy AMPS cdmaone GSM GSM TDMA NMT 1G 2G 3G CDMA Technology W-CDMA Infrastructure Required Radio Frame on Existing BTS BTS Channel Cards New Spectrum? Yes 6 Lucent Technologies All Rights Reserved 3

4 3G Deployments OPERATOR SK TELECOM (S. KOREA) OCT 1, 2000 KTF (S. KOREA) LG TELECOM (S. KOREA) NTT DOCOMO (JAPAN) MONET MOBILE (USA) ZAAP MOBILE (TELEMOBIL-ROMAN) LEAP WIRELESS (CRICKET, USA) TELESP CELULAR BRAZIL CENTENNL DOMINICAN REPUBLIC VERIZON WIRELESS (USA) SK TELECOM (S. KOREA) METRO PCS (USA) BELL MOBILITY (CANADA) KDDI (JAPAN) CENTENNL WIRELESS (PUERTO RICO) TELEFONICA CELLULAR (BRAZIL) KTF (S. KOREA) TELUS MOBILITY (CANADA) TELECOM NEW ZEALAND SMARTCOM PCS (CHILE) SPRINT PCS (USA) CELLULAR SOUTH (USA) PELEPHONE (ISRAEL) INTERDNESTRCOM (MOLDOVA) EPM BOGOTA (COLOMB) LEGEND LUCENT 1 WCDMA 1EV - DO 7 Lucent Technologies All Rights Reserved MAY 1, 2001 MAY 1, 2001 OCT 1, 2001 OCT 24, 2001 DEC 7, 2001 DEC 10, 2001 DEC 12, 2001 DEC 15, 2001 JAN 28, 2002 JAN 28, 2002 FEB 1, 2002 FEB 12, 2002 APR 1, 2002 APR 4, 2002 APR 15, 002 MAY 8, 2002 JUN 3, 2002 JUL 22, 2002 JUL 26, 2002 AUG 12, 2002 SEP 9, 2002 SEP 30, 2002 SEP 30, 2002 OCT 2, 2002 OCT, G Deployments OPERATOR MONET MOBILE (USA) TATA TELESERVICE (IND) US CELLULAR (USA) TELCEL (VENEZUELA) KIWI PCS (COMSCAPE, USA) MOVILNET (CANTV, VENEZUELA) ALNT MOBILITY (CANADA) MTS (CANADA) TELSTRA (AUSTRAL) BELL SOUTH (ECUADOR) BELL SOUTH (PANAMA) RELNCE (IND) DELTA TELECOM (RUSS) VODAPHONE (J-PHONE - JAPAN) IUSACELL (MEICO) TELEFONICA (SPAIN) VERIZON WIRELESS (PUERTO RICO) BELCEL (BELARUS) HUTCH (HUTCHISON CAT, THAILAND) 3 (HUTCHISON, UK) 3 (HUTCHISON, ITALY) OCT 29, 2002 NOV 7, 2002 NOV 12, 2002 NOV 13, 2002 NOV 14, 2002 NOV 20, 2002 NOV 25,2002 NOV 27,2002 DEC 2,2002 DEC 4, 2002 DEC 4, 2002 DEC 12, 2002 DEC 16, 2002 DEC 20, 2002 JAN 24, 2003 JAN 2003 FEB 4, 2003 FEB 10, 2003 FEB 27, 2003 FEB 27, 2003 MAR 28, 2003 CHINA UNICOM 3 (HUTCHISON,AUSTRAL) T-MOBILE MONACO APR 15, 2003 APR 2003 DEC AT&T WIRELESS MAR 2004 Lucent Technologies All Rights Reserved LEGEND LUCENT 1 WCDMA 1EV - DO As of April 2003, Lucent deployed 42% of the 47 commercial 3G networks around the globe 4

5 3G Services Waiting Example: Reliance Infocomm India Mobile 1. Soft launch of Services within 5 months of Contract signing 2. Commercial launch within 1.5 months of soft launch 3. Reliance Infocomm now largest mobile operator in India with over 6 Million subscribers in over 590 Cities 4. India s first 3G network providing mobile internet and other multi media features to Reliance customers 5. Announced Agreement to Deploy Brew Based Data Applications 9 Lucent Technologies All Rights Reserved 3G Services Waiting Example #2: Delta Telecom SkyLink St Petersburg Russia 1. Launched Services December Alongside NMT Analog in 450 MHz Band 2. High Usage Voice Plans Along with High Speed Data Options 3. ARPU of 3G Subscriber Almost 7x 1G Subscriber $10 USD ARPU NMT $67 ARPU 4. Voice MoU of 3G Subscribers 21x 1G Subscribers 60 MoU NMT 1315 MoU 5. Announced Agreement to Deploy BREW based Data Applications 10 Lucent Technologies All Rights Reserved 5

6 Bruce Pales Business Development Director Lucent Technologies Office Mobile 6

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