Metro Milwaukee Industrial Market Review 2018 Q1
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1 Metro Milwaukee Industrial Market Review RETAIL OFFICE INDUSTRIAL LAND INVESTMENT NAI MLG COMMERCIAL N BROADWAY, SUITE 700, MILWAUKEE, WI MLGCOMMERCIAL.COM
2 Metro Milwaukee Industrial Market Report Year-over-Year Changes 1Q17 vs. 1Q18 NET ABSORPTION 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 AVAILABILITY 4Q17 vs. 1Q18 AVAILABILITY VACANCY Quarter-over-Quarter Changes NET ABSORPTION VACANCY ASKING S ASKING S Vacancy & Absorption Market Report Standards In December of 2017, one of our data providers, Xceligent, declared bankruptcy and ceased operations. As a result, CoStar is now our primary source of baseline data. Due to this change in data providers, our amount of tracked inventory has increased along with changes in availability, vacancy and historical analytics, all of which affects our market metrics and historical trend data. As in past reports, NAI MLG Commercial will continue to take considerable time and effort to verify the data contained in this report and will modify the data when necessary using proprietary information. 8.00% 7.00% 6.00% 1,500,000 1,000, ,000 - (500,000) (1,000,000) 2008 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q4 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% (1,500,000) Quarterly Absorption Vacancy Rate (%) 0.00% Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 2
3 Milwaukee Metro Stats Significant Lease Transactions Property City Tenant Size SF th Ave Pleasant Prairie Uline 417, W Oakwood Park Franklin QuadPackaging 162,861 W277N2837 Duplainville Rd Pewaukee Zero Zone Inc 99,740 N59W13855 Manhardt Dr Menomonee Falls Anixter International 78,260 Significant Sale Transactions Snapshot Use / Quarter Inventory (SF) Availability Rate (%) Vacancy Rate (%) Quarterly Absorption YTD Absorption Flex 28,596, % 4.4% (92,916) (92,916) Lt Ind 157,327, % 2.8% 179, ,951 Whse/Dist 136,991, % 5.2% 361, , ,915, % 3.9% 448, , Q4 322,859, % 4.2% 991,388 5,511, Q3 322,077, % 4.0% 2,024,797 4,519, Q2 320,040, % 4.1% 2,040,904 2,494,843 Property City Buyer Size SF Price JC Penney DC Wauwatosa Phoenix Investors 2,002,825 $31,250,000 W232N2850 Roundy Cir E Pewaukee Veritiv Corporation 165,000 $8,449,200 Sara Investment Portfolio Milwaukee County Neuman Companies 124,780 $7,650,000 Significant Q4 Absorption Changes Positive Absorption Changes Negative Absorption Changes Property Absorption Property Absorption th Ave 417, th Ave (237,200) Enterprise Way 137, N 32nd St (98,600) S Oakview Pky 118, E Florida St (57,000) st St 72, E Vienna Ave (53,600) th St 62, W Glendale Ave (41,600) 198 N Harrison St 56,000 N8W22380 Johnson Dr (40,000) nd Ave 45, S Grandview Pky (37,762) 1615 Grebby St 40, N Holton St (31,700) Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 3
4 Metro Milwaukee Industrial Market Report Sheboygan Vacancy (%) 2.5% Q1 Absorption (57,364) 2018 Absorption (57,364) Ozaukee Vacancy (%) 5.3% Q1 Absorption Absorption 693 Washington Vacancy (%) 1.2% Q1 Absorption 33, Absorption 33,336 Milwaukee Vacancy (%) 5.7% Q1 Absorption (419,786) 2018 Absorption (419,786) Waukesha Vacancy (%) 2.0% Q1 Absorption 132, Absorption 132,078 Racine Vacancy (%) 4.8% Q1 Absorption 117, Absorption 117,138 Walworth Vacancy (%) 2.8% Q1 Absorption 67, Absorption 67,360 Kenosha Vacancy (%) 3.3% Q1 Absorption 574, Absorption 574,586 South South South Central Central North North North Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 4
5 Milwaukee Metro Stats Current Stats Qtrly Absorption (SF) 2018 Absorption (SF) Submarket Inventory (SF) Available (SF) Available (%) Vacancy (SF) Vacancy (%) Milwaukee Flex 14,562,689 1,343, % 739, % 8,660 8,660 Lt Ind 61,320,915 4,375, % 2,526, % (66,727) (66,727) Whse/Dist 47,646,623 7,561, % 3,742, % (361,719) (361,719) Total 123,530,227 13,280, % 7,008, % (419,786) (419,786) Waukesha Flex 6,799, , % 326, % (70,374) (70,374) Lt Ind 39,926, , % 300, % 132, ,144 Whse/Dist 28,687,862 1,635, % 846, % 70,308 70,308 Total 75,413,313 3,188, % 1,473, % 132, ,078 Racine Flex 432,258 92, % 59, % (8,707) (8,707) Lt Ind 7,167, , % 33, % 58,000 58,000 Whse/Dist 25,686,410 2,241, % 1,008, % 525, ,293 Total 33,285,760 3,082, % 1,101, % 574, ,586 Kenosha Flex 435,205 15, % 2, % 3,800 3,800 Lt Ind 19,037, , % 580, % 12,200 12,200 Whse/Dist 11,631,785 1,368, % 915, % 101, ,138 Total 31,104,150 2,343, % 1,499, % 117, ,138 Washington Flex 3,042, , % 79, % Lt Ind 9,373, , % 41, % 12,200 12,200 Whse/Dist 7,482, , % 113, % 20,836 20,836 Total 19,899, , % 233, % 33,336 33,336 Sheboygan Flex 296,846 20, % 11, % 3,310 3,310 Lt Ind 4,849,972 74, % 38, % (9,664) (9,664) Whse/Dist 9,710, , % 314, % (51,010) (51,010) Total 14,856, , % 364, % (57,364) (57,364) Ozaukee Flex 195,914 15, % - 0.0% - - Lt Ind 8,822, , % 217, % 16,000 16,000 Whse/Dist 3,561, , % 134, % 51,360 51,360 Total 12,579, , % 352, % 67,360 67,360 Walworth Flex 2,831, , % 42, % (29,905) (29,905) Lt Ind 6,830, , % 603, % 25,798 25,798 Whse/Dist 2,584, , % - 0.0% 4,800 4,800 Total 12,246,105 1,151, % 645, % Grand Total 322,915,529 24,946, % 12,678, % 448, ,041 Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 5
6 Metro Milwaukee Industrial Market Report Historic Vacancy Millions % 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Vacant SF 3 yr. Trailing Average 1 yr. Trailing Average Regional Vacancy 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 2008 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q3 North Central South Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 6
7 Trends Historic Absorption 3,500, % 3,000, % 2,500, % 2,000, % 1,500, % 1,000, % 500, % - 0.0% (500,000) -0.5% (1,000,000) -1.0% (1,500,000) -1.5% Q Absorption SF 1 yr. Trailing Average Growth Regional Absorption Millions Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q3 North Central South Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 7
8 Metro Milwaukee Milwaukee County Year-over-Year Changes 1Q17 vs. 1Q18 FLEX LIGHT IND WAREHOUSE TOTAL INVENTORY (SF) 14,562,689 61,320,915 47,646, ,530,227 AVAILABILITY (SF) 1,343,194 4,375,592 7,561,948 13,280,734 AVAILABILITY (%) 9.2% 7.1% 15.9% 10.8% VACANCY (SF) 739,323 2,526,405 3,742,633 7,008,361 VACANCY (%) 5.1% 4.1% 7.9% 5.7% Q1 ABSORPTION (SF) 8,660 (66,727) (361,719) (419,786) # People 947,960 # Businesses 28,941 # Employees 511,710 Unemployment Rate 5.9% NET ABSORPTION AVAILABILITY VACANCY ASKING S Vacancy & Absorption 1,000, , , , ,000 - (200,000) (400,000) (600,000) 2008 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q4 Quarterly Absorption Vacancy Rate (%) 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Source: CoStar, Xceligent, Esri & NAI MLG Commercial s proprietary data. Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 8
9 Industrial 2018 Availability Milwaukee County Available Space Industrial Building Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 9
10 Metro Milwaukee Waukesha County Year-over-Year Changes 1Q17 vs. 1Q18 FLEX LIGHT IND WAREHOUSE TOTAL INVENTORY (SF) 6,799,285 39,926,166 28,687,862 75,413,313 AVAILABILITY (SF) 578, ,307 1,635,249 3,188,954 AVAILABILITY (%) 8.5% 2.4% 5.7% 4.2% VACANCY (SF) 326, , ,362 1,473,546 VACANCY (%) 4.8% 0.8% 3.0% 2.0% Q1 ABSORPTION (SF) (70,374) 132,144 70, ,078 # People 402,229 # Businesses 16,802 # Employees 274,596 Unemployment Rate 2.6% NET ABSORPTION AVAILABILITY VACANCY ASKING S Vacancy & Absorption 800, , , ,000 - (200,000) (400,000) (600,000) (800,000) 2008 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q4 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 0% Quarterly Absorption Vacancy Rate (%) Source: CoStar, Xceligent, Esri & NAI MLG Commercial s proprietary data. Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 10
11 Industrial 2018 Availability Waukesha County Available Space Industrial Building Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 11
12 Metro Milwaukee Racine County Year-over-Year Changes 1Q17 vs. 1Q18 FLEX LIGHT IND WAREHOUSE TOTAL INVENTORY (SF) 435,205 19,037,160 11,631,785 31,104,150 AVAILABILITY (SF) 15, ,442 1,368,307 2,343,279 AVAILABILITY (%) 3.6% 5.0% 11.8% 7.5% VACANCY (SF) 2, , ,762 1,499,486 VACANCY (%) 0.7% 3.1% 7.9% 4.8% Q1 ABSORPTION (SF) 3,800 12, , ,138 # People 197,399 # Businesses 6,018 # Employees 89,139 Unemployment Rate 5.6% NET ABSORPTION AVAILABILITY VACANCY ASKING S Vacancy & Absorption 600, , , , , ,000 - (100,000) (200,000) 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% (300,000) 2008 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q4 Quarterly Absorption Vacancy Rate (%) 0% Source: CoStar, Xceligent, Esri & NAI MLG Commercial s proprietary data. Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 12
13 Industrial 2018 Availability Racine County Available Space Industrial Building Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 13
14 Metro Milwaukee Kenosha County Year-over-Year Changes 1Q17 vs. 1Q18 FLEX LIGHT IND WAREHOUSE TOTAL INVENTORY (SF) 432,258 7,167,092 25,686,410 33,285,760 AVAILABILITY (SF) 92, ,085 2,241,716 3,082,139 AVAILABILITY (%) 21.4% 10.4% 8.7% 9.3% VACANCY (SF) 59,638 33,100 1,008,444 1,101,182 VACANCY (%) 13.8% 0.5% 3.9% 3.3% Q1 ABSORPTION (SF) (8,707) 58, , ,586 # People 170,454 # Businesses 4,535 # Employees 68,272 Unemployment Rate 7.0% NET ABSORPTION AVAILABILITY VACANCY ASKING S Vacancy & Absorption 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, ,000 - (500,000) (1,000,000) 2008 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q4 Quarterly Absorption Vacancy Rate (%) 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Source: CoStar, Xceligent, Esri & NAI MLG Commercial s proprietary data. Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 14
15 Industrial 2018 Availability Kenosha County Available Space Industrial Building Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 15
16 Metro Milwaukee Washington County Year-over-Year Changes 1Q17 vs. 1Q18 FLEX LIGHT IND WAREHOUSE TOTAL INVENTORY (SF) 3,042,933 9,373,759 7,482,839 19,899,531 AVAILABILITY (SF) 240, , , ,501 AVAILABILITY (%) 7.9% 3.2% 4.1% 4.3% VACANCY (SF) 79,338 41, , ,516 VACANCY (%) 2.6% 0.4% 1.5% 1.2% Q1 ABSORPTION (SF) ,200 20,836 33,336 # People 135,837 # Businesses 4,692 # Employees 66,314 Unemployment Rate 2.8% NET ABSORPTION AVAILABILITY VACANCY ASKING S Vacancy & Absorption 500, , , , ,000 - (100,000) (200,000) 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% Quarterly Absorption Vacancy Rate (%) Source: CoStar, Xceligent, Esri & NAI MLG Commercial s proprietary data. Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 16
17 Industrial 2018 Availability Washington County Available Space Industrial Building Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 17
18 Metro Milwaukee Sheboygan County Year-over-Year Changes 1Q17 vs. 1Q18 FLEX LIGHT IND WAREHOUSE TOTAL INVENTORY (SF) 296,846 4,849,972 9,710,136 14,856,954 AVAILABILITY (SF) 20,550 74, , ,060 AVAILABILITY (%) 6.9% 1.5% 3.6% 3.0% VACANCY (SF) 11,300 38, , ,274 VACANCY (%) 3.8% 0.8% 3.2% 2.5% Q1 ABSORPTION (SF) 3,310 (9,664) (51,010) (57,364) # People 116,309 # Businesses 4,281 # Employees 68,007 Unemployment Rate 3.7% NET ABSORPTION AVAILABILITY VACANCY ASKING S Vacancy & Absorption 500, , , , ,000 - (100,000) (200,000) (300,000) (400,000) 2008 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q4 Quarterly Absorption Vacancy Rate (%) 9% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Source: CoStar, Xceligent, Esri & NAI MLG Commercial s proprietary data. Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 18
19 Industrial 2018 Availability Sheboygan County Available Space Industrial Building Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 19
20 Metro Milwaukee Ozaukee County FLEX LIGHT IND WAREHOUSE TOTAL INVENTORY (SF) 2,831,124 6,830,652 2,584,329 12,246,105 # People 88,799 AVAILABILITY (SF) 226, , ,527 1,151,121 AVAILABILITY (%) 8.0% 11.0% 6.8% 9.4% VACANCY (SF) 42, , ,973 VACANCY (%) 1.5% 8.8% 0.0% 5.3% Q1 ABSORPTION (SF) (29,905) 25,798 4, Year-over-Year Changes 1Q17 vs. 1Q18 # Businesses 3,775 # Employees 49,534 Unemployment Rate 3.5% NET ABSORPTION AVAILABILITY VACANCY ASKING S Vacancy & Absorption 400, , , ,000 - (100,000) (200,000) (300,000) (400,000) (500,000) 2008 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q4 Quarterly Absorption Vacancy Rate (%) 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% Source: CoStar, Xceligent, Esri & NAI MLG Commercial s proprietary data. Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 20
21 Industrial 2018 Availability Ozaukee County Available Space Industrial Building Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 21
22 Metro Milwaukee Walworth County Year-over-Year Changes 1Q17 vs. 1Q18 FLEX LIGHT IND WAREHOUSE TOTAL INVENTORY (SF) 195,914 8,822,009 3,561,566 12,579,489 AVAILABILITY (SF) 15, , , ,403 AVAILABILITY (%) 7.9% 4.9% 4.3% 4.8% VACANCY (SF) 0 217, , ,357 VACANCY (%) 0.0% 2.5% 3.8% 2.8% Q1 ABSORPTION (SF) 0 16,000 51,360 67,360 # People 103,235 # Businesses 4,136 # Employees 50,310 Unemployment Rate 2.8% NET ABSORPTION AVAILABILITY VACANCY ASKING S Vacancy & Absorption 500, , , , ,000 - (100,000) (200,000) (300,000) 2008 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q4 Quarterly Absorption Vacancy Rate (%) 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Source: CoStar, Xceligent, Esri & NAI MLG Commercial s proprietary data. Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 22
23 Industrial 2018 Availability Walworth County Available Space Industrial Building Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 23
24 Metro Milwaukee Industrial Market Report Methodology, Definitions & Submarket Map Methodology: The report includes all industrial properties larger than 10,000 SF within the 8 county Milwaukee metro. Excluded from the report are government owned buildings and those buildings considered special use industrial. For reporting purposes, incubator space is included within Flex; bulk warehouse, truck terminals, warehouse freezer space is included within Warehouse Distribution; light industrial is included under Manufacturing. Inventory: The total square footage of a building that can be occupied. Available Rate: A measurement expressed as a percentage of the total amount of available space divided by the total amount of existing inventory. Vacancy Rate: A measurement expressed as a percentage of the total amount of vacant space divided by the total amount of existing inventory. Net Absorption: The net change in occupied space over a given period of time. Unless noted, all net absorption figures include both direct and sublease space. Past Year Trailing Absorption %: The sum of the past four quarters net absorption divided by the current inventory. Sources used Data: CoStar, Esri, JSonline/USA Today, Milwaukee Business Journal, BizTimes Media, internal market knowledge. Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 24
25 NAI MLG Commercial Industrial Team Our Team Barry Chavin, SIOR Principal t (414) m (414) bsc@mlgcommercial.com Stephen Provancher Principal t (414) m (414) sp@mlgcommercial.com Vytau Barcas Vice President t (414) m (262) vbarcas@mlgcommercial.com Anthony Bareta Senior Vice President t (414) m (414) tbareta@mlgcommercial.com Brett Garceau Senior Vice President t (414) m (262) bgarceau@mlgcommercial.com Adam Matson, SIOR Senior Vice President t (414) m (414) amatson@mlgcommercial.com Curt Pitzen Senior Vice President t (414) m (262) cpitzen@mlgcommercial.com Travis Tiede Senior Vice President t (414) m (920) ttiede@mlgcommercial.com Mitchell Starczynski Senior Vice President t (414) m (262) mstarczynski@mlgcommercial.com Kris Kucharski Sales Associate t (414) m (262) kak@mlgcommercial.com Milwaukee, Wisconsin Page 25
26 757 N Broadway, Suite 700 Milwaukee, WI mlgcommercial.com
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