5G Market Potential and Status Update

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1 5G Market Potential and Status Update Painel Telebrasil 2018 IEEE 5G Summit Ericsson Internal Tiago Machado Ericsson Brazil

2 The Generations: from Voice to IoT Ericsson Internal

3 New revenue streams from 5G Ericsson Internal

4 New revenue streams from 5G Ericsson Internal

5 5G evolution goes beyond Radio Access Ericsson Internal

6 5G high level time plan Ericsson Internal

7 5G in Brazil

8 Brazilian cities Motivationfor Rural Coverage Populational density inhabitants/km 2 [2017] IBGE andemprapa (2017) Brasil Centro Oeste Nordeste Norte Sudeste Sul Cities ,38% 32,21% 8,08% 29,95% 21,38% Demographic Density 24,4 hab/km² 9,88 hab/km² 36,84 hab/km² 4,65 hab/km² 94,04 hab/km² 52,58 hab/km² Ericsson Internal

9 5G RANGE Overview 5G-RANGE 5G-Remote Area Access Network for 5 Th GEneration EU-Brazil Joint Call - H2020-EUB-2017 List of Participants EU Partners Universidad Carlos III de Madrid (Spain) - Coordinator Technische Universität Dresden (Germany) University of Oulu (Finland) Telefónica I+D (Spain) Brazilian Partners Inatel (Instituto Nacional de Telecomunicações) CPqD (Centro de Pesquisa e Desenvolvimento em Telecomunicações) USP (Universidade de São Paulo) UFC (Universidade Federal do Ceará) UnB (Universidade de Brasília) - Coordinator Ericsson Brazil Ericsson Internal

10 5G RANGE Overview Context Limited availability of Internet Broadband access in remote areas Demand not met with current technologies and products Low population density Geographical barriers Large distances Usage of licensed bands Objectives 10% Design, develop, implement and validate the mechanisms to enable the 5G network to provide an economically effective solution for Internet access for remote areas: Use of cognitive radio approach employing both licensed and unlicensed frequencies New waveform in order to provide the desirable dynamic and fragmented spectrum allocation. Cell radius above 50 km (>100Mbps at the edge) Novel contributions on 5G standards in support of global industry consensus e.g. through submission of joint contributions in these fora by EU and Brazilian players Internet Penetration 80% Ericsson Internal

11 High Capacity Transport Optical backhaul [2016] ANATEL 2016 Cities without Optical Backhaul Midwest 181 Northeast North 250 Southeast 651 South 168 Ericsson Internal In blue: cities with Optical Backhaul In blank: cities without Optical Backhaul

12 Infrastructure and digitalization are key enablers Infrastructure enablers Spectrum Availability Spectrum Caps Spectrum Pricing Site Viability Ericsson Internal

13 Infrastructure and digitalization are key enablers Infrastructure enablers Digitalization enablers Spectrum Availability Cyber security Spectrum Caps Spectrum Pricing Network Neutrality Industrial Policy Site Viability Data Privacy Ericsson Internal

14 Spectrum for 5G introduction Ericsson Internal

15 Three layers of spectrum are needed: Low, Mid, High High Bands Super data layer Mid Bands Coverage & Capacity Low Bands Coverage Layer 6GHz 1-6GHz < 1GHz Ericsson Internal

16 Lower bands enable coverage High Bands Super data layer 6GHz Potential reuse of existing infrastructure Rural coverage BASE Global Roaming Mid Bands Coverage & Capacity 1-6GHz APPLICATIONS embb FWA Logistics Rural IoT Low Bands Coverage Layer < 1GHz 100MHz POTENTIAL Available bandwidth in 600MHz in Brazil Ericsson Internal

17 Mid-bands have the balance of Coverage x Capacity High Bands Super data layer 6GHz Potential reuse of existing infrastructure Urban coverage BASE Global Roaming Mid Bands Coverage & Capacity Low Bands Coverage Layer 1-6GHz < 1GHz embb Industry MHz APPLICATIONS IoT POTENTIAL Smart Cities Available bandwidth in GHz in Brazil, considering LSA in C-Band Ericsson Internal

18 mmwave will add 10x more capacity High Bands Super data layer 6GHz Indoor, urban, private, local, short range, multi-layer BASE Global Roaming Mid Bands Coverage & Capacity Low Bands Coverage Layer 1-6GHz < 1GHz Remote Medicine >10GHz APPLICATIONS Robots Self Driving Cars POTENTIAL VR/AR Available bandwidth in millimeter Waves above 24GHz up to E-Band in Brazil Ericsson Internal

19 3.5GHz is available worldwide: the prime 5G band 100MHz or less 200MHz 300MHz 400MHz Ericsson Internal

20 Millimetric bands under study at ITU WRC-19 From to 86GHz, a total of 33GHz is targeted allocations to the mobile service on a primary basis may require additional allocations to mobile Ericsson Internal

21 Millimetric bands under study at ITU WRC-19 From to 86GHz, a total of 33GHz is targeted allocations to the mobile service on a primary basis may require additional allocations to mobile GHz Global Priorities Ericsson Internal

22 Millimetric bands under study at ITU WRC-19 From to 86GHz, a total of 33GHz is targeted allocations to the mobile service on a primary basis may require additional allocations to mobile GHz GHz Global Priorities Ericsson Internal

23 Millimetric bands under study at ITU WRC-19 From to 86GHz, a total of 33GHz is targeted allocations to the mobile service on a primary basis may require additional allocations to mobile GHz GHz 3 70GHz Global Priorities Ericsson Internal

24 Millimetric bands under study at ITU WRC-19 From to 86GHz, a total of 33GHz is targeted allocations to the mobile service on a primary basis may require additional allocations to mobile GHz GHz 3 70GHz GHz Global Priorities Ericsson Internal

25 Millimetric bands under study at ITU WRC-19 From to 86GHz, a total of 33GHz is targeted allocations to the mobile service on a primary basis may require additional allocations to mobile GHz GHz 3 70GHz GHz GHz Global Priorities Ericsson Internal

26 Millimetric bands under study at ITU WRC-19 From to 86GHz, a total of 33GHz is targeted allocations to the mobile service on a primary basis may require additional allocations to mobile GHz GHz 3 70GHz GHz GHz GHz Global Priorities Ericsson Internal

27 Digitalization Enablers: Why data privacy matters EU approach: GDPR Focus on user protection Data protection authority Explicit consent Limited non-eu data flows EU Digital Single Market US approach Focus on private contracts Broader trade and competition regulation Implicit consent Open data flows Ongoing draft laws in Brazil PLS 330 / 2013 PL 5276 / 2016 Main topics Data protection authority Personal data Sensitive data Anonymized data International Data Flows Consent: explicit vs implicit Identifiable vs identified user Ericsson Internal

28 Digitalization Enablers: Why net neutrality matters Basic Rights and Rules User demand Definition of Net Neutrality Business Opportunity Network Neutrality Science of limited resources From homogeneity to network slicing FCC stance versus Europe Latency over throughput The myth of fast lanes US movement vs EU instance Market Equilibrium Tech evolution 5G & IoT Brazilian Internet Civil Framework & Decree Ericsson Internal

29 Digitalization Enablers: Why cyber security matters Network Security Local Systems IT Specific Data exposure Computers & Phones Information Security Cloud Industry-wide Data Corruption IoT Key topics Data localization Critical Infrastructure Cyber-espionage Legal Interception Vendor and technology vetting Security by design IoT and 5G introduction Networks Access Ubiquity Preventive & Reactive Proactive measures Ericsson Internal

30 Key steps for 5G Early 5G introduction will be viable in 3.5GHz to cope with data growth in urban areas, while benefiting from global ecosystem. mmwave should be prioritized, especially 26GHz and 42GHz, to enable high-demand use cases including IoT. Public policies for Cybersecurity, Net Neutrality and Data Privacy will be key enablers or roadblocks for 5G introduction. Ericsson Internal

31 Ericsson.com