Where did they come from and are they really different?

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1 LTE and WiMAX - Where did we come from and where are we going? Anthony Berkeley January 2009 Where did they come from and are they really different? 2 Cambridge Wireless January

2 LTE World Main evolution for 3GPP operators, successor to GSM and UMTS Focussed on address broadband needs for users, pure packet system focus Driven not as a technology but as a response to business needs, influence of NGMN forum ensuring vendors don t over focus on technology at expense of business objectives Today: Operators already in trial, RFP/Qs, contract awards already beginning Major Terminal Vendors Major Infrastructure Providers Operators Other organizations Motorola, Nokia, NEC, LGE, Panasonic, Samsung, Sierra Wireless, Option, Novatel Alcatel-Lucent, Ericsson, Nokia-Siemens, Huawei Asia : Leading operators (Japan, Korea) Europe : All major operator families (Vodafone, T-Mobile, Orange in LSTI) North America: Verizon, New Entrants with AWS spectrum & CDMA operators 3GPP, LSTI (LTE/ SAE Trial initiative), NGMN (Next Generation Mobile Network) 3 Cambridge Wireless January 2009 WiMAX World Already commercially available, driven by IEEE standards vs 3GPP Strong demand for fixed and nomadic W-DSL type of services Driven by IT companies vs Telco driven LTE Large numbers of regional networks deployed, Sprint first to focus on nationwide build out Major FPGA/ASIC Vendors Major Terminal Vendors Major Infrastructure Providers Operators Intel, Runcom, Beceem, Sequans, TI, Philips Semiconductor Samsung, Nokia, Motorola, LG, Kyocera Alcatel-Lucent, Nortel, NEC, Nokia-Siemens, Huawei, AT&T, BellSouth, BT, KT, Deutsche Telekom, France Telecom, Vodafone, Sprint, Telefonica, TeliaSonera, Orascom, Telecom Malaysia, KDDI 4 Cambridge Wireless January

3 WiMAX and LTE What s the Technical difference WiMAX Downlink OFDMA LTE Uplink OFDMA SC-FDMA Architecture All-IP Spectrum FDD (802.16m) TDD FDD and TDD Spectrum Flexibility Fixed bandwidth Flexible bandwidth Services/Apps IMS Standards IETF 3GPP Technically differences are limited, but use cases vary 5 Cambridge Wireless January 2009 Air Interface evolutions: All technologies have path to LTE TDMA GSM EDGE WCDMA TD-SCDMA HSDPA HSUPA GERAN Evolutions HSPA+ TD-SCDMA Evolution 4G ITU 100 Mbps (full mobility) 1Gbps (hotspot) Still OFDM! CDMA LTE R8/R9 FDD/TDD LTE R10 FDD/TDD CDMA 1X EVDO Rev A/B UMB BWA WiMAX 16d WiMAX 16e TDD WiMAX 16m TDD/FDD Deployed Arriving Next step 6 Cambridge Wireless January

4 Timeline for 2.6GHz LTE Auctions Worldwide (FDD and TDD) New Zealand Norway Sweden Today UK Italy Belgium Germany Denmark Hong Kong Austria Czech Republic India Canada Netherlands Portugal Spain Malta Switzerland Lithuania Poland India Expected Ukraine delay Jamaica Finland France Auction status: Finished Auction launched and dates set Auction planned, the dates are CWV estimates Auction is expected but dates are unclear Possible acceleration Estonia Latvia France Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q and further 7 Cambridge Wireless January 2009 Universal Broadband Wireless Access : Market Requirements Very High Speed/User Laptop High-end PDA PDA with phone Phone High Fiber xdsl Wired WiMAX 3G LTE Medium Fixed WiFi On the pause Always on UMTS/HSDPA CDMA 2000 GPRS/EDGE On the move Mobility Hot spots Hot zones Global coverage Each technology has a role to play 8 Cambridge Wireless January

5 Today s Problem: Next-Gen Wireless Broadband Delivery Requires a New Business Model, Service Offer & Infrastructure Traffic Broadband Network Non User-paid Revenues New Business Model Pay per minute User-paid Revenues Voice-centric communications MSP competitio n Pay per use in walled garden Voice and multimedia MSP competition (and ISP, MVNO) Unlimited wireless triple-play Always-on, UGC, interactive and personalized service on multidevices MSP & web players competition TCO and Carbon Footprint Enriched Service & QoE Efficient Network & Operations Cambridge Wireless January 2009 Broadband Access Boosts Usage Fixed Access Mobile Access Introduction of HSPA Source: Ventura, Feb BB boosts adoption to the Internet Usage /broadband home: ~ +20%/year Mobile subscribers Mobile BB subscribers Source: Pyramid 2008 HSPA boosts mobile Broadband subscriptions The DSL Fixed success story repeats itself with mobile data 10 Cambridge Wireless January

6 New connected broadband lifestyle Growing mobile adoption Rise of the millenials The Millennials generation born and/or raised with Internet (11-25 years old) New applications Fixed broadband life Massively adopted now and exportable to mobile by 2011 roughly 4 billion people will be carrying mobile phones! Within 5 years, millennials will spread their earlyadopters life style into their adult lives & enterprises Rich ecosystem My life in my handset New generation of devices and communicating machines Connected broadband life style soon becomes mainstream 11 Cambridge Wireless January 2009 Crazy Ideas that might just make it Sat Nav Parking Cameras Google Maps Location Info Heads Up Display Intelligent Windscreen 12 Cambridge Wireless January

7 It s business not just technology User Needs Traffic Traffic & Revenue Divergence Spectrum Efficiency Revenues Traffic levels New Competitors Revenues Data Era Simplification Market & Technology pressures driving the need for LTE deployments Underlying factor is the need for improved Total Cost of Ownership Market Key Challenge #1: Affordability How to serve subscribers profitably? Market Key Challenge #2: Accessibility How to extend broadband into areas profitably? Market Key Challenge #3: Versatility/More Broadband How to optimize the network for broadband and multimedia? 13 Cambridge Wireless January 2009 How to optimize the network for broadband and multimedia? LTE macro Voice driven coverage supports high mobility Networks Aren't About Macro Cells Anymore Data driven capacity Higher capacity and uniform user experience LTE small LTE cells small in & out cells door Macro Macro cooperation Technology relationship Femto Macro cooperation Small cells cooperation New generation terminals and data applications require uniform user experience and progressively higher and higher data rates Implies: to limit load & re-use then introduce inter cell cooperation to introduce hot spots to introduce small cells 14 Cambridge Wireless January

8 How to extend broadband into areas profitably? Spectrum is a major profitability factor, driving both capex spend and revenue potential Business challenge is to balance coverage cost / capacity cost with subscriber needs What is my strategy? High Coverage, then Low frequency band But limited capacity and lower bandwidth High Performance High frequency band Limited area, but high bandwidth Maximise my Spectrum Do I need 20MHz or will 5MHz be enough? Do I buy new or refarm GSM/UMTS spectrum? High Coverag e Low Capacity 15 Cambridge Wireless January 2009 How to extend broadband into areas profitably? Today LTE step 1 New spectrum application LTE step 2 Free 900 MHz for LTE 900 MHz 12 MHz 1800 MHz 5 MHz 2100 MHz 10 MHz (FDD) 2600 MHz 20 MHz 900 MHz 3 MHz Smooth LTE introduction in existing bands in 2100 MHz - Free 900 MHz needs for 1800 MHz contiguous coverage, but will provide favorable range 900 MHz 10 MHz 1800 MHz 15 MHz 2100 MHz 15 MHz (FDD) 2100 MHz 5 MHz 900 MHz 10 MHz Or 1800 MHz 15 MHz GSM UMTS LTE - Free 1800 MHz more adapted to hot spots capacity driven scenario 16 Cambridge Wireless January

9 How to optimize the network for broadband and multimedia? Dynamic not Static Networks Designing networks for the average or the peak busy hour means wasting resources Networks must become dynamic and adapt demands of users and the densification of networks Self Optimising Networks (SON) will simplify network operations by allowing dynamic configuration significantly improving TCO SON capability will improve network performance and subsriber satisfaction by adapting to changes in demand & reduce opex (e.g. powering down the BTS during quiet periods) SON allows plug-and-play configuration and optimisation for easy network introduction Traffic TCO Designed for average SON optimised config Time Typical TCO improvement due to SON 17 Cambridge Wireless January 2009 In Conclusion Technology is important, but it must serve the business need WiMAX or LTE there is space for both, operator focus and user segmentation will be a key influence There is a clear need for mobile broadband, driving the need for network evolution 18 Cambridge Wireless January

10 Cambridge Wireless January 2009 NGMN objective validation From top requirements to field trials Key Performance Tests Peak rates User throughput Mobile Performance Latency Spectrum efficiency NGMN ensures LTE is about business not technology 20 Cambridge Wireless January

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