LONG-RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN OF THE BOSTON REGION METROPOLITAN PLANNING ORGANIZATION

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1 charting progress to 2040 LONG-RANGE TRANSPORTATION PLAN OF THE BOSTON REGION METROPOLITAN PLANNING ORGANIZATION JULY 2015 The Boston Region Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) is composed of: Massachusetts Department of Transportation City of Everett Metropolitan Area Planning Council City of Newton Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority City of Somerville Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority Advisory Board City of Woburn Massachusetts Port Authority Town of Arlington Regional Transportation Advisory Council Town of Bedford Federal Highway Administration (nonvoting) Town of Framingham Federal Transit Administration (nonvoting) Town of Lexington City of Beverly Town of Medway City of Boston Town of Norwood Town of Braintree Prepared by the MPO s Central Transportation Planning Staff This document was funded in part through grants from the Federal Highway Administration and Federal Transit Administration of the U.S. Department of Transportation. Its contents do not necessarily reflect the official views or policies of the U.S. DOT.

2 Stoneham Plum Island Bolton Hudson Stow Marlborough Hopkinton Littleton Boxborough Southborough Milford Maynard Ashland Acton Sudbury Framingham Bellingham Holliston Medway Franklin Carlisle Concord Natick Sherborn Millis Norfolk Medfield Wrentham Bedford Lincoln Weston Wayland Wellesley Needham Dover Lexington Waltham Walpole Foxborough Wilmington Burlington Woburn Newton Dedham Norwood Arlington Medford Belmont Westwood Sharon Winchester Watertown Reading Somerville Cambridge Brookline Canton North Reading Milton Stoughton Lynnfield Wakefield Boston Melrose Malden Middleton Saugus EverettRevere Chelsea Randolph Quincy Braintree Peabody Holbrook Topsfield Danvers Lynn Winthrop Weymouth Salem Nahant Cohasset Hingham Rockland Ipswich Hamilton Wenham Beverly Swampscott Hull Hanover Marblehead Norwell Essex Manchester- By-the-sea Scituate Pembroke Gloucester Marshfield Duxbury N Rockport BOSTON REGION METROPOLITAN PLANNING ORGANIZATION MUNICIPALITIES For additional copies of this document or to request it in accessible formats, contact us: By mail Central Transportation Planning Staff Certification Activities Group 10 Park Plaza, Suite 2150 Boston, MA By telephone (857) (voice) (617) (TTY) By fax (617) By amcgahan@bostonmpo.org This document can be downloaded from our Web site: The MPO complies with Title VI of the Civil Rights Act of 1964, the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) and other federal and state nondiscrimination statutes and regulations in all programs and activities. The MPO does not discriminate on the basis of race, color, national origin, English proficiency, income, religious creed, ancestry, disability, age, gender, sexual orientation, gender identity or expression, or military service. Any person who believes herself/himself or any specific class of persons to have been subjected to discrimination prohibited by Title VI, ADA, or other nondiscrimination statute or regulation may, herself/himself or via a representative, file a written complaint with the MPO. A complaint must be filed no later than 180 calendar days after the date on which the person believes that the discrimination occurred. A complaint form and additional information can be obtained by contacting the MPO (see above) or at Charting Progress to 2040

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7 TABLE OF CONTENTS Executive Summary Chapter 1 Transportation Planning for the Boston Region Chapter 2 Process for Developing Charting Progress to 2040 Chapter 3 Transportation Needs in the Boston Region Chapter 4 Funding the Transportation Network Chapter 5 The Recommended Plan Chapter 6 Charting the Performance Chapter 7 Transportation Equity Chapter 8 Air Quality Conformity Determination and Greenhouse Gas Analysis Appendix A Scenario Planning Appendix B Universe of Projects Appendix C Project Evaluation Appendix D Public Comments Appendix E Methodology for Land Use Projections in the Boston Region Appendix F Glossary of Acronyms

8 LIST OF FIGURES AND TABLES FIGURE PAGE ES.1 MPO Vision, Goals, and Objectives ES Boston Region Metropolitan Planning Organization Member Structure Boston Region Metropolitan Planning Organization Municipalities Metropolitan AreaPlanning Council Community Types Language Spoken at Home for the Population 5 Years and Over Population by Race Population by Sex and Age Households by Size Household Income (in 2013 dollars) Employment by Industry as a Percentage of Total Employment Employment Status Means of Transportation to Work Vehicles Available by Household as Percentage of Total Households Commute Time MPO Vision, Goals, and Objectives Investment Programs Scenario Analyses Results Public Ranking of Goals (Raw scores in parentheses; a lower score indicates a higher priority.) Average Allocation of Funding for MPO Projects Model Areas Bottleneck Locations Park-and-Ride Locations with a Utilization Rate of More than 85% Bicycle Parking Facilities with a Utilization Rate of More than 85% 3-16 Charting Progress to 2040

9 FIGURE PAGE 3.5 Priority Bicycle Gaps and Baystate Greenway Locations Transportation Equity Areas in the Boston Region MPO Regionwide Transportation Equity Areas in the Boston Region MPO Central Area Regionaly Significant Priority Development and Preservation Areas Revenue and Growth Assumptions for LRTP Development Project Growth versus Funding Growth, FFYs Federal Highway Program, FFYs Federal Highway Program, FFYs by Time Band MBTA Federal Transit Programs, FFYs by Time Band Major Infrastructure Projects in the Recommended Plan Mode Share Split Person-Trips Under 2012 Base Year, 2040 No-Build, and 2040 Build Conditions Transit Trips by Mode Equity Analysis Zones Average Transit Travel Times to Destinations for Equity Analysis Zones (Low-Income) in the 2040 No-Build and 2040 Build Networks Average Transit Travel Times to Destinations for Equity Analysis Zones (Minority) in the 2040 No-Build and 2040 Build Networks Average Highway Travel Times to Destinations for Equity Analysis Zones (Low-Income) in the 2040 No-Build and 2040 Build Networks Average Highway Travel Times to Destinations for Minority and Non-Minority Areas in the 2040 No-Build and 2040 Build Networks Average Transit Travel Times for Equity Analysis Zones in the 2040 No-Build and 2040 Build Networks Average Highway Travel Times for Equity Analysis Zones in the 2040 No-Build and 2040 Build Networks 7-13

10 FIGURE PAGE 7.8 Average VMT for Equity Analysis Zones in the 2040 No-Build and 2040 Build Networks Average Congested Vehicle Miles Traveled for Equity Analysis Zones in the 2040 No-Build and 2040 Build Networks 7-15 D.1 MAPC Winter Council Meeting: Overview of Budgeting Activity Results D-6 D.2 Public Ranking of Goals (Raw scores in parentheses; a lower score indicates a higher priority.) D-7 TABLE ES.1 Comparison of Available Capital Highway Funds in Charting Progress to 2040 to the Latest LRTP, Paths to a Sustainable Region ES-5 ES.2 Major Infrastructure Projects in the Recommended Plan ES-8 ES.3 Funding Dedicated to Programs in the LRTP ES Safety Needs in the Boston Region MPO Top-25 Highway Crash Locations in the Boston Region MPO Locations with Multiple Safety Needs System Preservation Needs in the Boston MPO Region Capacity Management and Mobility Needs in the Boston Region MPO Clean Air and Clean Communities Needs in the Boston Region MPO Transportation Equity Needs in the Boston Region MPO Economic Vitality Needs in the Boston Region MPO Projected Sources of Funds for Maintenance of Highway System in Boston Region MPO Comparison of Available Capital Highway Funds in Charting Progress to 2040 to the Latest LRTP, Paths to a Sustainable Region MBTA Capital Finances by Five-Year Time Band Comparison of Available Capital Transit Funds in Charting Progress to 2040 to the Latest LRTP, Paths to a Sustainable Region MWRTA Capital Finances by Five-Year Time Band 4-15 Charting Progress to 2040

11 TABLE PAGE 4.6 CATA Capital Finances by Five-Year Time Band MBTA Revenues and Costs by Five-Year Time Band Major Ongoing Infrastructure and Expansion Transit Projects in the Recommended LRTP MBTA Operations and Maintenance Revenues and Costs by Five Year Time Band MWRTA Operations and Maintenance Revenues and Costs by Five-Year Time Band CATA Operations and Maintenance Revenues and Costs by Five-Year Time Band Major Infrastructure Projects in the Recommended Plan Funding Dedicated to Programs in the LRTP Major Infrastructure Projects Programmed with Highway Funding in the Recommended Plan with Costs Highway Bridges with Estimated Costs of More than $20 Million Expansion Transit Projects in the Recommended Plan with Costs Transit Expansion Projects in the Recommended Plan with Costs Base Year, 2040 No-Build, and 2040 Build Scenarios Benefits and Burdens Analysis for Average Transit Travel Times to Employment Destination Types Benefits and Burdens Analysis for Average Highway Travel Times to Employment Destination Types Benefits and Burdens Analysis for Average Transit Travel Time Benefits and Burdens Analysis for Average Highway Travel Time Average Vehicle Miles Traveled Benefits and Burdens Analysis for Congested Vehicle Miles Travelled 7-16

12 TABLE PAGE 8.1 Regionally Significant Projects Included in the Regional Transportation Models for the Boston Region MPO Recommended LRTP Projects: Projects under Construction Regionally Significant Projects Included in the Regional Transportation Models for the Boston Region MPO Recommended LRTP Projects: Recommended Projects Winter CO Emissions Estimates for the CO Maintenance Area for the Nine Cities in the Boston Area 8-19 B.1 LRTP - Universe of Projects - Projects Currently Listed in Paths to a Sustainable Region B-5 B.2 LRTP - Universe of Projects - Projects That Add Capacity to the System/ Cost More than $20 million B-6 B.3 LRTP - Universe of Projects - Projects That Do Not Add Capacity to the System/Cost Under $20 million B-8 C.1 Evaluated Major Infrastructure Projects for the LRTP C-11 C.2 Summary of Evaluated Major Infrastructure Projects for the LRTP C-13 D.1 Summary of Written Public Comments Received During the Official Comment Period: June 25 to July 24, 2015 D-25 E.1 Land Use Model Household Agent Description E-5 E.2 Land Use Model Employment Agent Description E-7 Charting Progress to 2040