Agenda Overview. Process Update Overview of Revised Goals Transportation Trends Small Group Breakout Questions and Comments Next Steps Meeting Close

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2 Agenda Overview Process Update Overview of Revised Goals Transportation Trends Small Group Breakout Questions and Comments Next Steps Meeting Close 2 1. Welcome and Meeting Overview

3 1. Process Update 3 1. Process Update

4 4 1. Process Update

5 5 1. Process Update

6 Denveright Community Visioning Survey Supplemental Vision Questionnaire and Outreach to Under- Represented Groups 6 2. Process Update

7 2. Overview of Revised Goals 7 2. Overview of Revised Goals

8 Goals Overview of Revised Goals

9 Goals Overview of Revised Goals

10 Goals Overview of Revised Goals

11 Goals Overview of Revised Goals

12 Goals Overview of Revised Goals

13 Goals Overview of Revised Goals

14 Goals Overview of Revised Goals

15 Goals Overview of Revised Goals

16 Goals Overview of Revised Goals

17 Goals Overview of Revised Goals

18 Task Force Feedback Overview of Revised Goals

19 3. Transportation Trends Transportation Trends

20 Overview Current conditions Mode shift: case studies Modal tradeoffs Funding & financing Demographic & technological trends Trendlab+ polling exercise 20 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

21 Denver Environmental/Mode Shift Targets Reduce GHG emissions by 80 percent below the level of 2005 by the year 2050 (80 by 50) Denver 2015 Climate Action Plan Provide mobility options (transit, carpooling, biking, walking) that reduce commuting travel in Denver done in single-occupant vehicles to no more than 60% of all trips. Denver 2020 Sustainability Goals 21 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

22 /15 Denver Trends Denver Region (all trips) Change VMT per capita: 2% Transit ridership per capita: 5% Source: DRCOG, American Community Survey, National Transit Database City of Denver Resident Commute Mode Share Mode Difference Drive Alone 68% 74% 5 pts Carpool 14% 7% 7 pts Transit 8% 6% 2 pts Walk 4% 4% 0 pts Bike 1% 2% 1 pts Telecommute 4% 6% 2 pts Other 1% 1% 0 pts Source: 2000 U.S. Census, 2015 American Community Survey (1-year estimates) 22 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

23 Inducing Mode Shift to Transit: Peer Cities 23 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

24 Inducing Mode Shift to Transit: Seattle Case Study 3 rd Ave Transit Priority Corridor 24 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

25 Inducing Mode Shift to Bicycling: Peer Cities 25 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

26 Inducing Mode Shift to Bicycling: Case Study 26 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

27 Inducing Mode Shift to Walking: Peer Cities 27 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

28 Inducing Mode Shift to Walking: Boston Case Study 28 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

29 Modal Tradeoffs The changes may make traffic 15 percent worse instead of just 5 percent worse each year, but the situation is already becoming untenable. - L.A. Mayor Eric Garcetti (2015) We are going to have a fair bit of traffic. Actually that s a good thing. When all the cars disappear and all the traffic disappears that s a sign our city isn't driving. Former Seattle Mayor Mike McGinn (2012) 29 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

30 Modal Tradeoffs Los Angeles Layered Network Planning 30 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

31 Modal Tradeoffs Montgomery County, MD Performance Measures 31 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

32 Modal Tradeoffs Montgomery County, MD Performance Measures 32 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

33 Modal Tradeoffs Montgomery County, MD Performance Measures 01 ACCESSIBILITY TRAVELER EXPERIENCE 03 INTERSECTION INTERSECTION PERFORMANCE PERFORMANCE ACTIVITY Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

34 Modal Tradeoffs Sacramento, California Level of Service Policy The City shall implement a flexible, context-sensitive Level of Service (LOS) standard The City will strive to operate the roadway network at LOS D or better for vehicles with the following exceptions described below Central City LOS F allowed Priority Investment Areas LOS F allowed [Other] LOS E/LOS F Roadways -City of Sacramento 2035 General Plan Mobility Element, March Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

35 Modal Tradeoffs Davis, California Geometric Policy In each direction, Davis streets shall have no more than two through automobile lanes plus a single left-hand turning lane, even if this requirement reduces level of service. Additional turning lanes may be added for safety or design considerations. -City of Davis General Plan Transportation Element, December Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

36 Funding & Financing Existing local sources: Capital Improvement Program appropriation Better Denver Bond Program (renewed by voters in 2016) 2.5 mil property tax for infrastructure repair (passed by voters in 2007) FasTracks (0.6 cents regional sales tax passed in 2004) Limited funding for multimodal projects Denver Strategic Transportation Plan (2008) Explore options for transportation finance (including PPPs) Leverage non-city funding 36 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

37 Federal & State Funding Gas tax Other Opportunities FASTER Federal grants Partnerships with other agencies (RTD, DRCOG, CDOT, etc.) Not a reliable long-term source 37 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

38 Models for Local Funding Property tax (Seattle, SF Bay Area) Gas tax (Portland, Las Vegas, Chicago) Sales tax (Seattle, L.A., Phoenix, Atlanta, Columbus) Motor vehicle excise tax (Seattle, Boston) Income tax (Indianapolis) VMT charge (pilot programs - OR, CA, CO) Utility fee (Austin, Provo, Eugene) User charge Bond measures 38 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

39 Demographic & Technological Trends 39 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

40 Vehicle Miles Traveled Travel Trends Past 40 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

41 Vehicle Miles Traveled Decoupling VMT and GDP 41 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

42 Annual VMT per Capita VMT per capita DRCOG Region 10, ,600 9, ,800 8, Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

43 Why the decrease? It s the pre-great Recession macro-economy, stupid. and a few other things James Carville (kinda) 43 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

44 Why the decrease? Labor Force Participation 44 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

45 Why the decrease? Income 45 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

46 Why the decrease? Fuel Prices 46 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

47 Why the decrease? E-Commerce 47 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

48 Why the decrease? Millennials & Boomers 48 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

49 Why the decrease? Licensing 49 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

50 Why the decrease? Telecommuting 50 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

51 Why the decrease? Transportation Network Companies (TNC s) 51 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

52 Why the decrease? Next Generation Vehicles 52 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

53 Why the decrease? Other Trends 53 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

54 TrendLab+ Factors influencing travel 54 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

55 55 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

56 Polling Slides 56 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

57 Labor Force Participation 57 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

58 Driving Age Population 58 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

59 Vehicle Ownership 59 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

60 Licensing Regulations 60 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

61 Fuel Cost per Mile 61 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

62 Congestion & Time Use 62 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

63 Non-Auto Mode Options 63 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

64 GDP, Real Income Growth 64 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

65 Suburban Migration 65 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

66 Household Formation 66 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

67 Goods & Services Delivery 67 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

68 Telecommuting 68 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

69 Social Networking 69 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

70 Shared Mobility Services 70 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

71 Autonomous Cars 71 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

72 Driverless Vehicles 72 Blueprint Denver 3. Transportation Taskforce Meeting Trends #6

73 4. Small Group Breakout Small Group Breakout

74 5. Questions and Comments Questions and Comments

75 6. Next Steps Next Steps

76 Late 2016/Early 2017 Outreach Vision and Values Online Commenting Supplemental Vision Questionnaire and Outreach to Under- Represented Groups Next Steps

77 Upcoming Task Force Meetings Task Force Meeting #7 March 23 Scenario Evaluation and Place Types Intro Task Force Meeting #8 April 27 Community Meetings April Next Steps

78 7. Meeting Close 78

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80 80 1/27/2017

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